Comparison of MRI criteria at first presentation to predict conversion to clinically definite multiple sclerosis
Open accessAbstract
We compared MRI criteria used to predict conversion of suspected multiple sclerosis to clinically definite multiple sclerosis. Seventy-four patients with clinically isolated neurological symptoms suggestive of multiple sclerosis were studied with MRI. Logistic regression analysis was used to remove redundant information, and a diagnostic model was built after each MRI parameter was dichotomized according to maximum accuracy using receiver operating characteristic analysis. Clinically definite multiple sclerosis developed in 33 patients (prevalence 45%). The optimum cut-off point (number of lesions) was one for most MRI criteria (including gadolinium-enhancement and juxta-cortical lesions), but three for periventricular lesions, and nine for the total number of T2-lesions. Only gadolinium-enhancement and juxta-cortical lesions provided independent information. A final model which, in addition, included infratentorial and periventricular lesions, had an accuracy of 80%, and having more abnormal criteria, predicted conversion to clinically definite multiple sclerosis strongly. The model performed better than the criteria of Paty et al. (Neurology 1988; 38: 180-5) and of Fazekas et al. (Neurology 1988; 38: 1822-5). We concluded that a four-parameter dichotomized MRI model including gadolinium-enhancement, juxtacortical, infratentorial and periventricular lesions best predicts conversion to clinically definite multiple sclerosis.
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The lesions detected by special MRI techniques for cortical lesions are primarily of the leukocortical type; subpial lesions are rarely detected.
“The lesions detected by these techniques are primarily of the leukocortical type; subpial lesions are rarely detected.”
From Diagnosis of multiple sclerosis: 2017 revisions of the McDonald criteria (2018) · cites this paper as [77]
The Methods (p. 4) score juxtacortical lesions, and the Discussion (p. 10) mentions their detection with FLAIR. Neither passage classifies detected lesions as primarily leukocortical or says subpial lesions are rarely detected. Searches for leukocortical, subpial, and cortical-lesion detection found no passage addressing that comparison. (LLM, conf=0.75)
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- Authors
- Barkhof, F.
- Affiliations
- Amsterdam UMC Location Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam (NL)
- Corresponding author
- Barkhof, F
- ORCID
- Barkhof, F
- Venue
- Brain
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 1997-11-01
- Volume
- 120
- Issue
- 11
- Pages
- 2059-2069
- ISSN
- 0006-8950 (ISSN-L)
- 1460-2156
- OpenAlex
- W2122894564
- Cited by
- 1,251
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2026: 18 · 2025: 16 · 2024: 21 · 2023: 30 · 2022: 22 · 2021: 34 · 2020: 26 · 2019: 33 · 2018: 50 · 2017: 54 · 2016: 46 · 2015: 59 · 2014: 53 · 2013: 69 · 2012: 74
- FWCI
- 10.25
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- research.vumc.nl
- Licence
- other-oa
- Locations
- Brain (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Amsterdam UMC (VU Amsterdam) - Institutional Repository (publishedVersion, other-oa)
- Pure Amsterdam UMC (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Digital Academic REpository of VU University Amsterdam (Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam) (submittedVersion)
- UCL Discovery (University College London) (submittedVersion)
- Archivio Istituzionale della Ricerca - Università Vita-Salute San Raffaele (submittedVersion)
- Data Archiving and Networked Services (DANS) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Funders
- Multiple Sclerosis Society
- Stichting MS Research
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pathology and Forensic Medicine › Multiple Sclerosis Research Studies
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Oncology › Polyomavirus and related diseases
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Family Practice › Clinical Reasoning and Diagnostic Skills
- Keywords
- multiple sclerosis, clinically isolated syndrome, conversion to multiple sclerosis, gadolinium-enhancing lesions, juxtacortical lesions, periventricular lesions, infratentorial lesions, T2 lesions, diagnostic model
- MeSH terms
- False Negative Reactions, False Positive Reactions, Gadolinium, Humans, Magnetic Resonance Imaging, Multiple Sclerosis, Predictive Value of Tests, Time Factors
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