Cited by 1,178Integrated Energy Systems OptimizationClimate Change Policy and EconomicsGlobal Energy and Sustainability Research

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 49 of the 49 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.

A low energy demand scenario for meeting the 1.5 °C target and sustainable development goals without negative emission technologies

Open access

Grubler, Arnulf, Wilson, Charlie, Bento, Nuno, Boza-Kiss, Benigna, Krey, Volker, McCollum, David L., Rao, Narasimha D., Riahi, Keywan, Rogelj, Joeri, De Stercke, Simon, Cullen, Jonathan, Frank, Stefan, Fricko, Oliver, Guo, Fei, Gidden, Matt, Havlík, Petr, Huppmann, Daniel, Kiesewetter, Gregor, Rafaj, Peter, Schoepp, Wolfgang, Valin, Hugo·2018·Nature Energy

DOI 10.1038/s41560-018-0172-6

Open this paper in CoChat — free account Open PDF

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1038/s41560-018-0172-6

Cites

49 of 49 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Claims the paper makes

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

The self-check needs the paper’s full text.

The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview
Riahi, K., van Vuuren, D. P., Kriegler, E., Edmonds, J., O’Neill, B. C., Fujimori, S., Bauer, N., Calvin, K., Dellink, R., Fricko, O., et al. (2017) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.009 · Cited by 6,607
Self-citation
The roads ahead: Narratives for shared socioeconomic pathways describing world futures in the 21st century
O’Neill, B. C., Kriegler, E., Ebi, K. L., Kemp-Benedict, E., Riahi, K., Rothman, D. S., van Ruijven, B. J., van Vuuren, D. P., Birkmann, J., Kok, K., et al. (2017) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.01.004 · Cited by 3,359
Self-citation
Greenhouse-gas emission targets for limiting global warming to 2 °C
Meinshausen, M., Meinshausen, N., Hare, W., Raper, S. C. B., Frieler, K., Knutti, R., Frame, D. J., & Allen, M. R. (2009) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature08017 · Cited by 2,775
Biophysical and economic limits to negative CO2 emissions
Smith, P., Davis, S. J., Creutzig, F., Fuss, S., Minx, J., Gabrielle, B., Kato, E., Jackson, R. B., Cowie, A., Kriegler, E., et al. (2016) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate2870 · Cited by 1,440
Self-citation
Carbon lock-in: types, causes, and policy implications
Seto, K. C., Davis, S. J., Mitchell, R. B., Stokes, E. C., Unruh, G., & Ürge-Vorsatz, D. (2016) · Annual Review of Environment and Resources · doi:10.1146/annurev-environ-110615-085934 · Cited by 1,346
Scenarios towards limiting global mean temperature increase below 1.5 °C
Rogelj, J., Popp, A., Calvin, K. V., Luderer, G., Emmerling, J., Gernaat, D., Fujimori, S., Strefler, J., Hasegawa, T., Marangoni, G., et al. (2018) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0091-3 · Cited by 1,341
Self-citation
The human core of the shared socioeconomic pathways: Population scenarios by age, sex and level of education for all countries to 2100
KC, S., & Lutz, W. (2017) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2014.06.004 · Cited by 1,337
Scenarios of long-term socio-economic and environmental development under climate stabilization
Riahi, K., Grübler, A., & Nakićenović, N. (2006) · Technological Forecasting and Social Change · doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2006.05.026 · Cited by 1,155
Self-citation
FAO, IFAD, and WFP. The State of Food Insecurity in the World 2015: Meeting the 2015 International Hunger Targets: Taking Stock of Uneven Progress. Rome: FAO, 2015
McGuire, S. (2015) · Advances in Nutrition · doi:10.3945/an.115.009936 · Cited by 1,094
The marker quantification of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 2: A middle-of-the-road scenario for the 21st century
Fricko, O., Havlik, P., Rogelj, J., Klimont, Z., Gusti, M., Johnson, N., Kolp, P., Strubegger, M., Valin, H., Amann, M., et al. (2017) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.06.004 · Cited by 1,075
Self-citation

