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Individual differences in boys’ and girls’ timing and tempo of puberty: Modeling development with nonlinear growth models
Open accessAbstract
Pubertal development is a nonlinear process progressing from prepubescent beginnings through biological, physical, and psychological changes to full sexual maturity. To tether theoretical concepts of puberty with sophisticated longitudinal, analytical models capable of articulating pubertal development more accurately, we used nonlinear mixed-effects models to describe both the timing and tempo of pubertal development in the sample of 364 White boys and 373 White girls measured across 6 years as part of the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development Study of Early Child Care and Youth Development. Individual differences in timing and tempo were extracted with models of logistic growth. Differential relations emerged for how boys' and girls' timing and tempo of development were related to physical characteristics (body mass index, height, and weight) and psychological outcomes (internalizing problems, externalizing problems, and risky sexual behavior). Timing and tempo are associated in boys but not girls. Pubertal timing and tempo are particularly important for predicting psychological outcomes in girls but only sparsely related to boys' psychological outcomes. Results highlight the importance of considering the nonlinear nature of puberty and expand the repertoire of possibilities for examining important aspects of how and when pubertal processes contribute to development.
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“For example, in girls, earlier pubertal timing and more rapid pubertal tempo (relative to same-age, same-sex peers) is associated with higher rates of depressive disorders in particular, as well as substance use disorders, eating disorders, and antisocial behavior.(30–32)”
From Puberty Initiates Cascading Relationships Between Neurodevelopmental, Social, and Internalizing Processes Across Adolescence (2021) · cites this paper as [30]
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A longitudinal analysis of puberty-related cortical developmentPreprint
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Earlier pubertal timing, not tempo, links time-limited early adversity with psychopathology
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Youth Preseason Performance on the Sport Concussion Assessment Tool 5 Across Multiple Sports
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Early pubertal timing is a risk factor for adolescent dysmenorrhea
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“As noted in previous work (Marceau et al., 2011; Mendle et al., 2019), analytic approaches such as mixed-effects or growth curve models can introduce dependencies between timing and tempo, whereby early developers appear to mature more slowly simply because they have less room for further change.”
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Prenatal programming of developmental trajectories for obesity risk and early pubertal timing.
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“In this review, there were only two studies using similar pubertal modelling to our current work, in which, conflicting findings were reported for BMI measured in adolescence (Marceau et al. 2011; Mathias et al. 2016) Figure 1.”
MethodResultInfluentialGender and Personality Research in Psychology
Laher, S., Cheung, F. M., & Zeinoun, P. A. (2020) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108561716.016 · Cited by 3
Chapitre 1. La puberté : étapes du développement pubertaire et incidence psychologique
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Blooming Sexuality: A Biopsychosocial Perspective on Adolescent Romantic and Sexual Development
Baams, L. (2010) · Utrecht University Repository (Utrecht University) · Cited by 2
Adolescents flexibly adapt action selection based on controllability inferencesPreprint
Raab, H. A., Goldway, N., Foord, C., & Hartley, C. A. (2023) · doi:10.31234/osf.io/qypm6 · Cited by 1
Očuvanje okoliša i praksa zbrinjavanja otpada, prema mišljenju učenika mlađe školske dobi
Lukšić, B., Bošnjak, K., Čačić, I., & Vranić, M. (2019) · Agronomski glasnik · doi:10.33128/ag.81.1.4 · Cited by 1
Happiness across Cultures and Genders
Kim‐Prieto, C., Heye, M., & Mangino, K. (2020) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108561716.038 · Cited by 1
Women’s Leadership across Cultures
Reichard, R. J., Trainor, L. L., Jensen, K. L., & Macias‐Alonso, I. (2020) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108561716.026 · Cited by 1
Petro, N. M., Picci, G., Ott, L. R., Rempe, M. P., Embury, C. M., Penhale, S. H., Wang, Y., Stephen, J. M., Calhoun, V. D., Taylor, B. K., et al. (2023) · Imaging Neuroscience · doi:10.1162/imag_a_00062 · Cited by 1
“The specificity to girls may reflect their known earlier onset of puberty and heightened vulnerability to internalizing disorders compared to boys (Marceau et al., 2011; Salk et al., 2017).”
