An electrocardiogram-based AI algorithm for early detection of pulmonary hypertension
Open accessAbstract
Background: Early diagnosis of pulmonary hypertension (PH) is critical for effective treatment and management. We aimed to develop and externally validate an artificial intelligence algorithm that could serve as a PH screening tool, based on analysis of a standard 12-lead ECG. Methods: The PH Early Detection Algorithm (PH-EDA) is a convolutional neural network developed using retrospective ECG voltage–time data, with patients classified as “PH-likely” or “PH-unlikely” (controls) based on right heart catheterisation or echocardiography. In total, 39 823 PH-likely patients and 219 404 control patients from Mayo Clinic were randomly split into training (48%), validation (12%) and test (40%) sets. ECGs taken within 1 month of PH diagnosis (diagnostic dataset) were used to train the PH-EDA at Mayo Clinic. Performance was tested on diagnostic ECGs within the test sets from Mayo Clinic (n=16 175/87 998 PH-likely/controls) and Vanderbilt University Medical Center (VUMC; n=6045/24 256 PH-likely/controls). In addition, performance was tested on ECGs taken 6–18 months (pre-emptive dataset), and up to 5 years prior to a PH diagnosis at both sites. Results: Performance testing yielded an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.92 and 0.88 in the diagnostic test sets at Mayo Clinic and VUMC, respectively, and 0.86 and 0.81, respectively, in the pre-emptive test sets. The AUC remained a minimum of 0.79 at Mayo Clinic and 0.73 at VUMC up to 5 years before diagnosis. Conclusion: The PH-EDA can detect PH at diagnosis and 6–18 months prior, demonstrating the potential to accelerate diagnosis and management of this debilitating disease.
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Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy, cardiac amyloidosis, and pulmonary hypertension AI-ECG applications remain earlier or pathway-incomplete.
“hypertrophic cardiomyopathy, cardiac amyloidosis, and pulmonary hypertension remain earlier or pathway-incomplete applications.”
From AI-ECG for Echocardiography Triage in Structural Heart Disease: Evidence, Implementation, and Future Directions (2026) · cites this paper as [32]
The Methods describe the pulmonary-hypertension AI-ECG algorithm as investigational, and the Discussion says future studies will assess outcomes for patients it identifies. That supports describing the pulmonary-hypertension application as early or pathway-incomplete. The paper does not establish the same status for hypertrophic cardiomyopathy or cardiac amyloidosis; its Introduction and References mention prior hypertrophic-cardiomyopathy work but do not make that assessment (no page numbers provided). (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredEvidence for AI-ECG detection of pulmonary hypertension and right ventricular dysfunction remains comparatively early and predominantly retrospective, although reported discrimination has been encouraging with AUROCs of approximately 0.86-0.92 across internal and external validation cohorts.
“Evidence for AI-ECG detection of PH and right ventricular dysfunction remains comparatively early. Published studies are still predominantly retrospective, although reported discrimination has been encouraging, with AUROCs of approximately 0.86–0.92 across internal and external validation cohorts.31–33”
From AI-ECG for Echocardiography Triage in Structural Heart Disease: Evidence, Implementation, and Future Directions (2026) · cites this paper as [32]
Split into 2 atoms — 1 confirmed, 1 partially supported, 0 disputed, 0 misattributed, 0 unverifiable. Expand the claim to see per-atom verdicts.
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredEarlier identification of PH may allow more timely echocardiography, specialist referral, and confirmatory hemodynamic testing when appropriate.
“This finding is clinically important because delayed recognition of PH is common, and earlier identification may allow more timely echocardiography, specialist referral, and confirmatory hemodynamic testing when appropriate [37].”
From Deep Learning Applied to 12-Lead ECGs for Detection of Structural, Metabolic and Systemic Disease (2026) · cites this paper as [37]
The Discussion (page unavailable) says earlier suspicion of PH could prompt echocardiography and further diagnostic evaluation, potentially accelerating diagnosis. The Introduction (page unavailable) identifies right-heart catheterisation as the definitive diagnostic test. The paper does not specifically discuss specialist referral, so that part of the attributed pathway is unsupported. (LLM, conf=0.84)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredPH-EDA achieved strong discrimination at the time of PH diagnosis.
“PH-EDA achieved strong discrimination at the time of PH diagnosis and also demonstrated predictive ability when applied to ECGs obtained months to years before clinical diagnosis.”
From Deep Learning Applied to 12-Lead ECGs for Detection of Structural, Metabolic and Systemic Disease (2026) · cites this paper as [37]
PH-EDA demonstrated predictive ability when applied to ECGs obtained months to years before clinical diagnosis.
“PH-EDA achieved strong discrimination at the time of PH diagnosis and also demonstrated predictive ability when applied to ECGs obtained months to years before clinical diagnosis.”
From Deep Learning Applied to 12-Lead ECGs for Detection of Structural, Metabolic and Systemic Disease (2026) · cites this paper as [37]
The pulmonary hypertension literature shows consistent discrimination across multiple cohorts and suggests that AI-ECG may identify disease before formal diagnosis.
“Overall, the pulmonary hypertension literature shows consistent discrimination across multiple cohorts and suggests that AI-ECG may identify disease before formal diagnosis.”
From Deep Learning Applied to 12-Lead ECGs for Detection of Structural, Metabolic and Systemic Disease (2026) · cites this paper as [37]
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- Authors
- DuBrock, H. M., Wagner, T. E., Carlson, K., Carpenter, C. L., Awasthi, S., Attia, Z. I., Frantz, R. P., Friedman, P. A., Kapa, S., Annis, J., Brittain, E. L., Hemnes, A. R., Asirvatham, S. J., Babu, M., Prasad, A., Yoo, U., Barve, R., Selej, M., Agron, P., Kogan, E., Quinn, D., Dunnmon, P., Khan, N., & Soundararajan, V.
- Affiliations
- Mayo Clinic (US)
- Nference (United States) (US)
- Vanderbilt University (US)
- Vanderbilt University Medical Center (US)
- Nference (India) (IN)
- Janssen Research & Development (United States) (US)
- Corresponding author
- DuBrock, Hilary M.
- ORCID
- Venue
- European Respiratory Journal
- Publisher
- European Respiratory Society (ERS)
- Published
- 2024-06-27
- Volume
- 64
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 2400192
- ISSN
- 0903-1936 (ISSN-L)
- 1399-3003
- PMC
- PMC11269769
- OpenAlex
- W4400083696
- Cited by
- 38
- References
- 36
- Citations by year
- 2026: 18 · 2025: 17 · 2024: 3
- FWCI
- 11.38
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- European Respiratory Journal (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- nference, Inc
- Janssen Research and Development
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › ECG Monitoring and Analysis
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pulmonary and Respiratory Medicine › Pulmonary Hypertension Research and Treatments
- Health Sciences › Health Professions › Health Information Management › Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare
- Keywords
- pulmonary hypertension, early detection, electrocardiogram, artificial intelligence, convolutional neural networks, right heart catheterization, echocardiography, external validation
- MeSH terms
- Adult, Aged, Algorithms, Artificial Intelligence, Echocardiography, Electrocardiography, Female, Cardiac Catheterization, Humans, Hypertension, Pulmonary, Male, Middle Aged, Retrospective Studies, ROC Curve, Neural Networks, Computer, Early Diagnosis
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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