Political party and party system institutionalization in Southeast Asia: lessons for democratic consolidation in Indonesia, the Philippines and Thailand
Open accessAbstract
Is a higher degree of party and party system institutionalization positively correlated with the consolidation of democracy, defined here as the prevention of democratic breakdown? In order to answer this question, it is useful to compare different levels and types of institutionalization in three Southeast Asian electoral democracies. Institutionalized party systems are characterized, according to Mainwaring and Torcal, by ‘stability of interparty competition.’ Moreover, the distinction made by Levitsky (‘value infusion’ versus ‘behavioural routinization’) with reference to the institutionalization of individual parties will be employed. The empirical research of this paper finds that most Indonesian parties are better institutionalized than those in the Philippines and Thailand with reference to ‘value infusion.’ In addition, the interparty competition is more stable in Indonesia. Therefore, the probability of a collapse of the party system in the Philippines and Thailand is much higher. This, in turn, renders the democracies in these countries more fragile and prone to political crises or even sudden breakdowns. The early organizational consolidation of social cleavages, such as in Indonesia, enhances institutionalization. A few of the most important parties are socially rooted and have strong linkages to civil and/or religious organizations. Furthermore, the relationship between central and local elites appears to be essential: strong bosses or cliques undermine institutionalization in the Philippines and in Thailand, respectively. However, in recent years there has also been a tendency towards convergence. There are signs of regression in Indonesia, such that the future of the party system is open to question. This article calls for caution with respect to the stated causal relation between institutionalization and democratic consolidation, and it questions some aspects of the concept.
AI snapshot
Written from the paper’s full text.
TL;DR
This article compares party and party system institutionalization in Indonesia, the Philippines, and Thailand and asks whether higher institutionalization supports democratic consolidation. It argues Indonesia is comparatively better institutionalized, while the Philippines and Thailand are weakly institutionalized, but concludes that the institutionalization–consolidation link is weaker and more conditional than often assumed.
Key findings
- Indonesia shows relatively stable interparty competition and rooted parties: the paper reports continuities between 1955 and 1999 election results, and in 2004 Golkar won 21.6% and 128 seats, PDI-P 18.5% and 109 seats, PKB 10.6% and 52 seats, PPP 8.2% and 58 seats, and PD 7.5% and 57 seats. Still, it notes de-alignment, personalism, money politics, and weak platforms.
- The Philippines is described as hardly institutionalized in stability of interparty competition: parties are founded by presidential candidates, party switching is frequent, party government is generally absent, and parties are often electoral vehicles or clientelistic networks.
- Thailand is described as weakly institutionalized in value infusion and behavioral routinization: parties are shallowly rooted, local cliques (*phuak*) and factions matter, and Thai Rak Thai won 248 of 500 seats in 2001 and 377 in 2005 but was not well institutionalized and collapsed after the 2006 coup.
- The paper qualifies the causal claim: the three cases cautiously support a positive correlation between better-institutionalized party systems and less fragile democracy, but institutionalization can also ossify party structures, heighten social conflict, or help sustain electoral authoritarianism and clientelism.
Methods
- Comparative case study of Indonesia, the Philippines, and Thailand, framed by literature on party/party system institutionalization and democratic consolidation.
- Assesses party system institutionalization mainly through “stability of interparty competition” and individual party institutionalization through Levitsky’s “value infusion” and “behavioral routinization,” rather than fragmentation or electoral volatility.
- Uses secondary literature, election tables, and cited survey evidence; no original large-N statistical analysis is presented.
Limitations
- Stated: the causal mechanism linking institutionalization and democratic consolidation is weaker than often assumed; the impact of formal institutions is difficult to assess and should not be overestimated; the Indonesian pattern may change in the long run.
- Stated: electoral volatility is a weak indicator in these cases because of party switching in the Philippines and factional politics in Thailand.
- Evident from the text: the study is a qualitative three-case comparison relying heavily on secondary sources, with limited generalizability and a temporal focus ending around the 2007–2008 period.
Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
0 of 41 cited sources checked · 0 supported · 0 flagged
- Findingcitation
The first direct elections of regional heads (pilkada), started in 2005, have weakened local and regional party leaders in comparison to the candidates, because many candidates did not have a strong party background but were chosen among independent civil servants or businessmen.
“Furthermore, the first direct elections of regional heads (governors, district chiefs and mayors), the pilkada, which started in 2005, have weakened local and regional party leaders in comparison to the candidates, because many of the latter did not have a strong party background but were chosen among independent civil servants or businessmen (Mietzner 2008;Rinakit 2005).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites Mietzner 2008
Not checked in the free run.
- cites Rinakit 2005
Not checked in the free run.
- Findingcitation
Golkar is more a clientelist machine than a platform-based 'classical' party.
“Golkar, in the New Order period the ruling party and an assemblage of so-called functional groups, is more a clientelist machine than a platform-based 'classical' party (Tomsa 2006).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Tomsa 2006
Not checked in the free run.
- Findingreasoning
Factionalization is a recurrent problem in Indonesian parties.
“After 1998, parties are more dominated by charismatic leaders, and factionalization is a recurrent problem.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingnone given
Even in terms of behavioral routinization, Indonesian parties' track record is better than that of their counterparts in the other two countries.
“Even in terms of behavioral routinization, their track record is better than that of their counterparts in the other two countries.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingnone given
Many Indonesian parties are rooted in social milieus.
“Many parties are rooted in social milieus.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
- Findingnone given
In most Indonesian parties crucial decisions are made by some of the core executive members, who are usually loyal to one charismatic leader.
“In most parties crucial decisions are made by some of the core executive members, who are usually loyal to one charismatic leader.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingnone given
After 1998, Indonesian parties are more dominated by charismatic leaders.
“After 1998, parties are more dominated by charismatic leaders, and factionalization is a recurrent problem.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingnone given
The two largest Indonesian parties today, Golkar and the PDI-P, provide particular evidence of the trend towards 'money politics' and clientelism.
