The potential of agricultural land management to contribute to lower global surface temperatures
Open accessAbstract
Warming reduction can be achieved globally through improved agricultural land management using existing knowledge and technology.
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Inorganic carbon sequestration by ERW appears comparable to SOC sequestration (~2.5 Gt CO2 yr -1 by 2100) using agricultural land, but with potentially greater long-term security of C-storage.
“Inorganic carbon sequestration by ERW appears comparable to SOC sequestration, another proposed CDR strategy (~2.5 Gt CO2 yr -1 by 2100) 27 using agricultural land, but with potentially greater long-term security of C-storage.”
From Potential for large-scale CO2 removal via enhanced rock weathering with croplands (2020) · cites this paper as [27]
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Cites
Anthropogenic and Natural Radiative Forcing
Myhre, G., Shindell, D., & Pongratz, J. (2014) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/cbo9781107415324.018 · Cited by 4,634 · see citing works
Stabilization mechanisms of soil organic matter: Implications for C-saturation of soils
Six, J., Conant, R. T., Paul, E. A., & Paustian, K. (2002) · Plant and Soil · doi:10.1023/a:1016125726789 · Cited by 4,633 · see citing works
Soil carbon sequestration to mitigate climate change
Lal, R. (2004) · Geoderma · doi:10.1016/j.geoderma.2004.01.032 · Cited by 3,936 · see citing works
Griscom, B. W., Adams, J., Ellis, P. W., Houghton, R. A., Lomax, G., Miteva, D. A., Schlesinger, W. H., Shoch, D., Siikamäki, J. V., Smith, P., et al. (2017) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1710465114 · Cited by 3,481 · see citing works
Sustainable biochar to mitigate global climate change
Woolf, D., Amonette, J. E., Street-Perrott, F. A., Lehmann, J., & Joseph, S. (2010) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/ncomms1053 · Cited by 2,680 · see citing works
Greenhouse gas mitigation in agriculture
Smith, P., Martino, D., Cai, Z. C., Gwary, D. M., Janzen, H. H., Kumar, P., McCarl, B. A., Ogle, S. M., O’Mara, F. P., Rice, C. W., et al. (2007) · Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences · doi:10.1098/rstb.2007.2184 · Cited by 2,568 · see citing works
Minasny, B., Malone, B. P., McBratney, A. B., Angers, D. A., Arrouays, D., Chambers, A., Chaplot, V., Chen, Z.-S., Cheng, K., Das, B. S., et al. (2017) · Geoderma · doi:10.1016/j.geoderma.2017.01.002 · Cited by 2,239 · see citing works
Soil Organic Carbon Sequestration Rates by Tillage and Crop Rotation: A Global Data Analysis
West, T. O., & Post, W. M. (2002) · Soil Science Society of America Journal · doi:10.2136/sssaj2002.1930 · Cited by 2,215 · see citing works
Paustian, K., Lehmann, J., Ogle, S., Reay, D., Robertson, G. P., & Smith, P. (2016) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature17174 · Cited by 2,213 · see citing works
Carbon sequestration in agricultural soils via cultivation of cover crops – A meta-analysis
Poeplau, C., & Don, A. (2015) · Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment · doi:10.1016/j.agee.2014.10.024 · Cited by 1,651 · see citing works
Temperature-associated increases in the global soil respiration record
Bond-Lamberty, B., & Thomson, A. (2010) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature08930 · Cited by 1,618 · see citing works
Soil carbon debt of 12,000 years of human land use
Sanderman, J., Hengl, T., & Fiske, G. J. (2017) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1706103114 · Cited by 1,495 · see citing works
