Cited by 39

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 6 of the 6 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.

Modelling suppression difficulty: current and future applications

Rodríguez y Silva, Francisco, O’Connor, Christopher D., Thompson, Matthew P., Molina Martínez, Juan Ramón, Calkin, David E.·2020·International Journal of Wildland Fire

Abstract

Improving decision processes and the informational basis upon which decisions are made in pursuit of safer and more effective fire response have become key priorities of the fire research community. One area of emphasis is bridging the gap between fire researchers and managers through development of application-focused, operationally relevant decision support tools. In this paper we focus on a family of such tools designed to characterise the difficulty of suppression operations by weighing suppression challenges against suppression opportunities. These tools integrate potential fire behaviour, vegetation cover types, topography, road and trail networks, existing fuel breaks and fireline production potential to map the operational effort necessary for fire suppression. We include case studies from two large fires in the USA and Spain to demonstrate model updates and improvements intended to better capture extreme fire behaviour and present results demonstrating successful fire containment where suppression difficulty index (SDI) values were low and containment only after a moderation of fire weather where SDI values were high. A basic aim of this work is reducing the uncertainty and increasing the efficiency of suppression operations through assessment of landscape conditions and incorporation of expert knowledge into planning.

Overview

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1071/wf19042

Cites

6 of 6 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Recomputing p-values needs the paper’s full text.

Verification

Claims the paper makes

This paper’s full text isn’t openly available, so its claims and self-check weren’t run. The registry and citation checks still apply.

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • Expert opinion is widely used in the development of comparable wildland fire spatial decision support datasets, such as GET v1 and the Suppression Difficulty Index.

    “It is widely used in the development of comparable wildland fire spatial decision support datasets, such as GET v1 and the Suppression Difficulty Index [22,23].”

