Consequences of Range Contractions and Range Shifts on Molecular Diversity

Arenas, Miguel; Ray, Nicolas; Currat, Mathias; Excoffier, Laurent

doi:10.1093/molbev/msr187

Cited by 236Genetic diversity and population structureEvolution and Genetic DynamicsSpecies Distribution and Climate Change

Consequences of Range Contractions and Range Shifts on Molecular Diversity

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Arenas, Miguel, Ray, Nicolas, Currat, Mathias, Excoffier, Laurent·2012·Molecular Biology and Evolution

DOI 10.1093/molbev/msr187

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Abstract

Due to past and current climatic changes, range contractions and range shifts are essential stages in the history of a species. However, unlike range expansions, the molecular consequences of these processes have been little investigated. In order to fill this gap, we simulated patterns of molecular diversity within and between populations for various types of range contractions and range shifts. We show that range contractions tend to decrease genetic diversity as compared with population with stable ranges but quite counterintuitively fast range contractions preserve higher levels of diversity and induce lower levels of genetic differentiation among refuge areas than slow contractions. Contrastingly, fast range shifts lead to lower levels of diversity than slow range shifts. At odds with our expectations, we find that species actively migrating toward refuge areas can only preserve higher levels of diversity in refugia if the contraction is rapid. Under slow range contraction or slow range shift, active migration toward refugia lead to a larger loss of diversity as compared with scenarios with isotropic migration and may thus not be a good evolutionary strategy. These results suggest that the levels of diversity preserved after a climate change both within and between refuge areas will not only depend on the dispersal abilities of a species but also on the speed of the change. It also implies that a given episode of climatic change will impact differently species with different generation times.

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Different events of population contractions and expansions during the Paleolithic related to the Last Glacial Maximum could have affected the latitudinal gradient more than the one seen for longitude.
“Different events of population contractions and expansions during the Paleolithic related to the LGM (45, 46) could have affected the latitudinal gradient more than the one seen for longitude.”
From Past human expansions shaped the spatial pattern of Neanderthal ancestry (2023) · cites this paper as [46]
The ‘Envisioning more complex scenarios’ section says that many species likely underwent repeated expansions and contractions across glacial cycles. It does not identify those events as Paleolithic or related to the Last Glacial Maximum, and it does not compare their effects on latitudinal and longitudinal gradients. No page number is available in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.78)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
The sole observation of a southeast to northwest genetic cline in Europe is not informative about the expansion of farmers, as the cline could have been generated during the previous hunter-gatherer expansion.
“As previously noted (45, 46), the sole observation of a south east to north west genetic cline in Europe is not informative about the expansion of FAs, as the cline could have been generated during the previous HG expansion.”
From Past human expansions shaped the spatial pattern of Neanderthal ancestry (2023) · cites this paper as [46]
The Introduction (page unavailable) says range expansions can affect patterns of genetic diversity, and the Range expansions section describes simulated expansions. Neither addresses a southeast-to-northwest European cline, farmer versus hunter-gatherer expansions, or whether that cline can distinguish between them. Searches for those terms and for “cline” found no passage establishing the attributed point. (LLM, conf=0.74)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Reductions in habitat area as species move up mountains increase extinction rates and can erode genetic diversity, further reducing fitness and response to ongoing changes in climate.
“The reductions in habitat area as species move up mountains also increase extinction rates (87), and can erode genetic diversity, further reducing fitness and response to ongoing changes in climate (122, 123).”
From Climate-driven declines in arthropod abundance restructure a rainforest food web (2018) · cites this paper as [122]