Biophysical and economic limits to negative CO2 emissions
Smith, P., Davis, S. J., Creutzig, F., Fuss, S., Minx, J., Gabrielle, B., Kato, E., Jackson, R. B., Cowie, A., Kriegler, E., et al. (2016) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate2870 · Cited by 1,440 · see citing works
Long-term effects of organic amendments on soil fertility. A review
Diacono, M., & Montemurro, F. (2010) · Agronomy for Sustainable Development · doi:10.1051/agro/2009040 · Cited by 1,436 · see citing works
Quantifying global soil carbon losses in response to warming
Crowther, T. W., Todd-Brown, K. E., Rowe, C. W., Wieder, W. R., Carey, J. C., Machmuller, M. B., Snoek, B. L., Fang, S., Zhou, G. S., Allison, S., et al. (2016) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature20150 · Cited by 1,429 · see citing works
GRASSLAND MANAGEMENT AND CONVERSION INTO GRASSLAND: EFFECTS ON SOIL CARBON
Conant, R. T., Paustian, K., & Elliott, E. T. (2001) · Ecological Applications · doi:10.1890/1051-0761(2001)011[0343:gmacig]2.0.co;2 · Cited by 1,365 · see citing works
Effects of straw carbon input on carbon dynamics in agricultural soils: a meta‐analysis
Liu, C., Lu, M., Cui, J., Li, B., & Fang, C. (2014) · Global Change Biology · doi:10.1111/gcb.12517 · Cited by 1,164 · see citing works
Climate sensitivity: Analysis of feedback mechanisms
Hansen, J. E., Lacis, A. A., Rind, D. H., Russell, G. L., Stone, P., FUNG, I. Y., Ruedy, R. A., & Lerner, J. A. (1984) · Geophysical monograph · doi:10.1029/gm029p0130 · Cited by 1,139 · see citing works
AGE OF SOIL ORGANIC MATTER AND SOIL RESPIRATION: RADIOCARBON CONSTRAINTS ON BELOWGROUND C DYNAMICS
Trumbore, S. E. (2000) · Ecological Applications · doi:10.1890/1051-0761(2000)010[0399:aosoma]2.0.co;2 · Cited by 1,118 · see citing works
Fuss, S., Canadell, J. G., Peters, G. P., Tavoni, M., Andrew, R. M., Ciais, P., Jackson, R. B., Jones, C. D., Kraxner, F., Nakicenovic, N., et al. (2014) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate2392 · Cited by 1,114 · see citing works
Proxy global assessment of land degradation
Bai, Z. G., Dent, D. L., Olsson, L., & Schaepman, M. E. (2008) · Soil Use and Management · doi:10.1111/j.1475-2743.2008.00169.x · Cited by 987 · see citing works
Soil carbon sequestration and biochar as negative emission technologies
Smith, P. (2016) · Global Change Biology · doi:10.1111/gcb.13178 · Cited by 921 · see citing works
Soil carbon saturation: concept, evidence and evaluation
Stewart, C. E., Paustian, K., Conant, R. T., Plante, A. F., & Six, J. (2007) · Biogeochemistry · doi:10.1007/s10533-007-9140-0 · Cited by 911 · see citing works
Arora, V. K., Scinocca, J., Boer, G. J., Christian, J. R., Denman, K. L., Flato, G. M., Kharin, V., Lee, W. G., & Merryfield, W. J. (2011) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2010gl046270 · Cited by 889 · see citing works
New estimates of radiative forcing due to well mixed greenhouse gases
Myhre, G., Highwood, E. J., Shine, K. P., & Stordal, F. (1998) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/98gl01908 · Cited by 852 · see citing works
Agricultural soils as a sink to mitigate CO 2 emissions
Paustian, K. H., Andrén, O., Janzen, H. H., Lal, R., Smith, P., Tian, G., Tiessen, H., van Noordwijk, M., & Woomer, P. L. (1997) · Soil Use and Management · doi:10.1111/j.1475-2743.1997.tb00594.x · Cited by 842 · see citing works
Powlson, D. S., Whitmore, A. P., & Goulding, K. W. T. (2011) · European Journal of Soil Science · doi:10.1111/j.1365-2389.2010.01342.x · Cited by 829 · see citing works
Grassland management impacts on soil carbon stocks: a new synthesis
