The DOI matches its Crossref record; 53 of the 54 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Characterizing the Epidemiological Transition in Mexico: National and Subnational Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors
Open accessAbstract
BACKGROUND: Rates of diseases and injuries and the effects of their risk factors can have substantial subnational heterogeneity, especially in middle-income countries like Mexico. Subnational analysis of the burden of diseases, injuries, and risk factors can improve characterization of the epidemiological transition and identify policy priorities. METHODS AND FINDINGS: We estimated deaths and loss of healthy life years (measured in disability-adjusted life years [DALYs]) in 2004 from a comprehensive list of diseases and injuries, and 16 major risk factors, by sex and age for Mexico and its states. Data sources included the vital statistics, national censuses, health examination surveys, and published epidemiological studies. Mortality statistics were adjusted for underreporting, misreporting of age at death, and for misclassification and incomparability of cause-of-death assignment. Nationally, noncommunicable diseases caused 75% of total deaths and 68% of total DALYs, with another 14% of deaths and 18% of DALYs caused by undernutrition and communicable, maternal, and perinatal diseases. The leading causes of death were ischemic heart disease, diabetes mellitus, cerebrovascular disease, liver cirrhosis, and road traffic injuries. High body mass index, high blood glucose, and alcohol use were the leading risk factors for disease burden, causing 5.1%, 5.0%, and 7.3% of total burden of disease, respectively. Mexico City had the lowest mortality rates (4.2 per 1,000) and the Southern region the highest (5.0 per 1,000); under-five mortality in the Southern region was nearly twice that of Mexico City. In the Southern region undernutrition and communicable, maternal, and perinatal diseases caused 23% of DALYs; in Chiapas, they caused 29% of DALYs. At the same time, the absolute rates of noncommunicable disease and injury burdens were highest in the Southern region (105 DALYs per 1,000 population versus 97 nationally for noncommunicable diseases; 22 versus 19 for injuries). CONCLUSIONS: Mexico is at an advanced stage in the epidemiologic transition, with the majority of the disease and injury burden from noncommunicable diseases. A unique characteristic of the epidemiological transition in Mexico is that overweight and obesity, high blood glucose, and alcohol use are responsible for larger burden of disease than other noncommunicable disease risks such as tobacco smoking. The Southern region is least advanced in the epidemiological transition and suffers from the largest burden of ill health in all disease and injury groups.
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
In the citing paper
“National comparative risk assessments (including in Australia, Iran, Japan, Mexico, South Africa, Thailand, USA, and Vietnam) have also been undertaken with similar approaches.11–16”
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
Yusuf, S., Hawken, S., Ôunpuu, S., Dans, T., Avezum, A., Lanas, F., McQueen, M., Budaj, A., Pais, P., Varigos, J., et al. (2004) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(04)17018-9 · Cited by 12,026
Projections of Global Mortality and Burden of Disease from 2002 to 2030
Mathers, C. D., & Loncar, D. (2006) · PLoS Medicine · doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.0030442 · Cited by 11,386
(1996) · Cited by 6,884
Lopez, A. D., Mathers, C. D., Ezzati, M., Jamison, D. T., & Murray, C. J. (2006) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(06)68770-9 · Cited by 5,630
Self-citationThe Epidemiologic Transition: A Theory of the Epidemiology of Population Change
Omran, A. R. (2005) · Milbank Quarterly · doi:10.1111/j.1468-0009.2005.00398.x · Cited by 3,986
Selected major risk factors and global and regional burden of disease
Ezzati, M., Lopez, A. D., Rodgers, A., Vander Hoorn, S., & Murray, C. J. (2002) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(02)11403-6 · Cited by 3,594
Self-citationEzzati, M., López, A. D., Rodgers, A., & Murray, C. J. L. (2004) · Cited by 3,319
Self-citationTotal energy intake: implications for epidemiologic analyses.
