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Individual differences in boys’ and girls’ timing and tempo of puberty: Modeling development with nonlinear growth models
Open accessAbstract
Pubertal development is a nonlinear process progressing from prepubescent beginnings through biological, physical, and psychological changes to full sexual maturity. To tether theoretical concepts of puberty with sophisticated longitudinal, analytical models capable of articulating pubertal development more accurately, we used nonlinear mixed-effects models to describe both the timing and tempo of pubertal development in the sample of 364 White boys and 373 White girls measured across 6 years as part of the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development Study of Early Child Care and Youth Development. Individual differences in timing and tempo were extracted with models of logistic growth. Differential relations emerged for how boys' and girls' timing and tempo of development were related to physical characteristics (body mass index, height, and weight) and psychological outcomes (internalizing problems, externalizing problems, and risky sexual behavior). Timing and tempo are associated in boys but not girls. Pubertal timing and tempo are particularly important for predicting psychological outcomes in girls but only sparsely related to boys' psychological outcomes. Results highlight the importance of considering the nonlinear nature of puberty and expand the repertoire of possibilities for examining important aspects of how and when pubertal processes contribute to development.
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“For example, in girls, earlier pubertal timing and more rapid pubertal tempo (relative to same-age, same-sex peers) is associated with higher rates of depressive disorders in particular, as well as substance use disorders, eating disorders, and antisocial behavior.(30–32)”
From Puberty Initiates Cascading Relationships Between Neurodevelopmental, Social, and Internalizing Processes Across Adolescence (2021) · cites this paper as [30]
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“…related to physical characteristics, including height (e.g., Belsky et al., 2007; Huang, Biro, & Dorn, 2009; Li et al., 2009; Llop-Viñolas et al., 2004), weight (e.g., Tanner-Smith, 2010), and body mass index (BMI; e.g., Davison, Susman, & Birch, 2003; He & Karlberg, 2001; Huang et al., 2009).”
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Graber, J. A., Seeley, J. R., Jeanne Brooks-gunn, B., & Lewinsohn, P. M. (2004) · Journal of the American Academy of Child & Adolescent Psychiatry · doi:10.1097/01.chi.0000120022.14101.11 · Cited by 418 · cited 2×
“The findings for timing of puberty were consistent with past research on earlier timing and behavior problems in girls (Angold, 2003; Caspi et al., 2003; Ge et al., 2003; Graber et al., 2004; Hayward et al., 1997).”
BackgroundResultThe Role of Coding Time in Estimating and Interpreting Growth Curve Models.
Biesanz, J. C., Deeb‐Sossa, N., Papadakis, A. A., Bollen, K. A., & Curran, P. J. (2004) · Psychological Methods · doi:10.1037/1082-989x.9.1.30 · Cited by 375 · cited 5×
“Similarly, Pantsiotou et al. (2008) found that girls who entered Tanner Stage 2 at an earlier age (earlier timing) tended to reach menarche more quickly (fewer years between onset and menarche, a faster tempo). Investigations of pubertal development in relation to height also indirectly suggest a negative relation bet…”
BackgroundMethodResultInfluentialHormones, Emotional Dispositions, and Aggressive Attributes in Young Adolescents
Susman, E. J., Inoff‐Germain, G., Nottelmann, E. D., Loriaux, D. L., Cutler, G. B., & Chrousos, G. P. (1987) · Child Development · doi:10.1111/j.1467-8624.1987.tb01445.x · Cited by 362 · cited 1×
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BackgroundBest methods for the analysis of change: Recent advances, unanswered questions, future directions.
Collins, L. M., & American Psychological Association (1991) · American Psychological Association eBooks · doi:10.1037/10099-000 · Cited by 337
Percent Body Fat at Age 5 Predicts Earlier Pubertal Development Among Girls at Age 9
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“As expected, and in line with previous studies (e.g., Davison et al., 2003), our pattern of results indicated that timing of pubertal development was related to degree of physical maturation in both boys and girls.”
