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Urban Decline and Durable Housing
Open accessAbstract
People continue to live in many big American cities, because in those cities housing costs less than new construction.While cities may lose their productive edge, their houses remain and population falls only when housing depreciates.This paper presents a simple durable housing model of urban decline with several implications which document: (1) urban growth rates are leptokurtotic --cities grow more quickly than they decline, (2) city growth rates are highly persistent, especially amount declining cities, (3) positive shocks increase population more than they increase housing prices, (4) negative shocks decrease housing prices more than they decrease population, (5) the relationship between changes in housing prices and changes in population is strongly concave, and (6) declining cities attract individuals with low levels of human capital.
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Cites
Corporate Governance and Equity Prices
Gompers, P., Ishii, J., & Metrick, A. (2003) · The Quarterly Journal of Economics · doi:10.1162/00335530360535162 · Cited by 6,120
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Cited by
The China Syndrome: Local Labor Market Effects of Import Competition in the United States
Autor, D. H., Dorn, D., & Hanson, G. H. (2013) · American Economic Review · doi:10.1257/aer.103.6.2121 · Cited by 4,459
The revenge of the places that don’t matter (and what to do about it)
Rodríguez-Pose, A. (2018) · Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society · doi:10.1093/cjres/rsx024 · Cited by 2,229
The China Shock: Learning from Labor-Market Adjustment to Large Changes in Trade
Autor, D. H., Dorn, D., & Hanson, G. H. (2016) · Annual Review of Economics · doi:10.1146/annurev-economics-080315-015041 · Cited by 1,305
The Wealth of Cities: Agglomeration Economies and Spatial Equilibrium in the United States
Glaeser, E. L., & Gottlieb, J. D. (2009) · Journal of Economic Literature · doi:10.1257/jel.47.4.983 · Cited by 1,082
Self-citationTrade Adjustment: Worker-Level Evidence *
Autor, D. H., Dorn, D., Hanson, G. H., & Song, J. (2014) · The Quarterly Journal of Economics · doi:10.1093/qje/qju026 · Cited by 803
Metadata
- Authors
- Glaeser, E. L., & Gyourko, J.
- Venue
- Journal of Political Economy
- Publisher
- University of Chicago Press
- Published
- 2005-04
- Volume
- 113
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 345-375
- ISSN
- 0022-3808 (ISSN-L)
- 1537-534X
- OpenAlex
- W2891974860
- Cited by
- 986
- References
- 1
- FWCI
- 93.90
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
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Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.