WILLETT, W., & STAMPFER, M. J. (1986) · American Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a114366 · Cited by 2,751
Global Burden of Disease and Risk Factors
López, A. D., Mathers, C. D., Ezzati, M., Jamison, D. T. T., & Murray, C. J. L. (2006) · World Bank, Washington, DC eBooks · doi:10.1596/978-0-8213-6262-4 · Cited by 2,714
Self-citationRE: “TOTAL ENERGY INTAKE: IMPLICATIONS FOR EPIDEMIOLOGIC ANALYSES”
Palmgren, J., & Kushi, L. H. (1991) · American Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a115841 · Cited by 2,712
World Report on Road Traffic Injury Prevention
Peden, M., Scurfield, R. G., & Sleet, D. A. (2004) · Cited by 2,095
The burden of disease and injury in Australia 2003
Begg, S. J., Vos, T., Barker, B. M., Stevenson, C., Stanley, L., & López, A. D. (2007) · Deakin Research Online (Deakin University) · Cited by 1,285
Regional Model Life Tables and Stable Populations
Coale, A. J., & Demeny, P. (1983) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/c2013-0-07295-7 · Cited by 1,229
Comparative quantification of health risks conceptual framework and methodological issues
Murray, C. J., Ezzati, M., Lopez, A. D., Rodgers, A., & Vander Hoorn, S. (2003) · Population Health Metrics · doi:10.1186/1478-7954-1-1 · Cited by 887
Self-citationMurray, C. J. L., Kulkarni, S. C., Michaud, C., Tomijima, N., Bulzacchelli, M. T., Iandiorio, T. J., & Ezzati, M. (2006) · PLoS Medicine · doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.0030260 · Cited by 762
Self-citationEzzati, M., Hoorn, S. V., Lawes, C. M. M., Leach, R. J., James, W. P. T., López, A. D., Rodgers, A., & Murray, C. J. L. (2005) · PLoS Medicine · doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.0020133 · Cited by 627
Self-citationEstimates of global and regional potential health gains from reducing multiple major risk factors
Ezzati, M., Vander Hoorn, S., Rodgers, A., Lopez, A. D., Mathers, C. D., & Murray, C. J. (2003) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(03)13968-2 · Cited by 610
Self-citationTobacco control country profiles
Shafey, O., Dolwick, S., & Guindon, G. E. (2003) · Medical Entomology and Zoology · Cited by 504
The Burden of Disease and Mortality by Condition: Data, Methods, and Results for 2001
Mathers, C. D., López, A. D., & Murray, C. J. L. (2006) · Cited by 486
Danaei, G., Lawes, C. M. M., Hoorn, S. V., Murray, C. J. L., & Ezzati, M. (2006) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(06)69700-6 · Cited by 418
Self-citationRivera, J. Á., Barquera, S., Campirano, F., Campos‐Nonato, I., Safdie, M., & Tovar-Guzmán, V. J. (2002) · Public Health Nutrition · doi:10.1079/phn2001282 · Cited by 378
Self-citationEzzati, M., Martin, H. B., Skjold, S., Hoorn, S. V., & Murray, C. J. L. (2006) · Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine · doi:10.1177/014107680609900517 · Cited by 378
Self-citationLópez, A. D., Cd, M., Ezzati, M., Jamison, D. T. T., & Cjl, M. (2006) · Cited by 343
Self-citationHealth transition in middle-income countries: new challenges for health care
Frenk, J. M., Bobadilla, J. L., SEPUúLVEDA, J., & CERVANTES, M. L. (1989) · Health Policy and Planning · doi:10.1093/heapol/4.1.29 · Cited by 342
Methods for estimating fertility and mortality from limited and defective data.
Brass, W. (1975) · Cited by 323
Manual X: Indirect Techniques for Demographic Estimation
Ewbank, D. C. (1985) · Journal of the American Statistical Association · doi:10.2307/2288514 · Cited by 275
Elements for a theory of the health transition.