“The two largest parties today, Golkar and the PDI-P, provide particular evidence of the trend towards 'money politics' and clientelism.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingcitation
During the 2004 presidential elections, a trend towards personalization due to the impact of the mass media was evident in Indonesia.
“During the presidential elections in 2004 a trend towards personalization (Mujani and Liddle 2007) due to the impact of the mass media was evident.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Mujani and Liddle 2007
Not checked in the free run.
- Findingnone given
In Indonesia, political parties and mass organizations such as Muhammadiyah and Nahdatul Ulama arose long before independence.
“In the case of Indonesia, political parties and mass organizations such as Muhammadiyah and Nahdatul Ulama arose long before independence.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingreasoning
Local elites are still fractured and relatively weak in Indonesia.
“Another factor is the strength of local elites.This is still fractured and relatively weak in Indonesia.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingcitation
In the Philippines, military, administrative and economic elites have been able to dominate parties since their inception.
“Whilst in the Philippines military, administrative and economic elites have been able to dominate parties since their inception (Hutchcroft and Rocamora 2002)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Hutchcroft and Rocamora 2002 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Findingnone given
In Indonesia, local mafias have so far been quickly subordinated to centralized national (party-)state apparatuses.
“In contrast, in Indonesia local mafias have so far been quickly subordinated to centralized national (party-)state apparatuses.4”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingcitation
In the 1950s, ethnic Chinese and indigenous (pribumi) businessmen were too weak to exercise much influence on Indonesian governments.
“The ethnic Chinese and indigenous (pribumi) businessmen were too weak to exercise much influence on governments (Feith 1962: 105).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Feith 1962: 105
Not checked in the free run.
- Findingreasoning
In Indonesia, politicians with lower- and middle-class backgrounds are more capable of rising through the ranks of party organizations.
“in Indonesia politicians with lower-and middle-class backgrounds are more capable of rising through the ranks of party organizations.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingcitation
In the 1950s, Dutch companies controlled most capital-intensive sections of the Indonesian economy.
“In the 1950s, Dutch companies controlled most capital-intensive sections of the economy.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Feith 1962: 105
Not checked in the free run.
- Findingnone given
The military coup against Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra, the abrogation of the Constitution, the dissolution of parliament and the Constitutional Court, and the ensuing collapse of the party system indicate the striking frailty of the Thai polity.
“The military coup against Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra, the abrogation of the Constitution, the dissolution of parliament and the Constitutional Court, and the ensuing collapse of the party system indicate the striking frailty of the polity.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingnone given
Almost all Southeast Asian parties are weakly institutionalized, particularly with reference to their behavioral routinization.
“Regarding the dimensions of party and party system institutionalization, almost all Southeast Asian parties are weakly institutionalized, particularly with reference to their behavioral routinization.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingnone given
Despite pronounced struggles between party factions and clearly visible tendencies towards dealignment, Indonesian parties are still established in the public mind as representatives of specific streams (aliran) or milieus.
“Despite pronounced struggles between party factions and clearly visible tendencies towards dealignment, parties are still established in the public mind as representatives of specific streams (aliran) or milieus.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingcitation
People Power Two and Three, a spate of political killings, the state of emergency in February 2006, successive impeachment bids against Arroyo, and coup attempts by the military are testimony to the fragile state of Philippine democracy.
“People Power Two and Three, a spate of political killings, the state of emergency in February 2006, successive impeachment bids against Arroyo, and coup attempts by the military are testimony to the fragile state of its democracy.5”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingcitation
Indonesia is now arguably, with reference to the Freedom House ratings for political rights and civil liberties, the most democratic country in Southeast Asia.
“Indonesia is now arguably, with reference to the Freedom House ratings for political rights and civil liberties, the most democratic country in Southeast Asia.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The Freedom House ratings for political rights and civil liberties are valid indicators of a country's level of democracy.
- Findingreasoning
In the Philippines, the political situation is as volatile as ever.
“In the Philippines, the political situation is as volatile as ever.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingnone given
In contrast, a stable party system does not exist in the Philippines or Thailand.
“In contrast, a stable party system does not exist in the Philippines or Thailand.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationnone given
What most Thai parties have in common is that they are feebly institutionalized in terms of value infusion and behavioral routinization.
“What most Thai parties have in common is that they are feebly institutionalized in terms of value infusion and behavioral routinization.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The three countries, Indonesia, the Philippines and Thailand, are comparable cases for assessing the relationship between party and party system institutionalization and democratic consolidation.
- Interpretationcitation
In comparison to the 1950s, there are clear indications of a de-alignment of Indonesian parties in spite of the notable aliran persistence.
“In comparison to the 1950s, there are clear indications of a de-alignment of Indonesian parties in spite of the notable aliran persistence”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Ufen 2008
Not checked in the free run.
- Rests on an assumption: The three countries, Indonesia, the Philippines and Thailand, are comparable cases for assessing the relationship between party and party system institutionalization and democratic consolidation.
- Interpretationcitation
Thai parties are poorly institutionalized with reference to value infusion and behavioral routinization indicators.
“Thai parties are poorly institutionalized with reference to these indicators”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites Bünte 2000
Not checked in the free run.
- cites Ockey 2003
Not checked in the free run.
- cites Orathai 2002
Not checked in the free run.
- Rests on an assumption: The three countries, Indonesia, the Philippines and Thailand, are comparable cases for assessing the relationship between party and party system institutionalization and democratic consolidation.
- Interpretationreasoning
Philippine parties are also feebly institutionalized in terms of value infusion and behavioral routinization.
“The same is true of Philippine parties.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The three countries, Indonesia, the Philippines and Thailand, are comparable cases for assessing the relationship between party and party system institutionalization and democratic consolidation.
- Interpretationnone given
Islamic and Islamist parties in Indonesia have arguably stronger social roots, in particular those with links to mass organizations and social milieus where people with similar backgrounds, outlooks and lifestyles tend to have almost similar political preferences.