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The ‘Ward Line–Mekong–Salween Divide’ is an important floristic boundary between the eastern Himalaya and Hengduan Mountains: evidence from the phylogeographical structure of subnival herbs Marmoritis complanatum (Lamiaceae)
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Population expansion, isolation and selection: novel insights on the evolution of color diversity in the strawberry poison frog
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Influence of Admixture and Paleolithic Range Contractions on Current European Diversity Gradients
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Evidence of rapid change in genetic structure and diversity during range expansion in a recovering large terrestrial carnivore
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Long-Distance Dispersal Shaped Patterns of Human Genetic Diversity in Eurasia
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Landscape Features and Climatic Forces Shape the Genetic Structure and Evolutionary History of an Oak Species (Quercus chenii) in East China
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NONSTATIONARY PATTERNS OF ISOLATION‐BY‐DISTANCE: INFERRING MEASURES OF LOCAL GENETIC DIFFERENTIATION WITH BAYESIAN KRIGING
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Biogeographic constraints to marine conservation in a changing climate
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Ecological Niche Modelling Approaches: Challenges and Applications in Vector-Borne Diseases
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Genetic and Historical Colonization Analyses of an Endemic Savanna Tree, Qualea grandiflora, Reveal Ancient Connections Between Amazonian Savannas and Cerrado Core
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SPLATCHE3: simulation of serial genetic data under spatially explicit evolutionary scenarios including long-distance dispersal
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Surviving in Mountain Climate Refugia: New Insights from the Genetic Diversity and Structure of the Relict Shrub Myrtus nivellei (Myrtaceae) in the Sahara Desert
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Present, past and future of the European rock fern Asplenium fontanum: combining distribution modelling and population genetics to study the effect of climate change on geographic range and genetic diversity
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Relaxed random walk model coupled with ecological niche modeling unravel the dispersal dynamics of a Neotropical savanna tree species in the deeper Quaternary
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Using biogeographical history to inform conservation: the case of P reble's meadow jumping mouse
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Integrative inference of population history in the Ibero-Maghrebian endemic Pleurodeles waltl (Salamandridae)
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Body size, growth and life span: Implications for the polewards range shift of octopus tetricus in south-Eastern Australia
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Demographic mechanisms underpinning genetic assimilation of remnant groups of a large carnivore
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The intraspecific genetic variability of siliceous and calcareous Gentiana species is shaped by contrasting demographic and re-colonization processes
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Identifying refugia from climate change using coupled ecological and genetic data in a transitional M editerranean‐temperate tree species
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Genetic surfing in human populations: from genes to genomes
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The Muskox Lost a Substantial Part of Its Genetic Diversity on Its Long Road to Greenland
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Individualistic response to past climate changes: niche differentiation promotes diverging Quaternary range dynamics in the subspecies of Testudo graeca
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Population genomic, climatic and anthropogenic evidence suggest the role of human forces in endangerment of green peafowl ( Pavo muticus )
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Imprints of multiple glacial refugia in the Pyrenees revealed by phylogeography and palaeodistribution modelling of an endemic spider
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Species delimitation, genetic diversity and population historical dynamics of Cycas diannanensis (Cycadaceae) occurring sympatrically in the Red River region of China
Liu, J., Zhou, W., & Gong, X. (2015) · Frontiers in Plant Science · doi:10.3389/fpls.2015.00696 · Cited by 38 · see citing works
Influence of mutation and recombination on HIV-1 in vitro fitness recovery
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The roles of barriers, refugia, and chromosomal clines underlying diversification in Atlantic Forest social wasps
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The road to evolutionary success: insights from the demographic history of an Amazonian palm
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The Fate of Cooperation during Range Expansions
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Recovering the demographical history of a Brazilian Cerrado tree species Caryocar brasiliense: coupling ecological niche modeling and coalescent analyses
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Congruent evolutionary responses of European steppe biota to late Quaternary climate change
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Stability and the competition-dispersal trade-off as drivers of speciation and biodiversity gradients
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Modeling Cedrus atlantica potential distribution in North Africa across time: new putative glacial refugia and future range shifts under climate change
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Cape buffalo mitogenomics reveals a Holocene shift in the African human–megafauna dynamics
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Ice age unfrozen: severe effect of the last interglacial, not glacial, climate change on East Asian avifauna
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Winter is coming: Miocene and Quaternary climatic shifts shaped the diversification of Western‐Mediterranean Harpactocrates (Araneae, Dysderidae) spiders
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Methodological framework for projecting the potential loss of intraspecific genetic diversity due to global climate change
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Episodic processes, invasion and faunal mosaics in evolutionary and ecological time
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Discovery and Description of a New Trichostrongyloid Species (Nematoda: Ostertagiinae), Abomasal Parasites in Mountain Goat, Oreamnos americanus, from the Western Cordillera of North America
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Will climate change impact distribution of bats in Nepal Himalayas? A case study of five species
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Coalescent Simulation and Paleodistribution Modeling for Tabebuia rosealba Do Not Support South American Dry Forest Refugia Hypothesis
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Towards a more holistic research approach to plant conservation: the case of rare plants on oceanic islands
