The Protective Action Decision Model: Theoretical Modifications and Additional Evidence
Abstract
The Protective Action Decision Model (PADM) is a multistage model that is based on findings from research on people's responses to environmental hazards and disasters. The PADM integrates the processing of information derived from social and environmental cues with messages that social sources transmit through communication channels to those at risk. The PADM identifies three critical predecision processes (reception, attention, and comprehension of warnings or exposure, attention, and interpretation of environmental/social cues)—that precede all further processing. The revised model identifies three core perceptions—threat perceptions, protective action perceptions, and stakeholder perceptions—that form the basis for decisions about how to respond to an imminent or long‐term threat. The outcome of the protective action decision‐making process, together with situational facilitators and impediments, produces a behavioral response. In addition to describing the revised model and the research on which it is based, this article describes three applications (development of risk communication programs, evacuation modeling, and adoption of long‐term hazard adjustments) and identifies some of the research needed to address unresolved issues.
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Additional items were developed based on key constructs from the Extended Parallel Process Model (EPPM) and the Protective Action Decision Model (PADM).
“Additional items were developed based on key constructs from theoretical frameworks such as the Extended Parallel Process Model (EPPM) (Witte, 1992) and the Protective Action Decision Model (PADM) (Lindell & Perry, 2012).”
From Assessing earthquake preparedness in a culturally diverse international students population: a case of Ehime university in Shikoku, Japan (2025) · cites this paper as Lindell & Perry, 2012
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Meta-analyses of factors motivating climate change adaptation behaviour
van Valkengoed, A. M., & Steg, L. (2019) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0371-y · Cited by 940 · see citing works
Evacuation transportation modeling: An overview of research, development, and practice
Murray‐Tuite, P. M., & Wolshon, B. (2013) · Transportation Research Part C Emerging Technologies · doi:10.1016/j.trc.2012.11.005 · Cited by 501 · see citing works
Who Leaves and Who Stays? A Review and Statistical Meta-Analysis of Hurricane Evacuation Studies
Huang, S., Lindell, M. K., & Prater, C. S. (2015) · Environment and Behavior · doi:10.1177/0013916515578485 · Cited by 418 · see citing works
Self-citationEl‐Said, O. A., & Aziz, H. (2021) · Journal of Travel Research · doi:10.1177/0047287521997567 · Cited by 407 · see citing works
Citizens’ Perceptions of Flood Hazard Adjustments
Terpstra, T., & Lindell, M. (2013) · Environment and Behavior · doi:10.1177/0013916512452427 · Cited by 290 · see citing works
Self-citationPetersen, G. B., Klingenberg, S., Mayer, R. E., & Makransky, G. (2020) · British Journal of Educational Technology · doi:10.1111/bjet.12991 · Cited by 269 · see citing works
Wood, M. M., Mileti, D. S., Bean, H., Liu, B. F., Sutton, J. N., & Madden, S. (2017) · Environment and Behavior · doi:10.1177/0013916517709561 · Cited by 246 · see citing works
Becker, J., Paton, D., Johnston, D. M., & Ronan, K. R. (2012) · Natural Hazards · doi:10.1007/s11069-012-0238-x · Cited by 237 · see citing works
The behavioral turn in flood risk management, its assumptions and potential implications
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Factors Affecting Hurricane Evacuation Intentions
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The Evolving Field of Risk Communication
Balog‐Way, D. H. P., McComas, K. A., & Besley, J. C. (2020) · Risk Analysis · doi:10.1111/risa.13615 · Cited by 233 · see citing works
McCaffrey, S., Wilson, R. S., & Konar, A. (2017) · Risk Analysis · doi:10.1111/risa.12944 · Cited by 221 · see citing works
Lindell, M. K. (2013) · Current Sociology · doi:10.1177/0011392113484456 · Cited by 215 · see citing works
Self-citationWei, J., Ouyang, Z., & Chen, H. A. (2017) · Strategic Management Journal · doi:10.1002/smj.2639 · Cited by 208 · see citing works
From incremental to transformative adaptation in individual responses to climate-exacerbated hazards
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Disaster risk reduction: Psychological perspectives on preparedness
Paton, D. (2019) · Australian Journal of Psychology · doi:10.1111/ajpy.12237 · Cited by 247 · see citing works
Immediate behavioural responses to earthquakes in Christchurch, New Zealand, and Hitachi, Japan