“Islamic and Islamist parties have arguably stronger social roots, in particular those with links to mass organizations and social milieus where people with similar backgrounds, outlooks and lifestyles tend to have almost similar political preferences.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The three countries, Indonesia, the Philippines and Thailand, are comparable cases for assessing the relationship between party and party system institutionalization and democratic consolidation.
- Interpretationreasoning
In Indonesia, interparty competition is characterized by clear continuities when comparing the current situation with that in the 1950s.
“To sum up, interparty competition is characterized by clear continuities when comparing the current situation with that in the 1950s.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The three countries, Indonesia, the Philippines and Thailand, are comparable cases for assessing the relationship between party and party system institutionalization and democratic consolidation.
- Interpretationnone given
In the Philippines, interparty relations are marked by a history of discontinuities.
“interparty relations in the Philippines are marked by a history of dis-continuities.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The three countries, Indonesia, the Philippines and Thailand, are comparable cases for assessing the relationship between party and party system institutionalization and democratic consolidation.
- Interpretationreasoning
The Democrat Party is the best-institutionalized party in Thailand.
“The Democrat Party is the bestinstitutionalized party in Thailand.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The three countries, Indonesia, the Philippines and Thailand, are comparable cases for assessing the relationship between party and party system institutionalization and democratic consolidation.
- Interpretationnone given
Under Thaksin, alternatives in the Thai party system vanished almost completely.
“Under him, alternatives vanished almost completely.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The three countries, Indonesia, the Philippines and Thailand, are comparable cases for assessing the relationship between party and party system institutionalization and democratic consolidation.
- Interpretationnone given
Before Thaksin, the Thai party system was weakly institutionalized with respect to the stability of interparty competition.
“Before Thaksin, the party system was weakly institutionalized with respect to the stability of interparty competition.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The three countries, Indonesia, the Philippines and Thailand, are comparable cases for assessing the relationship between party and party system institutionalization and democratic consolidation.
- Interpretationreasoning
The Thai Rak Thai party was not well institutionalized.
“Nonetheless, it was not well institutionalized.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The three countries, Indonesia, the Philippines and Thailand, are comparable cases for assessing the relationship between party and party system institutionalization and democratic consolidation.
- Interpretationreasoning
The continuities in Indonesian interparty competition denote the astounding stability of some core patterns of the party system despite authoritarian backlashes.
“This denotes the astounding stability of some core patterns of the party system despite the authoritarian backlashes.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The three countries, Indonesia, the Philippines and Thailand, are comparable cases for assessing the relationship between party and party system institutionalization and democratic consolidation.
- Interpretationreasoning
With respect to stability of interparty competition, the Philippine party system is hardly institutionalized.
“With respect to 'stability of interparty competition,' the party system is hardly institutionalized.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The three countries, Indonesia, the Philippines and Thailand, are comparable cases for assessing the relationship between party and party system institutionalization and democratic consolidation.
- Interpretationreasoning
Seen against the background of Philippine party weakness, the state of political parties in Indonesia is much better.
“Seen against this background, the state of political parties in Indonesia is much better.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The three countries, Indonesia, the Philippines and Thailand, are comparable cases for assessing the relationship between party and party system institutionalization and democratic consolidation.
- Interpretationcitation
An important reason for party switching and the shift from one coalition to another in the Philippines are porkbarrels, special financial resources controlled by the president.
“An important reason for party switching and the shift from one coalition to another are porkbarrels, that is, special financial resources controlled by the president”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Arlegue and Coronel 2003
Not checked in the free run.
- Rests on an assumption: The three countries, Indonesia, the Philippines and Thailand, are comparable cases for assessing the relationship between party and party system institutionalization and democratic consolidation.
- Study design and conductreasoning
Electoral volatility is a very weak indicator if only single political parties, and not party families, are assessed.
“Electoral volatility is a very weak indicator if only single political parties -and not party families -are assessed.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
The structure and performance of political parties has to be seen against the background of other structural and institutional factors.
“The structure and performance of political parties has to be seen against the background of other structural and institutional factors (Stockton 2001: 117).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Stockton 2001: 117
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationnone given
Another reason for the weak institutionalization of Philippine parties is the enormous campaign expenses.
“Another rea-son for the weak institutionalization of parties is the enormous campaign expenses.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The three countries, Indonesia, the Philippines and Thailand, are comparable cases for assessing the relationship between party and party system institutionalization and democratic consolidation.
- Study design and conductcitation
In Thailand, it is more important to know the number of factions than to simply count party seats.
“In Thailand, it is more important to know the number of factions than to simply count party seats”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Chambers 2005 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationnone given
For voters, the fluid configurations in the Philippines and Thailand have generally provided neither policy preference predictability nor clear and stable expectations about the behavior of political actors.
“For voters, the fluid configurations in the Philippines and Thailand have generally provided neither policy preference predictability nor clear and stable expectations about the behavior of political actors.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
In a stable party system, the probability that anti-system politicians can become the head of government is lower.
“In such a system the probability that anti-system politicians can become the head of government is lower.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
The fragility of the Thai party system was made all the more evident in 2006 when the military toppled Thaksin amidst mass demonstrations.
“The fragility of the Thai party system was made all the more evident in 2006 when the military toppled him amidst mass demonstrations.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The three countries, Indonesia, the Philippines and Thailand, are comparable cases for assessing the relationship between party and party system institutionalization and democratic consolidation.
- Interpretationreasoning
Institutionalized party systems imply that there is, if at all, only a moderate polarization.
“This implies that there is, if at all, only a moderate polarization.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Multipartism in the Philippines has in many instances even deteriorated the quality of political parties.
“This multipartism has in many instances even deteriorated the quality of political parties.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The three countries, Indonesia, the Philippines and Thailand, are comparable cases for assessing the relationship between party and party system institutionalization and democratic consolidation.
- Interpretationreasoning
In Indonesia, the early institutionalization of societal cleavages after independence enabled the crystallization of a party system with relatively stable patterns of competition.
“In Indonesia the early institutionalization of societal cleavages after independence enabled the crystallization of a party system with relatively stable patterns of competition.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
In Indonesia, a marked de-alignment process has arguably been caused by the 'rise of capital,' that is, a growing symbiosis of entrepreneurs and politicians.
