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Impact of Active learning model and prior knowledge on discovery time of elusive relevant papers: a simulation study

Byrne, Fionn, Hofstee, Laura, Teijema, Jelle, De Bruin, Jonathan, van de Schoot, Rens·2024·Systematic Reviews

Abstract

Software that employs screening prioritization through active learning (AL) has accelerated the screening process significantly by ranking an unordered set of records by their predicted relevance. However, failing to find a relevant paper might alter the findings of a systematic review, highlighting the importance of identifying elusive papers. The time to discovery (TD) measures how many records are needed to be screened to find a relevant paper, making it a helpful tool for detecting such papers. The main aim of this project was to investigate how the choice of the model and prior knowledge influence the TD values of the hard-to-find relevant papers and their rank orders. A simulation study was conducted, mimicking the screening process on a dataset containing titles, abstracts, and labels used for an already published systematic review. The results demonstrated that AL model choice, and mostly the choice of the feature extractor but not the choice of prior knowledge, significantly influenced the TD values and the rank order of the elusive relevant papers. Future research should examine the characteristics of elusive relevant papers to discover why they might take a long time to be found.

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Crossref · 10.1186/s13643-024-02587-0

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Figures

Fig. 1 The time to discovery (TD) values (A) and the rank-orders (B) of all 48 relevant papers across 10 simulations. Each line represents the TD value for a paper across active learning models (grouped by feature extractor). The five hard-to-find relevant papers are highlighted (record IDs contained in the legend)
Fig. 1 The time to discovery (TD) values (A) and the rank-orders (B) of all 48 relevant papers across 10 simulations. Each line represents the TD value for a paper across active learning models (grouped by feature extractor). The five hard-to-find relevant papers are highlighted (record IDs contained in the legend)CC BY · PubMed Central
Fig. 2 Standard deviations (SDs) of the average-record-time to discovery (TD) values for each relevant paper across active learning models (A) and prior knowledge (B). The five hard-to-find relevant papers are highlighted. Each dot represents the average-record-TD value of a paper, and the line corresponds to this value’s SD
Fig. 2 Standard deviations (SDs) of the average-record-time to discovery (TD) values for each relevant paper across active learning models (A) and prior knowledge (B). The five hard-to-find relevant papers are highlighted. Each dot represents the average-record-TD value of a paper, and the line corresponds to this value’s SDCC BY · PubMed Central
Fig. 3 The time to discovery (TD) values (A) and the rank-orders of the TD values (B) of all 48 relevant papers across 48 simulations. Each line represents the TD values of a paper across prior knowledge. The gaps in the lines represent the condition in which a paper is used as prior knowledge. The five hard-to-find relevant papers are highlighted (record IDs listed in the legend)
Fig. 3 The time to discovery (TD) values (A) and the rank-orders of the TD values (B) of all 48 relevant papers across 48 simulations. Each line represents the TD values of a paper across prior knowledge. The gaps in the lines represent the condition in which a paper is used as prior knowledge. The five hard-to-find relevant papers are highlighted (record IDs listed in the legend)CC BY · PubMed Central

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Cites

Research works printed but not linked: 18

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Metadata

Authors
Byrne, F., Hofstee, L., Teijema, J., De Bruin, J., & van de Schoot, R.
Venue
Systematic Reviews
Published
2024-07-08
Volume
13
Issue
1
ISSN
2046-4053
Cited by
9
References
11
Language
en

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