The DOI matches its Crossref record; 62 of the 62 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Armed-conflict risks enhanced by climate-related disasters in ethnically fractionalized countries
Open accessAbstract
Significance: Ethnic divides play a major role in many armed conflicts around the world and might serve as predetermined conflict lines following rapidly emerging societal tensions arising from disruptive events like natural disasters. We find evidence in global datasets that risk of armed-conflict outbreak is enhanced by climate-related disaster occurrence in ethnically fractionalized countries. Although we find no indications that environmental disasters directly trigger armed conflicts, our results imply that disasters might act as a threat multiplier in several of the world’s most conflict-prone regions.
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Cites
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Cited by
Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene
Steffen, W., Rockström, J., Richardson, K., Lenton, T. M., Folke, C., Liverman, D., Summerhayes, C. P., Barnosky, A. D., Cornell, S. E., Crucifix, M., et al. (2018) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1810141115 · Cited by 3,139
Self-citationFuture of the human climate niche
Xu, C., Kohler, T. A., Lenton, T. M., Svenning, J.-C., & Scheffer, M. (2020) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1910114117 · Cited by 862
Climate as a risk factor for armed conflict
Mach, K. J., Kraan, C. M., Adger, W. N., Buhaug, H., Burke, M., Fearon, J. D., Field, C. B., Hendrix, C. S., Maystadt, J.-F., O’Loughlin, J., et al. (2019) · Nature · doi:10.1038/s41586-019-1300-6 · Cited by 619
Climate, conflict and forced migration
Abel, G. J., Brottrager, M., Crespo Cuaresma, J., & Muttarak, R. (2019) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2018.12.003 · Cited by 564
Glacial change and hydrological implications in the Himalaya and Karakoram
Nie, Y., Pritchard, H. D., Liu, Q., Hennig, T., Wang, W., Wang, X., Liu, S., Nepal, S., Samyn, D., Hewitt, K., et al. (2021) · Nature Reviews Earth & Environment · doi:10.1038/s43017-020-00124-w · Cited by 523
Metadata
- Authors
- Schleussner, C.-F., Donges, J. F., Donner, R. V., & Schellnhuber, H. J.
- Venue
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
- Published
- 2016-07-25
- Volume
- 113
- Issue
- 33
- Pages
- 9216-9221
- ISSN
- 0027-8424 (ISSN-L)
- 1091-6490
- OpenAlex
- W2486761579
- Cited by
- 365
- References
- 62
- FWCI
- 99.09
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
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- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Armed-conflict risks enhanced by climate-related disasters in ethnically fractionalized countries. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1073/pnas.1601611113
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- Schleussner, C.-F., Donges, J. F., Donner, R. V., & Schellnhuber, H. J. (2016). Armed-conflict risks enhanced by climate-related disasters in ethnically fractionalized countries. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1601611113
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Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
