Human Capital and the Rise and Fall of Families
Abstract
"This paper develops a model of the transmission of earnings, assets, and consumption from parents to descendants. The model assumes utility-maximizing parents who are concerned about the welfare of their children. The degree of intergenerational mobility is determined by the interaction of this utility-maximizing behavior with investment and consumption opportunities in different generations and with different kinds of luck. We examine a number of empirical studies for different countries. Regression to the mean in earnings in rich countries appears to be rapid. Almost all the earnings advantages or disadvantages of ancestors are wiped out in three generations." A comment by Robert J. Willis is included (pp. 40-7).
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
The family fixed-effects design adjusts for a wide range of potential confounds at the family level, including early rearing environment, neighborhood effects, and genetic inheritance.
“Regardless of the name, the design is implemented with the goal of adjusting for a wide range of potential confounds at the family level, factors such as the early rearing environment, neighborhood effects, and even genetic inheritance (Becker & Tomes, 1986; Heckman & Mosso, 2014).”
From Does contact with the justice system deter or promote future delinquency? Results from a longitudinal study of British adolescent twins (2020) · cites this paper as Becker & Tomes, 1986
“Perfect Capital Markets” (p. 5) discusses cultural and genetic attributes transmitted within families, but does not discuss a family fixed-effects design or what such a design adjusts for. A search for fixed effects and sibling comparisons found no passage linking that design to controls for rearing environment, neighborhood effects, or genetic inheritance. (LLM, conf=0.74)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Cites
No references could be resolved yet.
Research works printed but not linked: 52
- Keynesian Economics 3, no. 2 (1981): 194–217.
- -. Social Justice and Public Policy. Cambridge, Mass.: MIT Press, 1983.
- Barro, RobertJ. "Are Government Bonds Net Wealth?" Journal of Political Economy 82, no.6 (1974): 1096–1117.
- –. A Treatise on the Family. Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard University Press, 1981.
- Becker, Gary S., and Tomes, Nigel. "Child Endowments and the Quantity and Quality of Children."Journal of Political Economy 84, no. 4, pt. 2 (1976): S143– S162.
- . "An Equilibrium Theory of the Distribution of Income and Intergenerational Mobility." Journal of Political Economy 87, no. 6 (1979): 1153–89.
- Behrman, Jere, and Taubman, Paul. "Intergenerational Transmission of Income and Wealth." American Economic Review 66, no. 2 (1976): 436–40.
- -. "Intergenerational Earnings and Mobility in the United States: Some Estimates and a Test of Becker's Intergenerational Endowments Model." Review of Economics and Statistics 67, no. 1 (1985): 144–51.
- Bevan, D. L. "Inheritance and the Distribution of Wealth." Economica 46, no. 184 (1979): 381–402.
- Bevan, D. L., and Stiglitz, J. E. "Intergenerationał Transfers and Inequality." Greek Economic Review 1, no. 1 (1979): 6–26.
- Bielby, William T., and Hauser, Robert M. "Response Error in Earnings Functions for Nonblack Males." Sociological Methods and Research 6, no. 2 (1977): 241–80.
- Bielby, William T.; Hauser, Robert M.; and Featherman, David L. "Response Errors of Black and Nonblack Males in Models of the Intergenerational Transmission of Socioeconomic Status." American Journal of Sociology 82, no. 6 (1977): 1242–88.
- Blake, Judith. "Family Size and the Quality of Children." Demography 18, no. 4 (1981): 421–42.
- Blau, Peter M., and Duncan, Otis Dudley. The American Occupational Structure. New York: Wiley, 1967.
- Blinder, Alan S. Toward an Economic Theory of Income Distribution. Cambridge, Mass.: MIT Press, 1974.
- –. "Inequality and Mobility in the Distribution of Wealth." Kyklos 29, no. 4 (1976): 607–38.
- Bloom, Benjamin S. Human Characteristics and School Learning. New York: McGraw-Hill, 1976.
- Bowles, Samuel. "Schooling and Inequality from Generation to Generation.' Journal of Political Economy 80, no. 3, pt. 2 (1972): S219–S251.
- Conlisk, John. "Can Equalization of Opportunity Reduce Social Mobility?" American Economic Review 64, no. 1 (1974): 80–90.
- Dewey, John. "Galton's Statistical Methods." Publications of the American Statistical Association 1, no. 7 (1889): 331–34.
- Drazen, Allan. "Government Debt, Human Capital and Bequests in a Life-Cycle Model." Journal of Political Economy 86, no. 3 (1978): 505–16.
- Ehrlich, Isaac, and Ben-Zion, Uri. "Asset Management, Allocation of Time, and Returns to Saving."Economic Inquiry 14, no. 4 (1976): 558–86.