Show all 46 references

Research works printed but not linked: 11

Riahi, K. et al. in GEA Writing Team (ed.) Global Energy Assessment: Toward a Sustainable Future 1203–1306 (Cambridge Univ. Press and IIASA, 2012).
Clarke, L. et al. in Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of Climate Change (eds Edenhofer, O. et al.) Ch. 6 (Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, 2014).
Nakicenovic, N. et al. Special Report on Emission Scenarios (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2000).
Engel, E. Die productions-und consumtionsverhältnisse des königreichs sachsen. Z. Des. Stat. Bur. Des. Königlich Sächsischen Minist. Des. Inn. 8, 1–54 (1857).
Allwood, J. & Cullen, J. Sustainable Materials—with Both Eyes Open: Future Buildings, Vehicles, Products and Equipment—Made Efficiently and Made with Less New Material (UIT Cambridge, Cambridge (2011).
Ürge-Vorsatz, D. et al. in GEA Writing Team (ed.) Global Energy Assessment—Toward a Sustainable Future 649–760 (Cambridge Univ. Press and IIASA, 2012).
Kahn Ribeiro, S. et al. in GEA Writing Team (ed) Global Energy Assessment—Toward a Sustainable Future 575–648 (Cambridge Univ. Press and IIASA, 2012).
Smith, P. et al. in Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of Climate Change (eds Edenhofer, O. et al.) Ch. 11 (Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, 2014).
Banerjee, R. et al. in GEA Writing Team (ed.) Global Energy Assessment—Toward a Sustainable Future 513–574 (Cambridge Univ. Press and IIASA, 2012).
GEA Writing Team, Global Energy Assessment—Toward a Sustainable Future (Cambridge Univ. Press and IIASA, 2012).
Smith, K. R et al. In: GEA Writing Team (Ed.) Global Energy Assessment—Toward a Sustainable Future. 255–324 (Cambridge Univ. Press and IIASA: 2012).

