Triggers of Spontaneous Preterm Delivery – Why Today?
Open accessAbstract
Background: Our goal is to study the triggers of spontaneous preterm delivery using a case‐crossover design. Methods: In a pilot study, we enrolled 50 women with spontaneous preterm labour (PTL) and 50 with preterm premature rupture of membranes (PPROM) between 2011 and 2012. To assess non‐transient risk factors, we also enrolled a control group of 158 pregnant women at their regular prenatal care visits matched to cases by gestational age and calendar time. The index time was defined as the onset of PTL/PPROM (for cases) or interview (for controls). Detailed data were collected through structured interviews regarding factors of interest during the 72 h that preceded the index time. Within case subjects, we compared the frequency of transient factors from 0 to 24 h before index time with that from 48 to 72 h before index time, and estimated matched odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). Results: Previously hypothesised chronic risk factors for spontaneous preterm delivery, including mood disorders and stressful events, were more common among cases than among controls. Within cases, skipped meals [OR 4.3, 95% CI 1.2, 15.2], disturbed sleep [OR 4.5, 95% CI 1.5, 13.3], sexual activity [OR 6.0, 95% CI 0.7, 69.8], and intake of spicy foods [OR 7.0, 95% CI 1.6, 30.8] were associated with an increased risk for PTL/PPROM within the subsequent 24 h. For physical exertion and other potential risk factors evaluated, the OR was close to the null. Conclusion: Skipping meals and disturbed sleep may be associated with imminent PTL/PPROM; sexual activity and spicy food may trigger PTL/PPROM in susceptible women. Larger case‐crossover studies will be able to evaluate the impact of modifiable risk factors and acute predictors of PTL/PPROM, and might help guide obstetrical management.
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- Findingown data
Within cases, skipping meals was associated with an increased risk of PTL/PPROM within the subsequent 24 hours (OR 4.3, 95% CI 1.2, 15.2).
“Within cases, skipped meals (OR 4.3, 95% CI 1.2, 15.2), disturbed sleep (OR 4.5, 95% CI 1.5, 13.3), sexual activity (OR 6.0, 95% CI 0.7, 69.8) and intake of spicy foods (OR 7.0, 95% CI 1.6, 30.8) were associated with an increased risk for PTL/ PPROM within the subsequent 24 hours.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Within cases, disturbed sleep was associated with an increased risk of PTL/PPROM within the subsequent 24 hours (OR 4.5, 95% CI 1.5, 13.3).
“Within cases, skipped meals (OR 4.3, 95% CI 1.2, 15.2), disturbed sleep (OR 4.5, 95% CI 1.5, 13.3), sexual activity (OR 6.0, 95% CI 0.7, 69.8) and intake of spicy foods (OR 7.0, 95% CI 1.6, 30.8) were associated with an increased risk for PTL/ PPROM within the subsequent 24 hours.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Within cases, sexual activity was associated with an increased risk of PTL/PPROM within the subsequent 24 hours, but the 95% CI included the null (OR 6.0, 95% CI 0.7, 69.8).
“Within cases, skipped meals (OR 4.3, 95% CI 1.2, 15.2), disturbed sleep (OR 4.5, 95% CI 1.5, 13.3), sexual activity (OR 6.0, 95% CI 0.7, 69.8) and intake of spicy foods (OR 7.0, 95% CI 1.6, 30.8) were associated with an increased risk for PTL/ PPROM within the subsequent 24 hours.”
- Also stated in: § Case crossover analysis · plain
“Sexual activity was also more common during the 0–24 hour window, although the 95%CI included the null.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Also stated in: § Case crossover analysis · plain
- Findingown data
Within cases, intake of spicy foods was associated with an increased risk of PTL/PPROM within the subsequent 24 hours (OR 7.0, 95% CI 1.6, 30.8).
“Within cases, skipped meals (OR 4.3, 95% CI 1.2, 15.2), disturbed sleep (OR 4.5, 95% CI 1.5, 13.3), sexual activity (OR 6.0, 95% CI 0.7, 69.8) and intake of spicy foods (OR 7.0, 95% CI 1.6, 30.8) were associated with an increased risk for PTL/ PPROM within the subsequent 24 hours.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Among cases compared with controls, chronic risk factors for spontaneous preterm delivery, including mood disorders and stressful events, were more common.
“Previously hypothesized chronic risk factors for spontaneous preterm delivery, including mood disorders and stressful events, were more common among cases than among controls.”
