The DOI matches its Crossref record; 6 of the 6 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
The Rising Tide Lifts Some Interest Rates: Climate Change, Natural Disasters, and Loan Pricing
Published version of a preprint
Abstract
Banks adjust loan spreads after observing natural disasters linked to climate change. We isolate this updating process by identifying loans to borrowers at risk of, but not directly affected by, such disasters. Loan spreads for these borrowers spike in both primary and secondary markets, while no such updating occurs for non–climate‐related disasters. Evidence suggests a heightened perceived credit risk, which nonetheless cannot fully explain the increase in rates. Taken altogether, increased spreads are explained primarily by salience bias, as they are short‐lived and amplified by media attention. This salience impacts financial decisions at bank‐dependent firms.
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk
Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1979) · Econometrica · doi:10.2307/1914185 · Cited by 48,524
Impact of anthropogenic climate change on wildfire across western US forests
Abatzoglou, J. T., & Williams, A. P. (2016) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1607171113 · Cited by 3,073
The Importance of Climate Risks for Institutional Investors
Krueger, P., Sautner, Z., & Starks, L. T. (2020) · The Review of Financial Studies · doi:10.1093/rfs/hhz137 · Cited by 3,034
Ilhan, E., Sautner, Z., & Vilkov, G. (2018) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.3204420 · Cited by 1,136
An inconvenient cost: The effects of climate change on municipal bonds
Painter, M. (2020) · Journal of Financial Economics · doi:10.1016/j.jfineco.2019.06.006 · Cited by 776
Investor Rewards to Climate Responsibility: Evidence from the 2016 Climate Policy Shock
Ramelli, S., Wagner, A., Zeckhauser, R., & Ziegler, A. (2018) · doi:10.3386/w25310 · Cited by 37
Research works printed but not linked: 51
- 10.1093/qje/qjad009 · DOI
- 10.1093/rfs/hhz143 · DOI · Paper page
- Álvarez‐Román Laura SergioMayordomo CarlesVergara‐Alert andXavierVives 2024 Climate risk soft information and credit supply Working paper Banco de Espana. · DOI
- 10.1093/rfs/hhz073 · DOI · Paper page
- 10.1093/qje/qjw018 · DOI · Paper page
- Berger Allen N. FilippoCurti NikaLazaryan AtanasMihov andRaluca A.Roman 2023 Climate risks in the US banking sector: Evidence from operational losses and extreme storms Working paper Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. · DOI
- 10.1016/j.jfineco.2019.03.013 · DOI · Paper page
- Blickle Kristian S. Sarah N.Hamerling andDonald P.Morgan 2026 How bad are weather disasters for banks? Journal of Money Credit and Banking https://doi.org/10.1111/jmcb.70036. · DOI
- 10.1093/qje/qjaa007 · DOI · Paper page
- 10.1016/j.jfineco.2023.02.003 · DOI
- Ceccarelli Marco ChristophHerpfer andStevenOngena 2023 Gender performance and promotion in the labor market for commercial bankers Working paper Swiss Finance Institute. · doi:10.2139/ssrn.4398349
- 10.1016/j.jfineco.2016.09.009 · DOI · Paper page
- Christensen Jens H. E., 2007, Internal risk models and the estimation of default probabilities, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Economic Letter, 2007
- 10.1111/j.1540-6261.2008.01379.x · DOI · Paper page
- 10.1111/jmcb.12674 · DOI
- 10.1016/j.jfineco.2016.05.001 · DOI
- 10.1016/j.jfineco.2017.04.011 · DOI
- 10.1016/j.jfineco.2023.103717 · DOI
- 10.1111/fmii.12189 · DOI · Paper page
- 10.1257/jel.52.3.740 · DOI · Paper page
- 10.1016/j.jfineco.2017.07.002 · DOI · Paper page
- 10.1093/rfs/hhz072 · DOI · Paper page
- 10.1017/CBO9781139177245 · DOI · Paper page
- 10.1093/rfs/hhab032 · DOI · Paper page
- 10.1093/qje/qju036 · DOI · Paper page
- 10.1093/rfs/hhad041 · DOI · Paper page
- 10.1016/j.jacceco.2020.101383 · DOI
- 10.1093/rfs/hhz146 · DOI · Paper page
- Howes Cooper andGregoryWeitzner 2025 Bank information production over the business cycle Review of Economic Studies. · DOI
- 10.1093/rfs/hhaa071 · DOI · Paper page
- IPCC, 2023, Climate Change 2021—The Physical Science Basis: Working Group I Contribution to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
- 10.1093/rfs/hhad085 · DOI · Paper page
- 10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0189.1 · DOI · Paper page
- 10.1016/j.jfi.2019.01.003 · DOI · Paper page
- 10.1111/jofi.13416 · DOI
- Lee Seung Jung DanLi Ralf R.Meisenzahl andMartinSicilian 2019 The US syndicated term loan market: Who holds what and when? FEDS Notes 2019‐11‐25 Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. · doi:10.17016/2380-7172.2473
- 10.1111/j.1540-6261.2012.01767.x · DOI · Paper page
- 10.1016/j.jfineco.2015.09.011 · DOI
- 10.1093/rfs/hhz134 · DOI · Paper page
- 10.1142/S2010007810000054 · DOI · Paper page
- Oh Sangmin IshitaSen andAna‐MariaTenekedjieva 2026 Pricing of climate risk insurance: Regulation and cross‐subsidies The Journal of Finance https://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.70029. · DOI
- 10.1093/rfs/hhad093 · DOI · Paper page
- 10.1093/rcfs/cfab010 · DOI · Paper page
- 10.1002/2017GL075888 · DOI · Paper page
- 10.1111/jofi.13219 · DOI · Paper page
- 10.1287/mnsc.2023.4686 · DOI · Paper page
- 10.1093/rof/rfy010 · DOI · Paper page
- Seltzer Lee H. LauraStarks andQifeiZhu 2022 Climate regulatory risk and corporate bonds NBER Working paper 29994. · DOI · Paper page
- 10.1017/CBO9780511817434 · DOI · Paper page
- 10.5194/hess-21-897-2017 · DOI · Paper page
- 10.1162/rest.91.1.1 · DOI · Paper page
Cited by
Climate Risk and Capital Structure
Ginglinger, E., & Moreau, Q. (2019) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.3327185 · Cited by 71
Metadata
- Authors
- CORREA, R., HE, A., HERPFER, C., & LEL, U.
- Venue
- The Journal of Finance
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2026-07-28
- Volume
- 81
- Issue
- 5
- Pages
- 2933-2984
- ISSN
- 0022-1082
- 1540-6261
- Cited by
- 3
- References
- 6
- Language
- en
- Licence
- creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ (vor)
- doi.wiley.com/10.1002/tdm_license_1.1 (tdm)
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
How to cite
Cite CoChat for the checks on this page, and the paper for its own findings.
- This page
- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: The Rising Tide Lifts Some Interest Rates: Climate Change, Natural Disasters, and Loan Pricing. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1111/jofi.70066
- The paper
- CORREA, R., HE, A., HERPFER, C., & LEL, U. (2026). The Rising Tide Lifts Some Interest Rates: Climate Change, Natural Disasters, and Loan Pricing. The Journal of Finance. https://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.70066
Data sources
Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.