Global modeling of nature’s contributions to people
Abstract
The future of nature's contributions: A recent Global Assessment by the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services has emphasized the urgent need to determine where and how nature's contribution matters most to people. Chaplin-Kramer et al. have developed a globalscale modeling of ecosystem services, focusing on water quality regulation, coastal protection, and crop pollination (see the Perspective by Balvanera). By 2050, up to 5 billion people may be at risk from diminishing ecosystem services, particularly in Africa and South Asia. Science , this issue p. 255 ; see also p. 184
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Recent modeling of natural regulation of water quality, reduction of coastal risk, and crop pollination worldwide found convergent conclusions.
“Recent modeling of natural regulation of water quality, reduction of coastal risk, and crop pollination worldwide ( 84 ) found convergent conclusions.”
From Pervasive human-driven decline of life on Earth points to the need for transformative change (2019) · cites this paper as [84]
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- Authors
- Chaplin-Kramer, R., Sharp, R. P., Weil, C., Bennett, E. M., Pascual, U., Arkema, K. K., Brauman, K. A., Bryant, B. P., Guerry, A. D., Haddad, N. M., Hamann, M., Hamel, P., Johnson, J. A., Mandle, L., Pereira, H. M., Polasky, S., Ruckelshaus, M., Shaw, M. R., Silver, J. M., Vogl, A. L., & Daily, G. C.
- Affiliations
- Natural Capital Project, Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.
- Stanford University (US)
- McGill University (CA)
- Ikerbasque (ES)
- University of Washington (US)
- University of Minnesota (US)
- Kellogg Biological Station, Department of Integrative Biology, Hickory Corners, MI 49060, USA.
- Universidade do Porto (PT)
- World Wildlife Fund (US)
- ORCID
- Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca
- Sharp, Richard P.
- Weil, Charlotte
- Bennett, Elena M.
- Pascual, Unai
- Arkema, Katie K.
- Brauman, Kate A.
- Bryant, Benjamin P.
- Guerry, Anne D.
- Haddad, Nick M.
- Hamann, Maike
- Hamel, Perrine
- Johnson, Justin A.
- Mandle, Lisa
- Pereira, Henrique M.
- Polasky, Stephen
- Ruckelshaus, Mary
- Shaw, M. Rebecca
- Silver, Jessica M.
- Vogl, Adrian L.
- Daily, Gretchen C.
- Venue
- Science
- Published
- 2019-10-11
- Volume
- 366
- Issue
- 6462
- Pages
- 255-258
- ISSN
- 0036-8075 (ISSN-L)
- 1095-9203
- OpenAlex
- W2980239312
- Cited by
- 454
- References
- 47
- Citations by year
- 2026: 49 · 2025: 57 · 2024: 81 · 2023: 74 · 2022: 62 · 2021: 74 · 2020: 50 · 2019: 7
- FWCI
- 24.83
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Science (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- Marianne and Marcus Wallenberg Foundation
- German Research Foundation (FZT 118)
- Peter and Helen Bing
- Roger and Vicki Sant
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Land Use and Ecosystem Services
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law › Sustainable Development and Environmental Policy
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Conservation, Biodiversity, and Resource Management
- Keywords
- nature's contributions to people, global change, water quality regulation, water pollution, coastal risk reduction, crop pollination, pollinator decline, land use change, climate change scenarios, sustainable development, food security, ecosystem services
- MeSH terms
- Africa, Americas, Asia, Conservation of Natural Resources, Developing Countries, Environment, Europe, Humans, Models, Theoretical, Water Pollution, Ecosystem, Crops, Agricultural, Nature, Pollination, Climate Change, Water Quality
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