Sorted by citations

Items 801–900 of 1,000

Sustainable financing of permanent CO2 disposal through a Carbon Takeback ObligationPreprint
Jenkins, S., Mitchell-Larson, E., Haszeldine, S., & Allen, M. R. (2020) · arXiv (Cornell University) · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2007.08430 · Cited by 5
Process analysis and optimisation for a sustainable circular economy
Bong, C. P. C., Fan, Y. V., Lee, C. T., & Klemeš, J. J. (2022) · Cleaner Engineering and Technology · doi:10.1016/j.clet.2022.100578 · Cited by 5
The role of carbon pricing in transforming pathways to reach net zero emissions
Errendal, S., Ellis, J., & Jeudy-Hugo, S. (2023) · OECD environment working papers · doi:10.1787/5cefdf8c-en · Cited by 18
MUSE-RASA captures human dimension in climate-energy-economic models via global geoAI-ML agent datasets
Moya, D., Copara, D., Páez, A. O., Castro, C., Giarola, S., & Hawkes, A. D. (2023) · Scientific Data · doi:10.1038/s41597-023-02529-w · Cited by 5
Climate change mitigation scenarios for financial sector target setting and alignment assessment
Noels, J., Pouille, C., Jachnik, R., & Rocha, M. R. (2023) · OECD environment working papers · doi:10.1787/bcd25b82-en · Cited by 7
Integrating Stock-Flow Modeling and Energy System Optimization to Explore Decarbonization Pathways for China’s Cement Industry
Song, J., Su, X., Hou, L., Chu, C., Wu, T., Dai, H., Ou, Y., Nishiura, O., Cao, Z., & Ju, M. (2025) · Environmental Science & Technology · doi:10.1021/acs.est.4c14724 · Cited by 7
Reviewing two decades of energy system analysis with bibliometrics
Dominković, D. F., Weinand, J. M., Scheller, F., D'Andrea, M., & McKenna, R. (2021) · Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews · doi:10.1016/j.rser.2021.111749 · Cited by 63
Limits to CDR accounting: the role of carbon fluxes, time(liness) and storage
Swoboda, S., & Oschlies, A. (2025) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/adde73 · Cited by 7
Exploring the relationships between building and transportation stocks to meet climate change mitigation goals
Li, J., Dittrich, N., Simoni, M. U., Ljunge, J., & Müller, D. B. (2025) · Sustainable Cities and Society · doi:10.1016/j.scs.2025.106613 · Cited by 4
‘Lumpy’ technological innovation systems and net-zero transitions: The impact of technology characteristics on the carbon capture innovation system in Norway
Nordholm, A. J., Finstad, J., & Andersen, A. D. (2025) · Technological Forecasting and Social Change · doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124436 · Cited by 4
Implications of overshoot for climate mitigation strategies
Tavoni, M., Bauer, N., Drouet, L., Fujimori, S., Paltsev, S., Pirani, A., Riahi, K., Rogelj, J., Schaeffer, R., van Vuuren, D. P., et al. (2026) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02563-7 · Cited by 8
Self-citation
Collecting silences: creating value by assetizing carbon emission mitigations and energy demand reductions
Nolden, C. (2022) · Green Finance · doi:10.3934/gf.2022007 · Cited by 4
The public use of early-stage scientific advances in carbon dioxide removal: a science-technology-policy-media perspective
Tripodi, G., Lillo, F., Mavilia, R., Mina, A., Chiaromonte, F., & Lamperti, F. (2024) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ad7479 · Cited by 4
What are we aiming for? Addressing the knowledge gap of a long-term sustainable society
Higgs, T. (2024) · Environmental Science & Policy · doi:10.1016/j.envsci.2024.103895 · Cited by 4
Global inequalities in countries' demand for raw materials: Twenty years of expansion and insufficient convergence
Duro, J. A., Ramirez, N., Wieland, H., Wiedenhofer, D., & Haberl, H. (2025) · Ecological Economics · doi:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108600 · Cited by 7
How do cities challenge patterns of demand? Characterising the local governance of climate change in Nordic cities
Schrage, J., & Kjærås, K. (2022) · Environment and Planning C Politics and Space · doi:10.1177/23996544221083238 · Cited by 4
Transformationspfade für den europäischen Gebäudesektor: Vergleich von Umwelteinsparungen durch Suffizienz-, Konsistenz- und Effizienzmaßnahmen
Zimmermann, P. (2022) · TATuP - Zeitschrift für Technikfolgenabschätzung in Theorie und Praxis · doi:10.14512/tatup.31.2.32 · Cited by 4
Decarbonization Potential of Building Automation: Results of a German Study and Outlook
Beucker, S., & Hinterholzer, S. (2022) · International Conference on ICT for Sustainability (ICT4S) · doi:10.1109/ict4s55073.2022.00023 · Cited by 4
Application of econometrics in energy research—Empowerment from big data and machine learning
Chen, Y., & Lean, H. H. (2023) · Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews Energy and Environment · doi:10.1002/wene.491 · Cited by 4
PROTOCOL: Behavioral, information and monetary interventions to reduce energy consumption in households: A “living” systematic review