ResultNonlinear Growth Curves in Developmental Research
Grimm, K. J., Ram, N., & Hamagami, F. (2011) · Child Development · doi:10.1111/j.1467-8624.2011.01630.x · Cited by 319
Pubertal timing, sexual behaviour and self‐reported depression in middle adolescence
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Growth Curve Analysis in Contemporary Psychological Research
Mcardle, J., & Nesselroade, J. (2003) · Handbook of Psychology · doi:10.1002/0471264385.wei0218 · Cited by 298 · cited 1×
“Mixed-effects and growth curve models have become the main methods used for describing individual differences in intraindividual change (Duncan, Duncan, Stryker, Li, & Alpert, 1999; McArdle, 2009; McArdle & Nesselroade, 2003; Preacher, Wichman, MacCallum, & Briggs, 2008; Singer & Willett, 2003).”
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“Making use of a logistic growth function (see Grimm & Ram, 2009a; Ram & Grimm, 2007), we estimated when adolescents entered Tanner Stage 3 and how quickly individuals were changing at Tanner Stage 3 for each measure of secondary sex characteristics (i.e., breast development for girls, genital…”
BackgroundMethodInfluentialSelf-citationFamily Rearing Antecedents of Pubertal Timing
Belsky, J., Steinberg, L. D., Houts, R., Friedman, S. L., DeHart, G. B., Cauffman, E. E., Roisman, G. I., Halpern‐Felsher, B. L., & Susman, E. J. (2007) · Child Development · doi:10.1111/j.1467-8624.2007.01067.x · Cited by 283 · cited 1×
“Timing of puberty has been related to physical characteristics, including height (e.g., Belsky et al., 2007; Huang, Biro, & Dorn, 2009; Li et al., 2009; Llop-Viñolas et al., 2004), weight (e.g., Tanner-Smith, 2010), and body mass index (BMI; e.g., Davison, Susman, & Birch, 2003; He & Karlberg,…”
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Biro, F. M., McMahon, R. P., Striegel‐Moore, R. H., Crawford, P. B., Obarzanek, E., Morrison, J. A., BARTON, B. A., & Falkner, F. (2001) · The Journal of Pediatrics · doi:10.1067/mpd.2001.114476 · Cited by 276 · cited 3×
“Most prominently, these changes were systematically described by Tanner and colleagues (Marshall & Tanner, 1969, 1970; Tanner, 1962) and more recently elaborated by Biro et al. (2001).”
BackgroundResultBody image, perceived pubertal timing, and adolescent mental health
Siegel, J. M., Yancey, A. K., Aneshensel, C. S., & Schuler, R. (1999) · Journal of Adolescent Health · doi:10.1016/s1054-139x(98)00160-8 · Cited by 264
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“…and externalizing problems) for both boys and girls (e.g., Beaver & Wright, 2005; Ge et al., 2006, 2002; Graber et al., 1997; Graber, Seeley, Brooks-Gunn, & Lewinsohn, 2004; Negriff & Susman, 2011; Negriff & Trickett, 2010; Siegel, Yancey, Aneshensel, & Schuler, 1999; Susman et al., 2007).”
BackgroundSelf-citationHandbook of adolescent psychology
Adelson, J. (1980) · Wiley eBooks · Cited by 237
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Normal ages of pubertal events among American males and females
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“This finding of earlier pubertal timing for girls replicates previous work (Lee, 1980; Susman, Houts, et al., 2010; Wheeler, 1991).”
ResultPubertal Maturation and African American Children’s Internalizing and Externalizing Symptoms
Ge, X., Brody, G. H., Conger, R. D., & Simons, R. L. (2006) · Journal of Youth and Adolescence · doi:10.1007/s10964-006-9046-5 · Cited by 224 · cited 1×
“…is associated with negative outcomes (mainly internalizing and externalizing problems) for both boys and girls (e.g., Beaver & Wright, 2005; Ge et al., 2006, 2002; Graber et al., 1997; Graber, Seeley, Brooks-Gunn, & Lewinsohn, 2004; Negriff & Susman, 2011; Negriff & Trickett, 2010; Siegel,…”
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“The findings for timing of puberty were consistent with past research on earlier timing and behavior problems in girls (Angold, 2003; Caspi et al., 2003; Ge et al., 2003; Graber et al., 2004; Hayward et al., 1997).”
