21st century United States emissions mitigation could increase water stress more than the climate change it is mitigating
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Significance: Devising sustainable climate change mitigation policies with attention to potential synergies and constraints within the climate–energy–water nexus is the subject of ongoing integrated modeling efforts. This study employs a regional integrated assessment model and a regional Earth system model at high spatial and temporal resolutions in the Unites States to compare the implications of two of the representative concentration pathways under consistent socioeconomics. The results clearly show, for the first time to our knowledge, that climate change mitigation policies, if not designed with careful attention to water resources, could increase the magnitude, spatial coverage, and frequency of water deficits. The results challenge the general perception that mitigation that aims at reducing warming also would alleviate water deficits in the future.
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Land conversion from native grass to bioenergy plants or growing bioenergy plants (switchgrass or Miscanthus) on low-productive land in the Mississippi River Basin can decrease water yield, surface runoff, and streamflow, and increase evapotranspiration and nitrogen loss.
“the land conversion from native grass to bioenergy plants or growing bioenergy plants (switchgrass or Miscanthus) on the low-productive land in the Mississippi River Basin can indeed decrease water yield, surface runoff, and streamflow, and increase the evapotranspiration (ET) and nitrogen loss”
From Bioenergy production and environmental impacts (2018) · cites this paper as Hejazi et al. 2015
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- Authors
- Hejazi, M. I., Voisin, N., Liu, L., Bramer, L. M., Fortin, D. C., Hathaway, J. E., Huang, M., Kyle, P., Leung, L. R., Li, H.-Y., Liu, Y., Patel, P. L., Pulsipher, T. C., Rice, J. S., Tesfa, T. K., Vernon, C. R., & Zhou, Y.
- Affiliations
- Joint Global Change Research Institute (US)
- Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (US)
- Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA 99352
- ORCID
- Venue
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
- Publisher
- National Academy of Sciences
- Published
- 2015-08-03
- Volume
- 112
- Issue
- 34
- Pages
- 10635-10640
- ISSN
- 0027-8424 (ISSN-L)
- 1091-6490
- PMC
- PMC4553779
- OpenAlex
- W2145991779
- Cited by
- 166
- References
- 39
- Citations by year
- 2026: 5 · 2025: 6 · 2024: 15 · 2023: 19 · 2022: 14 · 2021: 20 · 2020: 14 · 2019: 22 · 2018: 27 · 2017: 12 · 2016: 11 · 2015: 1
- FWCI
- 11.22
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- U.S. Department of Energy (DE-AC05–76RL01830, 76RL01830, AC05-76RL01830, DE-AC05?, Contract DE-AC05-76RL01830)
- Battelle (AC05-76RL01830, DE- AC05-76RL01830, DE-AC05)
- Office of Science (DE‐AC05‐76 RL01830)
- Biological and Environmental Research (DE-AC05-76 RL01830, AC05-76RL01830, 76RL01830)
- Laboratory Directed Research and Development (76RL01830, DEAC05–76RL01830)
- Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (DEAC0576RL01830, 76RL01830)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Water Science and Technology › Water-Energy-Food Nexus Studies
- Physical Sciences › Engineering › Ocean Engineering › Water resources management and optimization
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Climate Change Policy and Economics
- Keywords
- climate change mitigation, water stress, water demand, evapotranspiration, drought, surface drying, United States, socioeconomics, integrated modeling
- MeSH terms
- Conservation of Natural Resources, Forecasting, Fresh Water, Models, Theoretical, Public Policy, Socioeconomic Factors, United States, Water Supply, Climate Change, Global Warming, Water Cycle, Groundwater
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