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In search of the powerful self-fulfilling prophecy
Abstract
This research examined moderators of naturally occurring self-fulfilling prophecies. The authors assessed whether positive or negative self-fulfilling prophecies were more powerful and whether some targets were more susceptible to self-fulfilling prophecies because of their self-concepts in a particular achievement domain and previous academic records. Participants were 98 teachers and 1,539 students in sixth-grade public school math classes. Results yielded a strong pattern showing that teacher perceptions predicted achievement more strongly for low achievers than for high achievers. Results also yielded a much weaker pattern showing that teacher overestimates predicted achievement more strongly than teacher underestimates. Implications for social perceptual accuracy, self-enhancement theory, and understanding when self-fulfilling prophecies are stronger are discussed.
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“The residuals resulting from these regressions reflect the variance that remained unexplained and served as our measure of teacher expectation inaccuracy.”
From Self-fulfilling prophecies in the classroom: Teacher expectations, teacher feedback and student achievement (2020) · cites this paper as Madon et al. (1997)
In the citing paper
“they respond more to positive than negative expectations (Madon et al. 1997: 792)”
From What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? (2022) · cites this paper as Madon et al. 1997: 792
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“Indeed, there is evidence that even today, positive SFPs in individual, dyadic interactions are more likely and pronounced than negative ones.”
From What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? (2022) · cites this paper as Madon et al. 1997
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“Finally, small effect sizes are common to self-fulfilling prophecy research (Jussim and Harber 2005; Madon et al. 1997); however, even if effect sizes are seemingly trivial, over time, these effects can translate into meaningful organizational consequences and thereby warrant attention (Martell et…”
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“This finding is in line with previous research findings that conclude that when teachers hold inaccurate views, lowperforming students suffer greater impact (Madon et al., 1997).”
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“Rarely have studies controlled for both students’ grades and standardized test scores plus students’ motivation (for exceptions, see Jussim, 1989; Jussim & Eccles, 1992; Madon et al., 1997), and no studies have controlled for adolescents’ deviant behaviors, perceptions of friends’ views about school, and adolescents’…”
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“These effects tend to be weaker when it comes to underestimates especially in the academic contexts relevant here (Madon et al. 1997, p. 806).”
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“In the worst case, extreme negative expectations may lead to stigmatization, which will have a detrimental effect on student learning outcomes (Madon et al., 1997; Jussim et al., 1996).”
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“The self-fulfilling prophecy typically refers to occurrences where one’s expectations about another person lead them to behave in some way so as to confirm those expectations (Madon et al., 1997; Rosenthal, 2003).”
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“Students who are stigmatized with regard to mathematics, including ethnic minorities and girls (Madon et al., 1997; McKown & Weinstein, 2008) should be especially susceptible to the internalization of low teacher expectations.”
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“Past studies also suggest that these effects are cumulative and have a greater impact on disadvantaged populations (Jussim et al., 2009; Madon et al., 1997; Madon et al., 2011; Rosenthal & Jacobson, 1968).”
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“Discrepant expectations can be considered quantitative variables that have both a direction and a magnitude; that is, they can be either over- or underestimates and can represent different degrees of over- or underestimation (Madon et al., 1997).”
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“Teacher expectation bias was conceptualized as the standardized residual scores gained by regressing the measured values of teacher expectations on the students’ achievement (Madon et al., 1997).”
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“Researchers have long explored the positive association between teacher expectations and student outcomes (Jussim & Harber, 2005; Madon et al., 1997).”
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“For the purpose of educational psychology, attention should be paid to Rosenthal and Jacobson’s (1966) original findings of the “Pygmalion in the classroom” effect and more recent replications (e.g., Madon, Jussim, & Eccles, 1997 ).”
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Gifts that keep on giving: Reflected appraisals from gifts and their role in identity and choice
Ashworth, L., Rath, S., & Robitaille, N. (2025) · Journal of Experimental Social Psychology · doi:10.1016/j.jesp.2024.104717 · Cited by 5
Kolleck, N. (2025) · Zeitschrift für Bildungsforschung · doi:10.1007/s35834-025-00498-1 · Cited by 4
“These studies align with prior research that demonstrates low teacher expectations can contribute to self-fulfilling prophecies, negatively affecting student motivation and long-term educational outcomes (Madon et al. 1997; Kolleck 2020).”
Little-Harrison, N. (2011) · Scholars Archive - University at Albany (University at Albany, State University of New York) · Cited by 4
Bildungsungleichheit durch Schul- und Schulklasseneffekte
Becker, D., & Birkelbach, K. W. (2017) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-658-15272-7_6 · Cited by 5
Zagefka, H. (2022) · American Journal of Family Therapy · doi:10.1080/01926187.2022.2084797 · Cited by 4
“In numerous domains, for example academic attainment (Madon et al., 1997) and juries within the legal system (Hill et al., 2008), it has been demonstrated that humans are prone to paying particular attention to stimuli they are expecting.”
BackgroundZitek, E. M., Malcomb, C. S., & Hager, F. (2024) · Group Processes & Intergroup Relations · doi:10.1177/13684302241284434 · Cited by 4
Schmid, E. (2022) · Norsk pedagogisk tidsskrift · doi:10.18261/npt.106.1.5 · Cited by 4
Villemain, A., & Lévèque, M. (2005) · Les cahiers internationaux de psychologie sociale · doi:10.3917/cips.066.0065 · Cited by 4
Enjeux psychosociaux du dépistage de la difficulté scolaire
Antoine, L., Desombre, C., Lachal, M., Gaillet, F., & Urban, E. (2010) · Carrefours de l éducation · doi:10.3917/cdle.029.0239 · Cited by 7
The influence of the nonverbal behaviour of examiners on children’s psychometric performances
Schiaratura, L., & Askevis-Leherpeux, F. (2007) · European Journal of Psychology of Education · doi:10.1007/bf03173430 · Cited by 4
“While some studies show that self-fulfilling prophecies are stronger among low achievers than among high ones ( Madon, Jussim, & Eccles, 1997 ), other studies conclude that low achievers show as much sensitivity as high achievers (Weinstein, 1985).”
Result
Metadata
- Authors
- Madon, S., Jussim, L., & Eccles, J.
- Affiliations
- Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey (US)
- University of Michigan (US)
- Venue
- Journal of Personality and Social Psychology
- Published
- 1997
- Volume
- 72
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 791-809
- ISSN
- 0022-3514 (ISSN-L)
- 1939-1315
- OpenAlex
- W2101860102
- Cited by
- 304
- References
- 83
- Citations by year
- 2026: 3 · 2025: 9 · 2024: 6 · 2023: 13 · 2022: 14 · 2021: 15 · 2020: 13 · 2019: 12 · 2018: 16 · 2017: 19 · 2016: 8 · 2015: 18 · 2014: 13 · 2013: 12 · 2012: 13
- FWCI
- 11.46
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Journal of Personality and Social Psychology (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- National Institutes of Health (5r29hd028401-05)
- Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (1 R29 HD28401-01A1)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Developmental and Educational Psychology › Education, Achievement, and Giftedness
- Social Sciences › Education › School Choice and Performance
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Social and Intergroup Psychology
- Keywords
- self-fulfilling prophecy, teacher expectations, teacher perceptions, achievement, low achievers, high achievers, self-concept, self-enhancement theory, sixth grade students, mathematics achievement, academic records
- MeSH terms
- Achievement, Adolescent, Adult, Child, Female, Humans, Male, Motivation, Problem Solving, Self Concept, Set, Psychology, Social Behavior, Social Perception
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