BackgroundResultMultivariate Analysis: Future Directions 2
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Serum androgenic hormones motivate sexual behavior in adolescent boys
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Psychiatric risk associated with early puberty in adolescent girls.
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“…and externalizing problems) for both boys and girls (e.g., Beaver & Wright, 2005; Ge et al., 2006, 2002; Graber et al., 1997; Graber, Seeley, Brooks-Gunn, & Lewinsohn, 2004; Negriff & Susman, 2011; Negriff & Trickett, 2010; Siegel, Yancey, Aneshensel, & Schuler, 1999; Susman et al., 2007).”
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“This finding of earlier pubertal timing for girls replicates previous work (Lee, 1980; Susman, Houts, et al., 2010; Wheeler, 1991).”
ResultBiosocial foundations for adolescent female sexuality
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Estimating Individual Developmental Functions: Methods and Their Assumptions
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MethodThe duration of puberty in girls is related to the timing of its onset
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“For example, Llop-Viñolas et al. (2004) reported that girls who entered puberty earlier (and thus were shorter upon entry) grew more quickly, making up the difference in height by the end of puberty (see also Apter & Vihko, 1985; Martı́-Henneberg & Vizmanos, 1997).”
BackgroundSusman, E., Houts, R., Steinberg, L., Belsky, J., Cauffman, E., Dehart, G., Friedman, S., Roisman, G. I., & Halpern-Felsher, B. (2010) · Archives of Pediatrics & Adolescent Medicine · doi:10.1001/archpediatrics.2009.261 · Cited by 174
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Nonlinear Growth Models in Mplusand SAS
Grimm, K. J., & Ram, N. (2009) · Structural Equation Modeling A Multidisciplinary Journal · doi:10.1080/10705510903206055 · Cited by 158
Blyth, D. A., Simmons, R. G., & Zakin, D. F. (1985) · Journal of Youth and Adolescence · doi:10.1007/bf02090319 · Cited by 138
Structured latent curve models
Browne, M. W. (1993) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-0-444-81531-6.50016-7 · Cited by 111 · cited 2×
“…flexible, allowing for representation of many different types of change processes and configurations of interindividual differences (Blozis, 2004; Browne, 1993; Browne & Du Toit, 1991; Choi, Harring, & Hancock, 2009; Grimm & Ram, 2009a, 2009b; Grimm, Ram, & Hamagami, in press; Laird & Ware,…”
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PREMENARCHEAL ENDOCRINE CHANGES IN RELATION TO AGE AT MENARCHE
Apter, D. L., & Vihko, R. (1985) · Clinical Endocrinology · doi:10.1111/j.1365-2265.1985.tb00165.x · Cited by 95 · cited 2×
“Apter and Vihko (1985) reported that girls who started puberty earlier also tended to reach menarche faster, suggesting a negative relation between timing and tempo (e.g., early onset with faster growth).”
BackgroundSusman, E. J., Dockray, S., Granger, D. A., Blades, K. T., Randazzo, W. T., Heaton, J. A., & Dorn, L. D. (2009) · Psychoneuroendocrinology · doi:10.1016/j.psyneuen.2009.09.004 · Cited by 95
Mood and Behavior at Adolescence: Evidence for Hormonal Factors*
Warren, M. P., & Jeanne Brooks-gunn, B. (1989) · The Journal of Clinical Endocrinology & Metabolism · doi:10.1210/jcem-69-1-77 · Cited by 86 · cited 1×
“In the current analysis, we make use of height and weight measurements obtained at the age 12.5 assessment, as this is the assessment nearest in time to the typical growth spurt associated with puberty (e.g., Warren & Brooks-Gunn, 1989).”
