Cited by 180Genetic Associations and EpidemiologyGenetic and phenotypic traits in livestockGenetic Mapping and Diversity in Plants and Animals

Hidden heritability due to heterogeneity across seven populations

Open access
Tropf, Felix C., Lee, S. Hong, Verweij, Renske M., Stulp, Gert, van der Most, Peter J., de Vlaming, Ronald, Bakshi, Andrew, Briley, Daniel A. +11 more·2017·Nature Human Behaviour

Published version of a preprint

Abstract

Meta-analyses of genome-wide association studies (GWAS), which dominate genetic discovery are based on data from diverse historical time periods and populations. Genetic scores derived from GWAS explain only a fraction of the heritability estimates obtained from whole-genome studies on single populations, known as the 'hidden heritability' puzzle. Using seven sampling populations (N=35,062), we test whether hidden heritability is attributed to heterogeneity across sampling populations and time, showing that estimates are substantially smaller from across compared to within populations. We show that the hidden heritability varies substantially: from zero (height), to 20% for BMI, 37% for education, 40% for age at first birth and up to 75% for number of children. Simulations demonstrate that our results more likely reflect heterogeneity in phenotypic measurement or gene-environment interaction than genetic heterogeneity. These findings have substantial implications for genetic discovery, suggesting that large homogenous datasets are required for behavioural phenotypes and that gene-environment interaction may be a central challenge for genetic discovery.

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1038/s41562-017-0195-1

Cites

10 of 10 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Claims the paper makes

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • Imperfect genetic correlation across cohorts will be the norm for phenotypes that, like educational attainment, are environmentally contingent.

    “Our and others’ findings16,17 suggest that imperfect genetic correlation across cohorts will be the norm for phenotypes that, like EA, are environmentally contingent.”

    From Gene discovery and polygenic prediction from a genome-wide association study of educational attainment in 1.1 million individuals (2018) · cites this paper as [17]

    The Results (Best model by phenotype; page unavailable) find that birth cohort moderates genetic effects on educational attainment, supporting that example. But the same section finds no birth-cohort heterogeneity for the reproductive phenotypes, and the Discussion says genetic correlations across cohorts were not directly estimated. The paper therefore does not establish that imperfect correlations will be the norm for environmentally contingent phenotypes generally. (LLM, conf=0.86)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • The finding of an imperfect genetic correlation replicates earlier results from smaller samples.

    “Our finding of an imperfect genetic correlation replicates earlier results from smaller samples16,17.”

    From Gene discovery and polygenic prediction from a genome-wide association study of educational attainment in 1.1 million individuals (2018) · cites this paper as [17]

    The Discussion reports limited evidence that genetic effects on reproductive behaviour in one country predict those in another, consistent with an imperfect cross-population genetic correlation. But it also says the study lacked the power to estimate genetic correlations directly; the correlations of 0.5–0.8 were used in simulations, not measured as a replicated finding. (LLM, conf=0.83)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

The self-check needs the paper’s full text.

