Cited by 200Optimism, Hope, and Well-beingHealth disparities and outcomesCardiac Health and Mental Health

Optimism and Cause-Specific Mortality: A Prospective Cohort Study

Open access
Kim, Eric S., Hagan, Kaitlin A., Grodstein, Francine, DeMeo, Dawn L., De Vivo, Immaculata, Kubzansky, Laura D.·2017·American Journal of Epidemiology

Abstract

Growing evidence has linked positive psychological attributes like optimism to a lower risk of poor health outcomes, especially cardiovascular disease. It has been demonstrated in randomized trials that optimism can be learned. If associations between optimism and broader health outcomes are established, it may lead to novel interventions that improve public health and longevity. In the present study, we evaluated the association between optimism and cause-specific mortality in women after considering the role of potential confounding (sociodemographic characteristics, depression) and intermediary (health behaviors, health conditions) variables. We used prospective data from the Nurses' Health Study (n = 70,021). Dispositional optimism was measured in 2004; all-cause and cause-specific mortality rates were assessed from 2006 to 2012. Using Cox proportional hazard models, we found that a higher degree of optimism was associated with a lower mortality risk. After adjustment for sociodemographic confounders, compared with women in the lowest quartile of optimism, women in the highest quartile had a hazard ratio of 0.71 (95% confidence interval: 0.66, 0.76) for all-cause mortality. Adding health behaviors, health conditions, and depression attenuated but did not eliminate the associations (hazard ratio = 0.91, 95% confidence interval: 0.85, 0.97). Associations were maintained for various causes of death, including cancer, heart disease, stroke, respiratory disease, and infection. Given that optimism was associated with numerous causes of mortality, it may provide a valuable target for new research on strategies to improve health.

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1093/aje/kww182

Cites

14 of 14 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Claims the paper makes

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

The self-check needs the paper’s full text.