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Population Genetic Differentiation and Taxonomy of Three Closely Related Species of Saxifraga (Saxifragaceae) from Southern Tibet and the Hengduan Mountains
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Diversification of the widespread neotropical frog Physalaemus cuvieri in response to Neogene-Quaternary geological events and climate dynamics
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Contrasting evolutionary patterns in populations of demersal sharks throughout the western Mediterranean
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Genetic and plastic rewiring of food webs under climate change
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Unravelling the genetic differentiation among varieties of the Neotropical savanna tree Hancornia speciosa Gomes
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The spatio-temporal dynamics of neutral genetic diversity
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THE COALESCENT IN BOUNDARY-LIMITED RANGE EXPANSIONS
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Large scale patterns of genetic variation and differentiation in sugar maple from tropical Central America to temperate North America
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Signature of the Paleo-Course Changes in the São Francisco River as Source of Genetic Structure in Neotropical Pithecopus nordestinus (Phyllomedusinae, Anura) Treefrog
Bruschi, D. P., Peres, E. A., Lourenço, L. B., Bartoleti, L. F. D. M., Sobral‐Souza, T., & Recco‐Pimentel, S. M. (2019) · Frontiers in Genetics · doi:10.3389/fgene.2019.00728 · Cited by 26 · see citing works
Predicting impacts of global climatic change on genetic and phylogeographical diversity of a Neotropical treefrog
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Demographical history and palaeodistribution modelling show range shift towards Amazon Basin for a Neotropical tree species in the LGM
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Genetic structure and demographic history of Cycas chenii (Cycadaceae), an endangered species with extremely small populations
Yang, R., Feng, X., & Gong, X. (2016) · Acta Botanica Yunnanica · doi:10.1016/j.pld.2016.11.003 · Cited by 25 · see citing works
Quaternary climate change drives allo-peripatric speciation and refugial divergence in the Dysosma versipellis-pleiantha complex from different forest types in China
Wang, Y., Comes, H. P., Cao, Y.-N., Guo, R. F., Mao, Y., & Qiu, Y. (2017) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/srep40261 · Cited by 25 · see citing works
Evolution of Protein Structure and Stability in Global Warming
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Genome-Wide Evidence for Complex Hybridization and Demographic History in a Group of Cycas From China
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Inference of biogeographic history by formally integrating distinct lines of evidence: genetic, environmental niche and fossil
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Ancient events and climate adaptive capacity shaped distinct chloroplast genetic structure in the oak lineages
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Climate change within Serbian forests: Current state and future perspectives
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Integrating Parasites and Pathogens into the Study of Geographic Range Limits
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Fragmented and isolated: limited gene flow coupled with weak isolation by environment in the paleoendemic giant sequoia (Sequoiadendron giganteum)
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Conservation biogeography of high‐altitude longhorn beetles under climate change
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Evolutionary dynamics of a rapidly receding southern range boundary in the threatened C alifornia R ed‐ L egged F rog ( R ana draytonii)
Richmond, J. Q., Barr, K. R., Backlin, A. R., Vandergast, A. G., & Fisher, R. N. (2013) · Evolutionary Applications · doi:10.1111/eva.12067 · Cited by 22 · see citing works
Is population structure in the E uropean white stork determined by flyway permeability rather than translocation history?
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Further Evidence for Cryptic North-Western Refugia in Europe? Mitochondrial Phylogeography of the Sibling SpeciesPipistrellus pipistrellusandPipistrellus pygmaeus
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Phylogeography of the western jumping mouse (Zapus princeps) detects deep and persistent allopatry with expansion
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Inferring the mode of colonization of the rapid range expansion of a solitary bee from multilocus DNA sequence variation
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Genetic Diversity Impacts Climate‐Induced Species Range Shifts
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Species‐Specific Traits Shape Genetic Diversity During an Expansion–Contraction Cycle and Bias Demographic History Reconstruction
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Expansion under climate change: the genetic consequences
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Mutation load dynamics during environmentally-driven range shifts
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Spatial sorting and range shifts: Consequences for evolutionary potential and genetic signature of a dispersal trait
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Authors: Arenas, M., Ray, N., Currat, M., & Excoffier, L.
Affiliations: University of Bern (CH)
University of Geneva (CH)
Corresponding author: Arenas, Miguel
ORCID: Arenas, Miguel
Ray, Nicolas
Currat, Mathias
Excoffier, Laurent
Venue: Molecular Biology and Evolution
Publisher: Oxford University Press (OUP)
Published: 2011-07-21
Volume: 29
Issue: 1
Pages: 207-218
ISSN: 0737-4038 (ISSN-L)
1537-1719
DOI: 10.1093/molbev/msr187
OpenAlex: W2164841145
Cited by: 236
References: 66
Citations by year: 2026: 9 · 2025: 5 · 2024: 10 · 2023: 10 · 2022: 14 · 2021: 16 · 2020: 12 · 2019: 28 · 2018: 26 · 2017: 18 · 2016: 14 · 2015: 20 · 2014: 14 · 2013: 26 · 2012: 14
FWCI: 10.62
Type: journal article
Language: en
Open access: bronze
doi.org
Locations: Molecular Biology and Evolution (publishedVersion)
PubMed (publishedVersion)
Archive ouverte UNIGE (University of Geneva) (publishedVersion)
BORIS (University Library Bern) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
Archive ouverte UNIGE (University of Geneva) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
Funders: European Commission (226852)
Topics: Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Genetic diversity and population structure
Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Evolution and Genetic Dynamics
Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecological Modeling › Species Distribution and Climate Change
Keywords: range contraction, range shifts, climate change, genetic diversity, genetic differentiation, refugia, migration, dispersal, generation time, population genetics, molecular diversity
MeSH terms: Animals, Computer Simulation, DNA, Environment, Genetics, Population, Homing Behavior, Models, Biological, Genetic Variation, Evolution, Molecular, Animal Migration, Climate Change

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Consequences of Range Contractions and Range Shifts on Molecular Diversity

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