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

Research works printed but not linked: 39

  1. [3]Witte JS Visscher PM Wray NR The contribution of genetic variants to disease depends on the ruler Nat Rev Genet 2014 15 765 776 25223781 PMC4412738
  2. [5]Mills MC Tropf FC The Biodemography of Fertility: A Review and Future Research Frontiers Kolner Z Soz Sozpsychol 2016 55 397 424 PMC4577548 26412877
  3. [7]Okbay A Genome-wide association study identifies 74 loci associated with educational attainment Nature 2016 533 539 542 27225129 PMC4883595
  4. [8]Barban N Genome-wide analysis identifies 12 loci influencing human reproductive behavior Nat Genet 2016 10.1038/ng.3698 PMC5695684 27798627 · DOI
  5. [9]Yang J Common SNPs explain a large proportion of the heritability for human height Nat Genet 2010 42 565 569 20562875 PMC3232052
  6. [10]Yang J Lee SH Goddard ME Visscher PM GCTA: a tool for genome-wide complex trait analysis Am J Hum Genet 2011 88 76 82 21167468 PMC3014363
  7. [11]Tropf FC Human fertility, molecular genetics, and natural selection in modern societies PLoS One 2015 10 e0126821 26039877 PMC4454512
  8. [12]Rietveld CA GWAS of 126,559 Individuals Identifies Genetic Variants Associated with Educational Attainment Science (80-.) 2013 340 1467 1471 PMC3751588 23722424
  9. [14]Zuk O Hechter E The mystery of missing heritability: Genetic interactions create phantom heritability Proc Natl Acad Sci 2012 109 1193 1198 22223662 PMC3268279
  10. [15]Yang J Genetic variance estimation with imputed variants finds negligible missing heritability for human height and body mass index Nat Genet 2015 47 1114 1120 26323059 PMC4589513
  11. [16]Witte JS Visscher PM Wray NR The contribution of genetic variants to disease depends on the ruler Nat Rev Genet 2014 15 765 776 25223781 PMC4412738
  12. [17]Felson J What can we learn from twin studies? A comprehensive evaluation of the equal environments assumption Soc Sci Res 2014 43 184 199 24267761
  13. [18]Wray NR Pitfalls of predicting complex traits from SNPs Nat Rev Genet 2013 14 507 15 23774735 PMC4096801
  14. [19]Mills MC Rindfuss RR McDonald P te Velde E Why do people postpone parenthood? Reasons and social policy incentives Hum Reprod Update 2011 17 848 860 21652599 PMC3529638
  15. [20]de Vlaming R Meta-GWAS Accuracy and Power (MetaGAP) Calculator Shows that Hiding Heritability Is Partially Due to Imperfect Genetic Correlations across Studies PLOS Genet 2017 13 e1006495 28095416 PMC5240919
  16. [21]Robinson MR Genotype-covariate interaction effects and the heritability of adult body mass index Nat Genet 2017 28692066
  17. [22]Yang J Genome-wide genetic homogeneity between sexes and populations for human height and body mass index Hum Mol Genet 2015 24 7445 7449 26494901
  18. [23]Purcell SM PLINK: a tool set for whole-genome association and population-based linkage analyses Am J Hum Genet 2007 81 559 575 17701901 PMC1950838
  19. [24]Barban N Genome-wide analysis identifies 12 loci influencing human reproductive behavior Nat Genet 2016 10.1038/ng.3698 PMC5695684 27798627 · DOI