Frenk, J., Bobadilla, J. L., Stern, C., Frejka, T., & Lozano, R. (1991) · PubMed · Cited by 256
The burden of disease and injury in the United States 1996
Michaud, C. M., McKenna, M. T., Begg, S. J., Tomijima, N., Majmudar, M., Bulzacchelli, M. T., Ebrahim, S. H., Ezzati, M., Salomon, J. A., Kreiser, J. G., et al. (2006) · Population Health Metrics · doi:10.1186/1478-7954-4-11 · Cited by 216
Self-citationMortality Patterns in National Populations. With Special Reference to Recorded Causes of Death
Preston, S. H. (1977) · Population · doi:10.2307/1532019 · Cited by 211
The Epidemiologic Transition Revisited: Compositional Models for Causes of Death by Age and Sex
Salomon, J. A., & Murray, C. (2002) · Population and Development Review · doi:10.1111/j.1728-4457.2002.00205.x · Cited by 162
Ezzati, M., Oza, S., Danaei, G., & Murray, C. J. L. (2008) · Circulation · doi:10.1161/circulationaha.107.732131 · Cited by 158
Self-citation(2020) · Salud Pública de México · doi:10.21149/saludpublicamex · Cited by 146
Priority setting for health interventions in Mexico's System of Social Protection in Health
González-Pier, E., Gutiérrez-Delgado, C., Stevens, G. A., Barraza-Lloréns, M., Porras-Condey, R., Carvalho, N., Loncich, K., Dias, R. H., Kulkarni, S. C., Casey, A., et al. (2006) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(06)69567-6 · Cited by 142
Self-citationBurkitt, D. P. (1980) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-0-433-15351-1.50013-4 · Cited by 129
Estimating census and death registration completeness.
Hill, K. (1987) · PubMed · Cited by 128
Self-citationKerr, W. C., Fillmore, K. M., & Marvy, P. (2000) · Addiction · doi:10.1046/j.1360-0443.2000.9533394.x · Cited by 111
Sz cs, S., Sárváry, A., McKee, M., & Ádány, R. (2005) · Addiction · doi:10.1111/j.1360-0443.2005.01009.x · Cited by 88
Hepatitis B seroprevalence in Latin America
da Silveira, T. R., da Fonseca, J. C., Rivera, L., Fay, O. H., TAPIA-CONYER, R. C., Santos, J. I., Urdeneta, E., & Clemens, S. A. C. (1999) · Revista Panamericana de Salud Pública · doi:10.1590/s1020-49891999001100002 · Cited by 77
Encuesta Nacional de Adicciones - 2002
de Salud, S., Adicciones, C. N. C. L., & de Epidemiología, D. G. (2002) · Cited by 73
Burden of disease assessment and health system reform: Results of a study in Mexico
Lozano, R., Murray, C. J. L., Frenk, J. M., & Bobadilla, J. (1995) · Journal of International Development · doi:10.1002/jid.3380070314 · Cited by 71
Provincial mortality in South Africa, 2000--priority-setting for now and a benchmark for the future.
Bradshaw, D., Nannan, N., Groenewald, P., Joubert, J., Laubscher, R., Nojilana, B., Norman, R. E., Pieterse, D., & Schneider, M. M. (2005) · PubMed · Cited by 64
Murray, C. J. L., Kulkarni, S. C., & Ezzati, M. (2006) · Circulation · doi:10.1161/circulationaha.105.595777 · Cited by 62
Self-citationSeroprevalencia de la hepatitis C en adultos de México: ¿un problema de salud pública emergente?
Valdespino, J. L., Conde-González, C. J., Olaiz-Fernández, G., Palma, O., Kershenobich, D., & Sepúlveda, J. (2007) · Salud Pública de México · doi:10.1590/s0036-36342007000900011 · Cited by 57
James, O. (2002) · Medicine · doi:10.1383/medc.30.12.62.28524 · Cited by 47
Improving the comparability of diabetes mortality statistics in the U.S. and Mexico.
