Determining the relative importance of the mechanisms of behavior change within Alcoholics Anonymous: a multiple mediator analysis
Open accessAbstract
Aims Evidence indicates that Alcoholics Anonymous (AA) participation reduces relapse risk but less is known about the mechanisms through which AA confers this benefit. Initial studies indicate self‐efficacy, negative affect, adaptive social networks and spiritual practices are mediators of this effect, but because these have been tested in isolation, their relative importance remains elusive. This study tested multiple mediators simultaneously to help determine the most influential pathways. Design Prospective, statistically controlled, naturalistic investigation examined the extent to which these previously identified mechanisms mediated AA attendance effects on alcohol outcomes controlling for baseline outcome values, mediators, treatment, and other confounders. Setting Nine clinical sites within the United States. Participants Adults ( n = 1726) suffering from alcohol use disorder (AUD) initially enrolled in a randomized study with two arms: aftercare ( n = 774); and out‐patient ( n = 952) comparing three out‐patient treatments (Project MATCH). Measurements AA attendance during treatment; mediators at 9 months; and outcomes [percentage of days abstinent (PDA) and drinks per drinking day (DDD)] at 15 months. Findings Among out‐patients the effect of AA attendance on alcohol outcomes was explained primarily by adaptive social network changes and increases in social abstinence self‐efficacy. Among more impaired aftercare patients, in addition to mediation through adaptive network changes and increases in social self‐efficacy, AA lead to better outcomes through increasing spirituality/religiosity and by reducing negative affect. The degree to which mediators explained the relationship between AA and outcomes ranged from 43% to 67%. Conclusion While Alcoholics Anonymous facilitates recovery by mobilizing several processes simultaneously, it is changes in social factors which appear to be of primary importance.
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
TSF programs encourage participation in self- and mutual-help organizations, which aim to reduce alcohol use via changes in the composition of one's social network, increases in abstinence self-efficacy and spirituality, and reductions in negative affect.
“TSF programs encourage participation in self‐ and mutual‐help organizations (e.g. Alcoholics Anonymous), which aim to reduce alcohol use via changes in the composition of one's social network, increases in abstinence self‐efficacy and spirituality, and reductions in negative affect (National Institute on Drug Abuse 2000; Kelly 2012; Humphreys 2014).”
From Psychosocial and pharmacologic interventions to reduce harmful alcohol use in low- and middle-income countries (2023) · cites this paper as Kelly 2012
Split into 2 atoms — 1 confirmed, 1 partially supported, 0 disputed, 0 misattributed, 0 unverifiable. Expand the claim to see per-atom verdicts.
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Cites
An inventory for measuring depression
BECK, A. T. (1961) · Archives of General Psychiatry · doi:10.1001/archpsyc.1961.01710120031004 · Cited by 38,032 · see citing works
Preacher, K. J., & Hayes, A. F. (2008) · Behavior Research Methods · doi:10.3758/brm.40.3.879 · Cited by 34,117 · see citing works
Asymptotic Confidence Intervals for Indirect Effects in Structural Equation Models
Sobel, M. E. (1982) · Sociological Methodology · doi:10.2307/270723 · Cited by 12,810 · see citing works
Psychometric properties of the Beck Depression Inventory: Twenty-five years of evaluation
Beck, A. T., Steer, R. A., & Carbin, M. G. (1988) · Clinical Psychology Review · doi:10.1016/0272-7358(88)90050-5 · Cited by 11,696 · see citing works
Missing data: our view of the state of the art
