The DOI matches its Crossref record; 68 of the 68 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Climate change reduces extent of temperate drylands and intensifies drought in deep soils
Open accessAbstract
Drylands cover 40% of the global terrestrial surface and provide important ecosystem services. While drylands as a whole are expected to increase in extent and aridity in coming decades, temperature and precipitation forecasts vary by latitude and geographic region suggesting different trajectories for tropical, subtropical, and temperate drylands. Uncertainty in the future of tropical and subtropical drylands is well constrained, whereas soil moisture and ecological droughts, which drive vegetation productivity and composition, remain poorly understood in temperate drylands. Here we show that, over the twenty first century, temperate drylands may contract by a third, primarily converting to subtropical drylands, and that deep soil layers could be increasingly dry during the growing season. These changes imply major shifts in vegetation and ecosystem service delivery. Our results illustrate the importance of appropriate drought measures and, as a global study that focuses on temperate drylands, highlight a distinct fate for these highly populated areas.
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design
Taylor, K. E., Stouffer, R. J., & Meehl, G. A. (2012) · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · doi:10.1175/bams-d-11-00094.1 · Cited by 14,052
Allen, C. D., Macalady, A. K., Chenchouni, H., Bachelet, D., McDowell, N., Vennetier, M., Kitzberger, T., Rigling, A., Breshears, D. D., Hogg, E. H. (., et al. (2010) · Forest Ecology and Management · doi:10.1016/j.foreco.2009.09.001 · Cited by 7,763
Natural evaporation from open water, bare soil and grass
Penman, H. L. (1948) · Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. Series A. Mathematical and Physical Sciences · doi:10.1098/rspa.1948.0037 · Cited by 7,307
The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment
Moss, R. H., Edmonds, J. A., Hibbard, K. A., Manning, M. R., Rose, S. K., van Vuuren, D. P., Carter, T. R., Emori, S., Kainuma, M., Kram, T., et al. (2010) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature08823 · Cited by 6,467
The NCEP Climate Forecast System Reanalysis
Saha, S., Moorthi, S., Pan, H.-L., Wu, X., Wang, J., Nadiga, S., Tripp, P., Kistler, R., Woollen, J., Behringer, D., et al. (2010) · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · doi:10.1175/2010bams3001.1 · Cited by 5,136
Increasing drought under global warming in observations and models
Dai, A. (2013) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate1633 · Cited by 4,762
Global warming and changes in drought
Trenberth, K. E., Dai, A., van der Schrier, G., Jones, P. D., Barichivich, J., Briffa, K. R., & Sheffield, J. (2014) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate2067 · Cited by 3,382 · cited 4×
“Model projections largely agree, however, that drylands will likely continue to expand during the twenty first century 1–3, 5, 10 due to This uncertainty is especially complicated for soil moisture availability, which is dictated by the combination of weather, vegetation, soil and landscape…”
InfluentialA global analysis of root distributions for terrestrial biomes
Jackson, R. B., Canadell, J., Ehleringer, J. R., Mooney, H. A., Sala, O. E., & Schulze, E. D. (1996) · Oecologia · doi:10.1007/bf00333714 · Cited by 3,071
Accelerated dryland expansion under climate change
Huang, J., Yu, H., Guan, X., Wang, G., & Guo, R. (2016) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate2837 · Cited by 2,635
Guidelines for predicting crop water requirements
Doorenbos, J. (1977) · Medical Entomology and Zoology · Cited by 2,217
Cited by
Multifaceted characteristics of dryland aridity changes in a warming world
Lian, X., Piao, S., Chen, A., Huntingford, C., Fu, B., Li, L. Z. X., Huang, J., Sheffield, J., Berg, A. M., Keenan, T. F., et al. (2021) · Nature Reviews Earth & Environment · doi:10.1038/s43017-021-00144-0 · Cited by 709
Dryland changes under different levels of global warming
Koutroulis, A. G. (2019) · Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.11.215 · Cited by 294
Duniway, M. C., Pfennigwerth, A. A., Fick, S. E., Nauman, T. W., Belnap, J., & Barger, N. N. (2019) · Ecosphere · doi:10.1002/ecs2.2650 · Cited by 293
Self-citationClimate change, drought, land degradation and migration: exploring the linkages
Hermans, K., & McLeman, R. (2021) · Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability · doi:10.1016/j.cosust.2021.04.013 · Cited by 242
The structure of a hibernating ribosome in a Lyme disease pathogen
(2023) · doi:10.1101/2023.04.16.537070 · Cited by 1
Metadata
- Authors
- Schlaepfer, D. R., Bradford, J. B., Lauenroth, W. K., Munson, S. M., Tietjen, B., Hall, S. A., Wilson, S. D., Duniway, M. C., Jia, G., Pyke, D. A., Lkhagva, A., & Jamiyansharav, K.
- Venue
- Nature Communications
- Published
- 2017-01-31
- Volume
- 8
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 14196-14196
- ISSN
- 2041-1723 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2585496189
- Cited by
- 386
- References
- 68
- FWCI
- 21.29
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
How to cite
Cite CoChat for the checks on this page, and the paper for its own findings.
- This page
- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Climate change reduces extent of temperate drylands and intensifies drought in deep soils. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1038/ncomms14196
- The paper
- Schlaepfer, D. R., Bradford, J. B., Lauenroth, W. K., Munson, S. M., Tietjen, B., Hall, S. A., Wilson, S. D., Duniway, M. C., Jia, G., Pyke, D. A., Lkhagva, A., & Jamiyansharav, K. (2017). Climate change reduces extent of temperate drylands and intensifies drought in deep soils. Nature Communications. https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms14196
Data sources
Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