Murray, C. J. L., Dias, R. H., Kulkarni, S. C., Lozano, R., Stevens, G. A., & Ezzati, M. (2008) · Diabetes Care · doi:10.2337/dc07-1370 · Cited by 44
Self-citationCholesterol levels and prevalence of hypercholesterolemia in a Mexican adult population
Posadas‐Romero, C., TAPIA-CONYER, R. C., Lerman‐Garber, I., Zamora‐González, J., Cardoso-Saldaña, G. C., Izaba, B. S., & Sepúlveda-Amor, J. A. (1995) · Atherosclerosis · doi:10.1016/0021-9150(95)05615-7 · Cited by 37
Dyslipidemias and obesity in Mexico
Barquera, S., Flores, M., Olaiz-Fernández, G., Monterrubio‐Flores, E., Villalpando, S., González, C., Rivera, J. Á., & Sepúlveda, J. (2007) · Salud Pública de México · doi:10.1590/s0036-36342007000900005 · Cited by 36
Self-citationAn Evaluation of Vital Registers as Sources of Data for Infant Mortality Rates in Cameroon
Ndong, I., Gloyd, S. S., & Gale, J. L. (1994) · International Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/ije/23.3.536 · Cited by 27
[Liver cirrhosis mortality in Mexico. II. Excess mortality and pulque consumption].
Narro-Robles, J., GUTIÉRREZ-AVILA, J. H., López‐Cervantes, M., Borges, G. L. G., & Rosovsky, H. (1992) · PubMed · Cited by 22
Tomé, P., Reyes, H., PIÑA, C., Rodrı́guez, L., & Gutiérrez, G. (1997) · PubMed · Cited by 19
Narro-Robles, J., & GUTIÉRREZ-AVILA, J. H. (1997) · Salud Pública de México · doi:10.1590/s0036-36341997000300007 · Cited by 12
Narro-Robles, J., & GUTIÉRREZ-AVILA, J. H. (1997) · PubMed · Cited by 5
Evaluation of child deaths registration in a Jordanian community.
Al-Rabee, K., & Alkafajei, A. (2006) · PubMed · Cited by 3
Flagged first, then by citations
1 of the 54 references couldn’t be matched to a known paper.
Research works printed but not linked: 36
- Ezzati, 2002, Lancet, 360, 1347
- Michaud, 2006, Popul Health Metr, 4, 11
- Mahapatra, 2002, Estimating national burden of disease: the burden of disease in Andhra Pradesh, 1990′s
- Lopez, 2006, Lancet, 367, 1747
- Bradshaw, 2005, S Afr Med J, 95, 496
- Murray, 2006, PLoS Medicine, 3
- Omran, 1971, Milbank Mem Fund Q, 49, 509
- Salomon, 2002, Popul Dev Rev, 28, 205
- Frenk, 1989, Health Policy Plan, 41, 29
- Frenk, 1991, Health Transit Rev 1, 21
- González Pier, 2006, Lancet, 368, 1608
- Hill, 1987, Asian Pac Popul Forum, 1
- Murray, 2006, Circulation, 113, 2071
- Murray, 2007, Diabetes Care, 31, 451
- Mathers, 2006, Global burden of disease and risk factors, 399
- Ezzati, 2003, Lancet, 362, 271
- Olaiz Fernández, 2006, Encuesta nacional de salud y nutrición 2006
- Yusuf, 2004, Lancet, 364, 937
- Ndong, 1994, Int J Epidemiol, 23, 536
- Al-Rabee, 2006, East Mediterr Health J, 12, 23
- Tome, 1997, Salud Publica de Mexico, 39, 523
- Danaei, 2006, Lancet, 368, 1651
- Ezzati, 2005, PLoS Medicine, 2
- Posadas-Romero, 1995, Atherosclerosis, 118, 275
- Barquera, 2007, Salúd Publica de México, 49, S338
- Rivera, 2002, Public Health Nutr, 5, 113
- Ezzati, 2006, J R Soc Med, 99, 250
- Ezzati, 2008, Circulation, 117, 905
- Willett, 1986, Am J Epidemiol, 124, 17
- Szucs, 2005, Addiction, 100, 536
- Kerr, 2000, Addiction, 95, 339
- Narro-Robles, 1992, Salud Publica de Mexico, 34, 388
- Narro-Robles, 1997, Salud Publica de Mexico, 39, 217
- Silveira, 1999, Rev Panam Salud Publica, 6, 378
- James, 2002, Medicine, 30, 62
- Mathers, 2006, PLoS Medicine, 3