Schafer, J. L., & Graham, J. W. (2002) · Psychological Methods · doi:10.1037/1082-989x.7.2.147 · Cited by 11,638 · see citing works
Confidence Limits for the Indirect Effect: Distribution of the Product and Resampling Methods
MacKinnon, D. P., Lockwood, C. M., & Williams, J. (2004) · Multivariate Behavioral Research · doi:10.1207/s15327906mbr3901_4 · Cited by 7,806 · see citing works
Introduction to Statistical Mediation Analysis
MacKinnon, D. P. (2012) · doi:10.4324/9780203809556 · Cited by 5,618 · see citing works
Actual causes of death in the United States
McGinnis, J. M. (1993) · JAMA: The Journal of the American Medical Association · doi:10.1001/jama.1993.03510180077038 · Cited by 5,480 · see citing works
Actual Causes of Death in the United States, 2000
Mokdad, A. H. (2004) · JAMA · doi:10.1001/jama.291.10.1238 · Cited by 5,211 · see citing works
The Spread of Obesity in a Large Social Network over 32 Years
Christakis, N. A., & Fowler, J. H. (2007) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejmsa066082 · Cited by 5,007 · see citing works
The collective dynamics of smoking in a large social network
Christakis, N. A., & Fowler, J. H. (2008) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejmsa0706154 · Cited by 2,390 · see citing works
Fowler, J. H., & Christakis, N. A. (2008) · BMJ · doi:10.1136/bmj.a2338 · Cited by 1,990 · see citing works
Stansfield, R. G., & Leinhardt, S. (1983) · Journal of the Operational Research Society · doi:10.1057/jors.1983.42 · Cited by 1,918 · see citing works
(1997) · Journal of Studies on Alcohol · doi:10.15288/jsa.1997.58.7 · Cited by 1,905 · see citing works
Alcohol: No Ordinary Commodity. Research and public policy
Babor, T. F., Caetano, R., Casswell, S., Edwards, G., Giesbrecht, N., Graham, K., Grube, J. W., Hill, L., Holder, H. D., Homel, R. J., et al. (2003) · Cited by 1,718 · see citing works
Alcohol: No Ordinary Commodity
Babor, T. F., Caetano, R., Casswell, S., Edwards, G., Giesbrecht, N., Graham, K., Grube, J. W., Hill, L., Holder, H. D., Homel, R. J., et al. (2010) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199551149.001.0001 · Cited by 1,306 · see citing works
Some New Results on Indirect Effects and Their Standard Errors in Covariance Structure Models
Sobel, M. E. (1986) · Sociological Methodology · doi:10.2307/270922 · Cited by 1,096 · see citing works
Broadening the base of treatment for alcohol problems
Hertzman, M. (1991) · Journal of Substance Abuse Treatment · doi:10.1016/0740-5472(91)90057-h · Cited by 832 · see citing works
Kazdin, A. E., & Nock, M. K. (2003) · Journal of Child Psychology and Psychiatry · doi:10.1111/1469-7610.00195 · Cited by 774 · see citing works
Social dominance in monkeys: dopamine D2 receptors and cocaine self-administration
Morgan, D., Grant, K. A., Gage, H. D., Mach, R. H., Kaplan, J. R., Prioleau, O., Nader, S. H., Buchheimer, N., Ehrenkaufer, R. L., & Nader, M. A. (2002) · Nature Neuroscience · doi:10.1038/nn798 · Cited by 674 · see citing works
The Alcohol Abstinence Self-Efficacy scale.
DiClemente, C. C., Carbonari, J. P., Montgomery, R. P. G., & Hughes, S. O. (1994) · Journal of Studies on Alcohol · doi:10.15288/jsa.1994.55.141 · Cited by 555 · see citing works
Social network determinants of depression
Rosenquist, J. N., Fowler, J. H., & Christakis, N. A. (2011) · Molecular Psychiatry · doi:10.1038/mp.2010.13 · Cited by 543 · see citing works
Research on Alcoholics Anonymous: Opportunities and alternatives.
McCrady, B. S., & Miller, W. R. (1993) · Cited by 507 · see citing works
(1993) · Alcoholism Clinical and Experimental Research · doi:10.1111/j.1530-0277.1993.tb05219.x · Cited by 503 · see citing works
Sociological Methodology 1986.
Firebaugh, G., & Tuma, N. B. (1988) · Journal of the American Statistical Association · doi:10.2307/2288892 · Cited by 471 · see citing works
Measurement of drinking behavior using the Form 90 family of instruments.