Khanna, T. M., Danilenko, D., Andor, M., Callaghan, M., Elliott, J., Repke, T., Smith, L. A., Sanchez, J., Venkatesh, B. T., & Minx, J. C. (2024) · Campbell Systematic Reviews · doi:10.1002/cl2.1424 · Cited by 4
Comparison of different drivers on energy systems investment dynamics to achieve the energy transition goals
Beljan, D., Herc, L., Pfeifer, A., & Duić, N. (2024) · e-Prime - Advances in Electrical Engineering Electronics and Energy · doi:10.1016/j.prime.2024.100711 · Cited by 4
Developing a novel city-wide useful energy demand model based on detailed energy conversion processes
Sun, K., Tong, K., Xu, J., & Shan, Y. (2025) · Energy · doi:10.1016/j.energy.2025.135833 · Cited by 4
Changing the Climate Change Discourse
Geels, F. W. (2020) · Joule · doi:10.1016/j.joule.2019.12.011 · Cited by 4
Shared mobility and lifestyles as mechanisms to reduce environmental impacts from passenger transportation
Vélez, A. M. A., Ivanova, D., & Stadler, K. (2023) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ace465 · Cited by 4
Fossil materials demand within deep decarbonization scenarios: A feasibility assessment
Cardoso, G., Szklo, A. S., Portugal‐Pereira, J., Rochedo, P., & Schaeffer, R. (2024) · Energy Strategy Reviews · doi:10.1016/j.esr.2024.101479 · Cited by 4
Exploring the black box: Applying macro decomposition tools for scenario comparisons
Koomey, J., Schmidt, Z., Hausker, K., & Lashof, D. (2022) · Environmental Modelling & Software · doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2022.105426 · Cited by 4
Phasing out plastics
Scott, A. W., Pickard, S., Sharp, S. L., & Becqué, R. (2020) · Econstor (Econstor) · Cited by 4
A guide to scenarios for the PROVIDE projectPreprint
Lamboll, R., Rogelj, J., & Schleussner, C. (2022) · doi:10.1002/essoar.10511875.1 · Cited by 4
Self-citation
Circularity Index
Carmona, L. G., Whiting, K., & Cullen, J. M. (2024) · doi:10.1002/9781394214297.ch2 · Cited by 4
Self-citation
Understanding Factors Responsible for Framework to Design Sustainable Net Zero Policies—An Empirical Analysis on Indian Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs)
Mallik, D. M. A. (2024) · Approaches to global sustainability, markets, and governance · doi:10.1007/978-981-97-5756-5_13 · Cited by 3
An exploration and evaluation framework for climate change mitigation scenarios with varying feasibility and desirability
Beath, H., Mittal, S., Lamboll, R., & Rogelj, J. (2025) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/addd35 · Cited by 3
Self-citation
Sufficiency planning: A model of planning in an era of polycrisis
Xue, J., & Eräranta, S. (2025) · Planning Theory · doi:10.1177/14730952251359070 · Cited by 3
JMIP 2 Part 1: Technology uncertainty and robustness in Japan’s net-zero pathways
Sugiyama, M., Shiraki, H., Fujimori, S., Wada, K., Cao, T., Frazer, E., Hamasaki, H., Kato, E., Matsuo, Y., Nishiura, O., et al. (2025) · Energy and Climate Change · doi:10.1016/j.egycc.2025.100210 · Cited by 3
The Three Doors: An attention shift process to break through the sustainability trilemma for oil production enterprises
Boulton, J., & Krumdieck, S. P. (2025) · Energy Research & Social Science · doi:10.1016/j.erss.2025.104217 · Cited by 4
Physically consistent sectoral pathways for phasing out fossil fuels
Legendre, U., Delannoy, L., & Brito‐Parada, P. R. (2025) · Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews · doi:10.1016/j.rser.2025.116575 · Cited by 4
The propagation mechanism of supply risk in the global lithium battery industry chain from the perspective of nickel flow
Huang, H., Yao, Y., Wei, Z., & Tao, Z. (2025) · Journal of Energy Storage · doi:10.1016/j.est.2025.119925 · Cited by 3
Integrating renewable energy with electric vehicle charging infrastructure in China: A strategy for enhanced accessibility and carbon abatement
Zheng, Y., Song, A., Dan, Z., Sun, X., Lee, S., Feng, W., Shen, P., & Zhou, Y. (2025) · Nexus · doi:10.1016/j.ynexs.2025.100113 · Cited by 5
Prospective macro-level life cycle assessment: a systematic review
Paris, A., Guinée, J. B., & Thonemann, N. (2026) · The International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment · doi:10.1007/s11367-026-02585-5 · Cited by 3
Housing for well-being with minimal energy and material demand
Zhang, J., Johnson-Wang, M., Khanna, N. Z., van Valkengoed, A. M., Xu, M., Mastrucci, A., Jia, X., Pan, Y., Steg, L., Roy, J., et al. (2026) · Nature Reviews Clean Technology · doi:10.1038/s44359-026-00159-0 · Cited by 3
Global trajectories for urban passenger transport decarbonisation: a policy-based modelling approach
Caros, N. S., Trouve, M., & Martínez, L. (2026) · npj Sustainable Mobility and Transport · doi:10.1038/s44333-026-00092-6 · Cited by 3
Ion-exchange sequence-driven control of CO2 adsorption and CO2/N2 selectivity in zeolite-X
