Measuring the Impacts of Teachers I: Evaluating Bias in Teacher Value-Added Estimates
Open accessAbstract
Are teachers' impacts on students' test scores (value-added) a good measure of their quality? One reason this question has sparked debate is disagreement about whether value-added (VA) measures provide unbiased estimates of teachers' causal impacts on student achievement. We test for bias in VA using previously unobserved parent characteristics and a quasi-experimental design based on changes in teaching staff. Using school district and tax records for more than one million children, we find that VA models which control for a student's prior test scores provide unbiased forecasts of teachers' impacts on student achievement. (JEL H75, I21, J24, J45)
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Recent experimental and quasi-experimental analyses provide strong empirical support for the claim that teacher effect estimates are not biased by non-random sorting of students to teachers when student achievement is the outcome.
“Recent experimental (Kane, McCaffrey, Miller, & Staiger, 2013) and quasi-experimental (Chetty et al., 2014) analyses provide strong empirical support for this claim when student achievement is the outcome of interest.”
From Teacher and Teaching Effects on Students’ Attitudes and Behaviors (2017) · cites this paper as Chetty et al., 2014
This corresponds to an increase of roughly 0.9 percentile points in the test score distribution (von Hippel, 2025) and about one-fifth of the gain associated with a one standard deviation increase in teacher value added (Chetty, Friedman and Rockoff, 2014).
“For comparison, this corresponds to an increase of roughly 0.9 percentile points in the test score distribution (von Hippel, 2025) and about one-fifth of the gain associated with a one standard deviation increase in teacher value added (Chetty, Friedman and Rockoff, 2014).”
From The Effects of School Phone Bans: National Evidence from Lockable Pouches (2026) · cites this paper as Chetty, Friedman and Rockoff, 2014
This concentration of effects in math is consistent with a broader literature in the economics of education finding that interventions often generate larger or more detectable impacts in math than in ELA.
“This concentration of effects in math is consistent with a broader literature in the economics of education finding that interventions often generate larger or more detectable impacts in math than in ELA (e.g., Dee and Jacob, 2011; Dobbie and Fryer Jr, 2011; Chetty, Friedman and Rockoff, 2014).”
From The Effects of School Phone Bans: National Evidence from Lockable Pouches (2026) · cites this paper as Chetty, Friedman and Rockoff, 2014
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- Authors
- Chetty, R., Friedman, J. N., & Rockoff, J. E.
- Affiliations
- Harvard University (US)
- Columbia University (US)
- ORCID
- Chetty, Raj
- Venue
- American Economic Review
- Publisher
- American Economic Association
- Published
- 2014-09-01
- Volume
- 104
- Issue
- 9
- Pages
- 2593-2632
- ISSN
- 0002-8282 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W1984288743
- Cited by
- 1,241
- References
- 6
- Citations by year
- 2026: 71 · 2025: 99 · 2024: 101 · 2023: 105 · 2022: 144 · 2021: 100 · 2020: 119 · 2019: 101 · 2018: 90 · 2017: 94 · 2016: 112 · 2015: 67 · 2014: 29 · 2013: 4 · 2012: 1
- FWCI
- 519.46
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- nrs.harvard.edu
- Licence
- cc-by
- Locations
- American Economic Review (publishedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Digital Access to Scholarship at Harvard (DASH) (Harvard University) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Funders
- National Science Foundation
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Education › School Choice and Performance
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Information Systems and Management › Educational Assessment and Improvement
- Social Sciences › Education › Teacher Education and Assessments
- Keywords
- teacher value-added, teacher quality, measurement bias, academic performance, test scores, teacher turnover
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