Human Influences on Wildfire in Alaska from 1988 through 2005: An Analysis of the Spatial Patterns of Human Impacts

Calef, M. P.; McGuire, A. D.; Chapin, F. S.

doi:10.1175/2007ei220.1

Cited by 72Fire effects on ecosystemsForest Management and PolicyRangeland and Wildlife Management

Human Influences on Wildfire in Alaska from 1988 through 2005: An Analysis of the Spatial Patterns of Human Impacts

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Calef, M. P., McGuire, A. D., Chapin, F. S.·2008·Earth Interactions

DOI 10.1175/2007ei220.1

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Abstract

Boreal ecosystems in Alaska are responding to climate change in many ways, including changes in the fire regime. While large-scale wildfires are an essential part of the boreal forest ecosystem, humans are changing fire regimes through ignition and suppression. The authors analyzed the impact humans have on fire ignitions and relative area burned with distance into the forest from human access points such as settlements, highways, and major rivers in Alaska from 1988 to 2005. Additionally, a fire prediction model was created to identify drivers for lightning fires in the boreal forest. Human presence increases the number of ignitions near settlements, roads, and rivers and appears to reduce the area burned within 30–40 km of villages and rivers. In contrast to fires near roads and rivers, human presence may somewhat increase the area burned within 30–40 km of highways. The fire prediction model indicated that the probability of fire increases as distance from human settlements increases. In contrast, the model indicated that the probability of fire decreases as distance from roads increases and that the probability of fire in relation to distance from rivers depends on the year of analysis. While the ecological consequences of these human impacts are still unclear, this research shows that human influences on fire regime clearly affect the pattern of fire within 40 km of settlements, which is an area that represents 31% of interior Alaska. Future research should focus on more completely understanding the role of human presence in the suppression of wildfires in interior Alaska.

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Geographic variation in regional and continental-scale fire activity in the US is strongly associated with proxies for human-caused changes such as population density, road density, and land-use and development patterns.
“Geographic variability in regional and continental-scale fire activity in the United States is strongly tied to proxies for these human-caused changes, including population and road density, and different land-use and development patterns (10–15).”
From Human-started wildfires expand the fire niche across the United States (2017) · cites this paper as [15]

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“An expected increase in naturally occurring wildfires in the boreal forest (Stocks et al. 2000; Westerling et al. 2006; Yarie and Parton 2005) will likely accelerate carbon losses from this ecosystem, which is currently considered a carbon sink (Harden et al.”
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An Analysis of the Spatial Patterns of Human Impacts
Calef, M. P., Mcguire, A. D., & Chapin, F. S. (2006)
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Authors: Calef, M. P., McGuire, A. D., & Chapin, F. S.
Affiliations: State University of New York (US)
United States Geological Survey (US)
University of Alaska Fairbanks (US)
ORCID: Calef, M. P.
Chapin, F. S.
Venue: Earth Interactions
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Published: 2008-03-01
Volume: 12
Issue: 1
Pages: 1-17
ISSN: 1087-3562 (ISSN-L)
DOI: 10.1175/2007ei220.1
OpenAlex: W2051188584
Cited by: 72
References: 52
Citations by year: 2026: 7 · 2024: 3 · 2023: 3 · 2022: 10 · 2021: 4 · 2020: 2 · 2017: 7 · 2016: 4 · 2015: 6 · 2014: 2 · 2013: 4 · 2012: 3
FWCI: 5.11
Type: journal article
Language: en
Open access: bronze
doi.org
Locations: Earth Interactions (publishedVersion)
Funders: National Science Foundation (0328282)
Topics: Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Fire effects on ecosystems
Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Forest Management and Policy
Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecology › Rangeland and Wildlife Management
Keywords: forest fires, human influence on fire, fire regimes, fire ignition, fire suppression, boreal forest, lightning fires, fire prediction model, road proximity, distance to river, interior Alaska, climate change

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Human Influences on Wildfire in Alaska from 1988 through 2005: An Analysis of the Spatial Patterns of Human Impacts

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