Rising consumption of meat and milk in developing countries has created a new food revolution
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People in developing countries currently consume on average one-third the meat and one-quarter of the milk products per capita compared to the richer North, but this is changing rapidly. The amount of meat consumed in developing countries over the past has grown three times as much as it did in the developed countries. The Livestock Revolution is primarily driven by demand. Poor people everywhere are eating more animal products as their incomes rise above poverty level and as they become urbanized. By 2020, the share of developing countries in total world meat consumption will expand from 52% currently to 63%. By 2020, developing countries will consume 107 million metric tons (mmt) more meat and 177 mmt more milk than they did in 1996/1998, dwarfing developed-country increases of 19 mmt for meat and 32 mmt for milk. The projected increase in livestock production will require annual feed consumption of cereals to rise by nearly 300 mmt by 2020. Nonetheless, the inflation-adjusted prices of livestock and feed commodities are expected to fall marginally by 2020, compared to precipitous declines in the past 20 y. Structural change in the diets of billions of people is a primal force not easily reversed by governments. The incomes and nutrition of millions of rural poor in developing countries are improving. Yet in many cases these dietary changes also create serious environmental and health problems that require active policy involvement to prevent irreversible consequences.
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By 2020, developing countries will consume 107 million t more meat and 177 million t more milk than the annual average of the years 1996 through 1998.
“By 2020, developing countries will consume 107 million t more meat and 177 million t more milk than the annual average of the years 1996 through 1998.”
From Prevalence and impacts of genetically engineered feedstuffs on livestock populations1 (2014) · cites this paper as Delgado, 2003
The projected increase in livestock production will require annual feed consumption of cereals to rise by nearly 300 million t by 2020.
“The projected increase in livestock production will require annual feed consumption of cereals to rise by nearly 300 million t by 2020 (Delgado, 2003).”
From Prevalence and impacts of genetically engineered feedstuffs on livestock populations1 (2014) · cites this paper as Delgado, 2003
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- Authors
- Delgado, C. L.
- Affiliations
- International Food Policy Research Institute (US)
- Corresponding author
- Delgado, Christopher L.
- Venue
- The Journal of Nutrition
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2003-11
- Volume
- 133
- Issue
- 11
- Pages
- 3907S-3910S
- ISSN
- 0022-3166 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2111448491
- Cited by
- 717
- References
- 7
- Citations by year
- 2026: 13 · 2025: 24 · 2024: 32 · 2023: 29 · 2022: 38 · 2021: 41 · 2020: 54 · 2019: 54 · 2018: 46 · 2017: 45 · 2016: 47 · 2015: 74 · 2014: 47 · 2013: 43 · 2012: 30
- FWCI
- 6.96
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Journal of Nutrition (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- IFPRI E-brary (International Food Policy Research Institute) (submittedVersion)
- CGSPace A Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (Consultative Group for International Agricultural Research) (submittedVersion)
- International Food Policy Research Institute (International Food Policy Research Institute) (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecology › Agriculture Sustainability and Environmental Impact
- Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Food Science › Agricultural and Food Production Studies
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Economics of Agriculture and Food Markets
- Keywords
- meat consumption, milk consumption, animal husbandry, developing countries, dietary change, rural poverty, urbanization, income growth, livestock prices, environmental impact of livestock, food policy, nutrition
- MeSH terms
- Animals, Energy Intake, Developing Countries, Diet, Geography, Meat, Milk
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