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Lim, S. S., Vos, T., Flaxman, A. D., Danaei, G., Shibuya, K., Adair-Rohani, H., AlMazroa, M. A., Amann, M., Anderson, H. R., Andrews, K. G., et al. (2012) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(12)61766-8 · Cited by 11,805
Murray, C. J. L., Vos, T., Lozano, R., Naghavi, M., Flaxman, A. D., Michaud, C., Ezzati, M., Shibuya, K., Salomon, J. A., Abdalla, S., et al. (2012) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(12)61689-4 · Cited by 8,888
Self-citationHiggins, S. M. F., Macken, A. P., Cullen, W., Saunders, J., Dunne, C. P., & O’Gorman, C. S. (2013) · PubMed · doi:10.34961/9953 · Cited by 4,807
Danaei, G., Ding, E. L., Mozaffarian, D., Taylor, B., Rehm, J., Murray, C. J. L., & Ezzati, M. (2009) · PLoS Medicine · doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.1000058 · Cited by 2,860
Self-citationStevens, G. A., Finucane, M. M., De‐Regil, L. M., Paciorek, C., Flaxman, S. R., Branca, F., Peña‐Rosas, J. P., Bhutta, Z. A., & Ezzati, M. (2013) · The Lancet Global Health · doi:10.1016/s2214-109x(13)70001-9 · Cited by 1,977
Self-citation
Metadata
- Authors
- Stevens, G., Dias, R. H., Thomas, K. J. A., Rivera, J. A., Carvalho, N., Barquera, S., Hill, K., & Ezzati, M.
- Affiliations
- Harvard University (US)
- Pennsylvania State University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Stevens, Gretchen
- Venue
- PLoS Medicine
- Publisher
- Public Library of Science (PLoS)
- Published
- 2008-06-17
- Volume
- 5
- Issue
- 6
- Pages
- e125
- ISSN
- 1549-1277 (ISSN-L)
- 1549-1676
- PMC
- PMC2429945
- OpenAlex
- W2164683920
- Cited by
- 249
- References
- 54
- Citations by year
- 2026: 2 · 2025: 7 · 2024: 4 · 2023: 9 · 2022: 9 · 2021: 10 · 2020: 11 · 2019: 14 · 2018: 13 · 2017: 17 · 2016: 17 · 2015: 12 · 2014: 31 · 2013: 26 · 2012: 20
- FWCI
- 34.52
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Update notices
- correction (2008-07-29)
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Locations
- PLoS Medicine (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, other-oa)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Digital Access to Scholarship at Harvard (DASH) (Harvard University) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Figshare (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Minerva Access (University of Melbourne) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Greater South Information System
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Global Health and Epidemiology
- Social Sciences › Demography › Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Healthcare Systems and Public Health
- Keywords
- epidemiological transition, disease burden, injuries, risk factors, disability-adjusted life years, non-communicable diseases, subnational heterogeneity, Mexico, body mass index, alcohol consumption, hyperglycemia, malnutrition, road traffic injuries, ischemic heart disease, diabetes mellitus, cerebrovascular disease, liver cirrhosis, under-five mortality
- MeSH terms
- Algorithms, Cause of Death, Decision Trees, Developing Countries, Disease, Geography, Humans, Mexico, Mortality, Risk Factors, Socioeconomic Factors, Global Health, Wounds and Injuries, Cost of Illness
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review