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Self-citationThreat, coping and flood prevention – A meta-analysis
Bamberg, S., Masson, T., Brewitt, K., & Nemetschek, N. (2017) · Journal of Environmental Psychology · doi:10.1016/j.jenvp.2017.08.001 · Cited by 195 · see citing works
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Risk Perception in a Multi-Hazard Environment
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Households' immediate Responses to the 2009 American Samoa Earthquake and Tsunami
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Self-citationSalient Beliefs About Earthquake Hazards and Household Preparedness
Becker, J., Paton, D., Johnston, D. M., & Ronan, K. R. (2013) · Risk Analysis · doi:10.1111/risa.12014 · Cited by 175 · see citing works
Female hurricanes are deadlier than male hurricanes
Jung, K., Shavitt, S., Viswanathan, M., & Hilbe, J. M. (2014) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1402786111 · Cited by 169 · see citing works
Risk Perception towards COVID-19: A Systematic Review and Qualitative Synthesis
Cipolletta, S., Andreghetti, G. R., & Mioni, G. (2022) · International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health · doi:10.3390/ijerph19084649 · Cited by 163 · see citing works
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Should We Leave Now? Behavioral Factors in Evacuation Under Wildfire Threat
McLennan, J., Ryan, B., Bearman, C., & Toh, K. (2018) · Fire Technology · doi:10.1007/s10694-018-0753-8 · Cited by 157 · see citing works
Understanding Public Hurricane Evacuation Decisions and Responses to Forecast and Warning Messages*
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Lindell, M. K. (2017) · Handbooks of sociology and social research · doi:10.1007/978-3-319-63254-4_22 · Cited by 143 · see citing works
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Zhu, W., Wei, J., & Zhao, D. (2015) · Energy Policy · doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2015.10.009 · Cited by 137 · see citing works
Bronfman, N. C., Cisternas, P. C., Repetto, P. B., & Castañeda, J. V. (2019) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0214249 · Cited by 137 · see citing works
Kuligowski, E. D. (2020) · Fire Safety Journal · doi:10.1016/j.firesaf.2020.103129 · Cited by 135 · see citing works
Dai, B., Fu, D., Meng, G., Liu, B., Li, Q., & Liu, X. (2020) · Public Administration Review · doi:10.1111/puar.13236 · Cited by 135 · see citing works
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Fan, X., Lu, J., Qiu, M., & Xiao, X. (2022) · Journal of Outdoor Recreation and Tourism · doi:10.1016/j.jort.2022.100522 · Cited by 134 · see citing works
A Cognitive‐Affective Scale for Hurricane Risk Perception
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Potter, S., Kreft, P. V., Milojev, P., Chris, N., Montz, B. E., Dhellemmes, A., Woods, R. J., & Gauden-Ing, S. (2018) · International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction · doi:10.1016/j.ijdrr.2018.03.031 · Cited by 130 · see citing works
Grothmann, T., Grecksch, K., Winges, M., & Siebenhüner, B. (2013) · Natural hazards and earth system sciences · doi:10.5194/nhess-13-3369-2013 · Cited by 129 · see citing works
Meyer, R. J., Baker, J., Broad, K., Czajkowski, J., & Orlove, B. (2014) · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · doi:10.1175/bams-d-12-00218.1 · Cited by 129 · see citing works
Foundations for Decision Making
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Social Capital in Disaster Research
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North American Cities at Risk: Household Responses to Environmental Hazards
Lindell, M. K. (2013) · Advances in natural and technological hazards research · doi:10.1007/978-94-007-6184-1_7 · Cited by 123 · see citing works
Self-citationIncorporating human factors in emergency evacuation – An overview of behavioral factors and models
Wang, Y., Kyriakidis, M., & Dang, V. N. (2021) · International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction · doi:10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102254 · Cited by 121 · see citing works
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Tornado Warning Trade-Offs: Evaluating Choices for Visually Communicating Risk
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High-resolution impact-based early warning system for riverine flooding
Najafi, H., Shrestha, P. K., Rakovec, O., Apel, H., Vorogushyn, S., Kumar, R., Thober, S., Merz, B., & Samaniego, L. (2024) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-024-48065-y · Cited by 131 · see citing works
Liu, B. F., Wood, M. M., Egnoto, M. J., Bean, H., Sutton, J. N., Mileti, D. S., & Madden, S. (2017) · Public Relations Review · doi:10.1016/j.pubrev.2017.04.004 · Cited by 112 · see citing works