- Also stated in: § Case Control Design · plain
“Cases were also more likely to have been diagnosed with depression/anxiety, have a history of preterm labor, have required fertility treatments such as IVF, carry twins, and have had vaginal bleeding during pregnancy.”
- Also stated in: § Case Control Design · plain
“Stressful events were more frequent among cases than among controls; during the 24 hours preceding the index time, 10% of cases compared with 5% of controls reported a very stressful event (Table 2).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Also stated in: § Case Control Design · plain
- Findingown data
For physical exertion and other potential risk factors evaluated, the odds ratio was close to the null.
“For physical exertion and other potential risk factors evaluated the OR was close to the null.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
During the 24 hours preceding the index time, 10% of cases compared with 5% of controls reported a very stressful event.
“during the 24 hours preceding the index time, 10% of cases compared with 5% of controls reported a very stressful event (Table 2).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
For PTL, onset of contractions was more common during the day (8:00 to 20:00) and dropped during the night (0:00 to 8:00).
“For PTL, onset of contractions was more common during the day (8:00 to 20:00) and dropped during the night (0:00 to 8:00).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Going to work was inversely associated with the risk of labor onset or rupture of membranes during the following 24 hours.
“In our study, going to work was inversely associated with the risk of labor onset or rupture of membranes during the following 24 hours.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Premature rupture of membranes seemed to occur more often during the night and morning (20:00 to 12:00).
“Premature rupture of membranes seemed to occur more often during the night and morning (20:00 to 12:00).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingcitation
After adjustment for trends in controls, the ORs for skipped meals and sleep interruptions changed to 2.3 and 2.6, respectively.
“After adjustment for trends in controls,32 the ORs for skipped meals and sleep interruptions changed to 2.3 and 2.6, respectively.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [32] source
Not checked in the free run.
- Findingown data
Within cases, the frequency of stressful events did not change comparing the 0-24 hours to the 48-72 hours preceding PTL or PPROM.
“Within cases, the frequency of stressful events did not change comparing the 0–24 hours to the 48–72hours preceding PTL or PPROM.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
We found certain differences within controls comparing the 24 hours before interview to the 48-72 hours before interview (i.e., going to work, skipping meals or disturbed sleep).
“It is worth noticing that we found certain differences within controls comparing the 24 hours before interview to the 48–72 hours before interview (i.e., going to work, skipping meals or disturbed sleep).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
We found intriguing concentrations of PTL during the day hours.
“We found intriguing concentrations of PTL during the day hours.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
The association of these factors with preterm delivery has been inconsistent and controversial.
“Nevertheless, the association of these factors with preterm delivery has been inconsistent and controversial23.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [23] source
Not checked in the free run.
- Study design and conductreasoning
Relative risks estimated from this case-crossover design would not be comparable with those from a traditional cohort or case-control design, which would include subjects at low risk, or even immune, to the outcome.
“Therefore, relative risks estimated from this case-crossover design would not be comparable with those from a traditional cohort or case-control design, which would include subjects at low risk, or even immune, to the outcome.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductown data
Sub-analyses restricting the population to singleton pregnancies yielded similar results.
“Sub-analyses restricting the population to singleton pregnancies yielded similar results.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Study design and conductown data
Results were similar when PTL and PPROM were considered separately.
“Results were similar when PTL and PPROM were considered separately (Appendix).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Study design and conductreasoning
The case-crossover approach effectively eliminates potential confounding effects from both measured and unmeasured subject characteristics that are constant during the case and control period.
“The case-crossover approach effectively eliminates potential confounding effects from both measured and unmeasured subject characteristics that are constant during the case and control period (e.g., socio-demographic and genetic factors).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductreasoning
The case-crossover design ensures that controls are representative of cases because cases serve as their own controls.
“Through stratification of the population to the extreme of one-person strata, it is warranted that controls will be representative of cases (i.e., of themselves).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductnone given
The matched odds ratio from the case-crossover design is an unbiased estimate of the relative risk.
“For the main analysis, we compared the frequency of transient factors from 0–24 and 48–72 hours windows within case subjects through a matched (on subject) OR, which is an unbiased estimate of the relative risk.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Study design and conductreasoning
The case-crossover approach is more susceptible to reverse causality because early signs, symptoms, or premonitions of preterm delivery may lead to changes in behaviors hypothesized as triggers.
“However, the case-crossover approach is more susceptible to reverse causality since early signs, symptoms, or premonitions of preterm delivery may lead to changes in behaviours herein hypothesized as triggers.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
If women who had a sensation of imminent preterm labor were more likely to stop having intercourse, the estimates for sexual activity would be underestimating a potential triggering effect.