- Featherman, David L., and Hauser, Robert M. "Changes in the Socioeconomic Stratification of the Races, 1962–1973." American Journal of Sociology 82, no. 3 (1976): 621–51.
- Freeman, Richard B. "Black Economic Progress after 1964: Who Has Gained and Why?" In Studies in Labor Markets, edited by Sherwin Rosen. Chicago: University of Chicago Press (for NBER), 1981.
- Hauser, Robert M. "Earnings Trajectories of Young Men." In Social Stratification in Japan and the United States, edited by D. J. Treiman and K. Tominaga. In press.
- Hauser, Robert M.; Sewell, William H.; and Lutterman, Kenneth G. "Socioeconomic Background, Ability, and Achievement." 1n Education, Occupation and Earnings, edited by William H. Sewell and Robert M. Hauser. New York: Academic Press, 1975.
- Herrnstein, Richard J. "1.Q." Atlantic 228, no. 3 (1971): 43–58.
- Kaldor, Nicholas. "Alternative Theories of Distribution." Review of Economic Studies 23, no. 2 (1956): 83–100.
- Kelly, Jonathan; Robinson, Robert U.; and Klein, Herbert S. "A Theory of Social Mobility, with Data on Status Attainment in a Peasant Society." In Research in Social Stratification and Mobility, vol. 1, edited by Donald J. Treiman and Robert V. Robertson. Greenwich, Conn.: JAI, 1981.
- Koiy , e iy Insurance on Savings and Inequality." 1n Journal of Labor Economics 4, no. 3 (1986).
- Laitner, J. P. "Household Bequests, Perfect Expectations, and the National Distribution of Wealth." Econometrica 47, no. 5 (1979): 1175–93.
- Lewis, H. Gregg. Union Relative Wage Effects: A Survey. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1986.
- Lillard, Lee A., and Willis, Robert J. "Dynamic Aspects of Earning Mobility." Econometrica 46, no. 5 (1978): 985–1012.
- Loury, Glenn C. "Intergenerational Transfers and the Distribution of Earnings." Econometrica 49, no. 4 (1981): 843–67.
- Mandelbrot, Benoit. "Paretian Distributions and Income Maximization." Quarterly Journal of Economics 76, no. 1 (1962): 57–85.
- Mayer, Thomas. Permanent Income, Wealth, and Consumption. Berkeley: University of California Press, 1972.
- Meade, J. E. The Just Economy. Albany: State University of New York Press, 1976.
- Menchik, Paul L. "Inter-generational Transmission of Inequality: An Empirical Study of Wealth Mobility." Economica 46, no. 184 (1979): 349–62.
- Mincer, Jacob. Schooling, Experience and Earnings. New York: Columbia University Press (for NBER), 1974.
- Pasinetti, Luigi L. "Rate of Profit and Income Distribution in Relation to the Rate of Economic Growth." Review of Economic Studies 29, no. 4 (1962): 267–79.
- Peltzman, Sam. "The Effect of Government Subsidies-in-Kind on Private Expenditures: The Case of Higher Education." Journal of Political Economy 81, no. 1 (1973): 1–27.
- Pryor, F. L. "Simulation of the Impact of Social and Economic Institutions on the Size Distribution of Income and Wealth." American Economic Review 63, no. 1 (1973): 50-72. nmt en mn Journal 60, no. 239 (1950): 489–505.
- Shorrocks, A. F. "On the Structure of Inter-Generational Transfers between Families." Economica 46, no. 184 (1979): 415–25.
- Simon, Herbert. "Rationality in Psychology and Economics." Journal of Business 59, no. 4, part 2 (Oct. 1986): S209–24.
- Smith, James P. "Race and Human Capital." American Economic Review 74, no. 4 (1984): 685–98.
- Soltow, Lee. Toward Income Equality in Norway. Madison: University of Wisconsin Press, 1965.
- Stiglitz, J. E. "Distribution of Income and Wealth among Individuals." Econometrica 37, no. 3 (1969): 382–97.
- Tinbergen, Jan. "A Positive and a Normative Theory of Income Distribution." Review of Income and Wealth 16, no. 3 (1970): 221–34.
- Tomes, Nigel. "The Family, Inheritance, and the Intergenerational Transmission of Inequality." Journal of Political Economy 89, no. 5 (1981): 928–58.
- Tsai, Shu-Ling. "Sex Differences in the Process of Stratification." Ph.D. dissertation, University of Wisconsin, 1983.
- Wahl, Jenny Bourne. "Fertility in America: Historical Patterns and Wealth Effects on the Quantity and Quality of Children." Ph.D. dissertation, University of Chicago,1985.
- Wolff, P. de, and van Slijpe, A. R. D. "The Relation between Income, Intelligence, Education and Social Background." European Economic Review 4, no. 3 (1973):235-64.
