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The Oligopoly of Academic Publishers in the Digital Era
Open accessAbstract
The consolidation of the scientific publishing industry has been the topic of much debate within and outside the scientific community, especially in relation to major publishers' high profit margins. However, the share of scientific output published in the journals of these major publishers, as well as its evolution over time and across various disciplines, has not yet been analyzed. This paper provides such analysis, based on 45 million documents indexed in the Web of Science over the period 1973-2013. It shows that in both natural and medical sciences (NMS) and social sciences and humanities (SSH), Reed-Elsevier, Wiley-Blackwell, Springer, and Taylor & Francis increased their share of the published output, especially since the advent of the digital era (mid-1990s). Combined, the top five most prolific publishers account for more than 50% of all papers published in 2013. Disciplines of the social sciences have the highest level of concentration (70% of papers from the top five publishers), while the humanities have remained relatively independent (20% from top five publishers). NMS disciplines are in between, mainly because of the strength of their scientific societies, such as the ACS in chemistry or APS in physics. The paper also examines the migration of journals between small and big publishing houses and explores the effect of publisher change on citation impact. It concludes with a discussion on the economics of scholarly publishing.
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“Global influence and market dominance show that these publishers represent a significant proportion of global scholarly output (Larivière et al., 2015).”
From Use of artificial intelligence tools in the publishing process: expectations from publishers through author guidelines (2026) · cites this paper as Larivière et al., 2015
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“Moreover, these disciplines make a much more important use of books [9] and generally rely on local journals [29], all of which are factors that make it much less interesting for big publishers to buy journals or found new ones in the arts and humanities.”
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“4 billion US dollars in 2011 [31], the majority of which were generated by a few publishing houses, the scientific journal publishing market faces oligopolistic conditions, where big players such as Elsevier, Springer, Taylor & Francis, Wiley-Blackwell and Wolters Kluwer determine annually increasing subscription rate…”
BackgroundTragic Loss or Good Riddance? The Impending Demise of Traditional Scholary Journals
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“Indeed, many authors have discussed the various transformations of the scholarly communication landscape brought by the digital era (see, among others, Borgman [14–15]; Kling and Callahan [16]; Tenopir & King [17]; Odlyzko [18]).”
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“During the 20 century they consolidated their position as the main media for diffusing research [6], especially in the natural and medical sciences [9].”
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“Also, the transition from print to electronic—a strong argument for journals to convert to commercial publishers—has happened at a much slower pace in those disciplines as the use for recent scientific information is less pressing [28].”
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Sutha, V., Sharon Mary, P., Susanna, P., David, S. J., Nester Jeyakumar, M., Chelliah, D. A., & Watson, E. (2026) · Serials review · doi:10.1080/00987913.2026.2727347
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Vershinina, N. A., Bastian, B. L., Özkazanç‐Pan, B., Prasad, A., Sabelis, I. H. J., & Wood, B. (2026) · Gender Work and Organization · doi:10.1111/gwao.70262
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Shah, A. (2026) · Learned Publishing · doi:10.1002/leap.2096
“At the same time, ownership of scholarly journals has become increasingly concentrated among a small number of multi-national publishing corporations whose revenues and profit margins rival or exceed those of many other knowledge-based industries (Larivière et al. 2015; Grossmann and Brembs 2021).”
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Lipo, C. P., DiNapoli, B., & Andrus, B. (2026) · Scientometrics · doi:10.1007/s11192-026-05789-6
“This pattern is concerning, given that Elsevier accounts for 16% of all social sciences and humanities papers globally and operates within an academic publishing oligopoly with substantial market power (Larivière et al., 2015).”
Dzień, P., Wątor, K., & Kmiecik, E. (2026) · Environmental Processes · doi:10.1007/s40710-026-00865-8
“Furthermore, the oligopolistic nature of the publishing (Larivière et al. 2015) market and the rising costs of publishing and accessing international literature pose additional barriers for many researchers.”
Tran, T., Luong, A., Luong, D.-H., Trịnh, T., & Pham, H.-H. (2026) · Evaluation review · doi:10.1177/0193841x261476152
Choi, S.-J., & Chae, G. (2026) · Annals of Coloproctology · doi:10.3393/ac.2026.00542.0077
di Giacomo, G., Megahed, O., Schuh, M., & Wimmer, M. G. (2026) · Journal of Pollination Ecology · doi:10.26786/1920-7603(2026)910
Manufacturing Pessimism: Structural Incentives and Social Psychology’s Narrative of Human Nature
Lönnqvist, J. (2026) · Perspectives on Psychological Science · doi:10.1177/17456916261458313
“Publication and evaluation are controlled by an oligopoly of publishers and entrenched journal hierarchies that dictate circulation and prestige (Fanelli, 2012; Larivière et al., 2015).”