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

Research works printed but not linked: 34

  1. Boat TF. Improving lifetime health by promoting behavioral health in children. JAMA. 2015;313(15):1509-1510.
  2. Lloyd-Jones DM. Improving the cardiovascular health of the US population. JAMA. 2012;307(12):1314-1316.
  3. Rasmussen HN, Scheier MF, Greenhouse JB. Optimism and physical health: a meta-analytic review. Ann Behav Med. 2009;37(3):239-256.
  4. Kim ES, Smith J, Kubzansky LD. Prospective study of the association between dispositional optimism and incident heart failure. Circ Heart Fail. 2014;7(3):394-400.
  5. Kim ES, Park N, Peterson C. Dispositional optimism protects older adults from stroke: the Health and Retirement Study. Stroke. 2011;42(10):2855-2859.
  6. DuBois CM, Lopez OV, Beale EE, et al. Relationships between positive psychological constructs and health outcomes in patients with cardiovascular disease: a systematic review. Int J Cardiol. 2015;195:265-280.
  7. Giltay EJ, Geleijnse JM, Zitman FG, et al. Dispositional optimism and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in a prospective cohort of elderly dutch men and women. Arch Gen Psychiatry. 2004;61(11):1126-1135.
  8. Giltay EJ, Kamphuis MH, Kalmijn S, et al. Dispositional optimism and the risk of cardiovascular death: the Zutphen Elderly Study. Arch Intern Med. 2006;166(4):431-436.
  9. Tindle HA, Chang YF, Kuller LH, et al. Optimism, cynical hostility, and incident coronary heart disease and mortality in the Women's Health Initiative. Circulation. 2009;120(8): 656-662.
  10. Peters ML, Flink IK, Boersma K, et al. Manipulating optimism: can imaging a best possible self be used to increase future expectancies? J Posit Psychol. 2010;5(3): 204-211.
  11. Murphy SE, Clare O'Donoghue M, Drazich EH, et al. Imagining a brighter future: the effect of positive imagery training on mood, prospective mental imagery and emotional bias in older adults. Psychiatry Res. 2015;230(1):36-43.
  12. Gillham JE, Reivich KJ, Jaycox LH, et al. Prevention of depressive symptoms in schoolchildren: two-year follow-up. Psychol Sci. 1995;6(6):343-351.
  13. Yu DL, Seligman MEP. Preventing depressive symptoms in Chinese children. Prev Treat. 2002;5(1):9.
  14. Rozanski A. Optimism and other sources of psychological well-being: a new target for cardiac disease prevention. Circ Heart Fail. 2014;7(3):385-387.
  15. Boehm JK, Chen Y, Williams DR, et al. Unequally distributed psychological assets: are there social disparities in optimism, life satisfaction, and positive affect? PLoS One. 2015;10(2):e0118066.
  16. Hingle MD, Wertheim BC, Tindle HA, et al. Optimism and diet quality in the Women's Health Initiative. J Acad Nutr Diet. 2014;114(7):1036-1045.
  17. Huffman JC, DuBois CM, Mastromauro CA, et al. Positive psychological states and health behaviors in acute coronary syndrome patients: a qualitative study. J Health Psychol. 2016;21(6):1026-1036.
  18. Boehm JK, Williams DR, Rimm EB, et al. Relation between optimism and lipids in midlife. Am J Cardiol. 2013;111(10): 1425-1431.
  19. Schou I, Ekeberg O, Sandvik L, et al. Stability in optimism-pessimism in relation to bad news: a study of women with breast cancer. J Pers Assess. 2005;84(2):148-154.
  20. Ryff CD, Singer B. What to do about positive and negative items in studies of psychological well-being and ill-being? Psychother Psychosom. 2007;76(1):61-62.
  21. Segerstrom SC, Evans DR, Eisenlohr-Moul TA. Optimism and pessimism dimensions in the Life Orientation Test-Revised: method and meaning. J Res Pers. 2011;45(1):126-129.
  22. Rich-Edwards JW, Corsano KA, Stampfer MJ. Test of the national death index and equifax nationwide death search. Am J Epidemiol. 1994;140(11):1016-1019.
  23. Marc LG, Raue PJ, Bruce ML. Screening performance of the 15-item geriatric depression scale in a diverse elderly home care population. Am J Geriatr Psychiatry. 2008;16(11): 914-921.
  24. Rimm EB, Stampfer MJ, Colditz GA, et al. Validity of self-reported waist and hip circumferences in men and women. Epidemiology. 1990;1(6):466-473.
  25. Chiuve SE, Fung TT, Rimm EB, et al. Alternative dietary indices both strongly predict risk of chronic disease. J Nutr. 2012;142(6):1009-1018.
  26. Kohut ML, Cooper MM, Nickolaus MS, et al. Exercise and psychosocial factors modulate immunity to influenza vaccine in elderly individuals. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci. 2002; 57(9):M557-M562.
  27. Segerstrom SC, Sephton SE. Optimistic expectancies and cell-mediated immunity: the role of positive affect. Psychol Sci. 2010;21(3):448-455.
  28. Kubzansky LD, Wright RJ, Cohen S, et al. Breathing easy: a prospective study of optimism and pulmonary function in the normative aging study. Ann Behav Med. 2002;24(4):345-353.
  29. Ikeda A, Schwartz J, Peters JL, et al. Optimism in relation to inflammation and endothelial dysfunction in older men: the VA Normative Aging Study. Psychosom Med. 2011;73(8): 664-671.
  30. Roy B, Diez-Roux AV, Seeman T, et al. Association of optimism and pessimism with inflammation and hemostasis in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA). Psychosom Med. 2010;72(2):134-140.
  31. Boehm JK, Williams DR, Rimm EB, et al. Association between optimism and serum antioxidants in the midlife in the United States study. Psychosom Med. 2013;75(1):2-10.
  32. Kubzansky LD, Boehm JK, Segerstrom SC. Positive psychological functioning and the biology of health. Soc Personal Psychol Compass. 2015;9(12):645-660.
  33. Ikeda A, Schwartz J, Peters JL, et al. Pessimistic orientation in relation to telomere length in older men: the VA normative aging study. Psychoneuroendocrinology. 2014;42:68-76.
  34. Giltay EJ, Geleijnse JM, Zitman FG, et al. Lifestyle and dietary correlates of dispositional optimism in men: the Zutphen Elderly Study. J Psychosom Res. 2007;63(5):483-490.

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Kim, E. S., Hagan, K. A., Grodstein, F., DeMeo, D. L., De Vivo, I., & Kubzansky, L. D.
Affiliations
Harvard University (US)
Corresponding author
Kim, Eric S.
Venue
American Journal of Epidemiology
Published
2016-12-07
Volume
185
Issue
1
Pages
21-29
ISSN
  • 0002-9262 (ISSN-L)
  • 1476-6256
OpenAlex
W2560546734
Cited by
200
References
14
Citations by year
2026: 6 · 2025: 11 · 2024: 16 · 2023: 21 · 2022: 36 · 2021: 26 · 2020: 21 · 2019: 32 · 2018: 20 · 2017: 10
FWCI
31.85
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • American Journal of Epidemiology (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • HighWire Press Open Archive (submittedVersion)
Funders
National Institutes of Health (P01 CA87969, UM1 CA186107, T32 HL 098048)
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Psychology › Applied Psychology › Optimism, Hope, and Well-being
  • Social Sciences › Health › Health disparities and outcomes
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › Cardiac Health and Mental Health
Keywords
optimism, dispositional optimism, cause-specific mortality, all-cause mortality, women, Nurses' Health Study, depression, health behavior, health conditions, cancer mortality, cardiovascular mortality, stroke, respiratory mortality, infection-related mortality, longevity
MeSH terms
Optimism, Aged, Cause of Death, Death Certificates, Depression, Female, Humans, Longitudinal Studies, Middle Aged, Socioeconomic Factors, United States, Health Behavior, Proportional Hazards Models, Women's Health, Resilience, Psychological

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review