“In Indonesia a marked de-alignment process has arguably been caused by the 'rise of capital,' that is, a growing symbiosis of entrepreneurs and politicians.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
In the Philippines and Thailand, the national party apparatus is subordinated to local and regional leaders with disastrous effects on party and party system institutionalization.
“If we translate Sidel's assumption into the analysis of political parties, we witness in the Philippines and in Thailand the subordination of the national party apparatus to local and regional leaders with disastrous effects on party and party system institutionalization.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
From the beginning, strong local elites have captured political parties as power bases.
“From the beginning, strong local elites have captured political parties as power bases.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Sidel 1999 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationnone given
The introduction of a majority system seems to be more probable if there are just two major players.
“The introduction of a majority system, in contrast, seems to be more probable if there are just two major players.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
Elected officials have gained executive control over local state agencies.
“Elected officials have gained executive control over local state agencies.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Sidel 1999 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationreasoning
The choice of the proportional representation system after independence and again in 1998-99 was due to the high number of relevant political actors.
“The choice of the proportional representation system after independence and again in 1998-99 was due to the high number of relevant political actors.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
One crucial factor for different levels of institutionalization is early political mobilization and the resulting translation of social cleavages into the party system.
“One crucial factor is the early political mobilization and the resulting translation of social cleavages into the party system.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Arguably, in Thailand and the Philippines the role of local elites is, among other things, more important because of the election system.
“Arguably, in Thailand and the Philip-pines the role of local elites is, among other things, more important because of the election system.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Even the effects of electoral systems in Indonesia, Thailand, and the Philippines are of limited importance.
“But even the effects of electoral systems in Indonesia, Thailand, and the Philippines are, I would argue, of limited importance.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationnone given
At the national level, another important deinstitutionalizing factor is a close relationship between capital and the political class.
“At the national level another important deinstitutionalizing factor is a close relationship between capital and the political class.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationcitation
Accordingly, political parties in electoral democracies may strengthen the impact of questionable features of the regime, for instance clientelism and 'money politics.'
“Accordingly, political parties in electoral democracies may strengthen the impact of questionable features of the regime, for instance clientelism and 'money politics.'”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
The limited influence of presidentialism and parliamentarianism can be deducted cautiously from the somewhat similar deficiencies of political parties and the party systems in Thailand and the Philippines.
“Besides, the limited influence of presidentialism and parliamentarianism can be deducted cautiously from the somewhat similar deficiencies of political parties and the party systems in Thailand and the Philippines.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Political parties as major actors in the political society are only one component of democratic consolidation.
“Political parties as major actors in the political society are only one component of democratic consolidation.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationnone given
In obvious contrast, major shifts in the structure of the Indonesian party system are far less probable.
“In obvious contrast, major shifts in the structure of the Indonesian party system are far less probable.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
The design of proportional representation in Indonesia strengthens political parties, in particular their central executives in Jakarta.
“The design of proportional representation in Indonesia, for example, strengthens political parties, in particular their central executives in Jakarta.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationnone given
In the Philippines as well as in Thailand, the weakness of the party system was a major factor in these crises.
“In the Philippines as well as in Thailand, the weakness of the party system was a major factor in these crises.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationnone given
The study of underlying structural causes of institutionalization processes reveals that a high degree of party and party system institutionalization is dependent on the effective translation of social cleavages into the party system.
“In addition, the study of underlying structural causes of institutionalization processes reveals that a high degree of party and party system institutionalization is dependent on the effective translation of social cleavages into the party system.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationnone given
The thesis that proportional representation tends to buttress the institutionalization of parties is at least partly vindicated by experiences in Indonesia and in the Philippines (with the party list).
“The thesis that proportional representation tends to buttress the institutionalization of parties is at least partly vindicated by experiences in Indonesia and in the Philippines (with the party list).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
The stated causal mechanism linking institutionalization and democratic consolidation is weaker than is often assumed.
“Moreover, the stated causal mechanism linking institutionalization and democratic consolidation is weaker than is often assumed.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
- Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 30
- May combine two claims. 50
- The quote only partly states this claim. 1
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.
Findingnone givenThe Megawati government (2001-04) had a dubious track record because military reforms were delayed and the heavy-handed policy on regions such as Aceh and Papua even intensified.
“The Megawati government (2001-04) had a dubious track record because military reforms were delayed and the heavy-handed policy on regions such as Aceh and Papua even intensified.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
FindingcitationRegulations on how to conduct party congresses in Indonesia are usually unclear and are prone to manipulation.
“Usually, regulations on how to conduct party congresses are unclear and are prone to manipulation (Notosusanto 2005).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Notosusanto 2005
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Findingnone givenIn Thailand, the party system has collapsed just recently.
“In Thailand, the party system has collapsed just recently.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingnone givenIn the Philippines, the post-1986 system is not reminiscent of that of the pre-Marcos period and has shifted continuously.
“In the Philippines, the post-1986 system is not reminiscent of that of the pre-Marcos period and has shifted continuously.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Findingnone givenMembership fees are mostly insignificant in Indonesian parties, as is public funding.
“Membership fees are mostly insignificant, as is public funding.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).
Findingnone givenThere is an evident continuity among Indonesian party alternatives reaching back to the 1950s.
“There is an evident continuity among party alternatives reaching back to the 1950s.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims. The quote only partly states this claim.
Findingnone givenThe financing of parties in Indonesia is dubious: many rely for campaigning on unknown financiers, and regulations to control these external cash flows are seldom enforced.
“The financing of parties in general is dubious: many of them rely for campaigning on unknown financiers, and regulations to control these external cash flows are seldom enforced.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingnone givenThe PDI-P has lost most of its reform vigour.
“The PDI-P, banned as the only real opposition party (then as the PDI) in the last years of the New Order, has lost most of its reform vigour.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.
Findingnone given'Money politics' with bought candidacies, MPs acting as brokers for private companies, businessmen taking over party chairmanships, and billionaire financiers determining policies behind the scenes are far more pronounced today in Indonesia.