Miller, W. R., & Boca, F. K. D. (1994) · Journal of Studies on Alcohol Supplement · doi:10.15288/jsas.1994.s12.112 · Cited by 450 · see citing works
Alcoholics Anonymous and other 12-step programmes for alcohol dependence
Ferri, M., Amato, L., & Davoli, M. (2006) · Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews · doi:10.1002/14651858.cd005032.pub2 · Cited by 347 · cited 1× · see citing works
“This body of work has indicated that AA confers short- and long-term therapeutic benefit on a par with professional interventions [13–16], and there are now numerous empirically supported interventions designed specifically to increase AA participation [17–22].”
Morgenstern, J., Labouvie, E. W., McCrady, B. S., Kahler, C. W., & Frey, R. M. (1997) · Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology · doi:10.1037//0022-006x.65.5.768 · Cited by 336 · see citing works
Broadening the Base of Treatment for Alcohol Problems
Institute of Medicine (1990) · National Academies Press eBooks · doi:10.17226/1341 · Cited by 330 · see citing works
Orrok, B. G. (1989) · JAMA · doi:10.1001/jama.1989.03420220129046 · Cited by 324 · see citing works
Social networks as mediators of the effect of Alcoholics Anonymous
Kaskutas, L. A., Bond, J., & Humphreys, K. (2002) · Addiction · doi:10.1046/j.1360-0443.2002.00118.x · Cited by 308 · see citing works
Kelly, J. F., Magill, M., & Stout, R. L. (2009) · Addiction Research & Theory · doi:10.1080/16066350902770458 · Cited by 307 · see citing works
Self-citationHarwood, H. J. (2000) · Medical Entomology and Zoology · Cited by 298 · see citing works
The persistent influence of social networks and alcoholics anonymous on abstinence.
Bond, J., Kaskutas, L., & Weisner, C. (2003) · Journal of Studies on Alcohol · doi:10.15288/jsa.2003.64.579 · Cited by 260 · see citing works
Morgenstern, J., Labouvie, E. W., McCrady, B. S., et al. (1997) · Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology · doi:10.1037/0022-006x.65.5.768 · Cited by 257 · see citing works
Moos, R., & Moos, B. (2006) · Journal of Clinical Psychology · doi:10.1002/jclp.20259 · Cited by 256 · see citing works
Self-help organizations for alcohol and drug problems: Toward evidence-based practice and policy
Humphreys, K. N., Wing, S., McCarty, D. W., Chappel, J. N., Gallant, L., Haberle, B. J., Horvath, A. T., Kaskutas, L. A., Kirk, T., Kivlahan, D. R., et al. (2004) · Journal of Substance Abuse Treatment · doi:10.1016/s0740-5472(03)00212-5 · Cited by 248 · see citing works
Kadden, R. M., Kathleen, C., Donovan, D. M., Cooney, N. L., Monti, P. M., Abrams, D. B., Litt, M. D., & Hester, R. K. (2003) · Cited by 241 · see citing works
Humphreys, K., Mankowski, E., Moos, R., & Finney, J. (1999) · Annals of Behavioral Medicine · doi:10.1007/bf02895034 · Cited by 240 · see citing works
A measure of religious background and behavior for use in behavior change research.
Connors, G. J., Tonigan, J. S., & Miller, W. R. (1996) · Psychology of Addictive Behaviors · doi:10.1037/0893-164x.10.2.90 · Cited by 228 · see citing works
Changing network support for drinking: Network Support Project 2-year follow-up.
Litt, M. D., Kadden, R. M., Kabela‐Cormier, E., & Petry, N. M. (2009) · Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology · doi:10.1037/a0015252 · Cited by 217 · see citing works
Intensive referral to 12-Step self-help groups and 6-month substance use disorder outcomes.
Timko, C., Debenedetti, A., & Billow, R. (2006) · Addiction · doi:10.1111/j.1360-0443.2006.01391.x · Cited by 198 · see citing works
Kelly, J. F., Stout, R., Magill, M., Tonigan, J., & Pagano, M. E. (2010) · Alcoholism: Clinical and Experimental Research · doi:10.1111/j.1530-0277.2010.01362.x · Cited by 181 · see citing works
Self-citationKelly, J. F., Myers, M. G., & Brown, S. A. (2000) · Psychology of Addictive Behaviors · doi:10.1037/0893-164x.14.4.376 · Cited by 175 · see citing works
Self-citationHumphreys, K. N., & Moos, R. H. (2001) · Alcoholism Clinical and Experimental Research · doi:10.1111/j.1530-0277.2001.tb02271.x · Cited by 168 · see citing works
Trends in the treatment of alcohol problems in the US general population, 1979 through 1990.