“Actually, if women who had a sensation of imminent preterm labor were more likely to stop having intercourse, our estimates for sexual activity would be underestimating a potential triggering effect.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationown data
This indicates that the study population is a susceptible population.
“The higher prevalence of twin pregnancy, prior preterm, IVF/fertility treatment, asthma, and previous therapeutic abortion among cases compared to controls (Table 1) highlight that this is a susceptible population.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductreasoning
Reverse causation might have affected the estimates for working, interrupted sleep, and skipped meals.
“Such reverse causation might have affected the estimates not only for working, but also for interrupted sleep and skipped meals since cramping or spotting can affect appetite and sleeping.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
The non-statistically significant association with sexual activity would unlikely be explained by an increased frequency of sexual intercourse after early symptoms of labor.
“On the other hand, the non-statistically significant association with sexual activity would unlikely be explained by an increased frequency of sexual intercourse after early symptoms of labor.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
If the onset of labour is gradual, factors reported right before the first painful contraction or rupture of membranes can be influenced by initial symptoms.
“If the onset of labour is gradual, factors reported right before the first painful contraction or rupture of membranes can be influenced by initial symptoms.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductown data
The differences between cases and controls remind us of the confounding that would have biased a traditional case-control or cohort design.
“These differences remind us of the confounding that would have biased a traditional case control (or cohort) design.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
Case-crossover designs can be applied to the study of transient factors associated with spontaneous preterm delivery.
“Case-crossover designs can be applied to the study of transient factors associated with spontaneous preterm delivery.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
Prior studies on circadian patterns on the time of the onset of preterm labour provide conflicting results.
“Prior studies on circadian patterns on the time of the onset of preterm labour provide conflicting results.34–36”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
- Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 25
- May combine two claims. 29
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Findingown dataSexual activity was more common during the 0-24 hour window than the 48-72 hour window among cases, although the 95% CI included the null.
“Sexual activity was also more common during the 0–24 hour window, although the 95%CI included the null.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataCompared with controls, cases were more likely to be Hispanic, had slightly lower family income and fewer years of education, and were less likely to be married.
“Compared with controls, cases were more likely to be Hispanic, had slightly lower family income and fewer years of education, and were less likely to be married.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataDisturbed sleep and skipping meals were more common during the 0-24 hour window than during the 48-72 hour window among cases, but a similar pattern was also seen among controls.
“Disturbed sleep and skipping meals were more common during the 0–24 hour window than during the 48–72 hour window among cases; but a similar pattern was also seen among controls.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataCases were less likely to go to work and more likely to skip meals and have sleep interruptions during the 24h preceding onset of spontaneous preterm labor.
“Similarly, cases were less likely to go to work and more likely to skip meals and have sleep interruptions during the 24h preceding onset of spontaneous preterm labor.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataNeither exertion nor stressors had a significant association with PTL/PPROM, while going to work was inversely associated.
“Similarly, as shown in Table 3, neither exertion nor stressors had a significant association while going to work was inversely associated with PTL and PPROM.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataCases were more likely than controls to have been diagnosed with depression/anxiety, have a history of preterm labor, have required fertility treatments such as IVF, carry twins, and have had vaginal bleeding during pregnancy.
“Cases were also more likely to have been diagnosed with depression/anxiety, have a history of preterm labor, have required fertility treatments such as IVF, carry twins, and have had vaginal bleeding during pregnancy.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataCases had a higher prevalence of twin pregnancy, prior preterm, IVF/fertility treatment, asthma, and previous therapeutic abortion compared to controls.
“The higher prevalence of twin pregnancy, prior preterm, IVF/fertility treatment, asthma, and previous therapeutic abortion among cases compared to controls (Table 1) highlight that this is a susceptible population.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataPhysical exertion overall was similar among cases and controls during the 24 hours before the index time, although exercise of more than 5 METs (vigorous exertion) was less frequent among cases.
“Physical exertion overall was similar among cases and controls during the 24 hours before the index time, although exercise of more than 5 METs (vigorous exertion) was less frequent among cases.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe study did not find the previously suggested associations with physical exertion and psychological stress, although stress was associated with PTL in the case-control analysis.
“We did not find the previously suggested associations with physical exertion11,12 and psychological stress,20,21 although stress was associated with PTL in the case-control analysis.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checkedMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe frequency of sexual intercourse during the 24 hours before the index time was similar for case and control subjects; however, it was lower during the 48-72 hour window among cases.