“'Money politics' with bought candidacies, MPs acting as brokers for private companies, businessmen taking over party chairmanships, and billionaire financiers determining policies behind the scenes are far more pronounced today.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingnone givenMost Indonesian parties are socially rooted and better linked to different kinds of civil society and religious organizations.
“As to the institutionalization of individual parties, most Indonesian parties are socially rooted and better linked to different kinds of civil society and religious organizations.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
FindingreasoningIntraparty authoritarianism and personalism is obvious in Indonesian parties.
“Intraparty authoritarianism and personalism is obvious.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingnone givenIn recent years some businessmen have become party chiefs in Indonesia, for example Yusuf Kalla (Golkar) and Sutrisno Bachir (PAN).
“In recent years some businessmen have even become party chiefs, for example Yusuf Kalla (Golkar) and Sutrisno Bachir (PAN).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
FindingreasoningA fair degree of party and party system institutionalization has been achieved in Indonesia, where the party system is characterized by clearly visible cleavages.
“Nonetheless, a fair degree of party and party system institutionalization has been achieved in Indonesia, where the party system is characterized by clearly visible cleavages.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingnone givenAlmost all Indonesian parties have their power center in Jakarta and chastise recalcitrant members, including by recalling parliamentarians.
“Almost all parties have their power center in Jakarta and chastise recalcitrant members.One means of doing so is recalling parliamentarians, that is, terminating their mandate and replacing them.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingnone givenIndonesian parties cooperate in grand coalitions, avoid the formation of an organized opposition and collude in tolerating corruption.
“Parties cooperate in grand coalitions, avoid the formation of an organized opposition and collude in tolerating corruption.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingnone givenPartai Demokrat is almost completely dependent on Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono and was set up as a vehicle for the first direct presidential elections.
“The Partai Demokrat (Democrat Party), for instance, which is almost completely dependent on Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono, was set up as a vehicle for the first direct presidential elections.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingnone givenIn Indonesia, the spread of mass education and the mass media together with the globalization of Islam have weakened the old religious establishment and elevated new Muslim leaders, many of whom are without a deep religious knowledge.
“In Indonesia, the spread of mass education and the mass media together with the globalization of Islam have weakened the old religious establishment and elevated new Muslim leaders, many of whom are without a deep religious knowledge.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingnone givenIn Thailand, strong local elites arose in the 1980s, along with the establishment of a semidemocracy with competitive elections.
“In Thailand, strong local elites arose in the 1980s, along with the establishment of a semidemocracy with competitive elections.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
FindingcitationThai local elites dominated multi-member constituencies and were thus able to take control of factions, parties, and ministries in Bangkok in fluid coalition governments.
“The local elites dominated multi-member constituencies and were thus able to take control of factions, parties, and ministries in Bangkok in fluid coalition governments (Sidel 1999: 150f.).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Sidel 1999: 150f. source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
FindingcitationFamily clans still dominate the Philippine political landscape, but now they have begun to compete with celebrities and professionals.
“The family clans still dominate the political landscape, but now they have begun to compete with celebrities and professionals.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
FindingreasoningEthnic Chinese and indigenous businessmen arose as a powerful class in the New Order and are now increasingly able to influence political parties in Indonesia.
“They arose as a powerful class in the New Order and are now increasingly able to influence political parties.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Findingnone givenIn Thailand, the TRT was the direct offshoot of Thaksin's media empire.
“In Thailand, the TRT was the direct offshoot of Thaksin's media empire.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
FindingcitationIn contrast to the Philippines, Thai local elites emerged relatively late and in a parliamentary system with a centralized bureaucracy where local executive powers are wielded by civilian bureaucrats.
“In contrast to the Philippines, these elites emerged relatively late and in a parliamentary system with a centralized bureaucracy where local executive powers are wielded by civilian bureaucrats.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.
Findingnone givenIn Thailand, the national elite were able to retain their power unimpeded by colonial rulers so that the ensuing 'bureaucratic polity' would, for a long time, stave off extra-bureaucratic forces such as political parties.
“In Thailand, the national elite were able to retain their power unimpeded by colonial rulers so that the ensuing 'bureaucratic polity' would, for a long time, stave off extra-bureaucratic forces such as political parties.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingnone givenThese highly politicized, mostly anti-colonial, nationalist organizations were socially entrenched and capable of mobilizing large parts of the population.
“These highly politicized, mostly anti-colonial, nationalist organizations were socially entrenched and capable of mobilizing large parts of the population.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based). May combine two claims.
Findingnone givenThis domination by capital is still not fully developed in Indonesia, whereas it has been typical in the Philippines from the beginning and in Thailand at least since the 1980s.
“This domination is still not fully developed, whereas it has been typical in the Philippines from the beginning and in Thailand at least since the 1980s.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
FindingreasoningIndonesian parliamentarians have a much weaker power base than in the Philippines and Thailand, where congressmen and MPs are elected directly with a majority system.
“Indonesian parliamentarians have a much weaker power base than in the Philippines and Thailand, where congressmen and MPs are elected directly with a majority system.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingnone givenSo far, patterns of party competition in Indonesia have manifested regularly and the voter-party linkage has been quite strong.
“So far, patterns of party competition have manifested regularly and the voter-party linkage has been quite strong.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingnone givenIndonesia is an exception in that the patterns of competition are relatively regular and a few of the large parties are to a certain extent still rooted in society.
“Indonesia is an exception in that the patterns of competition are relatively regular and a few of the large parties are to a certain extent still rooted in society.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based). May combine two claims.
Findingnone givenIn Thailand, the most recent Freedom House ratings for political rights declined from 3 to 7 and those for civil liberties from 3 to 4.
“In Thailand, the most recent Freedom House ratings for political rights declined from 3 to 7 and those for civil liberties from 3 to 4.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based). May combine two claims.
Findingnone givenThaksin was toppled after he had easily overwhelmed a range of clientelist parties and had begun to destroy core institutions of the electoral democracy.
