Optimism and Cause-Specific Mortality: A Prospective Cohort Study
Open accessAbstract
Growing evidence has linked positive psychological attributes like optimism to a lower risk of poor health outcomes, especially cardiovascular disease. It has been demonstrated in randomized trials that optimism can be learned. If associations between optimism and broader health outcomes are established, it may lead to novel interventions that improve public health and longevity. In the present study, we evaluated the association between optimism and cause-specific mortality in women after considering the role of potential confounding (sociodemographic characteristics, depression) and intermediary (health behaviors, health conditions) variables. We used prospective data from the Nurses' Health Study (n = 70,021). Dispositional optimism was measured in 2004; all-cause and cause-specific mortality rates were assessed from 2006 to 2012. Using Cox proportional hazard models, we found that a higher degree of optimism was associated with a lower mortality risk. After adjustment for sociodemographic confounders, compared with women in the lowest quartile of optimism, women in the highest quartile had a hazard ratio of 0.71 (95% confidence interval: 0.66, 0.76) for all-cause mortality. Adding health behaviors, health conditions, and depression attenuated but did not eliminate the associations (hazard ratio = 0.91, 95% confidence interval: 0.85, 0.97). Associations were maintained for various causes of death, including cancer, heart disease, stroke, respiratory disease, and infection. Given that optimism was associated with numerous causes of mortality, it may provide a valuable target for new research on strategies to improve health.
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
An optimistic frame of mind is associated with healthy aging and a lower risk of CVD, including stroke and heart failure, and a lower risk of all-cause mortality.
“An optimistic frame of mind has been shown to be associated with healthy aging 60 and a lower risk of CVD, 61 including stroke 62 and heart failure, 63 and a lower risk of all-cause mortality. 64”
From Psychological Health, Well-Being, and the Mind-Heart-Body Connection: A Scientific Statement From the American Heart Association (2021) · cites this paper as [64]
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Cites
Preacher, K. J., & Hayes, A. F. (2008) · Behavior Research Methods · doi:10.3758/brm.40.3.879 · Cited by 34,117 · see citing works
Scheier, M. F., Carver, C. S., & Bridges, M. W. (1994) · Journal of Personality and Social Psychology · doi:10.1037//0022-3514.67.6.1063 · Cited by 7,456 · see citing works
Screening for Depression in Well Older Adults: Evaluation of a Short Form of the CES-D
Andresen, E. M., Malmgren, J. A., Carter, W. B., & Patrick, D. L. (1994) · American Journal of Preventive Medicine · doi:10.1016/s0749-3797(18)30622-6 · Cited by 5,403 · see citing works
Reproducibility and validity of a semiquantitative food frequency questionnaire
WILLETT, W. C., SAMPSON, L., STAMPFER, M. J., ROSNER, B., BAIN, C., WITSCHI, J., HENNEKENS, C. H., & SPEIZER, F. E. (1985) · American Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a114086 · Cited by 4,274 · see citing works
Kraemer, H. C., Stice, E., Kazdin, A., Offord, D., & Kupfer, D. (2001) · American Journal of Psychiatry · doi:10.1176/appi.ajp.158.6.848 · Cited by 1,712 · see citing works
Reproducibility and validity of a self-administered physical activity questionnaire
WOLF, A. M., HUNTER, D. J., COLDITZ, G. A., MANSON, J. E., STAMPFER, M. J., CORSANO, K. A., ROSNER, B., KRISKA, A., & WILLETT, W. C. (1994) · International Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/ije/23.5.991 · Cited by 1,038 · cited 1× · see citing works
“Physical activity level was assessed across 6 different types of exercise, and this assessment has previously been validated in this cohort (34).”