MethodInfluentialGenetic and Environmental Influences on the Relative Timing of Pubertal Change
Eaves, L. J., Silberg, J. L., Foley, D. L., Bulik, C. M., MAES, H. H. M., Erkanli, A., Angold, A. C., Costello, E. J., & Worthman, C. M. (2004) · Twin Research · doi:10.1375/1369052042335278 · Cited by 86 · cited 3×
“Because pubertal tempo varies across development as indicated in the present study and others (e.g., Eaves et al., 2004; Marshall & Tanner, 1969, 1970; Susman, Houts, et al., 2010; Tanner, 1971), we may find the association between the timing and tempo of puberty changes across development.”
BackgroundBiosocial Development and Delinquent Involvement
Beaver, K. M., & WRIGHT, J. P. (2005) · Youth Violence and Juvenile Justice · doi:10.1177/1541204004273318 · Cited by 84 · cited 1×
“…report that early maturation is associated with negative outcomes (mainly internalizing and externalizing problems) for both boys and girls (e.g., Beaver & Wright, 2005; Ge et al., 2006, 2002; Graber et al., 1997; Graber, Seeley, Brooks-Gunn, & Lewinsohn, 2004; Negriff & Susman, 2011; Negriff &…”
BackgroundA Second-Order Growth Mixture Model for Developmental Research
Grimm, K. J., & Ram, N. (2009) · Research in Human Development · doi:10.1080/15427600902911221 · Cited by 83
Structured Latent Curve Models for the Study of Change in Multivariate Repeated Measures.
Blozis, S. A. (2004) · Psychological Methods · doi:10.1037/1082-989x.9.3.334 · Cited by 83 · cited 1×
“…is extremely flexible, allowing for representation of many different types of change processes and configurations of interindividual differences (Blozis, 2004; Browne, 1993; Browne & Du Toit, 1991; Choi, Harring, & Hancock, 2009; Grimm & Ram, 2009a, 2009b; Grimm, Ram, & Hamagami, in press;…”
BackgroundMaturational tempo differences in relation to the timing of the onset of puberty in girls
Pantsiotou, S., Papadimitriou, A., Douros, K., Priftis, K. Ν., Nicolaidou, P., & Fretzayas, A. (2008) · Acta Paediatrica · doi:10.1111/j.1651-2227.2007.00598.x · Cited by 77 · cited 2×
“These findings are inconsistent with Pantsiotou et al. (2008), who reported an inverse relation between onset of puberty and time to peak height velocity; Biro et al. (2001), who showed an inverse relation between timing and menarche in girls; and Mendle et al. (2010), who showed an inverse…”
ResultDepressive symptomatology among very early maturing girls
Rierdan, J. E., & Koff, E. (1991) · Journal of Youth and Adolescence · doi:10.1007/bf01537183 · Cited by 66 · cited 1×
“However, other studies have reported that earlier maturation is unrelated to risky behaviors (i.e., delinquency) or may even serve as a protective factor against risky behavior in boys (e.g., Hayward et al., 1997; Kaplowitz, 2004; Rierdan & Koff, 1991; Stattin & Magnusson, 1990).”
BackgroundHuang, B., Biro, F. M., & Dorn, L. D. (2009) · Journal of Adolescent Health · doi:10.1016/j.jadohealth.2009.02.013 · Cited by 60 · cited 2×
“However, these findings are consistent with Huang et al. (2009), who showed no relation between timing of puberty and peak height velocity in girls.”
ResultNonlinear Structured Growth Mixture Models in Mplusand OpenMx
Grimm, K. J., Ram, N., & Estabrook, R. (2010) · Multivariate Behavioral Research · doi:10.1080/00273171.2010.531230 · Cited by 59
Llop-Viñolas, D., Vizmanos-Lamotte, B., Monasterolo, R. C., Subías, J. E., Fernandez-Ballart, J. D., & Martí-Henneberg, C. (2004) · Acta Paediatrica · doi:10.1111/j.1651-2227.2004.tb02683.x · Cited by 53 · cited 3×
“For example, Llop-Viñolas et al. (2004) examined tempo, operationalized as the number of years it took girls to progress from Tanner breast development Stage 2 to menarche.”