“Thaksin was toppled after he had easily overwhelmed a range of clientelist parties and had begun to destroy core institutions of the electoral democracy.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingnone givenOne of the best-rooted parties in Indonesia today has a dubious past and is prone to defend the privileges of New Order elites (Golkar); another demonstrates a shallow commitment to the multi-religious compromise enshrined in the constitution (PKS).
“One of the best-rooted parties in Indonesia today has a dubious past and is prone to de-fend the privileges of New Order elites (Golkar); another demonstrates a shallow commitment to the multi-religious compromise enshrined in the constitution (PKS).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.
Findingnone givenIn the Philippines, politics is determined by fights among clans and is, thus, extremely unpredictable.
“In the Philippines, politics is determined by fights among clans and is, thus, extremely unpredictable.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Interpretationnone givenMany of the big parties in Indonesia are rooted, have substantial linkages to civil and religious organizations and are reified in the public mind.
“Many of the big parties in Indonesia are rooted, have substantial linkages to civil and religious organizations and are reified in the public mind.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The three countries, Indonesia, the Philippines and Thailand, are comparable cases for assessing the relationship between party and party system institutionalization and democratic consolidation.
May combine two claims.
InterpretationcitationThe largest political parties in the Philippines today are still characterized by a lack of meaningful platforms, by a high frequency of party switching and factionalism, as well as by numerous dissolutions and re-emergences.
“The largest political parties in the Philippines today are still characterized by a lack of meaningful platforms, by a high frequency of party switching and factionalism, as well as by numerous dissolutions and re-emergences”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites Arlegue and Coronel 2003
Not checked in the free run.
- cites Rocamora 2000
Not checked in the free run.
- cites Teehankee 2006
Not checked in the free run.
- Rests on an assumption: The three countries, Indonesia, the Philippines and Thailand, are comparable cases for assessing the relationship between party and party system institutionalization and democratic consolidation.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
PremisecitationIt is generally assumed that parties fulfil their usual functions better when they and the party system as a whole are well-institutionalized and that a higher degree of institutionalization is positively correlated with the consolidation of democracy.
“It is generally assumed that parties fulfil their usual functions better when they and the party system as a whole are well-institutionalized and that a higher degree of institutionalization is positively correlated with the consolidation of democracy”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites Mainwaring and Torcal 2006 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites Randall and Sva˚ sand 2002
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable). May combine two claims.
PremisecitationWell-functioning political parties are essential for recruiting political elites, organizing opposition, resolving conflict by establishing channels of representation, providing accountability, and aggregating interests.
“well-functioning political parties are essential for recruiting political elites, organizing opposition, resolving conflict by establishing channels of representation, providing accountability, and aggregating interests.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites Lindberg 2007
Not checked in the free run.
- cites Lai and Melkonian-Hoover 2005
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
InterpretationcitationThe vacuum of deinstitutionalized party systems is filled by pluto populism, not Peronist populism; organized labour is eschewed.
“The vacuum of deinstitutionalized party systems is filled by 'pluto' populism (Phongpaichit and Baker 2002;Thompson 2007), not Peronist populism; that is, organized labour is eschewed.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites Phongpaichit and Baker 2002
Not checked in the free run.
- cites Thompson 2007
Not checked in the free run.
- Rests on an assumption: The three countries, Indonesia, the Philippines and Thailand, are comparable cases for assessing the relationship between party and party system institutionalization and democratic consolidation.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationWeakly institutionalized party systems generate more uncertainty in electoral outcomes and are inimical to electoral accountability.
“Weakly institutionalized party systems generate more uncertainty in electoral outcomes and are inimical to electoral accountability.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Mainwaring and Torcal 2006 source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
Study design and conductcitationIn the Philippines, politicians repeatedly switch from one party to another, making it impossible to measure total electoral volatility.
“In the Philippines, politicians repeatedly switch from one party to another, making it impossible to measure total electoral volatility”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Croissant 2006
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductreasoningIn Indonesia, a shift from one Islamic party to another may indicate a very moderate volatility in terms of identification with certain ideologies or policies.
“In Indonesia, for instance, a shift from one Islamic party to another may indicate a very moderate volatility in terms of identification with certain ideologies or policies.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationA relatively stable party system fosters more effective programmatic representation, party labels provide better programmatic cues, and electoral volatility usually decreases and provides considerable structure to democratic politics.
“A relatively stable party system fosters more effective programmatic representation, party labels provide better programmatic cues, and electoral volatility usually decreases and 'provides considerable structure to democratic politics'”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Mainwaring and Zoco 2007
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
InterpretationreasoningBecause of a general devaluation of ideologies, political platforms in Indonesia are generally poor.
“Because of a general devaluation of ideologies, political platforms are generally poor.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningThese linkages provide a comparatively strong infusion of values and foster, in spite of recent counter-tendencies, a fair routinization.
“These linkages provide a comparatively strong infusion of values and foster, in spite of recent counter-tendencies, a fair routinization.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
PremisecitationMore institutionalized party systems are more stable; patterns of party competition manifest more regularly.
“More institutionalized systems, according to them, are more stable; that is, patterns of party competition manifest more regularly.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Mainwaring and Torcal 2006 source
Not checked in the free run.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationThe political systems of Thailand, the Philippines and Indonesia are defined as electoral democracies or polyarchies.
“In this article, the political systems of Thailand, the Philip-pines and Indonesia are defined as electoral democracies or polyarchies, which is essentially the same.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Dahl 1989
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
InterpretationcitationOther reasons for the hampering of party institutionalization in the three countries are eroding traditional relationships and the rise of the mass media.
“Other reasons for the hampering of party institutionalization in the three countries are eroding traditional relationships and the rise of the mass media.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningThe multipartyism in Indonesia is not simply the result of but also at least as much the cause of the proportional system.
“The multipartyism in Indonesia, for example, is not simply the result of but also at least as much the cause of the proportional system.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationcitationInstitutionalization is hampered in Thailand and the Philippines by the existence of highly influential local and regional elites, whereas in Indonesia strong countervailing civil society forces alleviate local strongmen rule.