Weisner, C. M., Greenfield, T. K., & Room, R. (1995) · American Journal of Public Health · doi:10.2105/ajph.85.1.55 · Cited by 162 · see citing works
A Role for Spiritual Change in the Benefits of 12‐Step Involvement
Zemore, S. E. (2007) · Alcoholism Clinical and Experimental Research · doi:10.1111/j.1530-0277.2007.00499.x · Cited by 155 · see citing works
Effectiveness of Making Alcoholics Anonymous Easier: A group format 12-step facilitation approach
Kaskutas, L. A., Subbaraman, M. S., Witbrodt, J., & Zemore, S. E. (2009) · Journal of Substance Abuse Treatment · doi:10.1016/j.jsat.2009.01.004 · Cited by 151 · see citing works
Humphreys, K. N., & Moos, R. H. (2006) · Alcoholism Clinical and Experimental Research · doi:10.1111/j.1530-0277.2006.00273.x · Cited by 142 · see citing works
Kelly, J. F., Stout, R. L., Magill, M., & Tonigan, J. S. (2010) · Drug and Alcohol Dependence · doi:10.1016/j.drugalcdep.2010.09.009 · Cited by 139 · see citing works
Self-citationDo adolescents affiliate with 12-step groups? A multivariate process model of effects.
Kelly, J. F., Myers, M. G., & Brown, S. A. (2002) · Journal of Studies on Alcohol · doi:10.15288/jsa.2002.63.293 · Cited by 117 · see citing works
Self-citationAlcoholics anonymous, other 12‐step movements and psychotherapy in the US population, 1990
Room, R., & Greenfield, T. K. (1993) · Addiction · doi:10.1111/j.1360-0443.1993.tb02062.x · Cited by 114 · see citing works
Walitzer, K. S., Dermen, K. H., & Barrick, C. (2009) · Addiction · doi:10.1111/j.1360-0443.2008.02467.x · Cited by 98 · see citing works
Kelly, J. F., Stout, R. L., Magill, M., Tonigan, J., & Pagano, M. (2010) · Addiction · doi:10.1111/j.1360-0443.2009.02820.x · Cited by 98 · see citing works
Self-citationManual of the International Statistical Classification of Diseases, Injuries and Causes of Death.
K., J. (1950) · Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A (General) · doi:10.2307/2980804 · Cited by 91 · see citing works
Kelly, J. F., & Yeterian, J. D. (2008) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-012088520-6.50005-6 · Cited by 76 · see citing works
Self-citationThe process of treatment selection among previously untreated help-seeking problem drinkers
Timko, C., Finney, J. W., Moos, R. H., Moos, B. S., & Steinbaum, D. P. (1993) · Journal of Substance Abuse · doi:10.1016/0899-3289(93)90064-i · Cited by 71 · see citing works
Participation in Alcoholics Anonymous: Intended and Unintended Change Mechanisms
Owen, P. L., Slaymaker, V. J., Tonigan, J. S., McCrady, B. S., Epstein, E. E., Kaskutas, L. A., Humphreys, K. N., & Miller, W. R. (2003) · Alcoholism Clinical and Experimental Research · doi:10.1097/01.alc.0000057941.57330.39 · Cited by 66 · see citing works
Evidence-Based Adjunctive Treatments
(2008) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-0-12-088520-6.x5001-x · Cited by 52 · see citing works
Motivational enhancement for 12-step involvement among patients undergoing alcohol detoxification
Kahler, C. W., Read, J. P., Ramsey, S. E., Stuart, G. L., McCrady, B. S., & Brown, R. A. (2004) · Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology · doi:10.1037/0022-006x.72.4.736 · Cited by 50 · see citing works
Flagged first, then by citations
Research works printed but not linked: 1
- [62]The Bill W. -Carl Jung Letters Alcoholics Anonymous Grapevine January 1963
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Alcohol use disorder relapse factors: A systematic review.