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Human Capital, Fertility, and Economic Growth
Becker, G. S., Murphy, K. M., & Tamura, R. (1990) · Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1086/261723 · Cited by 1,988 · see citing works
Self-citationAn interactionist perspective on the socioeconomic context of human development
Conger, R. D., & Donnellan, M. B. (2007) · Annual Review of Psychology · doi:10.1146/annurev.psych.58.110405.085551 · Cited by 1,935 · see citing works
The economics, technology, and neuroscience of human capability formation.
Heckman, J. J. (2007) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.0701362104 · Cited by 1,042 · see citing works
The Economics of Human Development and Social Mobility
Heckman, J. J., & Mosso, S. (2014) · Annual Review of Economics · doi:10.1146/annurev-economics-080213-040753 · Cited by 940 · see citing works
Fernald, L. C., Gertler, P. J., & Neufeld, L. M. (2008) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(08)60382-7 · Cited by 596 · see citing works
Social Stratification across Three Generations: New Evidence from the Wisconsin Longitudinal Study
Warren, J. R., & Hauser, R. M. (1997) · American Sociological Review · doi:10.2307/2657426 · Cited by 227 · see citing works
Goldthorpe, J. H. (2014) · Rationality and Society · doi:10.1177/1043463113519068 · Cited by 142 · see citing works
Moberg, K. (2014) · The International Journal of Management Education · doi:10.1016/j.ijme.2014.05.002 · Cited by 134 · see citing works
Bailey, M. J. (2013) · Brookings Papers on Economic Activity · doi:10.1353/eca.2013.0001 · Cited by 102 · see citing works
Martin, M. J., Conger, R. D., Schofield, T. J., Dogan, S. J., Widaman, K. F., Donnellan, M. B., & Neppl, T. K. (2010) · Development and Psychopathology · doi:10.1017/s0954579410000374 · Cited by 92 · see citing works
<i>Role of Income and Family Influence on Child Outcomes</i>
Heckman, J. J. (2008) · Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1196/annals.1425.031 · Cited by 90 · see citing works
Chapter 9 Why Has Black–White Skill Convergence Stopped?
Neal, D. (2006) · Handbook of the Economics of Education · doi:10.1016/s1574-0692(06)01009-9 · Cited by 80 · see citing works
Adeleye, B. N., Bengana, I., Boukhelkhal, A., Shafiq, M. M., & Abdulkareem, H. K. K. (2022) · Social Indicators Research · doi:10.1007/s11205-021-02867-5 · Cited by 65 · see citing works
Financial development and economic growth: global and African evidence
Murinde, V. (2012) · Journal of African Economies · doi:10.1093/jae/ejr042 · Cited by 65 · see citing works
Motz, R. T., Barnes, J. C., Caspi, A., Arseneault, L., Cullen, F. T., Houts, R., Wertz, J., & Moffitt, T. E. (2020) · Criminology · doi:10.1111/1745-9125.12236 · Cited by 62 · see citing works
Income inequality, poverty, and the liquidity of stock markets
Blau, B. M. (2018) · Journal of Development Economics · doi:10.1016/j.jdeveco.2017.10.006 · Cited by 49 · see citing works
Vaz, S., Parsons, R., Falkmer, T., Passmore, A. E., & Falkmer, M. (2014) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0089874 · Cited by 48 · see citing works
Educational Mobility in the Developing World
Torche, F. (2021) · Social Mobility in Developing Countries · doi:10.1093/oso/9780192896858.003.0007 · Cited by 18 · see citing works
- Authors
- Becker, G. S., & Tomes, N.
- Venue
- Journal of Labor Economics
- Publisher
- University of Chicago Press
- Published
- 1986-07
- Volume
- 4
- Issue
- 3, Part 2
- Pages
- S1-S39
- ISSN
- 0734-306X (ISSN-L)
- 1537-5307
- OpenAlex
- W2064053908
- Cited by
- 2,913
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2026: 92 · 2025: 150 · 2024: 131 · 2023: 91 · 2022: 117 · 2021: 152 · 2020: 97 · 2019: 118 · 2018: 125 · 2017: 116 · 2016: 136 · 2015: 158 · 2014: 96 · 2013: 128 · 2012: 127
- FWCI
- 35.10
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Journal of Labor Economics (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Scholarship@Western (Western University) (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Intergenerational and Educational Inequality Studies
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Income, Poverty, and Inequality
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Labor market dynamics and wage inequality
- Keywords
- human capital, intergenerational mobility, intergenerational transmission, earnings, family wealth, consumption, parental investment, luck, regression to the mean, family structure
- MeSH terms
- Behavior, Decision Making, Economics, Family Characteristics, Financial Management, Income, Investments, Social Change, Socioeconomic Factors, Models, Economic
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review