Boehm, J. K., & Kubzansky, L. D. (2012) · Psychological Bulletin · doi:10.1037/a0027448 · Cited by 909 · see citing works
Self-citationCuijpers, P., Vogelzangs, N., Twisk, J., Kleiboer, A., Li, J., & Penninx, B. W. (2014) · American Journal of Psychiatry · doi:10.1176/appi.ajp.2013.13030325 · Cited by 677 · see citing works
Become more optimistic by imagining a best possible self: Effects of a two week intervention
Meevissen, Y. M. C., Peters, M. L., & Alberts, H. J. E. M. (2011) · Journal of Behavior Therapy and Experimental Psychiatry · doi:10.1016/j.jbtep.2011.02.012 · Cited by 335 · see citing works
Optimism, pessimism and mental health: A twin/adoption analysis
Plomin, R., Scheier, M. F., Bergeman, C. S., Pedersen, N. L., Nesselroade, J. R., & McClearn, G. E. (1992) · Personality and Individual Differences · doi:10.1016/0191-8869(92)90009-e · Cited by 283 · see citing works
Steptoe, A., Wright, C., Kunz‐Ebrecht, S. R., & Iliffe, S. (2006) · British Journal of Health Psychology · doi:10.1348/135910705x42850 · Cited by 211 · see citing works
O’Donovan, A., Lin, J., Dhabhar, F. S., Wolkowitz, O., Tillie, J. M., Blackburn, E., & Epel, E. (2009) · Brain Behavior and Immunity · doi:10.1016/j.bbi.2008.11.006 · Cited by 161 · see citing works
Huffman, J. C., Beale, E. E., Celano, C. M., Beach, S. R., Belcher, A. M., Moore, S. V., Suarez, L., Motiwala, S. R., Gandhi, P. U., Gaggin, H. K., et al. (2016) · Circulation: Cardiovascular Quality and Outcomes · doi:10.1161/circoutcomes.115.002184 · Cited by 101 · see citing works
The prospective association between positive psychological well-being and diabetes
Boehm, J. K., Trudel-Fitzgerald, C., Kivimaki, M., & Kubzansky, L. D. (2015) · Health Psychology · doi:10.1037/hea0000200 · Cited by 73 · see citing works
Flagged first, then by citations
Research works printed but not linked: 34
- Boat TF. Improving lifetime health by promoting behavioral health in children. JAMA. 2015;313(15):1509-1510.
- Lloyd-Jones DM. Improving the cardiovascular health of the US population. JAMA. 2012;307(12):1314-1316.
- Rasmussen HN, Scheier MF, Greenhouse JB. Optimism and physical health: a meta-analytic review. Ann Behav Med. 2009;37(3):239-256.
- Kim ES, Smith J, Kubzansky LD. Prospective study of the association between dispositional optimism and incident heart failure. Circ Heart Fail. 2014;7(3):394-400.
- Kim ES, Park N, Peterson C. Dispositional optimism protects older adults from stroke: the Health and Retirement Study. Stroke. 2011;42(10):2855-2859.
- DuBois CM, Lopez OV, Beale EE, et al. Relationships between positive psychological constructs and health outcomes in patients with cardiovascular disease: a systematic review. Int J Cardiol. 2015;195:265-280.
- Giltay EJ, Geleijnse JM, Zitman FG, et al. Dispositional optimism and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in a prospective cohort of elderly dutch men and women. Arch Gen Psychiatry. 2004;61(11):1126-1135.
- Giltay EJ, Kamphuis MH, Kalmijn S, et al. Dispositional optimism and the risk of cardiovascular death: the Zutphen Elderly Study. Arch Intern Med. 2006;166(4):431-436.
- Tindle HA, Chang YF, Kuller LH, et al. Optimism, cynical hostility, and incident coronary heart disease and mortality in the Women's Health Initiative. Circulation. 2009;120(8): 656-662.
- Peters ML, Flink IK, Boersma K, et al. Manipulating optimism: can imaging a best possible self be used to increase future expectancies? J Posit Psychol. 2010;5(3): 204-211.
- Murphy SE, Clare O'Donoghue M, Drazich EH, et al. Imagining a brighter future: the effect of positive imagery training on mood, prospective mental imagery and emotional bias in older adults. Psychiatry Res. 2015;230(1):36-43.
- Gillham JE, Reivich KJ, Jaycox LH, et al. Prevention of depressive symptoms in schoolchildren: two-year follow-up. Psychol Sci. 1995;6(6):343-351.
- Yu DL, Seligman MEP. Preventing depressive symptoms in Chinese children. Prev Treat. 2002;5(1):9.
