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Image-based consensus molecular subtype (imCMS) classification of colorectal cancer using deep learning
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Abstract
Objective: Complex phenotypes captured on histological slides represent the biological processes at play in individual cancers, but the link to underlying molecular classification has not been clarified or systematised. In colorectal cancer (CRC), histological grading is a poor predictor of disease progression, and consensus molecular subtypes (CMSs) cannot be distinguished without gene expression profiling. We hypothesise that image analysis is a cost-effective tool to associate complex features of tissue organisation with molecular and outcome data and to resolve unclassifiable or heterogeneous cases. In this study, we present an image-based approach to predict CRC CMS from standard H&E sections using deep learning. Design: Training and evaluation of a neural network were performed using a total of n=1206 tissue sections with comprehensive multi-omic data from three independent datasets (training on FOCUS trial, n=278 patients; test on rectal cancer biopsies, GRAMPIAN cohort, n=144 patients; and The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA), n=430 patients). Ground truth CMS calls were ascertained by matching random forest and single sample predictions from CMS classifier. Results: Image-based CMS (imCMS) accurately classified slides in unseen datasets from TCGA (n=431 slides, AUC)=0.84) and rectal cancer biopsies (n=265 slides, AUC=0.85). imCMS spatially resolved intratumoural heterogeneity and provided secondary calls correlating with bioinformatic prediction from molecular data. imCMS classified samples previously unclassifiable by RNA expression profiling, reproduced the expected correlations with genomic and epigenetic alterations and showed similar prognostic associations as transcriptomic CMS. Conclusion: This study shows that a prediction of RNA expression classifiers can be made from H&E images, opening the door to simple, cheap and reliable biological stratification within routine workflows.
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“A second outstanding and undisputed hallmark of CMS4 tumors is their stromal enrichment, which emerged both from transcriptomic signature (2) and histologic analyses (29).”
From Clinical Challenges of Consensus Molecular Subtype CMS4 Colon Cancer in the Era of Precision Medicine (2024) · cites this paper as [29]
In the citing paper
“several studies have documented an association between the CMS4 subtype and tumor budding, defined as a single tumor cell or tumor cluster of up to four cells at the invasive margin (29–31)”
From Clinical Challenges of Consensus Molecular Subtype CMS4 Colon Cancer in the Era of Precision Medicine (2024) · cites this paper as [29]
In the citing paper
“artificial intelligence is now opening up new avenues for colorectal cancer classification, with a high degree of robustness (29).”
From Clinical Challenges of Consensus Molecular Subtype CMS4 Colon Cancer in the Era of Precision Medicine (2024) · cites this paper as [29]
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van de Weerd, S., Smit, M. A., Roelands, J. P., Mesker, W. E., Bedognetti, D., Kuppen, P. J. K., Putter, H., Tollenaar, R. A. �. �., Roodhart, J. M. L., Hendrickx, W., et al. (2022) · International Journal of Molecular Sciences · doi:10.3390/ijms232012707 · Cited by 4
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Enhancing Local Context of Histology Features in Vision Transformers
Wood, R., Sirinukunwattana, K., Domingo, E., Sauer, A., Lafarge, M. W., Koelzer, V. H., Maughan, T., & Rittscher, J. (2022) · Lecture notes in computer science · doi:10.1007/978-3-031-19660-7_15 · Cited by 4
Self-citationDeep learning-based morphological assessment of myelodysplastic syndrome on bone marrow smears
Kaji, S., Kawai, H., Shimbo, K., Maeda, T., Matsuda, A., & Mori, J. (2025) · Leukemia Research · doi:10.1016/j.leukres.2025.107923 · Cited by 3
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Integrated single‑cell and spatial transcriptomics reveal the colorectal cancer microenvironment
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Multi-omic biomarkers of neoadjuvant treatment response in rectal cancer: A narrative review
Maerten, P., Wolthuis, A. M., D’Hoore, A. J. L., Bislenghi, G., Hertogh, G. D., Sagaert, X., Dresen, R. C., Broeckhoven, V., Rasschaert, G., Tejpar, S., et al. (2026) · European Journal of Surgical Oncology · doi:10.1016/j.ejso.2026.111910 · Cited by 3
Yuan, M., Ding, H., Guo, B., Yang, M., Yang, Y., & Xu, S. X. (2024) · JCO Clinical Cancer Informatics · doi:10.1200/cci.23.00154 · Cited by 3
From CMS to iCMS/IMF: Developing Roadmap to Precision Therapy in Colorectal Cancer
Jung, S. (2025) · International Journal of Molecular Sciences · doi:10.3390/ijms262211086 · Cited by 3
“…further clarifies that bulk mesenchymal calls often reflect CAF-and immune-enriched neighborhoods adjacent to epithelial islands of other classes, explaining site-to-site and block-to-block variability [26]. imCMS complements this workflow by mapping subtype probabilities directly on slides [8].”