Conant, R. T., Cerri, C. E. P., Osborne, B. B., & Paustian, K. (2017) · Ecological Applications · doi:10.1002/eap.1473 · Cited by 738 · see citing works
The global potential of bioenergy on abandoned agriculture lands
Campbell, J. E., Lobell, D. B., Genova, R. C., & Field, C. B. (2008) · Environmental Science & Technology · doi:10.1021/es800052w · Cited by 709 · see citing works
(1997) · Choice Reviews Online · doi:10.5860/choice.35-0347 · Cited by 627 · see citing works
Modeling Soil Organic Matter in Organic‐Amended and Nitrogen‐Fertilized Long‐Term Plots
Paustian, K. H., Parton, W. J., & Persson, J. (1992) · Soil Science Society of America Journal · doi:10.2136/sssaj1992.03615995005600020023x · Cited by 611 · see citing works
Johnston, A. E., Poulton, P. R., & Coleman, K. (2009) · Advances in Agronomy · doi:10.1016/s0065-2113(08)00801-8 · Cited by 568 · see citing works
Lal, R. (2010) · BioScience · doi:10.1525/bio.2010.60.9.8 · Cited by 558 · see citing works
Soussana, J., Tallec, T., & Blanfort, V. (2009) · animal · doi:10.1017/s1751731109990784 · Cited by 547 · see citing works
Global Sequestration Potential of Increased Organic Carbon in Cropland Soils
Zomer, R. J., Bossio, D., Sommer, R., & Verchot, L. V. (2017) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-017-15794-8 · Cited by 543 · see citing works
Toward more realistic projections of soil carbon dynamics by Earth system models
Luo, Y., Ahlström, A., Allison, S., Batjes, N. H., Brovkin, V. A., Carvalhais, N., Chappell, A., Ciais, P., Davidson, E. A., Finzi, A., et al. (2015) · Global Biogeochemical Cycles · doi:10.1002/2015gb005239 · Cited by 542 · see citing works
Liu, S., Zhang, Y., Zong, Y., Hu, Z., Wu, S., Zhou, J., Jin, Y., & Zou, J. (2015) · GCB Bioenergy · doi:10.1111/gcbb.12265 · Cited by 477 · see citing works
West, T. O., & Six, J. (2007) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-006-9173-8 · Cited by 360 · see citing works
Joos, F., Bruno, M., Fink, R., Siegenthaler, U., Stocker, T. F., Quéré, C. L., & Sarmiento, J. L. (1996) · Tellus B · doi:10.3402/tellusb.v48i3.15921 · Cited by 331 · see citing works
The potential of world cropland soils to sequester C and mitigate the greenhouse effect
Lal, R., & Bruce, J. P. (1999) · Environmental Science & Policy · doi:10.1016/s1462-9011(99)00012-x · Cited by 323 · see citing works
Sequestering Soil Organic Carbon: A Nitrogen Dilemma
van Groenigen, J. W., van Kessel, C., Hungate, B. A., Oenema, O., Powlson, D. S., & van Groenigen, K. J. (2017) · Environmental Science & Technology · doi:10.1021/acs.est.7b01427 · Cited by 322 · see citing works
Mathieu, J. A., Hatté, C., Balesdent, J., & Parent, É. (2015) · Global Change Biology · doi:10.1111/gcb.13012 · Cited by 291 · see citing works
Untangling the confusion around land carbon science and climate change mitigation policy
Mackey, B., Prentice, I. C., Steffen, W., House, J. I., Lindenmayer, D. B., Keith, H., & Berry, S. L. (2013) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate1804 · Cited by 256 · see citing works
LIEBIG, M., MORGAN, J., REEDER, J., ELLERT, B., GOLLANY, H., & SCHUMAN, G. (2005) · Soil and Tillage Research · doi:10.1016/j.still.2005.02.008 · Cited by 227 · see citing works
Bustamante, M., Robledo‐Abad, C., Harper, R. J., Mbow, C., Ravindranat, N. H., Sperling, F., Haberl, H., Pinto, A. D. S., & Smith, P. (2014) · Global Change Biology · doi:10.1111/gcb.12591 · Cited by 220 · see citing works
Lal, R. (2010) · Food Security · doi:10.1007/s12571-010-0060-9 · Cited by 219 · see citing works