- Rozanski A. Optimism and other sources of psychological well-being: a new target for cardiac disease prevention. Circ Heart Fail. 2014;7(3):385-387.
- Boehm JK, Chen Y, Williams DR, et al. Unequally distributed psychological assets: are there social disparities in optimism, life satisfaction, and positive affect? PLoS One. 2015;10(2):e0118066.
- Hingle MD, Wertheim BC, Tindle HA, et al. Optimism and diet quality in the Women's Health Initiative. J Acad Nutr Diet. 2014;114(7):1036-1045.
- Huffman JC, DuBois CM, Mastromauro CA, et al. Positive psychological states and health behaviors in acute coronary syndrome patients: a qualitative study. J Health Psychol. 2016;21(6):1026-1036.
- Boehm JK, Williams DR, Rimm EB, et al. Relation between optimism and lipids in midlife. Am J Cardiol. 2013;111(10): 1425-1431.
- Schou I, Ekeberg O, Sandvik L, et al. Stability in optimism-pessimism in relation to bad news: a study of women with breast cancer. J Pers Assess. 2005;84(2):148-154.
- Ryff CD, Singer B. What to do about positive and negative items in studies of psychological well-being and ill-being? Psychother Psychosom. 2007;76(1):61-62.
- Segerstrom SC, Evans DR, Eisenlohr-Moul TA. Optimism and pessimism dimensions in the Life Orientation Test-Revised: method and meaning. J Res Pers. 2011;45(1):126-129.
- Rich-Edwards JW, Corsano KA, Stampfer MJ. Test of the national death index and equifax nationwide death search. Am J Epidemiol. 1994;140(11):1016-1019.
- Marc LG, Raue PJ, Bruce ML. Screening performance of the 15-item geriatric depression scale in a diverse elderly home care population. Am J Geriatr Psychiatry. 2008;16(11): 914-921.
- Rimm EB, Stampfer MJ, Colditz GA, et al. Validity of self-reported waist and hip circumferences in men and women. Epidemiology. 1990;1(6):466-473.
- Chiuve SE, Fung TT, Rimm EB, et al. Alternative dietary indices both strongly predict risk of chronic disease. J Nutr. 2012;142(6):1009-1018.
- Kohut ML, Cooper MM, Nickolaus MS, et al. Exercise and psychosocial factors modulate immunity to influenza vaccine in elderly individuals. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci. 2002; 57(9):M557-M562.
- Segerstrom SC, Sephton SE. Optimistic expectancies and cell-mediated immunity: the role of positive affect. Psychol Sci. 2010;21(3):448-455.
- Kubzansky LD, Wright RJ, Cohen S, et al. Breathing easy: a prospective study of optimism and pulmonary function in the normative aging study. Ann Behav Med. 2002;24(4):345-353.
- Ikeda A, Schwartz J, Peters JL, et al. Optimism in relation to inflammation and endothelial dysfunction in older men: the VA Normative Aging Study. Psychosom Med. 2011;73(8): 664-671.
- Roy B, Diez-Roux AV, Seeman T, et al. Association of optimism and pessimism with inflammation and hemostasis in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA). Psychosom Med. 2010;72(2):134-140.
- Boehm JK, Williams DR, Rimm EB, et al. Association between optimism and serum antioxidants in the midlife in the United States study. Psychosom Med. 2013;75(1):2-10.
- Kubzansky LD, Boehm JK, Segerstrom SC. Positive psychological functioning and the biology of health. Soc Personal Psychol Compass. 2015;9(12):645-660.
- Ikeda A, Schwartz J, Peters JL, et al. Pessimistic orientation in relation to telomere length in older men: the VA normative aging study. Psychoneuroendocrinology. 2014;42:68-76.
- Giltay EJ, Geleijnse JM, Zitman FG, et al. Lifestyle and dietary correlates of dispositional optimism in men: the Zutphen Elderly Study. J Psychosom Res. 2007;63(5):483-490.