Becker, G., Aerts, J. C. J. H., & Huitema, D. (2012) · Journal of Flood Risk Management · doi:10.1111/jfr3.12025 · Cited by 111 · see citing works
Buylova, A., Chen, C., Cramer, L. A., Wang, H., & Cox, D. T. (2019) · International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction · doi:10.1016/j.ijdrr.2019.101442 · Cited by 110 · see citing works
Impacts of earthquake knowledge and risk perception on earthquake preparedness of rural residents
Ao, Y., Zhang, H., Yang, L., Wang, Y., Martek, I., & Wang, G. (2021) · Natural Hazards · doi:10.1007/s11069-021-04632-w · Cited by 110 · see citing works
Fu, M., Liu, R., & Zhang, Y. (2021) · Safety Science · doi:10.1016/j.ssci.2021.105245 · Cited by 110 · see citing works
Ager, A. A., Kline, J. D., & Fischer, A. P. (2015) · Risk Analysis · doi:10.1111/risa.12373 · Cited by 108 · see citing works
Communicating flood risk: Looking back and forward at traditional and social media outlets
FELDMAN, D. L., Contreras, S. L., Karlin, B., Basolo, V., Matthew, R. A., Sanders, B. F., Houston, D., Cheung, W., Goodrich, K. A., Reyes, A., et al. (2015) · International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction · doi:10.1016/j.ijdrr.2015.12.004 · Cited by 109 · see citing works
Arce, R. S. C., Onuki, M., Esteban, M., & Shibayama, T. (2017) · International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction · doi:10.1016/j.ijdrr.2017.04.005 · Cited by 108 · see citing works
Hazard risk awareness and disaster management: Extracting the information content of twitter data
Karimiziarani, M., Jafarzadegan, K., Abbaszadeh, P., Shao, W., & Moradkhani, H. (2021) · Sustainable Cities and Society · doi:10.1016/j.scs.2021.103577 · Cited by 108 · see citing works
Multistage Model of Hurricane Evacuation Decision: Empirical Study of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita
Huang, S., Lindell, M. K., & Prater, C. S. (2016) · Natural Hazards Review · doi:10.1061/(asce)nh.1527-6996.0000237 · Cited by 104 · see citing works
Self-citationA pre-evacuation database for use in egress simulations
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Near‐Misses and Future Disaster Preparedness
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Immediate behavioral response to the June 17, 2013 flash floods in Uttarakhand, North India
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Evidence-based guidelines for protective actions and earthquake early warning systems
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Government Social Media Messages across Disaster Phases
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Residents’ Reactions to Earthquake Early Warnings in Japan
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Effects of Impact-Based Warnings and Behavioral Recommendations for Extreme Weather Events
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Disaster Mitigation and Preparedness
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Alerts and Warnings on Short Messaging Channels: Guidance from an Expert Panel Process
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The Effects of Social Connections on Evacuation Decision Making during Hurricane Irma
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- Authors
- Lindell, M. K., & Perry, R. W.
- Affiliations
- Texas A&M University (US)
- Arizona State University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Lindell, Michael K.
- ORCID
- Lindell, Michael K.
- Venue
- Risk Analysis
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2011-06-20
- Volume
- 32
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 616-632
- ISSN
- 0272-4332 (ISSN-L)
- 1539-6924
- OpenAlex
- W2139452699
- Semantic Scholar
- 01136b8cc8a5b5fcf6bcd2578fb3cfef2acb6b4d
- Cited by
- 1,868
- References
- 114
- Citations by year
- 2026: 268 · 2025: 212 · 2024: 198 · 2023: 176 · 2022: 205 · 2021: 182 · 2020: 140 · 2019: 104 · 2018: 110 · 2017: 88 · 2016: 54 · 2015: 52 · 2014: 37 · 2013: 27 · 2012: 12
- FWCI
- 82.96
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Risk Analysis (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- National Science Foundation
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Risk Perception and Management
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Disaster Management and Resilience
- Social Sciences › Communication › Public Relations and Crisis Communication
- Keywords
- Protective Action Decision Model, environmental hazards, disaster response, risk communication, evacuation modeling, threat perception, stakeholder perspectives, social cues
- MeSH terms
- Decision Making, Decision Support Techniques, Disasters, Humans, Perception, Risk, Hazardous Substances, Risk Assessment
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