Cited by 638Smoking Behavior and CessationGlobal Cancer Incidence and ScreeningHealthcare Systems and Public Health

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Mortality from smoking worldwide

Peto, R., Lopez, A. D., Boreham, J., Thun, M., Heath, C., Doll, R.·1996·British Medical Bulletin

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Abstract

Estimates are made of the numbers and proportions of deaths attributable to smoking in 44 developed countries in 1990. In developed countries as a whole, tobacco was responsible for 24% of all male deaths and 7% of all female deaths, rising to over 40% in men in some former socialist economies and 17% in women in the USA. The average loss of life for all cigarette smokers was about 8 years and for those whose deaths were attributable to tobacco about 16 years. Trends in mortality attributable to tobacco differed between countries. In some the mortality in middle age (35-69 years) had decreased by half in men since 1965; in others it was continuing to increase. In women, the proportion was mostly increasing, almost universally in old age. Mortality not attributable to smoking decreased since 1955 in all OECD (Organization for European Collaboration and Development) countries, by up to 60% in men and more in women. No precise estimate can be made of the number of deaths attributable to smoking in undeveloped countries, but the prevalence of smoking suggests that it will be large. In the world as a whole, some 3 million deaths a year are estimated to be attributable to smoking, rising to 10 million a year in 30-40 years' time.

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Authors: Peto, R., Lopez, A. D., Boreham, J., Thun, M., Heath, C., & Doll, R.
Affiliations: University of Oxford (GB)
American Cancer Society (US)
ORCID: Peto, R.
Venue: British Medical Bulletin
Publisher: Oxford University Press (OUP)
Published: 1996-01-01
Volume: 52
Issue: 1
Pages: 12-21
ISSN: 0007-1420 (ISSN-L)
1471-8391
DOI: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.bmb.a011519
OpenAlex: W2115371904
Cited by: 638
References: 9
Citations by year: 2026: 3 · 2025: 8 · 2024: 6 · 2023: 12 · 2022: 10 · 2021: 11 · 2020: 10 · 2019: 9 · 2018: 21 · 2017: 12 · 2016: 16 · 2015: 20 · 2014: 24 · 2013: 32 · 2012: 27
FWCI: 8.78
Type: journal article
Language: en
Open access: closed
Locations: British Medical Bulletin (publishedVersion)
PubMed (publishedVersion)
Topics: Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Smoking Behavior and Cessation
Health Sciences › Medicine › Oncology › Global Cancer Incidence and Screening
Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Healthcare Systems and Public Health
Keywords: smoking, smoking-related mortality, attributable mortality, global mortality estimates, sex differences in mortality, mortality trends, developed countries, former socialist economies
MeSH terms: Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Female, Humans, Life Expectancy, Lung Neoplasms, Male, Middle Aged, Sex Factors, Smoking, Developed Countries

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