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Health benefits of physical activity: a systematic review of current systematic reviews
Warburton, D. E. R., & Bredin, S. S. D. (2017) · Current Opinion in Cardiology · doi:10.1097/hco.0000000000000437 · Cited by 2,410 · see citing works
Levine, G. N., Cohen, B. E., Commodore-Mensah, Y., Fleury, J., Huffman, J. C., Khalid, U., Labarthe, D. R., Lavretsky, H., Michos, E. D., Spatz, E. S., et al. (2021) · Circulation · doi:10.1161/cir.0000000000000947 · Cited by 865 · see citing works
Self-citationPositive Psychological Well-Being and Cardiovascular Disease
Kubzansky, L. D., Huffman, J. C., Boehm, J. K., Hernandez, R., Kim, E. S., Koga, H. K., Feig, E. H., Lloyd-Jones, D. M., Seligman, M. E. P., & Labarthe, D. R. (2018) · Journal of the American College of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2018.07.042 · Cited by 429 · see citing works
Self-citationAn exposome perspective: Early-life events and immune development in a changing world
Renz, H., Holt, P. G., Inouye, M., Logan, A. C., Prescott, S. L., & Sly, P. D. (2017) · Journal of Allergy and Clinical Immunology · doi:10.1016/j.jaci.2017.05.015 · Cited by 226 · see citing works
Rozanski, A., Bavishi, C., Kubzansky, L. D., & Cohen, R. (2019) · JAMA Network Open · doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2019.12200 · Cited by 216 · see citing works
Self-citationOptimism is associated with exceptional longevity in 2 epidemiologic cohorts of men and women
Lee, L. O., James, P., Zevon, E. S., Kim, E. S., Trudel-Fitzgerald, C., Spiro, A., Grodstein, F., & Kubzansky, L. D. (2019) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1900712116 · Cited by 195 · see citing works
Self-citationObbarius, N., Fischer, F., Liegl, G., Obbarius, A., & Rose, M. (2021) · Frontiers in Psychology · doi:10.3389/fpsyg.2021.584333 · Cited by 138 · see citing works
Population-based norms of the Life Orientation Test–Revised (LOT-R).
Schou-Bredal, I., Heir, T., Skogstad, L., Bonsaksen, T., Lerdal, A., Grimholt, T., & Ekeberg, Ø. (2017) · International Journal of Clinical and Health Psychology · doi:10.1016/j.ijchp.2017.07.005 · Cited by 104 · see citing works
Huffman, J. C., Golden, J., Massey, C. N., Feig, E. H., Chung, W.-J., Millstein, R. A., Brown, L., Gianangelo, T., Healy, B. C., Wexler, D. J., et al. (2021) · General Hospital Psychiatry · doi:10.1016/j.genhosppsych.2020.12.001 · Cited by 26 · see citing works
- Authors
- Kim, E. S., Hagan, K. A., Grodstein, F., DeMeo, D. L., De Vivo, I., & Kubzansky, L. D.
- Affiliations
- Harvard University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Kim, Eric S.
- Venue
- American Journal of Epidemiology
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 2016-12-07
- Volume
- 185
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 21-29
- ISSN
- 0002-9262 (ISSN-L)
- 1476-6256
- PMC
- PMC5209589
- OpenAlex
- W2560546734
- Cited by
- 200
- References
- 14
- Citations by year
- 2026: 6 · 2025: 11 · 2024: 16 · 2023: 21 · 2022: 36 · 2021: 26 · 2020: 21 · 2019: 32 · 2018: 20 · 2017: 10
- FWCI
- 31.85
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- American Journal of Epidemiology (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- HighWire Press Open Archive (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- National Institutes of Health (P01 CA87969, UM1 CA186107, T32 HL 098048)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Applied Psychology › Optimism, Hope, and Well-being
- Social Sciences › Health › Health disparities and outcomes
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › Cardiac Health and Mental Health
- Keywords
- optimism, dispositional optimism, cause-specific mortality, all-cause mortality, women, Nurses' Health Study, depression, health behavior, health conditions, cancer mortality, cardiovascular mortality, stroke, respiratory mortality, infection-related mortality, longevity
- MeSH terms
- Optimism, Aged, Cause of Death, Death Certificates, Depression, Female, Humans, Longitudinal Studies, Middle Aged, Socioeconomic Factors, United States, Health Behavior, Proportional Hazards Models, Women's Health, Resilience, Psychological
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review