“Interestingly, the frequency of sexual intercourse during the 24 hours before the index time was similar for case and control subjects; however, it was lower during the 48–72 hour window among cases.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Findingown dataBy conducting this pilot study we demonstrated the feasibility of identifying, approaching, enrolling and interviewing women admitted for PTL or PPROM.
“By conducting this pilot study we demonstrated the feasibility of identifying, approaching, enrolling and interviewing women admitted for PTL or PPROM.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
FindingreasoningIn the course of the study we uncovered certain challenges associated with the application of this design to abrupt adverse pregnancy outcomes.
“However, in the course of the study we also uncovered certain challenges associated with the application of this design to abrupt adverse pregnancy outcomes.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataStressful events, as well as anxiety and depression, were associated with spontaneous preterm delivery in the case-control analysis.
“However, stressful events, as well as anxiety and depression, were associated with spontaneous preterm delivery in the case-control analysis.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
PremisecitationPrevious observational studies suggest that various factors (coitus, prolonged standing, infections, physical exertion, caffeine, smoking, cocaine, marijuana, alcohol, skipping meals, psychological stress) may trigger preterm delivery.
“Previous observational studies suggest that coitus7, prolonged standing8,9, urinary tract and other infections10, physical exertion11,12, caffeine intake13, smoking14–16, cocaine use17, marijuana use18, alcohol use17, skipping meals19, and psychological stress20,21 may trigger preterm delivery.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checkedProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationSpontaneous preterm delivery following PTL or PPROM accounts for approximately 50% of all preterm deliveries.
“Spontaneous preterm delivery following premature labor (PTL) or preterm premature rupture of membranes (PPROM) accounts for approximately 50% of all preterm deliveries4.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [4] source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataSexual activity and spicy food may trigger PTL/PPROM in susceptible women.
“sexual activity and spicy food may trigger PTL/ PPROM in susceptible women.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataSkipping meals and disturbed sleep may be associated with imminent PTL/PPROM.
“Skipping meals and disturbed sleep may be associated with imminent PTL/ PPROM”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductreasoningControls were frequency matched to cases on gestational age and calendar month to account for gestational and seasonal trends in the factors under study.
“Controls were frequency matched to cases so that they had a similar distribution of gestational ages (in completed weeks) and calendar month of visit as cases, to account for gestational and seasonal trends in the factors under study (e.g. avoidance of physical exertion as women advance in pregnancy or during the winter months).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Study design and conductnone givenInclusion of false positives would tend to dilute any potential association.
“Inclusion of false positives would tend to dilute any potential association.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).
Interpretationnone givenThe dearth of information about acute causes and modifiable risk factors prevents clinicians from adequately advising women about behaviors that might be altered to reduce preterm delivery risk.
“The dearth of information about acute causes and modifiable risk factors prevents clinicians from adequately advising women about behaviors that might be altered to reduce the risk of preterm delivery.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Immediate triggers of spontaneous preterm delivery are largely unknown.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductnone givenData were collected through in-person interviews with direct entry of responses and instantaneous coding, following a standardized protocol and script.
“Data were collected through in-person interviews with direct entry of responses and instantaneous coding. The interviewer followed a standardized protocol and script for each question.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningIf the associations found are the result of reverse causation, they would not identify possible interventions to prevent preterm delivery, but they would still be informative as predictors of imminent premature labour.
“If the associations we found are the result of reverse causation, they would not identify possible interventions to prevent preterm delivery, i.e., avoiding skipping meals or improving sleep quality would not prevent onset of labour. However, associations would still be informative---suggesting that these behaviours may predict an imminent premature labour.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataThese findings are consistent with the theory that sexual intercourse is an acute risk factor for PTL and PPROM, but only in a selective group of susceptible individuals.
“These findings are consistent with the theory that sexual intercourse is an acute risk factor for PTL and PPROM, but only in a selective group of susceptible individuals (e.g., women with shortening cervical length).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductreasoningFor cases, interviews were conducted within 48 hours of admission to minimize potential recall bias.
“For cases, interviews were conducted within 48 hours of admission to the hospital to minimize the potential for recall bias.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S4 (based).
Study design and conductnone givenCase-only designs are restricted, by definition, to subjects with a predisposition to develop the outcome.
“In general, it is worth noting that case-only designs are restricted, by definition, to subjects with a predisposition to develop the outcome.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductreasoningIn the setting of relatively few discordant pairs, all confidence intervals were wide, including that for sexual activity.