BackgroundFinkelstein, J. W., Susman, E. J., Chinchilli, V. M., D’Arcangelo, M. R., Kunselman, S. J., Schwab, J., Demers, L. M., Liben, L. S., & Kulin, H. E. (1998) · The Journal of Clinical Endocrinology & Metabolism · doi:10.1210/jcem.83.7.4961 · Cited by 48 · cited 1×
“But in both animal and human model studies, increases in testosterone and estrogen are known to increase interest in sexual activities (Finkelstein et al., 1998).”
BackgroundFinkelstein, J. W. (1998) · The Journal of Clinical Endocrinology & Metabolism · doi:10.1210/jc.83.7.2281 · Cited by 43
Early Influences on the Tempo of Puberty
van Weissenbruch, M. M., & de Waal, H. A. D. (2006) · Hormone Research in Paediatrics · doi:10.1159/000091514 · Cited by 41 · cited 1×
“Tempo may be influenced by different factors, such as prenatal growth (van Weissenbruch & Delemarre-van de Waal, 2006).”
BackgroundAdolescent depression, cortisol and DHEA
Angold, A. C. (2003) · Psychological Medicine · doi:10.1017/s003329170300775x · Cited by 41
Rovine, M. J., & Molenaar, P. C. M. (1998) · UvA-DARE (University of Amsterdam) · doi:10.23668/psycharchives.12738 · Cited by 37
Negriff, S. L., & Trickett, P. K. (2009) · The Journal of Early Adolescence · doi:10.1177/0272431609338180 · Cited by 33 · cited 1×
“…and externalizing problems) for both boys and girls (e.g., Beaver & Wright, 2005; Ge et al., 2006, 2002; Graber et al., 1997; Graber, Seeley, Brooks-Gunn, & Lewinsohn, 2004; Negriff & Susman, 2011; Negriff & Trickett, 2010; Siegel, Yancey, Aneshensel, & Schuler, 1999; Susman et al., 2007).”
Latent Growth Modeling for Logistic Response Functions
Choi, J., Harring, J. R., & Hancock, G. R. (2009) · Multivariate Behavioral Research · doi:10.1080/00273170903187657 · Cited by 29
The role of pubertal progress in the development of depression in early adolescence
Laitinen-Krispijn, S., van der Ende, J., & Verhulst, F. C. (1999) · Journal of Affective Disorders · doi:10.1016/s0165-0327(98)00166-9 · Cited by 29
Tanner‐Smith, E. E. (2009) · Journal of Youth and Adolescence · doi:10.1007/s10964-009-9489-6 · Cited by 21 · cited 1×
“…related to physical characteristics, including height (e.g., Belsky et al., 2007; Huang, Biro, & Dorn, 2009; Li et al., 2009; Llop-Viñolas et al., 2004), weight (e.g., Tanner-Smith, 2010), and body mass index (BMI; e.g., Davison, Susman, & Birch, 2003; He & Karlberg, 2001; Huang et al., 2009).”
Precocious Puberty: Update on Secular Trends, Definitions, Diagnosis, and Treatment
Kaplowitz, P. B. (2004) · Advances in Pediatrics · doi:10.1016/s0065-3101(23)00035-x · Cited by 20 · cited 1×
“However, other studies have reported that earlier maturation is unrelated to risky behaviors (i.e., delinquency) or may even serve as a protective factor against risky behavior in boys (e.g., Hayward et al., 1997; Kaplowitz, 2004; Rierdan & Koff, 1991; Stattin & Magnusson, 1990).”
BackgroundAssessment of Sexual Maturity Stages in Girls and Boys
(2021) · American Academy of Pediatrics eBooks · doi:10.1542/9781581105735 · Cited by 18
Ge, X., Brody, G. H., Conger, R. D., Simons, R. L., & Murry, V. M. (2002) · Developmental Psychology · doi:10.1037//0012-1649.38.1.42 · Cited by 10
[Longitudinal study of the pattern of pubertal development in Cantonese schoolgirls].
