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Illusions of Competence in Monitoring One's Knowledge During Study.
Abstract
The monitoring of one's own knowledge during study suffers from an inherent discrepancy between study and test situations: Judgments of learning (JOLs) are made in the presence of information that is absent but solicited during testing. The failure to discount the effects of that information when making JOLs can instill a sense of competence during learning that proves unwarranted during testing. Using a paired-associates task, the authors examined aspects of the cue-target relationships that seemed likely contributors to such illusions of competence. These aspects have the potential to create differential strengths of a priori and a posteriori associations, that is, the probability with which a cue, when presented alone, elicits the corresponding target versus the perceived association between the cue and the target when both are present. The authors argue that the former has the greater influence on later recall, whereas the latter has the greater influence on JOLs.
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“Monitoring and control are interrelated [93,95].”
From The Metacognitive Demands and Opportunities of Generative AI (2024) · cites this paper as [93]
In the citing paper
“this pattern is consistent with well-documented illusions of competence, whereby learning experiences that feel fluent and well-supported can lead learners to overestimate their level of understanding”
From Socratic Mind: Impact of a Novel GenAI-Powered Formative Assessment Tool on Student Learning and Higher-Order Thinking (2026) · cites this paper as Koriat & Bjork, 2005
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“Koriat and Bjork (2005) found that participants who were trained by seeing a cue word together with its associated target words judge their competence to recall the target when seeing only the cue as higher than their real performance.”
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West, J. T., Kuhns, J. M., Touron, D. R., & Mulligan, N. W. (2024) · Quarterly Journal of Experimental Psychology · doi:10.1177/17470218241269322 · Cited by 1
“…are not always accurate; learners’ predictions some-times diverge from their actual memory performance in important ways, suggesting that learners are not always able to accurately monitor learning (e.g., Besken & Mulligan, 2014; Koriat & Bjork, 2005; Koriat et al., 2002; Rhodes & Castel, 2008).”
Testing the Identical Effect on Predicted and Actual Memory Through Pictorial Stimuli
Besken, M., & Filiz, G. (2025) · Experimental Psychology (formerly Zeitschrift für Experimentelle Psychologie) · doi:10.1027/1618-3169/a000646 · Cited by 1
“…to this pioneering study, numerous studies have consistently shown that as semantic relatedness increases, both actual memory performance and metacognitive memory judgments during encoding increase (i.e., Hertzog et al., 2003; Koriat & Bjork, 2005; Maxwell & Huff, 2021; 2024; Mueller et al., 2013).”
Confidence judgment in a temporal generalization task: Accuracy and sensitivity to task difficulty
Lamotte, M., Droit‐Volet, S., & Izaute, M. (2017) · L’Année psychologique · doi:10.3917/e.anpsy.173.0275 · Cited by 1
Is Latency to Test Deadline a Predictor of Student Test Performance?
Landrum, R. E., & Gurung, R. A. R. (2013) · Psychology Learning & Teaching · doi:10.2304/plat.2013.12.3.227 · Cited by 1
“Inaccurate JOLs then lead to illusions of competence (Koriat & Bjork, 2005) that could motivate students to take tests earlier than they should.”
BackgroundHjertø, K. B. (2010) · NORA - Norwegian Open Research Archives · Cited by 1
Observing an adult model can cause immediate improvement in preschoolers’ knowledge judgments
Lipko, A. R., Buchert, S., & Merriman, W. E. (2018) · Cognitive Development · doi:10.1016/j.cogdev.2018.09.003 · Cited by 1
“Although even adults tend to overestimate their knowledge or ability (Fisher & Keil, 2015; Koriat & Bjork, 2005), the frequency and magnitude of these errors tends to decline over the course of childhood (Aguiar, Stoess, & Taylor, 2012; Lyons & Ghetti, 2011).”
BackgroundThe Application of Stability Bias in Conceptual Learning
Liu, Z. (2018) · Journal of Education and Learning · doi:10.5539/jel.v8n1p43 · Cited by 1
How can Social Psychology Galvanize Teaching and Learning?
Gurung, R. A. R., & Burns, K. C. (2011) · Wiley eBooks · doi:10.1002/9781444395341.ch1 · Cited by 1
Learning styles at the crossroads of the laboratory and the classroom
Lodge, J. M., Cottrell, D. S., & Hansen, L. (2017) · Learning Research and Practice · doi:10.1080/23735082.2017.1285630 · Cited by 1
“Humans are notoriously inaccurate at evaluating their own learning progress (Koriat & Bjork, 2005).”
BackgroundEffects of Bold Key Terms on Judgments of Learning and Reading Comprehension
Roberts, A. (2016) · Cited by 1
Maxwell, N. P., & Buchanan, E. M. (2018) · OSF Preprints (OSF Preprints) · doi:10.31219/osf.io/qekad
Nijenkamp, R. (2022) · University of Groningen research database (University of Groningen / Centre for Information Technology) · doi:10.33612/diss.206277119 · Cited by 1
The illusion of competence reflected in grade predictions and utility of learning strategiesPreprint
Kang, E. (2023) · Research Square · doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-3091508/v1 · Cited by 1
Chouvalova, A., Navlekar, A. S., Mills, D. J., Adams, M., Daye, S., Anda, F. D., & Limeri, L. B. (2023) · bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) · doi:10.1101/2023.09.25.559345 · Cited by 1
People Accurately Predict the Shape of Skill Learning CurvesPreprint
Zhang, X., McDougle, S. D., & Leonard, J. (2024) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.31234/osf.io/rwuc9 · Cited by 1
How to eliminate the UWP effect in JOLs
Chen, G. (2010) · International Conference on Computational Intelligence and Natural Computing (CINC) · doi:10.1109/cinc.2010.5643866
Metadata
- Authors
- Koriat, A., & Bjork, R. A.
- Affiliations
- University of Haifa (IL)
- University of California, Los Angeles (US)
- Venue
- Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition
- Published
- 2005
- Volume
- 31
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 187-194
- ISSN
- 0278-7393 (ISSN-L)
- 1939-1285
- OpenAlex
- W2056938988
- Semantic Scholar
- 4d25bc4f205114d6026550814c8a78075728a4b5
- Cited by
- 362
- References
- 45
- Citations by year
- 2026: 28 · 2025: 21 · 2024: 19 · 2023: 15 · 2022: 13 · 2021: 15 · 2020: 14 · 2019: 25 · 2018: 18 · 2017: 26 · 2016: 19 · 2015: 18 · 2014: 9 · 2013: 24 · 2012: 20
- FWCI
- 5.27
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Journal of Experimental Psychology Learning Memory and Cognition (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Neuroscience › Cognitive Neuroscience › Memory Processes and Influences
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Developmental and Educational Psychology › Innovative Teaching and Learning Methods
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Developmental and Educational Psychology › Educational Strategies and Epistemologies
- Keywords
- judgments of learning, metacognition, self-assessment of knowledge, paired-associate learning, memory retrieval
- MeSH terms
- Cognition, Cues, Educational Measurement, Humans, Illusions, Judgment, Learning, Professional Competence, Mental Recall, Vocabulary
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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