Gajera, P., Mukherjee, S., Kulkarni, H., & Sethia, G. (2026) · Inorganica Chimica Acta · doi:10.1016/j.ica.2026.123205 · Cited by 3
Challenges and opportunities of the full phase-out of fossil fuels under the 1.5 °C goal
MORI, S., Joshi, S., Krey, V., Oshiro, K., Fricko, O., Hara, T., & Fujimori, S. (2026) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-026-72841-7 · Cited by 4
Self-citation
Learning in the Anthropocene
Karlsson, R. (2021) · Social Sciences · doi:10.3390/socsci10060233 · Cited by 3
Application of sustainable power and laser washing device in garment design
Luan, X. (2022) · International Journal of Emerging Electric Power Systems · doi:10.1515/ijeeps-2022-0106 · Cited by 3
Climate synergistic benefits: A path to the Beautiful China through total control of major air pollutants
Cheng, X., Zhang, Z., Shi, T., Yang, N., Yang, S., Chen, J. L., Mao, G., Qi, Z., Rao, S., & Jiang, C. (2024) · Journal of Cleaner Production · doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2024.143158 · Cited by 3
The role of building performance simulations in citywide and national global warming mitigation policy
Shimoda, Y. (2024) · Journal of Building Performance Simulation · doi:10.1080/19401493.2024.2421327 · Cited by 3
How does commercial energy impact Pakistan’s environmental quality? The case of the agricultural, industrial and transportation industries
Rehman, A., Batool, Z., Ain, Q., Liu, R., Ahmad, M. I., Ma, H., & Öztürk, İ. (2025) · Environment Development and Sustainability · doi:10.1007/s10668-025-06450-7 · Cited by 4
A window of (missed) opportunity? A comprehensive stocktake and energy-system impact assessment of global COVID-19 recovery packages
Zisarou, E., Fragkos, P. F., de Ven, D.-J. V., Mittal, S., Frilingou, N., Rodés-Bachs, C., Tsotras, S., Potiriadis, A., Xexakis, G., Koasidis, K., et al. (2025) · Energy Research & Social Science · doi:10.1016/j.erss.2025.104216 · Cited by 3
An option space approach to wood use: Providing structural timber for buildings while safeguarding forest integrity
Gingrich, S., Matej, S., Erb, K.-H., Haberl, H., Noë, J. L., Kaufmann, L., Magerl, A., Schaffartzik, A., Wiedenhofer, D., & Pauliuk, S. (2025) · iScience · doi:10.1016/j.isci.2025.113472 · Cited by 3
Beyond chemical catalysis: laser production of clean energy
Yan, B., Cao, W., & Yang, G. (2025) · Chemical Society Reviews · doi:10.1039/d5cs00087d · Cited by 3
Behavioral, Information, and Monetary Interventions to Reduce Energy Consumption in Households: A Living Systematic Review and Network Meta-Analysis
Khanna, T. M., Danilenko, D., Wang, Q., Smith, L. A., Bhumika, T., Rai, A. N., Canales, J. S., Repke, T., Callaghan, M., Andor, M., et al. (2025) · Campbell Systematic Reviews · doi:10.1002/cl2.70070 · Cited by 5
Can heat‐pumps provide routes to decarbonization of building thermal control in the US Midwest?
Doak, A. G., Stanier, C. O., Anthony, J., & Udaykumar, H. S. (2022) · Energy Science & Engineering · doi:10.1002/ese3.1159 · Cited by 3
How Meaningful Are Modest Carbon Emissions Reductions Targets? The Case of Sumitomo Electrical Group’s Short-Term Targets towards Longer-Term Net Zero
Warzywoda, N., Dargusch, P., & Hill, G. (2022) · Sustainability · doi:10.3390/su14074287 · Cited by 3
Digital Transformation of Oil and Gas Sector during Transition to Renewable Energy Sources
Tumin, V. M., Kharlanov, A. S., Zenkina, E. V., Kostromin, P. A., & Trifonov, V. A. (2022) · Advances in economics, business and management research/Advances in Economics, Business and Management Research · doi:10.2991/aebmr.k.220208.069 · Cited by 3
Current lifestyles in the context of future climate targets: analysis of long-term scenarios and consumer segments for residential and transport
van den Berg, N. J., Hof, A. F., Timmer, V. J., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2022) · Environmental Research Communications · doi:10.1088/2515-7620/ac8c86 · Cited by 3
Energy, and Human and Planetary Health: Is the Mutual Link Inevitable?
Novikau, A. (2022) · Climate change management · doi:10.1007/978-3-031-09879-6_7 · Cited by 3
Analysis of Low-Carbon Transformation Pathways of Automotive Industry for Carbon Neutrality
Automotive Data of China Co., L. (2023) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-981-19-7502-8_4 · Cited by 3
Double Impact: A Macroeconomic Study of the Crossed Influences Between Climate Change and Business Tourism
Kayal, M. (2023) · The Law and Development Review · doi:10.1515/ldr-2023-0054 · Cited by 3
Application of Supported Fenton and Fenton-Like Catalysts in the Degradation of Pharmaceuticals in Wastewater—A Review of New Technologies in the Last Decade
Rashid, S., Bale, D., & Huddersman, K. D. (2023) · Water and waste water management · doi:10.1007/978-3-031-36298-9_8 · Cited by 3
Kapitel 23. Synthese: Pfade zur Transformation struktureller Bedingungen für ein klimafreundliches Leben