Li, Y., Ma, H., Chen, H.-S., Su, Z., Gu, Y., & Du, M. (2009) · PubMed · Cited by 4
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Cited by
Sorted by citations
Pfeifer, J. H., & Allen, N. B. (2021) · Biological Psychiatry · doi:10.1016/j.biopsych.2020.09.002 · Cited by 411
Puberty and the human brain: insights into adolescent development
Vijayakumar, N., Op de Macks, Z., Shirtcliff, E. A., & Pfeifer, J. H. (2018) · Neuroscience & Biobehavioral Reviews · doi:10.1016/j.neubiorev.2018.06.004 · Cited by 437
Clinical Management of Congenital Hypogonadotropic Hypogonadism
Young, J., Xu, C., Papadakis, G. E., Acierno, J. S., Maione, L., Hietamäki, J., Raivio, T., & Pitteloud, N. (2019) · Endocrine Reviews · doi:10.1210/er.2018-00116 · Cited by 425
Sumner, J. A., Colich, N. L., Uddin, M., Armstrong, D., & McLaughlin, K. A. (2019) · Biological Psychiatry · doi:10.1016/j.biopsych.2018.09.008 · Cited by 315
“Additionally, the onset of puberty is a reliable marker of maturation in youths that exhibits significant variation regarding age at onset and pace of progression (14).”
Ullsperger, J. M., & Nikolas, M. A. (2017) · Psychological Bulletin · doi:10.1037/bul0000106 · Cited by 293
“Additionally, the pace of developmental maturation during puberty, termed pubertal tempo, has also been explored as a possible potentiator for psychopathology (Keenan et al., 2014; Marceau et al., 2011), an effect which may also vary by sex (Mendle et al., 2010).”
Background
Metadata
- Authors
- Marceau, K., Ram, N., Houts, R. M., Grimm, K. J., & Susman, E. J.
- Affiliations
- Duke University (US)
- University of California, Davis (US)
- Pennsylvania State University (US)
- Venue
- Developmental Psychology
- Published
- 2011-09
- Volume
- 47
- Issue
- 5
- Pages
- 1389-1409
- ISSN
- 0012-1649 (ISSN-L)
- 1939-0599
- PMC
- PMC3928626
- OpenAlex
- W1967329472
- Cited by
- 389
- References
- 82
- Citations by year
- 2026: 31 · 2025: 36 · 2024: 18 · 2023: 39 · 2022: 29 · 2021: 23 · 2020: 74 · 2019: 32 · 2018: 27 · 2017: 7 · 2016: 10 · 2015: 17 · 2014: 22 · 2013: 12 · 2012: 7
- FWCI
- 15.51
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- europepmc.org
- Locations
- Developmental Psychology (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (acceptedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- Funders
- Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (cooperative agreement 5U10HD025460-18; 5U10HD025447-18; 5U10HD025420-19; 5U10HD025456-18; 5U10HD025445-19; 5U01HD033343-14; 5U10HD025451-19; 5U10HD025430-18; 5U10HD025449-18; 5U10HD027040-18; 5U10HD025455-18)
- National Institute of Mental Health (MH077874-04)
- National Institute on Aging (RC1-AG035645)
- National Science Foundation (DRL-0815787)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Reproductive Medicine › Hypothalamic control of reproductive hormones
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Clinical Psychology › Child and Adolescent Psychosocial and Emotional Development
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Adolescent Sexual and Reproductive Health
- Keywords
- pubertal timing, pubertal tempo, pubertal development, individual differences, sex differences, nonlinear growth models, logistic growth, body mass index, internalizing problems, externalizing problems, sexual risk behavior, longitudinal development
- MeSH terms
- Adolescent, Psychology, Adolescent, Anthropometry, Child, Female, Humans, Individuality, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Models, Biological, Predictive Value of Tests, Puberty, Sexual Behavior, Sex Characteristics, Logistic Models, Nonlinear Dynamics, Adolescent Development
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