Sliedrecht, W., de Waart, R., Witkiewitz, K., & Roozen, H. G. (2019) · Psychiatry Research · doi:10.1016/j.psychres.2019.05.038 · Cited by 358 · see citing works
O’Rourke, H. P., & MacKinnon, D. P. (2018) · Journal of Studies on Alcohol and Drugs · doi:10.15288/jsad.2018.79.171 · Cited by 268 · see citing works
Group-based treatment of opioid use disorder with buprenorphine: A systematic review
Sokol, R., LaVertu, A. E., Morrill, D., Albanese, C., & Schuman-Olivier, Z. (2018) · Journal of Substance Abuse Treatment · doi:10.1016/j.jsat.2017.11.003 · Cited by 50 · see citing works
Bergman, B. G., Kelly, J. F., Nargiso, J. E., & McKowen, J. W. (2016) · Cognitive and Behavioral Practice · doi:10.1016/j.cbpra.2015.09.008 · Cited by 50 · see citing works
Self-citationDeveloping a tailored substance use intervention for youth exiting foster care
Braciszewski, J. M., Tzilos Wernette, G. K., Moore, R. S., Tran, T. B., Bock, B. C., Stout, R. L., Chamberlain, P., & Vose-O’Neal, A. (2018) · Child Abuse & Neglect · doi:10.1016/j.chiabu.2018.01.013 · Cited by 36 · see citing works
Self-citationKelly, J. F., Hoffman, L., Vilsaint, C., Weiss, R., Nierenberg, A., & Hoeppner, B. (2019) · Journal of Affective Disorders · doi:10.1016/j.jad.2019.05.039 · Cited by 30 · see citing works
Self-citationGreene, M. C., Kane, J., Alto, M., Giusto, A., Lovero, K., Stockton, M., McClendon, J., Nicholson, T., Wainberg, M. L., Johnson, R. M., et al. (2023) · Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews · doi:10.1002/14651858.cd013350.pub2 · Cited by 11 · see citing works
- Authors
- Kelly, J. F., Hoeppner, B., Stout, R. L., & Pagano, M.
- Affiliations
- Harvard University (US)
- Case Western Reserve University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Kelly, John F.
- Venue
- Addiction
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2011-09-19
- Volume
- 107
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 289-299
- ISSN
- 0965-2140 (ISSN-L)
- 1360-0443
- PMC
- PMC3242865
- OpenAlex
- W2154896792
- Semantic Scholar
- ad96714175f332b4030c5634e0111c8da5685ea8
- Cited by
- 303
- References
- 60
- Citations by year
- 2026: 10 · 2025: 9 · 2024: 13 · 2023: 53 · 2022: 11 · 2021: 19 · 2020: 64 · 2019: 12 · 2018: 9 · 2017: 17 · 2016: 14 · 2015: 22 · 2014: 17 · 2013: 19 · 2012: 14
- FWCI
- 12.00
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- europepmc.org
- Locations
- Addiction (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (acceptedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- Funders
- National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism (R21AA016762)
- National Institute on Drug Abuse (K01DA027097, L30 DA025511)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Substance Abuse Treatment and Outcomes
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Opioid Use Disorder Treatment
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Clinical Psychology › Gambling Behavior and Treatments
- Keywords
- Alcoholics Anonymous, alcoholism, relapse prevention, social networks, self-efficacy, spirituality, religiosity, negative affect, abstinence, follow-up care, Project MATCH, peer support groups, behavior change mechanisms
- MeSH terms
- Adult, Aftercare, Alcoholics Anonymous, Alcoholism, Ambulatory Care, Behavior Therapy, Depression, Female, Humans, Male, Patient Acceptance of Health Care, Prospective Studies, Religion, Social Support, Treatment Outcome, Self Efficacy, Spirituality, Secondary Prevention
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review