Kay, E., Till, K., Shand, R. A., Boyd, A. J., & Ramírez‐López, C. (2025) · Journal of Sports Sciences · doi:10.1080/02640414.2025.2536410 · Cited by 1
“…by the participants that physical characteristics are largely determined by maturation status at the age at which players are in a performance pathway, therefore may not be as important as those that are not influenced by maturation (Helsen et al., 2000; Malina, 2014; Marceau et al., 2011).”
Lytaev, S. A., Иванов, Д. О., Erkudov, V. O., & Vedeneeva, P. (2025) · Lecture notes in computer science · doi:10.1007/978-3-032-08455-2_20 · Cited by 1
Clemmensen, P. J., Brix, N., Gaml‐Sørensen, A., Thomsen, A. M. L., Benson, T. E., Ernst, A., Strandberg‐Larsen, K., & Ramlau‐Hansen, C. H. (2025) · Human Reproduction Open · doi:10.1093/hropen/hoaf072 · Cited by 1
“…to obtain individual S-shaped trajectories for the longitudinal development of genitals (boys), breasts (girls), and pubic hair (girls and boys separately) from Tanner Stage 1 (pre-pubertal stage) to Tanner Stage 5 (fully matured stage) (Marceau et al. , 2011) based on the available data points.”
Argawu, A. S., Muniswamy, B., & Punyavathi, B. (2025) · BMC Pediatrics · doi:10.1186/s12887-025-06459-x · Cited by 1
“While most longitudinal studies in low-and middle-income countries (LMICs) have concentrated on height, far fewer have examined weight, despite its sensitivity to both biological processes and environmental influences [1–3].”
Lin, L., Zhu, P., Zhou, D., Zhao, S., Pan, P., Liu, X., Yan, Z., & Dai, M. Q. (2026) · BMC Medical Imaging · doi:10.1186/s12880-026-02255-w · Cited by 1
“For instance, earlier pubertal timing has been associated with increased internalizing and externalizing problems, as well as risky sexual behaviors [17].”
Impacto da obesidade na saúde física e mental em adolescentes: Estratégias de prevenção
dos Santos, R. P., Santos, Â. M. D. B., da Silva, L. S. S., Baccaro, G. C., Rocha, J. R. C., Souza, C. A. O., Andrade, C. M., Pereira, L. D., Pereira, L. D., de Albuquerque, M. M., et al. (2026) · Research Society and Development · doi:10.33448/rsd-v15i3.50604 · Cited by 1
Siroux, J., Moore, H., Lonjou, P., Gaucherot, A., Beraud, D., Boirie, Y., Isacco, L., & Thivel, D. (2026) · International Journal of Obesity · doi:10.1038/s41366-026-02048-9 · Cited by 1
“Taken together, these fi ndings call for standardized studies that take into account the importance of inter-individual variability, and maturation, and hence consider individualized factors to draw weight loss trajectories and follow-up.”
Liu, X., Zhang, Y., Zeng, J., Lu, Z., & Liu, Y. (2026) · Journal of Youth and Adolescence · doi:10.1007/s10964-026-02337-6 · Cited by 1
“In addition, early and middle adolescence are not homogeneous developmental stages (Marceau et al., 2011).”
Sørensen, L., Kvadsheim, E., Koenig, J., Thayer, J., Williams, D. P., MacDonald, H. J., McCardle, R. D., Wollschlaeger, D., Fasmer, O. B., & Osnes, B. (2026) · Biology of Sex Differences · doi:10.1186/s13293-026-00904-x · Cited by 1
“Because adolescence typically ends around age 19 [66], with pubertal maturation occurring somewhat earlier [67], one would expect HRV sex differences to reverse in early adulthood—favoring females.”
