Cited by 30Physical Activity and HealthCardiovascular and exercise physiologyNon-Invasive Vital Sign Monitoring

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 31 of the 31 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.

Longitudinal cardio-respiratory fitness prediction through wearables in free-living environments

Open access
Spathis, Dimitris, Perez-Pozuelo, Ignacio, Gonzales, Tomas I., Wu, Yu, Brage, Soren, Wareham, Nicholas, Mascolo, Cecilia·2022·npj Digital Medicine

Abstract

Cardiorespiratory fitness is an established predictor of metabolic disease and mortality. Fitness is directly measured as maximal oxygen consumption (VO 2max), or indirectly assessed using heart rate responses to standard exercise tests. However, such testing is costly and burdensome because it requires specialized equipment such as treadmills and oxygen masks, limiting its utility. Modern wearables capture dynamic real-world data which could improve fitness prediction. In this work, we design algorithms and models that convert raw wearable sensor data into cardiorespiratory fitness estimates. We validate these estimates’ ability to capture fitness profiles in free-living conditions using the Fenland Study (N=11,059), along with its longitudinal cohort (N = 2675), and a third external cohort using the UK Biobank Validation Study (N = 181) who underwent maximal VO 2max testing, the gold standard measurement of fitness. Our results show that the combination of wearables and other biomarkers as inputs to neural networks yields a strong correlation to ground truth in a holdout sample (r = 0.82, 95CI 0.80–0.83), outperforming other approaches and models and detects fitness change over time (e.g., after 7 years). We also show how the model’s latent space can be used for fitness-aware patient subtyping paving the way to scalable interventions and personalized trial recruitment. These results demonstrate the value of wearables for fitness estimation that today can be measured only with laboratory tests.

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Crossref · 10.1038/s41746-022-00719-1

Cites

31 of 31 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

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  • The model detects fitness change over time (e.g. after 7 years).

    “It also detects fitness change over time (e.g. after 7 years).”
  • A recent large-scale analysis using Fenland Study (N = 11 059), its longitudinal cohort (N = 2675), and UK Biobank Validation Study (N = 181) showed that combination of wearables and other biomarkers as inputs to neural networks yields a strong correlation to ground truth in a holdout sample (r = 0.82, 95% CI: 0.80-0.83).

    “A recent large-scale analysis used data from Fenland Study (N = 11 059), along with its longitudinal cohort (N = 2675), and a third external cohort using the UK Biobank Validation Study (N = 181) who underwent maximal VO2max testing, to show that the combination of wearables and other biomarkers as inputs to neural networks yields a strong correlation to ground truth in a holdout sample (r = 0.82,”
  • The model's latent space can also be used for fitness-aware patient subtyping paving the way to scalable interventions and personalized trial recruitment.

    “Notably, the model’s latent space can also be used for fitness-aware patient subtyping paving the way to scalable interventions and personalized trial recruitment.”
  • Large population-scale studies showed that HR responses can predict VO2max.

    “while large population-scale studies showed that these HR responses can predict VO2max [136].”
  • Apple's CRF feature is publicly validated on 221 participants while non-commercial methods use population-scale data from more than 11 000 participants.

    “For example, Apple’s CRF feature is publicly validated on 221 participants [135] while non-commercial methods use population-scale data from more than 11 000 participants [136].”

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Citations

Cites

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Research works printed but not linked: 3

  1. Swain, D. P., Brawner, C. A., of Sports Medicine, A. C. et al. ACSM’s Resource Manual for Guidelines for Exercise Testing and Prescription (Wolters Kluwer Health/Lippincott Williams & Wilkins, 2014).
  2. Lipton, Z., Wang, Y.-X. & Smola, A. Detecting and correcting for label shift with black box predictors. In Proceedings of International conference on machine learning, 3122–3130 (PMLR, 2018).
  3. Yosinski, J., Clune, J., Nguyen, A., Fuchs, T. & Lipson, H. Understanding neural networks through deep visualization. In Proceedings of ICML Workshop on Deep Learning (2015).

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Metadata

Authors
Spathis, D., Perez-Pozuelo, I., Gonzales, T. I., Wu, Y., Brage, S., Wareham, N., & Mascolo, C.
Affiliations
University of Cambridge (GB)
Corresponding author
Spathis, Dimitris
Venue
npj Digital Medicine
Published
2022-12-02
Volume
5
Issue
1
Pages
176-176
ISSN
2398-6352 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W4311185331
Cited by
30
References
30
Citations by year
2026: 9 · 2025: 13 · 2024: 7 · 2023: 1
FWCI
3.25
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • npj Digital Medicine (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
Funders
RCUK | Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EP/N509620/1)
Topics
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Physical Activity and Health
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Physiology (medical) › Cardiovascular and exercise physiology
  • Physical Sciences › Engineering › Biomedical Engineering › Non-Invasive Vital Sign Monitoring
Keywords
cardiorespiratory fitness, VO2max, wearable sensors, fitness prediction, free-living conditions, heart rate, artificial neural networks, patient subtyping, UK Biobank

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