  20. [26]Lee SH Yang J Goddard ME Visscher PM Wray NR Estimation of pleiotropy between complex diseases using single-nucleotide polymorphism-derived genomic relationships and restricted maximum likelihood Bioinformatics 2012 28 2540 2542 22843982 PMC3463125
  21. [27]Visscher PM Yang J Goddard ME A commentary on ‘common SNPs explain a large proportion of the heritability for human height’by Yang et al.(2010) Twin Res Hum Genet 2010 13 517 524 21142928
  22. [28]Visscher PM Statistical power to detect genetic (co) variance of complex traits using SNP data in unrelated samples PLoS Genet 2014 10 e1004269 24721987 PMC3983037
  23. [30]Balbo N Billari FC Mills MC Fertility in advanced societies: A review of research Eur J Popul Eur Démographie 2013 29 1 38 PMC3576563 23440941
  24. [31]Van de Kaa DJ Europe’s second demographic transition Popul Bull 1987 42 1 59 12268395
  25. [33]Price AL Principal components analysis corrects for stratification in genome-wide association studies Nat Genet 2006 38 904 909 16862161
  26. [34]Snijders TAB Multilevel analysis Springer 2011
  27. [35]Domingue BW Genome-Wide Estimates of Heritability for Social Demographic Outcomes Biodemography Soc Biol 2016 62 1 18 27050030 PMC4918078
  28. [36]Yang J Genome-wide genetic homogeneity between sexes and populations for human height and body mass index Hum Mol Genet 2015 24 7445 7449 26494901
  29. [37]Verweij RM Sexual dimorphism in the genetic influence on human childlessness Eur J Hum Genet Adv online Publ 2017 10.1038/ejhg.2017.105 PMC5555389 28794429 · DOI
  30. [38]Conley D Laidley TM Boardman JD Domingue BW Boardman JD Changing Polygenic Penetrance on Phenotypes in the 20th Century Among Adults in the US Population Sci Rep 2016 6 30348 27456657 PMC4960614
  31. [40]de Vlaming R Meta-GWAS Accuracy and Power (MetaGAP) Calculator Shows that Hiding Heritability Is Partially Due to Imperfect Genetic Correlations across Studies PLOS Genet 2017 13 e1006495 28095416 PMC5240919
  32. [41]Mehta D Evidence for Genetic Overlap Between Schizophrenia and Age at First Birth in Women JAMA Psychiatry 2016 73 497 505 27007234 PMC5785705
  33. [42]Briley DA Tropf FC Mills MC What Explains the Heritability of Completed Fertility? Evidence from Two Large Twin Studies Behav Genet 2017 47 36 51 27522223
  34. [43]Tropf FC Mandemakers JJ Is the Association Between Education and Fertility Postponement Causal? The Role of Family Background Factors Demography 2017 54 71 91 28070853
  35. [44]Mills MC Introducing survival and event history analysis Sage Publications 2011
  36. [45]Tropf FC Barban N Mills MC Snieder H Mandemakers JJ Genetic influence on age at first birth of female twins born in the UK, 1919-68 Popul Stud (NY) 2015 129 145 26234944
  37. [46]Stearns SC Byars SG Govindaraju DR Ewbank D Measuring selection in contemporary human populations Nat Rev Genet 2010 11 611 622 20680024
  38. [47]Courtiol A Tropf FC Mills MC When genes and environment disagree: Making sense of trends in recent human evolution Proc Natl Acad Sci US A 2016 113 7693 7695 PMC4948334 27402758
  39. [49]Yang J Lee SH Goddard ME Visscher PM GCTA: a tool for genome-wide complex trait analysis Am J Hum Genet 2011 88 76 82 21167468 PMC3014363

