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BASiCS: Bayesian Analysis of Single-Cell Sequencing Data
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Single-cell mRNA sequencing can uncover novel cell-to-cell heterogeneity in gene expression levels in seemingly homogeneous populations of cells. However, these experiments are prone to high levels of unexplained technical noise, creating new challenges for identifying genes that show genuine heterogeneous expression within the population of cells under study. BASiCS (Bayesian Analysis of Single-Cell Sequencing data) is an integrated Bayesian hierarchical model where: (i) cell-specific normalisation constants are estimated as part of the model parameters, (ii) technical variability is quantified based on spike-in genes that are artificially introduced to each analysed cell's lysate and (iii) the total variability of the expression counts is decomposed into technical and biological components. BASiCS also provides an intuitive detection criterion for highly (or lowly) variable genes within the population of cells under study. This is formalised by means of tail posterior probabilities associated to high (or low) biological cell-to-cell variance contributions, quantities that can be easily interpreted by users. We demonstrate our method using gene expression measurements from mouse Embryonic Stem Cells. Cross-validation and meaningful enrichment of gene ontology categories within genes classified as highly (or lowly) variable supports the efficacy of our approach.
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![Fig 3 Simulated performance of s j’s estimates (method described in [5] and BASiCS). Based on 400 simulated datasets from the model implemented in BASiCS with the same structure as in the mouse ESC dataset (simulated parameter values defined as posterior medians of the original model fit) and 6 different values for θ. (a) percentage of the simulated spike-in genes (out of 46) without zero counts (i.e. those that can be used when calculating the estimator proposed in [5]) for different simulated values of θ. (b) and (c) estimates of s 1 (first cell) across all simulated datasets for different simulated values of θ using the method described in [5] and BASiCS (posterior medians), respectively. As the strength of unexplained technical noise increases (larger values of θ), estimates obtained using the approach described in [5] become highly unstable (we illustrated this using the first simulated cell, but the same conclusion can be obtained based on any other cell). This is due to a larger proportion of zeros among the simulated expression counts, i.e. less spike-in genes can be used when estimating s 1. In contrast, the stability of the BASiCS estimates is not substantially affected by the strength of unexplained technical noise.](/paper-figures/be5229a9aa11458596b4238f01fa4c66/basics-bayesian-analysis-of-single-cell-sequencing-data-figure-3.jpg)
![Fig 4 Normalisation. (a) and (b): for each of the 41 mouse ESCs, vertical lines represent the 95% high posterior density interval (blue dot located at the posterior median) of cell-specific normalising constants ϕ j (cellular mRNA content) and s j (interpreted in terms of capture and reverse transcription efficiency for UMI counts), respectively. While BASiCS suggests substantial heterogeneity in the total amount of molecules per cell (ϕ j), the scale of the technical counts remains stable among cells (s j). This is expected when using UMI protocols, where counts should not be affected by sequencing depth and other amplification biases. Red dots are the values estimated by the stepwise method described in [5]. There is a good agreement of the methods in terms of cellular mRNA content (ϕ j), but the estimations of s j according to [5] suggest stronger differences than what is expected when using UMI protocols. In (b), black dots represent the proportion of total spike-in molecules captured in each cell. Our estimations of the s j’s are in better agreement with these empirical measurements (suggesting BASiCS infers a more adequate reverse transcription efficiency level). (c) and (d) histogram of a Markov Chain Monte Carlo sample from s 1 and s 2, respectively. These posterior distributions are highly skewed and thence the posterior modes are a closer match to the empirical capture proportions than the corresponding posterior medians.](/paper-figures/fae9bb508ea943c2a7196e54cc6c79c6/basics-bayesian-analysis-of-single-cell-sequencing-data-figure-4.jpg)



![Fig 8 Comparison of HVG detection among different methods. For each of the 7,895 biological genes, posterior medians of biological cell-to-cell heterogeneity term δ i (log scale) against posterior medians of expression level μ i (log scale). While the methods described in [16] and [5] only provide a characterisation of HVG, BASiCS is able to detect those genes whose expression rates are stable among cells.](/paper-figures/4585d7016e1045a6ad6c0f2068c9d5ce/basics-bayesian-analysis-of-single-cell-sequencing-data-figure-8.jpg)
![Fig 9 Cross-validation experiment. (a) true versus estimated normalised expression level μ i for each of the 46 ERCC spike-in genes (log-scale). Our estimations are gathered around the true values, except for lowly expressed technical genes, where the experiment suggests a small positive bias. Estimations according to [5] are highly correlated with the true values, however the true scale has not been recovered (not surprising as their method is not designed to estimate the right scale of the s j’s, see Fig 3). (b): Fig 8(a) superimposing (in black) estimated values for each of the 46 ERCC spike-in genes. (c) and (d): panels (c) and (d) of Fig 7 superposing (in black) estimated probabilities associated to each of the 46 ERCC spike-in genes. As expected, none of the spike-in genes were detected as HVG by our criteria. On the other hand, there is strong evidence in favour of being LVG for 21 of the technical genes (and some others are borderline according to our conservative criteria).](/paper-figures/46bce7f3cd2f4de4bb58424f045d84f8/basics-bayesian-analysis-of-single-cell-sequencing-data-figure-9.jpg)
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“Furthermore, papers evaluating the performance of single-cell-specific tools all compute the simulations as if cells were independent15–21.”
From A practical solution to pseudoreplication bias in single-cell studies (2021) · cites this paper as [21]
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Metadata
- Authors
- Vallejos, C. A., Marioni, J. C., & Richardson, S.
- Affiliations
- European Bioinformatics Institute (GB)
- MRC Biostatistics Unit (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Vallejos, Catalina A.
- Marioni, John C.
- Richardson, Sylvia
- Venue
- PLOS Computational Biology
- Publisher
- Public Library of Science (PLoS)
- Published
- 2015-06-24
- Volume
- 11
- Issue
- 6
- Pages
- e1004333
- ISSN
- 1553-734X (ISSN-L)
- 1553-7358
- PMC
- PMC4480965
- OpenAlex
- W839653734
- Cited by
- 302
- References
- 20
- Citations by year
- 2026: 10 · 2025: 16 · 2024: 27 · 2023: 32 · 2022: 24 · 2021: 44 · 2020: 28 · 2019: 31 · 2018: 37 · 2017: 35 · 2016: 18
- FWCI
- 13.02
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- PLoS Computational Biology (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- UCL Discovery (University College London) (submittedVersion)
- Figshare (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Spiral (Imperial College London) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Funders
- European Bioinformatics Institute
- Cancer Research UK (22231)
- Medical Research Council
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Molecular Biology › Single-cell and spatial transcriptomics
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Molecular Biology › Gene expression and cancer classification
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Molecular Biology › Genomics and Phylogenetic Studies
- Keywords
- single-cell RNA sequencing, cellular heterogeneity, Bayesian hierarchical model, technical noise, mouse embryonic stem cells, gene expression variation
- MeSH terms
- Animals, Bayes Theorem, RNA, Messenger, Reproducibility of Results, Computational Biology, Oligonucleotide Array Sequence Analysis, Gene Expression Profiling, Mice, Embryonic Stem Cells, Single-Cell Analysis
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