“In the setting of relatively few discordant pairs, all confidence intervals were wide, including that for sexual activity.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationThe existing literature suggests that sex does not increase the risk of preterm delivery in low-risk pregnancies; evidence is inconsistent for high-risk gestations.
“The existing literature suggests that sex does not increase the risk of preterm delivery in low-risk pregnancies; evidence is inconsistent for high-risk gestations.33”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [33]
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationPTL and PPROM are probably related conditions and share common risk factors.
“Since PTL and PPROM are probably related conditions and share common risk factors,30 we combined them in our primary analyses.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [30] source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataOther potential triggers could not be evaluated because of lack of discordance (e.g., smoking, caffeine) or too few exposed cases overall (e.g., illicit drugs, alcohol, heat exposure).
“Other potential triggers could not be evaluated because of lack of discordance (e.g. smoking, caffeine) or just too few exposed cases overall (e.g. illicit drugs, alcohol, heat exposure).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductown dataNumbers were too small to evaluate triggers among twin pregnancies.
“Numbers were too small to evaluate triggers among twin pregnancies.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).
Study design and conductreasoningDefining the exact onset of preterm labour, and therefore timing case and control windows, is challenging.
“Not surprisingly, defining the exact onset of preterm labour, and therefore timing case and control windows, is challenging.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
PremisecitationThe case-crossover study design was developed in the 1990s to study triggers of acute myocardial infarction and has subsequently been applied to several other acute conditions.
“The case-crossover study design was developed in the 1990s to study triggers of acute myocardial infarction and has subsequently been applied to several other acute conditions24,25.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checkedProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductown dataGiven the small sample size, only crude estimates are presented.
“Given the small sample size, only crude estimates are presented.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductown dataThe assumption that the underlying subject-specific probability of exposure to each potential trigger was constant within the 72 hours interval was tested by comparing 0-24 and 48-72 hours windows within control subjects of similar gestational age.
“We implicitly assumed that the underlying subject-specific probability of being exposed to each potential trigger was constant within the 72 hours interval between the control and the case period. We tested this assumption comparing 0–24 and 48–72 hours windows within control subjects of similar gestational age.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: The underlying subject-specific probability of exposure to each potential trigger was constant within the 72 hours interval between control and case periods.
May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningThis argues that stress may be a non-transient risk factor whose effect may last longer than 72 hours.
“This argues that stress may be a non-transient risk factor; its effect may last longer than 72 hours.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningStressful experiences or their impact likely last more than 24 hours and would extend over both 0-24 and 48-72 hours windows; as a result, they were not identified as triggers in this study.
“Stressful experiences (e.g. unemployment) or their impact (e.g. separation) likely last more than 24 hours and would extend over both 0–24 and 48–72 hours windows. As a result, they were not identified in our study as triggers.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
Study design and conductnone givenIf the RR for sexual activity were really 6, around 150 cases would be needed to reach statistical significance; if the RR were close to 2, the sample size would need to be one order of magnitude larger.
“If the RR for sexual activity were really 6, we would need around 150 cases to reach statistical significance. However, if the RR for sexual activity were actually close to 2, the sample size would need to be one order of magnitude larger.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
PremisecitationBoth normal labour onset and term premature rupture of membranes are more common at night; some authors have suggested an altered diurnal circadian pattern for PTL or very preterm spontaneous onset of labour, but not for PPROM.
“Both normal labour onset and term premature rupture of membranes are more common at night; some authors have suggested an altered diurnal circadian pattern for PTL34, or very preterm spontaneous onset of labour,36 but not for PPROM.37”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [34] source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [36]
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [37]
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataTrends among controls might be due to gestational trends in exposure or, more likely, to the ascertainment methods.
“Trends among controls might be due to gestational trends in exposure or, more likely, to the ascertainment methods.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
Study design and conductreasoningWe tried to reduce differential misclassification of exposure by narrowing the gap between case and control windows and not informing subjects of the hypotheses of interest and the corresponding windows.
“We tried to reduce differential misclassification of exposure by narrowing the gap between case and control windows and not informing subjects of the hypotheses of interest and the corresponding windows.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductreasoningSome of the associations might be partially explained by differential recall within person across study periods.
“It is also possible that some of the associations might be partially explained by differential recall within person across study periods.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenWomen may be more likely to remember factors in the 24 hours before compared to 48 to 72 hours before labour onset.