Haas, W., Muhar, A., Dorninger, C., & Gugerell, K. (2023) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-662-66497-1_27 · Cited by 3
Equipment- and Time-Constrained Data Acquisition Protocol for Non-Intrusive Appliance Load Monitoring
Koasidis, K., Marinakis, V., Doukas, H., Doumouras, N., Karamaneas, A., & Νίκας, Α. (2023) · Energies · doi:10.3390/en16217315 · Cited by 3
Low Energy Demand Scenarios for OECD Countries: Fairness, Feasibility and Potential Impacts on SDGs
Freeman, R., Seljom, P., Valkering, P., & Krook‐Riekkola, A. (2024) · Lecture notes in energy · doi:10.1007/978-3-031-58897-6_2 · Cited by 3
Institutions, in time: Designing feedback pathways for shared infrastructure transitions
Grimley, M., Datta, M., Giesting, A., Komoroski, S., Masson, G., Sciamanda, M., & Chan, G. (2025) · Policy Studies Journal · doi:10.1111/psj.12594 · Cited by 3
Perspectives on the pervasive energy-systems transformations
Nakićenović, N. (2022) · Oxford Open Energy · doi:10.1093/ooenergy/oiab005 · Cited by 3
The role of hydrogen-based energy carriers in the context of the decarbonization goals of the Paris Agreement
Oshiro, K., & Fujimori, S. (2021) · Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers Ser G (Environmental Research) · doi:10.2208/jscejer.77.5_i_197 · Cited by 3
Energy sufficiency: Conceptual considerations, modeling, and scenarios for less energy consumption
Best, B., Christ, M., Santarius, T., & Wiese, F. (2022) · TATuP - Zeitschrift für Technikfolgenabschätzung in Theorie und Praxis · doi:10.14512/tatup.31.2.10 · Cited by 5
An Ecosocialist Perspective on Gaia 2.0: The Other World That is Still Possible
SCHWARTZMAN, D. W. (2020) · Capitalism Nature Socialism · doi:10.1080/10455752.2020.1729943 · Cited by 4
Land sector impacts of early climate action
Berndes, G., & Cowie, A. (2021) · Nature Sustainability · doi:10.1038/s41893-021-00777-5 · Cited by 3
La transizione energetica nell'attuale contesto globale
Vincenzo, D. D. (2022) · RIVISTA GEOGRAFICA ITALIANA · doi:10.3280/rgioa1-2022oa13368 · Cited by 3
The Role of Sustainable Technological Innovations in the Relationship between Freight Pricing and Environmental Degradation: Evidence from a Panel of 39 R&D economies
Anser, M. K., Ali, S., Khan, M. A., Nassani, A. A., Askar, S. E., Zaman, K., Abro, M. M. Q., & Kabbani, A. (2021) · Atmósfera · doi:10.20937/atm.52922 · Cited by 3
A Comparative Analysis of Deep Decarbonisation Scenarios for the European Power SystemPreprint
Gaffney, F., Deane, P., Drayton, G., Glynn, J. D. M., & Gallachóir, B. Ó. (2018) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.3255566 · Cited by 2
Tradeoffs inherent in solar geoengineering peak-shaving strategiesPreprint
Hornigold, T. (2021) · arXiv (Cornell University) · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2108.00096 · Cited by 6
Exploring the Theoretical Link between Profitability and Luxury EmissionsPreprint
Cappelli, F., & Bucchianico, S. D. (2022) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.4172004 · Cited by 4
Drivers and Effects of Digitalisation on Energy Demand in Low Carbon ScenariosPreprint
Bergman, N. M., & Foxon, T. J. (2022) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.4016265 · Cited by 3
Given that the Paris Agreement is unlikely to prevent dangerous climate overshoot, an alternative risk management strategy is urgently neededPreprint
Taylor, G., & Vink, S. M. (2020) · doi:10.31223/x51s45 · Cited by 3
A guide to scenarios for the PROVIDE projectPreprint
Lamboll, R., Rogelj, J., & Schleussner, C. (2022) · doi:10.1002/essoar.10511875.2 · Cited by 3
Self-citation
Low-Carbon Pathways for Transportation: Ramping up vehicle electrification and phasing out petroleum
Moura, M. C. P. (2022) · doi:10.47923/2022.14770 · Cited by 3
Modeling Transition Paths for the Energy and Transport Sectors: A Literature Review
Vagliasindi, M. (2023) · World Bank policy research working paper · doi:10.1596/1813-9450-10357 · Cited by 3
Exploring the Impacts of Lifestyle Changes in the Global Energy Transition: Insights from a Model-Based Analysis Using PROMETHEUS
Fragkos, P. F., Zisarou, E., & Andreou, A. (2024) · Climate · doi:10.3390/cli12120193 · Cited by 5
Optimal pathways toward a carbon-neutral power system considering low-carbon technologies in the Yangtze River Delta region
Zhang, Y., Ma, T., Yu, Y., & Ren, H. (2025) · Journal of Management Science and Engineering · doi:10.1016/j.jmse.2025.03.001 · Cited by 2
Evaluation of metals mining and processing energy consumption and potential metals supply–demand mismatch towards 2100
Greffe, T., Margni, M. D., & Bulle, C. (2025) · Resources Conservation and Recycling · doi:10.1016/j.resconrec.2025.108482 · Cited by 2
A diversity of sustainable lifestyles in 2050: Future SLIM scenario narratives for deep climate change mitigation