InfluentialSynchronous biliary gallstones and colorectal cancer: A single center analysis
Zărnescu, N. O., Zarnescu, E. C., Dumitrascu, I., Chirca, A., Sanda, N., Ilieşiu, A., & Costea, R. (2021) · Experimental and Therapeutic Medicine · doi:10.3892/etm.2021.11061 · Cited by 3
Wood, R., Domingo, E., Sirinukunwattana, K., Lafarge, M. W., Koelzer, V. H., Maughan, T., & Rittscher, J. (2023) · Lecture notes in computer science · doi:10.1007/978-3-031-43904-9_73 · Cited by 3
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Integrating artificial intelligence ( AI ) into colorectal cancer reporting
Bräutigam, K., Baker, A., Koelzer, V. H., Kather, J. N., & Graham, T. A. (2026) · The Journal of Pathology · doi:10.1002/path.70029 · Cited by 2
“AI can predict a variety of factors in CRC, e.g. prognosis [28], treatment response [17], and tumour recurrence [29] (also for liver metastases [30]), and can accurately read microsatellite instability [31 – 35] and CRC consensus molecular subtypes (CMSs) [36] from slides.”
Self-citationNateghi, R., Sun, A., Dang, H., Handa, N., Schnauss, M., Michael, J., Jang, J. W., Nezami, B. G., Saft, M., Neill, C., et al. (2026) · npj Precision Oncology · doi:10.1038/s41698-026-01335-y · Cited by 2
The evolving role of OMICS in gastrointestinal tumor biology and clinical practice
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“Integration of transcriptomic data in CRC has resulted in the development of the consensus molecular subtype (CMS) classification system, which identifies four distinct categories of CRC tumors with unique biological and clinical characteristics [65, 81, 82].”
Understanding tumor heterogeneity: Implications for precision oncology and therapeutic strategies
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An explainable transformer capsule hybrid model framework for colorectal diseases classification
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“Sirinukunwattana et al. [25] developed an image-based molecular subtype classification with 84% AUC on TCGA and 85% on rectal biopsies, based on morphological-correlate learning.”
Zhao, Q., Li, H., Li, W., et al. (2023) · Frontiers in Cell and Developmental Biology · doi:10.3389/fcell.2023.1161667 · Cited by 2
“Patients with colorectal cancer can be classified by molecular classification such as CMS in the modeling of prognostic prediction and therapeutic target prediction to increase accuracy (Guinney et al., 2015; Sirinukunwattana et al., 2021).”
Artificial Intelligence-Based Learning Approaches for Medical Imaging
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Künstliche Intelligenz in der Pathologie: Status quo und Zukunftsperspektiven
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“Sirinukunwattana et al. [34] also selected tumor area patches to predict the molecular sub-type in the colorectal cancer pathological image.”
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“Diagnosis of CMS4 CRC relies on gene sequencing, which limits the availability of tissue samples [34,35].”
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Artificial intelligence in pathological evaluation of gastrointestinal cancers
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“…in daily clinical practice regarding classification methods and costs, the application of the CMS classification is an important effort to improve the prognosis of patients with CRC. Recently, a study has reported the effectiveness of image-based CMS classification using deep learning [33].”
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Self-citationJeong, I.-S., Seo, J.-W., Park, S., Kim, S., Kim, S., & Baek, S.-W. (2025) · Genes & Genomics · doi:10.1007/s13258-025-01677-0 · Cited by 1
“…advancement of digital pathology and the emergence of deep learning-based computational tools, these WSIs can be mined to extract high-dimensional features that reflect not only cellular morphology but also the spatial organization of the tumor microenvironment (TME) (Sirinukunwattana et al. 2021).”