Henderson, B. B., Gerber, P., Hilinski, T. E., Falcucci, A., Ojima, D. S., Salvatore, M., & Conant, R. T. (2015) · Agriculture Ecosystems & Environment · doi:10.1016/j.agee.2015.03.029 · Cited by 179 · see citing works
Sanderman, J. (2012) · Agriculture Ecosystems & Environment · doi:10.1016/j.agee.2012.04.015 · Cited by 163 · see citing works
Climate benefits of natural gas as a bridge fuel and potential delay of near-zero energy systems
Zhang, X., Myhrvold, N., Hausfather, Z., et al. (2015) · Applied Energy · doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2015.10.016 · Cited by 149 · see citing works
Self-citationFaster turnover of new soil carbon inputs under increased atmospheric CO 2
van Groenigen, K. J., Osenberg, C. W., Terrer, C., Carrillo, Y., Dijkstra, F. A., Heath, J., Nie, M., Pendall, E. G., Phillips, R. P., & Hungate, B. A. (2017) · Global Change Biology · doi:10.1111/gcb.13752 · Cited by 148 · see citing works
Greenhouse gases, climate change and the transition from coal to low-carbon electricity
Myhrvold, N., & Caldeira, K. (2012) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/7/1/014019 · Cited by 139 · see citing works
An evaluation of the global potential of bioenergy production on degraded lands
Nijsen, M., Smeets, E., Stehfest, E., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2012) · GCB Bioenergy · doi:10.1111/j.1757-1707.2011.01121.x · Cited by 113 · see citing works
Goh, K. M. (2004) · Soil Science & Plant Nutrition · doi:10.1080/00380768.2004.10408502 · Cited by 111 · see citing works
Carbon Management Response Curves: Estimates of Temporal Soil Carbon Dynamics
West, T. O., Marland, G., King, A. W., Post, W. M., Jain, A. K., & Andrasko, K. J. (2003) · Environmental Management · doi:10.1007/s00267-003-9108-3 · Cited by 110 · see citing works
Caldeira, K., & Myhrvold, N. (2013) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/3/034039 · Cited by 110 · see citing works
Bounding the climate viability of natural gas as a bridge fuel to displace coal
Hausfather, Z. (2015) · Energy Policy · doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2015.07.012 · Cited by 97 · see citing works
Self-citationLong‐term climate change mitigation potential with organic matter management on grasslands
Ryals, R. A., Hartman, M. D., Parton, W. J., DeLonge, M. S., & Silver, W. L. (2014) · Ecological Applications · doi:10.1890/13-2126.1 · Cited by 96 · see citing works
Self-citationKey factors for assessing climate benefits of natural gas versus coal electricity generation
Zhang, X., Myhrvold, N., & Caldeira, K. (2014) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/9/11/114022 · Cited by 92 · see citing works
VRIES, W. D. (2017) · Geoderma · doi:10.1016/j.geoderma.2017.05.023 · Cited by 76 · see citing works
DeLonge, M. S., Ryals, R. A., & Silver, W. L. (2013) · Ecosystems · doi:10.1007/s10021-013-9660-5 · Cited by 70 · see citing works
Self-citationGreater soil carbon stocks and faster turnover rates with increasing agricultural productivity
Sanderman, J., Creamer, C. A., Baisden, W. T., Farrell, M., & Fallon, S. (2017) · SOIL · doi:10.5194/soil-3-1-2017 · Cited by 68 · see citing works
Soil organic C stabilization and thresholds in C saturation
Kimetu, J. M., Lehmann, J. C., Kinyangi, J. M., Cheng, C., Thies, J. E., Mugendi, D. N., & Pell, A. N. (2009) · Soil Biology and Biochemistry · doi:10.1016/j.soilbio.2009.07.022 · Cited by 64 · see citing works
Rejoinder to Comments on Minasny et al., 2017 Soil carbon 4 per mille Geoderma 292, 59–86
