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Image-based consensus molecular subtype (imCMS) classification of colorectal cancer using deep learning
Open accessPublished version of a preprint
Abstract
Objective: Complex phenotypes captured on histological slides represent the biological processes at play in individual cancers, but the link to underlying molecular classification has not been clarified or systematised. In colorectal cancer (CRC), histological grading is a poor predictor of disease progression, and consensus molecular subtypes (CMSs) cannot be distinguished without gene expression profiling. We hypothesise that image analysis is a cost-effective tool to associate complex features of tissue organisation with molecular and outcome data and to resolve unclassifiable or heterogeneous cases. In this study, we present an image-based approach to predict CRC CMS from standard H&E sections using deep learning. Design: Training and evaluation of a neural network were performed using a total of n=1206 tissue sections with comprehensive multi-omic data from three independent datasets (training on FOCUS trial, n=278 patients; test on rectal cancer biopsies, GRAMPIAN cohort, n=144 patients; and The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA), n=430 patients). Ground truth CMS calls were ascertained by matching random forest and single sample predictions from CMS classifier. Results: Image-based CMS (imCMS) accurately classified slides in unseen datasets from TCGA (n=431 slides, AUC)=0.84) and rectal cancer biopsies (n=265 slides, AUC=0.85). imCMS spatially resolved intratumoural heterogeneity and provided secondary calls correlating with bioinformatic prediction from molecular data. imCMS classified samples previously unclassifiable by RNA expression profiling, reproduced the expected correlations with genomic and epigenetic alterations and showed similar prognostic associations as transcriptomic CMS. Conclusion: This study shows that a prediction of RNA expression classifiers can be made from H&E images, opening the door to simple, cheap and reliable biological stratification within routine workflows.
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“A second outstanding and undisputed hallmark of CMS4 tumors is their stromal enrichment, which emerged both from transcriptomic signature (2) and histologic analyses (29).”
From Clinical Challenges of Consensus Molecular Subtype CMS4 Colon Cancer in the Era of Precision Medicine (2024) · cites this paper as [29]
In the citing paper
“several studies have documented an association between the CMS4 subtype and tumor budding, defined as a single tumor cell or tumor cluster of up to four cells at the invasive margin (29–31)”
From Clinical Challenges of Consensus Molecular Subtype CMS4 Colon Cancer in the Era of Precision Medicine (2024) · cites this paper as [29]
In the citing paper
“artificial intelligence is now opening up new avenues for colorectal cancer classification, with a high degree of robustness (29).”
From Clinical Challenges of Consensus Molecular Subtype CMS4 Colon Cancer in the Era of Precision Medicine (2024) · cites this paper as [29]
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“114 These techniques quantify each microbial feature’s contribution to an individual prediction, enabling researchers to identify which specific bacterial taxa or functional genes drive the model’s decision.”
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“More recently, deep learning-based image analysis of standard hematoxylin and eosin slides has enabled image-based CMS classification (imCMS), accurately reproducing transcriptomic CMS calls and distinguishing CMS4 by its distinctive stromal morphology[19].”
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“MSI-associated CRCs frequently exhibit mucinous or medullary morphology; however, extracellular mucin also appears in CMS3 and CMS4 contexts and may reduce overall tumor cellularity [26,34].”
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“Image-based CMS classifiers using deep learning (imCMS) have enabled cost-effective molecular subtyping directly from routine histopathology slides [43], with predicted CMS1 cases showing significantly higher likelihood of pathological complete response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy [44].”
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Metadata
- Authors
- Sirinukunwattana, K., Domingo, E., Richman, S. D., Redmond, K. L., Blake, A., Verrill, C., Leedham, S. J., Chatzipli, A., Hardy, C., Whalley, C. M., Wu, C.-H., Beggs, A. D., McDermott, U., Dunne, P. D., Meade, A., Walker, S. M., Murray, G. I., Samuel, L., Seymour, M., Tomlinson, I., Quirke, P., Maughan, T., Rittscher, J., & Koelzer, V. H.