Okotel, M., & Huang, C. (2025) · Critical Reviews™ in Oncogenesis · doi:10.1615/critrevoncog.2025060830 · Cited by 1
Metadata
- Authors
- Sirinukunwattana, K., Domingo, E., Richman, S. D., Redmond, K. L., Blake, A., Verrill, C., Leedham, S. J., Chatzipli, A., Hardy, C., Whalley, C. M., Wu, C.-H., Beggs, A. D., McDermott, U., Dunne, P. D., Meade, A., Walker, S. M., Murray, G. I., Samuel, L., Seymour, M., Tomlinson, I., Quirke, P., Maughan, T., Rittscher, J., & Koelzer, V. H.
- Affiliations
- University of Oxford (GB)
- University of Leeds (GB)
- Queen's University Belfast (GB)
- Centre for Human Genetics (GB)
- Wellcome Sanger Institute (GB)
- University of Birmingham (GB)
- MRC Clinical Trials Unit at UCL (GB)
- Almac (United Kingdom) (GB)
- University of Aberdeen (GB)
- Aberdeen Royal Infirmary (GB)
- Department of Oncology, Leeds Institute of Cancer and Pathology, Leeds, UK
- Edinburgh Cancer Research (GB)
- Department of Pathology and Tumour Biology, Leeds Institute of Cancer and Pathology, Leeds, UK
- CRUK/MRC Oxford Institute for Radiation Oncology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- University of Zurich (CH)
- Corresponding author
- Koelzer, Viktor H
- ORCID
- Sirinukunwattana, Korsuk
- Domingo, Enric
- Richman, Susan D
- Redmond, Keara L
- Blake, Andrew
- Verrill, Clare
- Leedham, Simon J
- Chatzipli, Aikaterini
- Whalley, Celina M
- Wu, Chieh-hsi
- Beggs, Andrew D
- McDermott, Ultan
- Dunne, Philip D
- Meade, Angela
- Walker, Steven M
- Murray, Graeme I
- Samuel, Leslie
- Tomlinson, Ian
- Maughan, Timothy
- Rittscher, Jens
- Koelzer, Viktor H
- Venue
- Gut
- Publisher
- BMJ
- Published
- 2020-07-20
- Volume
- 70
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 544-554
- ISSN
- 0017-5749 (ISSN-L)
- 1468-3288
- PMC
- PMC7873419
- OpenAlex
- W3043602140
- Semantic Scholar
- 9531fb91f6876c57e3cf9bcb77ec79cc6f2a84d3
- Cited by
- 264
- References
- 30
- Citations by year
- 2026: 35 · 2025: 40 · 2024: 63 · 2023: 37 · 2022: 57 · 2021: 28 · 2020: 4
- FWCI
- 12.37
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Locations
- Gut (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Research Portal (Queen's University Belfast) (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- ePrints Soton (University of Southampton) (acceptedVersion)
- Zurich Open Repository and Archive (University of Zurich) (acceptedVersion, cc-by)
- Aberdeen University Research Archive (Aberdeen University) (submittedVersion)
- UCL Discovery (University College London) (submittedVersion)
- University of Birmingham Research Portal (University of Birmingham) (submittedVersion)
- University of Birmingham Research Portal (University of Birmingham) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Edinburgh Research Explorer (University of Edinburgh) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Zurich Open Repository and Archive (University of Zurich) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Zurich Open Repository and Archive (University of Zurich)
- Greater South Information System
- Funders
- National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Oxford Biomedical Research Centre
- Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EP/M013774/1)
- Medical Research Council UK
- Cancer Research UK
- Promedica Foundation (F-87701-41-01)
- Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung (P2SKP3_168322/1)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Artificial Intelligence › AI in cancer detection
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Radiology, Nuclear Medicine and Imaging › Radiomics and Machine Learning in Medical Imaging
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pathology and Forensic Medicine › Genetic factors in colorectal cancer
- Keywords
- colorectal cancer, consensus molecular subtypes, image classification, H&E histology, deep learning, intratumoral heterogeneity, rectal cancer, histopathology, molecular classification, prognostic stratification, epigenetic modifications
- MeSH terms
- Deep Learning, Biopsy, Humans, Phenotype, Predictive Value of Tests, Prognosis, RNA, Biomarkers, Tumor, Colorectal Neoplasms, Gene Expression Regulation, Neoplastic, Disease Progression, Gene Expression Profiling, Consensus, Neoplasm Grading, Datasets as Topic
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