Citations

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

Research works printed but not linked: 50

  1. Belval, 2015, A mixed integer program to model spatial wildfire behavior and suppression placement decisions., Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 45, 384, 10.1139/CJFR-2014-0252 · DOI
  2. Belval, 2016, A stochastic mixed integer program to model spatial wildfire behavior and suppression placement decisions with uncertain weather., Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 46, 234, 10.1139/CJFR-2015-0289 · DOI
  3. Beverly, 2017, Time since prior wildfire affects subsequent fire containment in black spruce., International Journal of Wildland Fire, 26, 919, 10.1071/WF17051 · DOI
  4. Brown GW, Mood AM (1951) ‘On median tests for linear hypotheses’. Proceedings of the Second Berkeley Symposium on Mathematical Statistics and Probability.’ University of California Press, Berkeley, CA. Available at https://projecteuclid.org/euclid.bsmsp/1200500226 · DOI
  5. Calkin, 2011, The exposure index: developing firefighter safety performance measures., Fire Management Today, 71, 24
  6. Calkin, 2011, A real-time risk assessment tool supporting wildland fire decisionmaking., Journal of Forestry, 109, 274, 10.1093/jof/109.5.274 · DOI · Paper page
  7. Campbell, 2017, Safe separation distance score: a new metric for evaluating wildland firefighter safety zones using lidar., International Journal of Geographical Information Science, 31, 1448, 10.1080/13658816.2016.1270453 · DOI · Paper page
  8. Dennison, 2014, Identification of firefighter safety zones using lidar., Environmental Modelling & Software, 59, 91, 10.1016/J.ENVSOFT.2014.05.017 · DOI · Paper page
  9. Duff, 2015, Operational wildfire suppression modelling: a review evaluating development, state of the art and future directions., International Journal of Wildland Fire, 24, 735, 10.1071/WF15018 · DOI
  10. Dunn, 2017, Towards enhanced risk management: planning, decision making and monitoring of US wildfire response., International Journal of Wildland Fire, 26, 551, 10.1071/WF17089 · DOI
  11. Dunn, 2017, A framework for developing safe and effective large-fire response in a new fire management paradigm., Forest Ecology and Management, 404, 184, 10.1016/J.FORECO.2017.08.039 · DOI
  12. Dunn, 2019, Spatial and temporal assessment of responder exposure to snag hazards in post-fire environments., Forest Ecology and Management, 441, 202, 10.1016/J.FORECO.2019.03.035 · DOI · Paper page
  13. Filkov, 2018, Improving fire behaviour data obtained from wildfires., Forests, 9, 81, 10.3390/F9020081 · DOI
  14. Hand, 2017, The influence of incident management teams on the deployment of wildfire suppression resources., International Journal of Wildland Fire, 26, 615, 10.1071/WF16126 · DOI
  15. Hirsch, 1996, A review of initial attack fire crew productivity and effectiveness., International Journal of Wildland Fire, 6, 199, 10.1071/WF9960199 · DOI
  16. Hirsch, 2004, Productivity of Ontario initial-attack fire crews: results of an expert-judgement elicitation study., Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 34, 705, 10.1139/X03-237 · DOI
  17. Holmes, 2013, Econometric analysis of fire suppression production functions for large wildland fires., International Journal of Wildland Fire, 22, 246, 10.1071/WF11098 · DOI
  18. Jolly, 2017, Towards improving wildland firefighter situational awareness through daily fire behaviour risk assessments in the US Northern Rockies and Northern Great Basin., International Journal of Wildland Fire, 26, 574, 10.1071/WF16153 · DOI
  19. Kalabokidis, 2016, AEGIS: a wildfire prevention and management information system., Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 16, 643, 10.5194/NHESS-16-643-2016 · DOI
  20. Katuwal, 2016, Production and efficiency of large wildland fire suppression effort: a stochastic frontier analysis., Journal of Environmental Management, 166, 227, 10.1016/J.JENVMAN.2015.10.030 · DOI
  21. Katuwal, 2017, Characterising resource use and potential inefficiencies during large-fire suppression in the western US., International Journal of Wildland Fire, 26, 604, 10.1071/WF17054 · DOI
  22. Liu, 2018, Application of machine-learning methods in forest ecology: recent progress and future challenges., Environmental Reviews, 26, 339, 10.1139/ER-2018-0034 · DOI
  23. Martell, 2015, A review of recent forest and wildland fire management decision support systems research., Current Forestry Reports, 1, 128, 10.1007/S40725-015-0011-Y · DOI
  24. Meyer, 2015, Principles of effective USA federal fire management plans., Fire Ecology, 11, 59, 10.4996/FIREECOLOGY.1102059 · DOI
  25. Minas, 2015, An integrated optimization model for fuel management and fire suppression preparedness planning., Annals of Operations Research, 232, 201
  26. Mitsopoulos, 2016, An integrated approach for mapping fire suppression difficulty in three different ecosystems of Eastern Europe., Journal of Spatial Science, 62, 1, 10.1080/14498596.2016.1169952 · DOI
  27. O’Connor, 2019, Engaging the fire before it starts: a case study from the 2017 Pinal Fire (Arizona)., Wildfire, 28, 14