- Affiliations
- University of Oxford (GB)
- University of Leeds (GB)
- Queen's University Belfast (GB)
- Centre for Human Genetics (GB)
- Wellcome Sanger Institute (GB)
- University of Birmingham (GB)
- MRC Clinical Trials Unit at UCL (GB)
- Almac (United Kingdom) (GB)
- University of Aberdeen (GB)
- Aberdeen Royal Infirmary (GB)
- Department of Oncology, Leeds Institute of Cancer and Pathology, Leeds, UK
- Edinburgh Cancer Research (GB)
- Department of Pathology and Tumour Biology, Leeds Institute of Cancer and Pathology, Leeds, UK
- CRUK/MRC Oxford Institute for Radiation Oncology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- University of Zurich (CH)
- Corresponding author
- Koelzer, Viktor H
- ORCID
- Sirinukunwattana, Korsuk
- Domingo, Enric
- Richman, Susan D
- Redmond, Keara L
- Blake, Andrew
- Verrill, Clare
- Leedham, Simon J
- Chatzipli, Aikaterini
- Whalley, Celina M
- Wu, Chieh-hsi
- Beggs, Andrew D
- McDermott, Ultan
- Dunne, Philip D
- Meade, Angela
- Walker, Steven M
- Murray, Graeme I
- Samuel, Leslie
- Tomlinson, Ian
- Maughan, Timothy
- Rittscher, Jens
- Koelzer, Viktor H
- Venue
- Gut
- Publisher
- BMJ
- Published
- 2020-07-20
- Volume
- 70
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 544-554
- ISSN
- 0017-5749 (ISSN-L)
- 1468-3288
- PMC
- PMC7873419
- OpenAlex
- W3043602140
- Semantic Scholar
- 9531fb91f6876c57e3cf9bcb77ec79cc6f2a84d3
- Cited by
- 264
- References
- 30
- Citations by year
- 2026: 35 · 2025: 40 · 2024: 63 · 2023: 37 · 2022: 57 · 2021: 28 · 2020: 4
- FWCI
- 12.37
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Locations
- Gut (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Research Portal (Queen's University Belfast) (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- ePrints Soton (University of Southampton) (acceptedVersion)
- Zurich Open Repository and Archive (University of Zurich) (acceptedVersion, cc-by)
- Aberdeen University Research Archive (Aberdeen University) (submittedVersion)
- UCL Discovery (University College London) (submittedVersion)
- University of Birmingham Research Portal (University of Birmingham) (submittedVersion)
- University of Birmingham Research Portal (University of Birmingham) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Edinburgh Research Explorer (University of Edinburgh) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Zurich Open Repository and Archive (University of Zurich) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Zurich Open Repository and Archive (University of Zurich)
- Greater South Information System
- Funders
- National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Oxford Biomedical Research Centre
- Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EP/M013774/1)
- Medical Research Council UK
- Cancer Research UK
- Promedica Foundation (F-87701-41-01)
- Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung (P2SKP3_168322/1)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Artificial Intelligence › AI in cancer detection
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Radiology, Nuclear Medicine and Imaging › Radiomics and Machine Learning in Medical Imaging
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pathology and Forensic Medicine › Genetic factors in colorectal cancer
- Keywords
- colorectal cancer, consensus molecular subtypes, image classification, H&E histology, deep learning, intratumoral heterogeneity, rectal cancer, histopathology, molecular classification, prognostic stratification, epigenetic modifications
- MeSH terms
- Deep Learning, Biopsy, Humans, Phenotype, Predictive Value of Tests, Prognosis, RNA, Biomarkers, Tumor, Colorectal Neoplasms, Gene Expression Regulation, Neoplastic, Disease Progression, Gene Expression Profiling, Consensus, Neoplasm Grading, Datasets as Topic
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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