van den Berg, N. J., Thu, L., Hof, A. F., Timmer, V. J., Akenji, L., Boyer, N.-A., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2025) · Energy Research & Social Science · doi:10.1016/j.erss.2025.104441 · Cited by 2
Do sufficiency consumption changes drive emissions down? A production network approach
Escribe, C., & Quirion, P. (2025) · Journal of Environmental Economics and Management · doi:10.1016/j.jeem.2025.103258 · Cited by 2
Long-run electricity consumption in computing: Exponential growth followed by stabilization due to efficiency gains
Pinto, R. C., Brockway, P. E., Domingos, T., & Sousa, T. (2026) · iScience · doi:10.1016/j.isci.2026.114876 · Cited by 2
A weighting framework to improve the use of emissions scenario ensembles of opportunity
Beath, H., Smith, C. E., Kikstra, J., Dekker, M., Gidden, M., & Rogelj, J. (2026) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02565-5 · Cited by 2
Self-citation
Climate stability hinges on energy-material feedback dynamics: Aluminum perspectives
Desing, H., Passarella, M., Billy, R. G., Griebler, A., Langhorst, M., Pogatscher, S., Raabe, D., Remmen, K., Samberger, S., Schlesier, H., et al. (2026) · Resources Conservation and Recycling · doi:10.1016/j.resconrec.2026.108911 · Cited by 4
RETRACTED: Assessing the Relationship Between Quality of Life and Household Energy Consumption Among Low-Income Groups in India: A Comparative Study of Delhi and Kharagpur
Dulis, D., Sani, H. A., Kubota, T., Kumar, N., & Bhattacharya, S. P. (2026) · Sustainability · doi:10.3390/su18083669 · Cited by 2
Retracted
Complex influencing factors and variants of societal energy demand – quantified explorative scenarios as a tool for strategic planning
Prehofer, S., Ortlieb, F., Leger, M., Wassermann, S., & Fahl, U. (2026) · Energy Policy · doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2026.115142 · Cited by 2
Energy Demand Prediction of the Building Sector Based on Induced Kernel Method and MESSAGEix Model
Tan, X., Zhao, Z., Liu, C., ZHANG, S., Xing, C. H. E. N., Hou, F., Yang, F. Q., & Guo, F. (2019) · Chinese Journal of Urban and Environmental Studies · doi:10.1142/s2345748119500167 · Cited by 2
Self-citation
There Are Several Pathways to Net‐Zero CO2 Emissions and It's Past Time to Get Moving
Bataille, C. (2021) · AGU Advances · doi:10.1029/2020av000364 · Cited by 2
Mapping the Energy Flows and GHG Emissions of a Medium-Size City: The Case of Valladolid (Spain)
Manzanera-Benito, G., & Capellán‐Pérez, I. (2021) · Sustainability · doi:10.3390/su132313181 · Cited by 2
The fabrication and characterization of ZnO/NiCO2O4 nanowires synthesized by a hydrothermal method
Saidov, K., Shrawan, R., Razzokov, J., Mamatkulov, S. I., Parpiev, O. R., & Ruzimuradov, O. (2023) · E3S Web of Conferences · doi:10.1051/e3sconf/202340214038 · Cited by 2
Mechanical properties of bilayer WS2 and Graphene-WS2 Hybrid composites by molecular dynamics simulations
Wu, F. Y., Tan, H., Palummo, M., & Camilli, L. (2024) · Journal of Physics Condensed Matter · doi:10.1088/1361-648x/ad2886 · Cited by 2
Global Energy System Transitions
Edmonds, J., Fujimori, S., Iyer, G. C., McJeon, H. C., O’Rourke, P., Pedersen, J. S. T., van Vuuren, D. P., & Yu, S. (2024) · Review of Environmental Economics and Policy · doi:10.1086/728206 · Cited by 2
Exploring morphological variation in bismuth ferrite nanostructures by pulsed laser deposition: synthesis, structural and electrochemical properties
García, D. M. A., dos Santos, R. D., Liu, L., & Nunes, W. C. (2024) · Nanotechnology · doi:10.1088/1361-6528/ad2ee1 · Cited by 2
Evaluating the impact of lifestyle changes: a scenario-based analysis for Europe’s residential buildings sector
Andreou, A., Fragkos, P. F., Filippidou, F., Zisarou, E., Avgerinopoulos, G., Pietzcker, R., Hasse, R., & Rosemann, R. (2025) · Environmental Research Communications · doi:10.1088/2515-7620/adb9d8 · Cited by 2
Dramatic Air Quality Improvements after the Complete Electrification of a Commuter Rail System
Cliff, S., Byrne, H., Goldstein, A. H., & Apte, J. S. (2025) · Environmental Science & Technology Letters · doi:10.1021/acs.estlett.4c01096 · Cited by 2
Do Land Resources, Agriculture Exports, and Agriculture Growth Induce Agriculture‐Related Greenhouse Gas Emissions: Novel Findings in the Lens of COP –28
Shahzadi, I., Ferraz, D. E., Mentel, G., Khan, S. U., & Bilan, Y. V. (2025) · Land Degradation and Development · doi:10.1002/ldr.5604 · Cited by 2
From carbon emissions scenario simulation to source-sink integration technological pathways in central business districts
Wang, L., Guo, R., Li, A., Peng, K., Xu, C., Jing, X., Zhang, Y., Shi, X., Wu, H., Cai, A., et al. (2025) · Carbon Footprints · doi:10.20517/cf.2025.34 · Cited by 2
Main Assumptions for Energy Pathways
Pregger, T., Simon, S., Naegler, T., & Teske, S. (2019) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-030-05843-2_5 · Cited by 2