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Tropf, F. C., Lee, S. H., Verweij, R. M., Stulp, G., van der Most, P. J., de Vlaming, R., Bakshi, A., Briley, D. A., Rahal, C., Hellpap, R., Iliadou, A. N., Esko, T., Metspalu, A., Medland, S. E., Martin, N. G., Barban, N., Snieder, H., Robinson, M. R., & Mills, M. C.
Affiliations
  • University of Oxford (GB)
  • University of New England (AU)
  • University of Groningen (NL)
  • The University of Queensland (AU)
  • University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign (US)
  • Karolinska Institutet (SE)
  • University of Tartu (EE)
  • QIMR Berghofer Medical Research Institute (AU)
  • University Medical Center Groningen (NL)
Corresponding author
Tropf, Felix C.
Venue
Nature Human Behaviour
Published
2017-09-11
Volume
1
Issue
10
Pages
757-765
ISSN
2397-3374 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W2752326665
Cited by
180
References
10
Citations by year
2026: 7 · 2025: 11 · 2024: 12 · 2023: 17 · 2022: 24 · 2021: 14 · 2020: 55 · 2019: 9 · 2018: 22 · 2017: 5 · 2016: 4
FWCI
16.52
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Nature Human Behaviour (publishedVersion)
  • bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) (acceptedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • VU Research Portal (publishedVersion, other-oa)
  • EUR Research Repository (Erasmus University Rotterdam) (acceptedVersion, other-oa)
  • Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (acceptedVersion)
  • PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
  • Open Access at Essex (University of Essex) (acceptedVersion)
  • IRIS (submittedVersion)
  • EUR Research Repository (Erasmus University Rotterdam) (submittedVersion)
  • RePub (Erasmus University Rotterdam) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
  • RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
  • Archivio istituzionale della ricerca (Alma Mater Studiorum Università di Bologna) (submittedVersion)
  • Adelaide Research & Scholarship (AR&S) (University of Adelaide) (submittedVersion)
  • Minerva Access (University of Melbourne) (submittedVersion)
  • University of Groningen research database (University of Groningen / Centre for Information Technology) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
  • RUNE (Research UNE) (submittedVersion)
  • SERVAL (Université de Lausanne) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
  • Data Archiving and Networked Services (DANS) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
Funders
  • University of Washington
  • Johns Hopkins University (RC2 AG036495, RC4 AG039029)
  • Wellcome Trust (FP7/2007–2013, 01254)
  • QIMR Berghofer Medical Research Institute
  • International Seafood Sustainability Foundation
  • National Institute for Health and Care Research (FP7/2007–2013)
  • King's College London
  • European Commission (QLG2-CT-2002-01254, 2014‐2020, 2020 ‘, 654248, 2007–2013, FP7 2007-2013, HORIZON2020, 676550, 615603, FP7/2007, 01254, 692145)
  • Rijksuniversiteit Groningen
  • Stiftelsen för Strategisk Forskning
  • Eesti Teadusagentuur (IUT20-60, 2014-2020, FP7/2007-2013)
  • Nierstichting
  • Diabetes Fonds
  • Nederlandse Organisatie voor Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek (NWO 480‐05‐003, 480- 05-003, FP7 2007-2013, 175.010.200, 175.010.2007.006)
  • Vetenskapsrådet (FP7/2007-2013, M-2005-1112)
  • Universitair Medisch Centrum Groningen
  • Tartu Ülikool
  • National Institutes of Health (HHSN268201100012C, FP7/2007-2013, HHSN268201100008C, HHSN268201100006C, 389875, DK U01-066134, HHSN26820- 1100005C, HHSN268201100007C, 2014-2020, HHSN268201100011C, EU/QLRT-2001-01254, HHSN268201100010C, HHSN268201100009C, QLG2-CT-2002-01254, AA10248, MH66206, AA13321, AA13320, DA12854, U01‐066134)
  • Medical Research Council (FP7/20072013)
  • Economic and Social Research Council (ES/N011856/1, 615603, FP7/2007-2013)
  • ESRC National Centre for Research Methods, University of Southampton (ES/N011856/1)
  • Australian Research Council (DP0343921)
  • National Health and Medical Research Council (A7960034, 496739, A79906588, 389927, 389891, 552485, DP0212016, 552498, 442981, 389938, 241944, 339462, 442915, 389875, A79801419, DP0770096, 389892)
  • European Regional Development Fund (2014-2020’, FP7/2007‐2013, 2007 – 2013)
  • National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism (R01AA013321, R01AA013326, R01AA013320, R01AA014041, R01AA007535)
  • National Institute on Aging (RC2AG036495, AG036495, RC4AG039029, AG039029, U01AG009740)
  • National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (HHSN268201 100012C, HHSN268201100007I, HHSN268201100007C, HHSN2682 01100008C, HH-SN-268201100006C, HHSN268201100011C, HHSN2682011-00005I, HHSN2682011-­00009I, HHSN268201100005C, HHSN268201100005G, HHSN268201100010C, HHSN268201100011I, HHSN26820 1100009C, HHSN2682011-00008I)
  • National Institute of Mental Health (R01MH066206)
  • National Institute on Drug Abuse (R56DA012854, R01DA012854)
  • National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases (R01DK075787)
  • FP7 Ideas: European Research Council (615603)
Topics
  • Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Genetic Associations and Epidemiology
  • Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Genetic and phenotypic traits in livestock
  • Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Genetic Mapping and Diversity in Plants and Animals
Keywords
genetic heterogeneity, gene-environment interaction, population heterogeneity, genetic score, educational attainment, reproductive behavior, body mass index, height, age at first birth, number of children, complex traits, mega-analysis, behavioral phenotypes

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review