“Institutionalization is hampered in Thailand and the Philippines by the existence of highly influential local and regional elites, whereas in Indonesia strong countervailing civil society forces alleviate local strongmen rule (Sidel 2004).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Sidel 2004
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
PremisecitationRüland et al. state that the party system reflected in the legislature 'is primarily an expression of the extent to which societal cleavages are transformed into political parties but also of the electoral system,' whereas in most cases there is no clear causal link between the system of government and party cohesion.
“Rüland et al. (2005: 271) state that the party system reflected in the legislature 'is primarily an expression of the extent to which societal cleavages are transformed into political parties but also of the electoral system,' whereas in most cases there is no clear causal link between the system of government and party cohesion.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Rüland et al. 2005: 271 source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
Interpretationnone givenAlthough Thaksin was able to hold sway over these local elites, party system institutionalization was blocked by a de facto one-party rule.
“Although Thaksin was able to hold sway over these local elites, party system institutionalization was blocked by a de facto one-party rule.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationFor Sidel, the emergence of bosses is essentially dependent on a specific sequencing, that is, the imposition of formal electoral democratic institutions upon an underdeveloped state apparatus at an early phase of capitalist development.
“For Sidel, the emergence of bosses is essentially dependent on a specific sequencing, that is, the imposition of formal electoral democratic institutions upon an underdeveloped state apparatus at an early phase of capitalist development (Sidel 1999: 13).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Sidel 1999: 13 source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningReasons for weak local elites in Indonesia include the early mobilization and translation of cleavages into the party system, the heritage of New Order centralism, and the lack of a strong locally based bourgeoisie.
“Reasons for this, besides the above-mentioned early mobilization and translation of cleavages into the party system, are the heritage of New Order centralism and, particularly, the lack of a strong locally based bourgeoisie.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationAccording to neo-institutionalists, institutions are endogenous; that is, 'their form and their functioning depend on the conditions under which they emerge and endure'.
“According to neo-institutionalists, institutions are endogenous; that is, 'their form and their functioning depend on the conditions under which they emerge and endure' (Przeworski 2004: 527).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Przeworski 2004: 527
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationAccording to Manacsa, in the Philippines after 1986 political parties and the party system have changed inter alia because of the weakening of traditional patron-client bonds as well as the rise of powerful TV newscasters and entertainment stars.
“According to Manacsa (1999: 202ff.), in the Philippines after 1986 political parties and the party system have changed inter alia because of the weakening of traditional patron-client bonds as well as the rise of powerful TV newscasters and entertainment stars.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Manacsa 1999: 202ff.
Not checked in the free run.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationMainwaring has stated that greater institutionalization is not always better because it may lead to the ossification of party structures.
“Mainwaring (1997) has stated that greater institutionalization is not always better because it may lead to the ossification of party structures.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Mainwaring 1997
Not checked in the free run.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
PremisecitationSchedler warns against the confusion of the consolidation of 'partial regimes' with that of democracy as a whole, for 'a democracy may be secure against reversals even if its party system is still inchoate and fluid; and conversely, a democracy may break down even if its party system is highly institutionalized.'
“In this vein, Schedler (2001: 161) warns against the confusion of the consolidation of 'partial regimes' with that of democracy as a whole, for 'a democracy may be secure against reversals even if its party system is still inchoate and fluid; and conversely, a democracy may break down even if its party system is highly institutionalized.'”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Schedler 2001: 161
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
InterpretationreasoningThis may change in the long run, because some of the patterns buttressing political parties in Indonesia are increasingly being undermined.
“But, again, this may change in the long run, because some of the patterns buttressing political parties in Indonesia are increasingly being undermined.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningThis is contingent upon the power of local elites, the impact of huge entrepreneurs on party activities, and formal institutional factors, although the latter should not be overestimated.
“This, again, is contingent upon the power of local elites, the impact of huge entrepreneurs on party activities, and formal institutional factors, although the latter should not be overestimated.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationJohnson Tan rightly notes that the rootedness of Indonesian parties at times even heightens social conflicts.
“In like manner, Johnson Tan (2006) rightly notes that the rootedness of Indonesian parties at times even heightens social conflicts.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Johnson Tan 2006
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based). May combine two claims.
Interpretationnone givenIf one looks at the whole political system, a low number of veto actors and, particularly, a military controlled by civil authorities are beneficial.
“If one looks at the whole political system, a low number of veto actors and, particularly, a military controlled by civil authorities are beneficial.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationBrownlee has observed that parties often play a vital role in facilitating the maintenance of electoral authoritarian regimes.
“And Brownlee (2007: 218f.) has observed that parties often play a vital role in facilitating the maintenance of electoral authoritarian regimes.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Brownlee 2007: 218f. source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningThe probability that a better-institutionalized party system is positively correlated with a less-fragile democratic regime is high, and the three test cases support the hypothesis.
“The probability that a better-institutionalized party system is positively correlated with a less-fragile democratic regime is high, and the three test cases support the hypothesis.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The three countries (Indonesia, the Philippines, Thailand) are comparable cases for testing the relationship between party system institutionalization and democratic consolidation.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenThe direct election of regional heads in Indonesia since 2005 may, in the long run, change at least the standing of local elites.
“The direct election of regional heads in Indonesia since 2005 may, in the long run, change at least the standing of local elites.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningIf other 'partial regimes' are included in the analysis, it is probable that a consolidated rechtsstaat, an advantageous social structure, the absence of political violence and fierce class struggle, and an efficient and uncorrupted state administration all buttress directly or indirectly the democraticness of political parties and the party system.
“And if other 'partial regimes' are included in the analysis, it is probable that a consolidated rechtsstaat, an advantageous social structure, the absence of political violence and fierce class struggle, and an efficient and uncorrupted state administration all buttress directly or indirectly the democraticness of political parties and the party system.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
The paper relies on this without support.
Political parties are an important link between civil society and state.