  28. O’Connor, 2016, Getting ahead of the wildfire problem: quantifying and mapping management challenges and opportunities., Geosciences, 6, 35, 10.3390/GEOSCIENCES6030035 · DOI
  29. O’Connor, 2017, An empirical machine learning approach for predicting future fire control points from historical fire perimeters., International Journal of Wildland Fire, 26, 587, 10.1071/WF16135 · DOI · Paper page
  30. Pacheco, 2015, Cohesive fire management within an uncertain environment: a review of risk handling and decision support systems., Forest Ecology and Management, 347, 1, 10.1016/J.FORECO.2015.02.033 · DOI
  31. Page, 2017, An empirically based approach to defining wildland firefighter safety and survival zone separation distances., International Journal of Wildland Fire, 26, 655, 10.1071/WF16213 · DOI
  32. Page, 2013, Wildfire’s resistance to control in mountain pine beetle-attacked lodgepole pine forests., Forestry Chronicle, 89, 783, 10.5558/TFC2013-141 · DOI · Paper page
  33. Penman, 2013, Examining the relative effects of fire weather, suppression and fuel treatment on fire behaviour: a simulation study., Journal of Environmental Management, 131, 325, 10.1016/J.JENVMAN.2013.10.007 · DOI
  34. Plucinski, 2019, Contain and control: wildfire suppression effectiveness at incidents and across landscapes., Current Forestry Reports, 5, 20, 10.1007/S40725-019-00085-4 · DOI
  35. Rodríguez y Silva, 2010, ‘SINAMI’: a tool for the economic evaluation of forest fire management programs in Mediterranean ecosystems., International Journal of Wildland Fire, 19, 927, 10.1071/WF09015 · DOI
  36. Rodríguez y Silva, 2016, Contribution of suppression difficulty and lessons learned in forecasting fire suppression operations productivity: a methodological approach., Journal of Forest Economics, 25, 149, 10.1016/J.JFE.2016.10.002 · DOI
  37. Rodríguez y Silva, 2014, A methodology for determining operational priorities for prevention and suppression of wildland fires., International Journal of Wildland Fire, 23, 544, 10.1071/WF13063 · DOI
  38. Stonesifer, 2014, Developing an aviation exposure index to inform risk-based fire management decisions., Journal of Forestry, 112, 581
  39. Stonesifer, 2016, Fighting fire in the heat of the day: an analysis of operational and environmental conditions of use for large airtankers in United States fire suppression., International Journal of Wildland Fire, 25, 520, 10.1071/WF15149 · DOI
  40. Tedim, 2018, Defining extreme wildfire events: difficulties, challenges, and impacts., Fire, 1, 9, 10.3390/FIRE1010009 · DOI
  41. Thompson, 2014, Social, institutional, and psychological factors affecting wildfire incident decision making., Society & Natural Resources, 27, 636, 10.1080/08941920.2014.901460 · DOI · Paper page
  42. Thompson, 2011, Integrated national-scale assessment of wildfire risk to human and ecological values., Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, 25, 761, 10.1007/S00477-011-0461-0 · DOI
  43. Thompson, 2016, Application of wildfire risk assessment results to wildfire response planning in the southern Sierra Nevada, California, USA., Forests, 7, 64, 10.3390/F7030064 · DOI
  44. Thompson, 2016, Quantifying the influence of previously burned areas on suppression effectiveness and avoided exposure: a case study of the Las Conchas Fire., International Journal of Wildland Fire, 25, 167, 10.1071/WF14216 · DOI
  45. Thompson, 2017, A review of challenges to determining and demonstrating efficiency of large fire management., International Journal of Wildland Fire, 26, 562, 10.1071/WF16137 · DOI · Paper page
  46. Thompson, 2018, Rethinking the wildland fire management system., Journal of Forestry, 116, 382, 10.1093/JOFORE/FVY020 · DOI
  47. Thompson, 2019, Risk management and analytics in wildfire response., Current Forestry Reports, 5, 226, 10.1007/S40725-019-00101-7 · DOI
  48. Viegas, 2005, A mathematical model for forest fires blowup., Combustin Science and Technology, 177, 27, 10.1080/00102200590883624 · DOI
  49. Wei, 2018, Spatial optimization of operationally relevant large fire confine and point protection strategies: model development and test cases., Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 48, 480, 10.1139/CJFR-2017-0271 · DOI
  50. Wotton, 2017, Potential climate change impacts on fire intensity and key wildfire suppression thresholds in Canada., Environmental Research Letters, 12, 10.1088/1748-9326/AA7E6E · DOI

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Metadata

Authors
Rodríguez y Silva, F., O’Connor, C. D., Thompson, M. P., Molina Martínez, J. R., & Calkin, D. E.
Affiliations
  • ADepartment of Forest Engineering, Forest Fire Laboratory, University of Córdoba, Edificio Leonardo da Vinci, Campus de Rabanales, E-14071 Córdoba, Spain.
  • BUS Department of Agriculture Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station, 800 East Beckwith Avenue, Missoula, MT 59801, USA.
  • CUS Department of Agriculture Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station, 240 West Prospect Road, Fort Collins, CO 80526, USA.
Venue
International Journal of Wildland Fire
Published
2020-05-05
Volume
29
Issue
8
Pages
739-751
ISSN
  • 1049-8001
  • 1448-5516
Cited by
39
References
6
Language
en

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review