Benson, T. E., Gaml‐Sørensen, A., Clemmensen, P. J., Thomsen, A. M. L., Torvik, F. A., Büyükkeçeci, Z., Myrskylä, M., Strandberg‐Larsen, K., & Ramlau‐Hansen, C. H. (2026) · Journal of Affective Disorders · doi:10.1016/j.jad.2026.122020 · Cited by 1
Dinkelbach, L., Serio, B., Valk, S., Weisner, F. E., Bläschke, L. M., Peters, T., Hinney, A., Schmidt, B., & Hirtz, R. (2026) · Journal of Child Psychology and Psychiatry · doi:10.1111/jcpp.70220 · Cited by 1
Witten, T. M. (2013) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-1-4614-7282-7_19 · Cited by 1
The effect of stimulus variability on children's judgements of quantity
Altoè, G., & Agnoli, F. (2013) · Journal of Cognitive Psychology · doi:10.1080/20445911.2013.801485 · Cited by 1
Brewer, M. D., & Stonecash, J. M. (2015) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/acprof:oso/9780190239817.003.0005 · Cited by 1
Gender and Adolescent Development across Cultures
Qu, Y., Zhang, S., Kalindi, S. C., Yang, B., & Wang, Q. (2020) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108561716.010 · Cited by 1
Sex and Gender in Psychopathology
Lefler, E. K., & Hartung, C. M. (2020) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108561716.043 · Cited by 1
Externalizing problems among Kosovar adolescents: pubertal correlates in girls and boys
Krasniqi, E., Vazsonyi, A. T., & Cakirpaloglu, P. (2023) · International Journal of Adolescence and Youth · doi:10.1080/02673843.2023.2286249 · Cited by 1
“Research provides evidence that BMI is positively associated with earlier onset and timing of sexual maturation among girls (Biro et al., 2018; Juul et al., 2006; Lee et al., 2007; Rosenfield et al., 2009) and boys (Marceau et al., 2011).”
Panidi, I., Bogdanis, G. C., Donti, A., Gaspari, V., Kanna, D., Terzis, G. D., & Donti, Ο. (2025) · Children · doi:10.3390/children12101415 · Cited by 1
Metadata
- Authors
- Marceau, K., Ram, N., Houts, R. M., Grimm, K. J., & Susman, E. J.
- Affiliations
- Duke University (US)
- University of California, Davis (US)
- Pennsylvania State University (US)
- Venue
- Developmental Psychology
- Published
- 2011-09
- Volume
- 47
- Issue
- 5
- Pages
- 1389-1409
- ISSN
- 0012-1649 (ISSN-L)
- 1939-0599
- PMC
- PMC3928626
- OpenAlex
- W1967329472
- Cited by
- 389
- References
- 82
- Citations by year
- 2026: 31 · 2025: 36 · 2024: 18 · 2023: 39 · 2022: 29 · 2021: 23 · 2020: 74 · 2019: 32 · 2018: 27 · 2017: 7 · 2016: 10 · 2015: 17 · 2014: 22 · 2013: 12 · 2012: 7
- FWCI
- 15.51
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- europepmc.org
- Locations
- Developmental Psychology (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (acceptedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- Funders
- Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (cooperative agreement 5U10HD025460-18; 5U10HD025447-18; 5U10HD025420-19; 5U10HD025456-18; 5U10HD025445-19; 5U01HD033343-14; 5U10HD025451-19; 5U10HD025430-18; 5U10HD025449-18; 5U10HD027040-18; 5U10HD025455-18)
- National Institute of Mental Health (MH077874-04)
- National Institute on Aging (RC1-AG035645)
- National Science Foundation (DRL-0815787)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Reproductive Medicine › Hypothalamic control of reproductive hormones
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Clinical Psychology › Child and Adolescent Psychosocial and Emotional Development
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Adolescent Sexual and Reproductive Health
- Keywords
- pubertal timing, pubertal tempo, pubertal development, individual differences, sex differences, nonlinear growth models, logistic growth, body mass index, internalizing problems, externalizing problems, sexual risk behavior, longitudinal development
- MeSH terms
- Adolescent, Psychology, Adolescent, Anthropometry, Child, Female, Humans, Individuality, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Models, Biological, Predictive Value of Tests, Puberty, Sexual Behavior, Sex Characteristics, Logistic Models, Nonlinear Dynamics, Adolescent Development
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