Authors: Grubler, A., Wilson, C., Bento, N., Boza-Kiss, B., Krey, V., McCollum, D. L., Rao, N. D., Riahi, K., Rogelj, J., De Stercke, S., Cullen, J., Frank, S., Fricko, O., Guo, F., Gidden, M., Havlík, P., Huppmann, D., Kiesewetter, G., Rafaj, P., Schoepp, W., & Valin, H.
Affiliations: University of East Anglia (GB)
Iscte – Instituto Universitário de Lisboa (PT)
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (AT)
University of Cambridge (GB)
ORCID: Grubler, Arnulf
Wilson, Charlie
Bento, Nuno
Boza-Kiss, Benigna
Krey, Volker
McCollum, David L.
Rao, Narasimha D.
Riahi, Keywan
Rogelj, Joeri
De Stercke, Simon
Cullen, Jonathan
Frank, Stefan
Fricko, Oliver
Guo, Fei
Huppmann, Daniel
Kiesewetter, Gregor
Rafaj, Peter
Valin, Hugo
Venue: Nature Energy
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Published: 2018-06-04
Volume: 3
Issue: 6
Pages: 515-527
ISSN: 2058-7546 (ISSN-L)
DOI: 10.1038/s41560-018-0172-6
OpenAlex: W2800190939
Cited by: 1,178
References: 46
Citations by year: 2026: 123 · 2025: 133 · 2024: 154 · 2023: 161 · 2022: 180 · 2021: 190 · 2020: 129 · 2019: 84 · 2018: 20
FWCI: 39.29
Type: journal article
Language: en
Open access: green
pure.iiasa.ac.at
Licence: www.springernature.com/gp/researchers/text-and-data-mining (tdm)
www.springernature.com/gp/researchers/text-and-data-mining (vor)
Locations: Nature Energy (publishedVersion)
IIASA PURE (International Institute of Applied Systems Analysis) (acceptedVersion)
UEA Digital Repository (University of East Anglia) (acceptedVersion)
RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
Cambridge University Engineering Department Publications Database (submittedVersion)
Repositório do ISCTE-IUL (submittedVersion, other-oa)
Apollo
Funders: H2020 European Research Council (678799, 637462)
Topics: Physical Sciences › Engineering › Electrical and Electronic Engineering › Integrated Energy Systems Optimization
Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Climate Change Policy and Economics
Physical Sciences › Energy › Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment › Global Energy and Sustainability Research
Keywords: Sustainable Development Goals, energy services, energy intensity, final energy demand, renewable energy deployment, negative emissions technologies, Global North and Global South, land use, integrated assessment modelling

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review

A low energy demand scenario for meeting the 1.5 °C target and sustainable development goals without negative emission technologies

Overview

Integrity signals

Verification

Claims the paper makes

Claims other papers make about this one

Self-check

Citations

Cites

Cited by

Related

Metadata

Record

About these checks