“Women may be more likely to remember factors in the 24 hours before compared to 48 to 72 hours before labour onset.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductnone givenThe case-crossover design is best suited to evaluate transient exposures with immediate and transient effects in relation to abrupt outcomes.
“The case-crossover design is best suited to evaluate transient exposures with immediate and transient effects in relation to abrupt outcomes.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationreasoningOur study identified controls at one of their prenatal visits, which could have affected their work, sleep or eating patterns.
“For example, our study identified controls at one of their prenatal visits, which could have affected their work, sleep or eating patterns.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataFindings suggest that sexual intercourse may trigger preterm delivery in susceptible pregnancies; and that impaired appetite or sleep may be predictors of imminent onset of labor.
“In conclusion, findings suggest that sexual intercourse may trigger preterm delivery in susceptible pregnancies; and that impaired appetite or sleep may be predictors of imminent onset of labor.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
The paper relies on this without support.
Immediate triggers of spontaneous preterm delivery are largely unknown.
“virtually nothing is known about its immediate triggers”
The authors state this as an assumption.
The 24 hours preceding onset of labor or rupture of membranes is the period when exposures are most likely to affect the risk of PTL/PPROM.
“The case window was arbitrarily defined as the 24 hours preceding the onset of labor or rupture of membranes, which we hypothesised is the period when exposures might be most likely to affect the risk of PTL/ PPROM.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
Any potential carry-over effect from exposures during the 48–72 hour window lasted less than 24 hours.
“The control window was defined as the 48 to 72 hours before the onset of labor/rupture of membranes, implicitly assuming any potential carry-over effect from exposures during this window lasted less than 24 hours.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
The underlying subject-specific probability of exposure to each potential trigger was constant within the 72 hours interval between control and case periods.
“We implicitly assumed that the underlying subject-specific probability of being exposed to each potential trigger was constant within the 72 hours interval between the control and the case period.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The 48–72 hour window provides an estimate of the expected prevalence of exposures for each case.
“The 48–72 hour window provided an estimate of the expected prevalence of these exposures for each case.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Existing pregnancy cohorts and automated health care databases typically lack information on transient exposures occurring immediately prior to the onset of labour.
“neither existing ad hoc pregnancy cohorts nor automated health care databases typically include information on transient exposures occurring immediately prior to the onset of labour.”
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The Case-Crossover Design: A Method for Studying Transient Effects on the Risk of Acute Events
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- Authors
- Hernández‐Díaz, S., Boeke, C. E., Romans, A. T., Young, B., Margulis, A. V., McElrath, T. F., Ecker, J. L., & Bateman, B. T.
- Affiliations
- Department of Epidemiology Harvard School of Public Health Boston MA
- Brigham and Women's Hospital (US)
- Harvard University (US)
- ORCID
- Venue
- Paediatric and Perinatal Epidemiology
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2014-01-02
- Volume
- 28
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 79-87
- ISSN
- 0269-5022 (ISSN-L)
- 1365-3016
- PMC
- PMC4106670
- OpenAlex
- W1909878363
- Semantic Scholar
- 5654d698ee4d9be52197a3e73c19e2e9b8c127b4
- Cited by
- 25
- References
- 38
- Citations by year
- 2025: 1 · 2023: 2 · 2022: 2 · 2021: 5 · 2020: 4 · 2019: 3 · 2018: 2 · 2016: 3 · 2014: 3
- FWCI
- 1.52
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- Paediatric and Perinatal Epidemiology (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (acceptedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- Funders
- Harvard School of Public Health
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Preterm Birth and Chorioamnionitis
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Obstetrics and Gynecology › Maternal and Perinatal Health Interventions
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pediatrics, Perinatology and Child Health › Infant Development and Preterm Care
- Keywords
- spontaneous preterm labor, preterm premature rupture of membranes, meal skipping, sleep disorders, sexual activity, physical exertion, mood disorders, stressful events, modifiable risk factors
- MeSH terms
- Adult, Coitus, Feeding Behavior, Female, Premature Rupture of Fetal Membranes, Fetal Membranes, Premature Rupture, Gestational Age, Humans, Obstetric Labor, Premature, Pilot Projects, Predictive Value of Tests, Pregnancy, Prenatal Care, Surveys and Questionnaires, Risk Factors, Sleep Deprivation, Case-Control Studies, Pregnancy, High-Risk, Cross-Over Studies
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Claims read under definition version 3 (extract-v3) on 2026-09-28.
Classified by jev-1.13-20260917 (gold-guideline-v0.2) on 2026-09-28.
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