“Political parties are an important link between civil society and state.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The three countries, Indonesia, the Philippines and Thailand, are comparable cases for assessing the relationship between party and party system institutionalization and democratic consolidation.
“The second part deals with the most salient characteristics of parties and party systems in Indonesia, the Philippines and Thailand with reference to 'stability of interparty competition' and 'value infusion and behavioral routinization.'”
The paper relies on this without support.
The Freedom House ratings for political rights and civil liberties are valid indicators of a country's level of democracy.
“Indonesia is now arguably, with reference to the Freedom House ratings for political rights and civil liberties, the most democratic country in Southeast Asia.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The three countries (Indonesia, the Philippines, Thailand) are comparable cases for testing the relationship between party system institutionalization and democratic consolidation.
“The probability that a better-institutionalized party system is positively correlated with a less-fragile democratic regime is high, and the three test cases support the hypothesis.”
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Party institutionalization channels interests of social groups, promotes actors and attitudes supportive of democracy, and facilitates credible commitments.
“Party institutionalization is highlighted as a means for channeling the interests of social groups, promoting actors and attitudes supportive of democracy, and facilitating credible commitments (e.g., Mainwaring and Torcal 2006; Ufen 2008; Lewis 2006).”
From Parties, Civil Society, and the Deterrence of Democratic Defection (2020) · cites this paper as Ufen 2008
The Introduction (page unavailable) says parties aggregate interests, establish channels of representation, recruit political elites, and solidify democratic norms. The section “Institutionalization of parties and party systems” adds that well-institutionalized parties generally perform these functions better. Neither passage establishes the claimed role in facilitating credible commitments, and the Conclusion cautions that institutionalization does not necessarily consolidate democracy. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
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Ufen, A. (2008) · South East Asia Research · doi:10.5367/000000008784108149 · Cited by 84 · see citing works
Self-citationKing, D. (2003) · Greenwood Publishing Group Inc. eBooks · doi:10.5040/9798400660986 · Cited by 69 · see citing works
Liberalization, Transition and Consolidation: Measuring the Components of Democratization
Schneider, C. Q., & Schmitter, P. C. (2004) · Open Research (Auckland University of Technology) · doi:10.4324/9781315752723-8 · Cited by 67 · see citing works
Change and Continuity in the Thai Political Party System
Ockey, J. (2003) · Asian Survey · doi:10.1525/as.2003.43.4.663 · Cited by 65 · see citing works
Indonesia Seven Years after Soeharto: Party System Institutionalization in a New Democracy
Tan, P. J. (2006) · Contemporary Southeast Asia · doi:10.1353/csa.2006.0009 · Cited by 62 · see citing works
Stuck in the Mud Parties and Party Systems in Democratic Southeast Asia
Hicken, A. D. (2006) · Taiwan journal of democracy · Cited by 54 · see citing works
Post-Marcos Politics: A Geographical and Statistical Analysis of the 1992 Presidential Election
Aquino, B. A. (1998) · Pacific Affairs · doi:10.2307/2760858 · Cited by 52 · see citing works
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Indonesian local party politics
Hadiz, V. R. (2004) · Critical Asian Studies · doi:10.1080/1467271042000273275 · Cited by 41 · see citing works
Between consolidation and crisis : elections and democracy in five nations in Southeast Asia
Croissant, A., & Martín, B. (2006) · Cited by 40 · see citing works
Heryanto, A., & Hadiz, V. R. (2005) · Critical Asian Studies · doi:10.1080/14672710500106341 · Cited by 40 · see citing works
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Parliaments and Political Change in Asia
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Electoral Politics in the Philippines
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THAI DEMOCRACY, 2001.Out of Equilibrium
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Flagged first, then by citations
Research works printed but not linked: 15
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- Bünte M., 2000, Probleme der demokratischen Konsolidierung in Thailand [Problems of Democratic Consolidation in Thailand]
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- O'Donnell G. A., 2002, The Global Divergence of Democracies, 113
- Sherlock S., 2005, The Role of Political Parties in a Second Wave of Reformasi
- Sidel J. T., 2004, Politicising Democracy: The New Local Politics of Democratisation, 51
- Teehankee J., 2006, Between Consolidation and Crisis: Elections and Democracy in Five Nations in Southeast Asia, 215
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Cited by
Sorted by citations
Parties, Civil Society, and the Deterrence of Democratic Defection
Bernhard, M., Hicken, A., Reenock, C., & Lindberg, S. I. (2020) · Studies in Comparative International Development · doi:10.1007/s12116-019-09295-0 · Cited by 105 · see citing works
- Authors
- Ufen, A.
- Affiliations
- German Institute for Global and Area Studies (DE)
- Corresponding author
- Ufen, Andreas
- ORCID
- Ufen, Andreas
- Venue
- The Pacific Review
- Publisher
- Informa UK Limited
- Published
- 2008-07-04
- Volume
- 21
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 327-350
- ISSN
- 0951-2748 (ISSN-L)
- 1470-1332
- OpenAlex
- W1996484446
- Semantic Scholar
- 274a22c5b757e3954ff928f2522def8300f80af9
- Cited by
- 104
- References
- 73
- Citations by year
- 2026: 5 · 2025: 8 · 2024: 5 · 2023: 12 · 2022: 11 · 2021: 11 · 2020: 6 · 2019: 6 · 2018: 7 · 2017: 1 · 2016: 6 · 2015: 3 · 2014: 10 · 2013: 2 · 2012: 3
- FWCI
- 9.23
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ssoar.info
- Locations
- The Pacific Review (publishedVersion)
- Social Science Open Access Repository (GESIS – Leibniz Institute for the Social Sciences) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Political Conflict and Governance
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Asian Studies and History
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Political Theory and Democracy
- Keywords
- party institutionalization, party system institutionalization, democratic consolidation, inter-party competition, party system collapse, social cleavages, party elites, Indonesia, Philippines, Thailand, Southeast Asia
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Claims read by deepseek-v4.1-flash under definition version 3 (extract-v3) on 2026-10-10.
Classified by jev-1.13-20260917 (gold-guideline-v0.2) on 2026-10-10.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
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