Minasny, B., Arrouays, D., McBratney, A. B., Angers, D. A., Chambers, A., Chaplot, V. A. M., Chen, Z., Cheng, K., Das, B. S., Field, D. J., et al. (2017) · Geoderma · doi:10.1016/j.geoderma.2017.05.026 · Cited by 53 · see citing works
Long‐term impacts of manure amendments on carbon and greenhouse gas dynamics of rangelands
Owen, J. J., Parton, W. J., & Silver, W. L. (2015) · Global Change Biology · doi:10.1111/gcb.13044 · Cited by 49 · see citing works
Self-citation
Flagged first, then by citations
Research works printed but not linked: 3
- [2]L. Clarke, K. Jiang, K. Akimoto, M. Babiker, G. Blanford, K. Fisher-Vanden, J. C. Hourcade, V. Krey, E. Kriegler, S. Loeschel, Assessing transformation pathways, in Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of Climate Change, Working Group III Contribution to the IPCC 5th Assessment Report, O. Edenhofer, R. Pichs-Madruga, Y. Sokona, J. C. Minx, E. Farahani, S. Kadner, K. Seyboth, A. Adler, I. Baum, S. Bruner, P. Eickemeier, B. Kriemann, J. Savolainen, S. Schlömer, C. von Stechow, T. Zwickel, Eds. (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2014).
- [37]P. Smith, D. Martino, Z. Cai, D. Gwary, H. Janzen, P. Kumar, B. McCarl, S. Ogle, F. O’Mara, C. Rice, B. Scholes, O. Sirotenko, Agriculture, in Climate Change 2007: Mitigation. Contribution of Working Group III to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, B. Metz, O. R. Davidson, P. R. Bosch, R. Dave, L. A. Meyer, Eds. (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2007).
- [51]D. L. Hartmann, A. M. G. K. Tank, M. Rusticucci, IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis (IPCC, 2014), pp. 31–39.
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Potential for large-scale CO2 removal via enhanced rock weathering with croplands
Beerling, D. J., Kantzas, E. P., Lomas, M. R., Wade, P., Eufrasio, R. M., Renforth, P., Sarkar, B., Andrews, M. G., James, R. H., Pearce, C. R., et al. (2020) · Nature · doi:10.1038/s41586-020-2448-9 · Cited by 700 · see citing works
Carbon for soils, not soils for carbon
Moinet, G. Y. K., Hijbeek, R., van Vuuren, D. P., & Giller, K. E. (2023) · Global Change Biology · doi:10.1111/gcb.16570 · Cited by 249 · see citing works
- Authors
- Mayer, A., Hausfather, Z., Jones, A. D., & Silver, W. L.
- Affiliations
- University of California, Berkeley (US)
- Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (US)
- Corresponding author
- Mayer, Allegra
- Venue
- Science Advances
- Published
- 2018-08-03
- Volume
- 4
- Issue
- 8
- Pages
- eaaq0932-eaaq0932
- ISSN
- 2375-2548 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC6114992
- OpenAlex
- W2889468088
- Cited by
- 59
- References
- 64
- Citations by year
- 2026: 3 · 2025: 7 · 2024: 11 · 2023: 15 · 2022: 4 · 2021: 6 · 2020: 9 · 2019: 4
- FWCI
- 4.44
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- cc-by-nc
- Locations
- Science Advances (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- OSTI OAI (U.S. Department of Energy Office of Scientific and Technical Information) (submittedVersion)
- eScholarship (California Digital Library) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- Rathmann Family Foundation
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Soil Science › Soil Carbon and Nitrogen Dynamics
- Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics › Climate change impacts on agriculture
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Land Use and Ecosystem Services
- Keywords
- agricultural land management, soil organic carbon sequestration, climate change mitigation, global surface temperature, RCP2.6, RCP8.5, carbon sequestration rate
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review