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Bispo, G. S., & Rivero, A. C. (2026) · AtoZ: Novas Práticas em Informação e Conhecimento · doi:10.5380/atoz.v15.102982
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Ye, Z.-H., Yu, W., & Chen, J.-P. (2026) · Scientometrics · doi:10.1007/s11192-026-05753-4
“Large commercial publishers, which dominate the market (Larivière, Haustein, & Mongeon, 2015), have disproportionately benefited from hybrid OA funding compared to full OA publishers (Butler et al., 2023; Jahn & Tullney, 2016; Shu & Larivière, 2024).”
Krawczyk, F. (2026) · tripleC: Communication, Capitalism & Critique. Open Access Journal for a Global Sustainable Information Society · doi:10.31269/gxszzt27
“More than half of academic papers are published by an “oligopoly” of a few huge academic publishers (Larivière et al. 2015).”
Mercado-Percia, H., Repiso, R., & Ruiz-Pérez, R. (2026) · Scientometrics · doi:10.1007/s11192-026-05719-6
“It is in line with studies such as those of Munroe (2007) and Larivière et al. (2015), by starting from the premise that both the acquisition of entire publishing portfolios and PSA agreements between publishing companies and learned societies should continue to be the subject of research.”
InfluentialPuelles-Díaz, Á., Vargas-Celis, I., & García-Leal, H. (2026) · Iberoamerican Journal of Science Measurement and Communication · doi:10.47909/ijsmc.367
“Sin embargo, su dependencia exclusiva de Scopus introduce sesgos documentados: so-brerrepresentación de ciencias STEM, litera-tura anglófona e instituciones del Global North (Larivière et al., 2015; Mongeon y Paul-Hus, 2016).”
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Lorig, M. (2026) · arXiv.org · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2607.05454
“An archive with no accept/reject bit removes that signal, and the reform will not be adopted until something replaces it [Larivière et al., 2015].”
Kotsis, K. (2026) · Journal of Contemporary Philosophical and Anthropological Studies · doi:10.59652/p2hq0781
“Publishers, as commercial entities operating within a highly concentrated and oligopolistic market (Larivière et al., 2015), benefit directly from the additional revenue generated by fast-track services, which supplements their already substantial income from article processing charges and…”
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Global innovation requires global participation: Overcoming geographic gaps in biomaterials research
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Cárdenas-Tapia, J., & Torres-Toukoumidis, Á. (2026) · We Journal Review · doi:10.38202/journal22.2
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Brabazon, T. (2026) · Social Empowerment Journal · doi:10.34118/sej.v8i2.4658
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Cordeiro, V. V. D. C. J. J. P. G. I. R. D. R. A. L. D. M. C. D. R. C. S. F. C. A. M. G. R. Y. E. M., Gonçalves, J. P., MORAES, M. C., Costa, D. D. S., Oliveira, W. D. S., de Sarges, J. B. R., Cardoso, A. D. S., Pereira, S. G., Dias, A. D. E., Pereira, E. S., et al. (2026) · Revista Multidisciplinar do Nordeste Mineiro · doi:10.66104/md3aqk44
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“Oligopolistic market structure is evident, with a small set of firms publishing a large share of global articles (Larivière et al., 2015).”
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Önder, A. H. (2026) · Accountability in Research · doi:10.1080/08989621.2026.2678608
“(Larivière, Haustein, and Mongeon 2015; Miller et al. 2021; Rubagumya et al. 2022; Schimmer, Geschuhn, and Vogler 2015; Solomon and Björk 2016; Björk and Solomon 2015; Jahn and Tullney 2016; Demeter and Istratii 2020) This economic landscape is tightly connected to the clinical research ecosystem.”
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Hernández-González, V., Aixa-Requena, S., Gil-Galve, A., Luengos-Jiménez, N., Sastre-Fácila, V., & Reverter-Masià, J. (2026) · Education for Information · doi:10.1177/01678329261445816
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SOSYAL HİZMET ALANINDA GRUP ÇALIŞMALARINI İÇEREN ARAŞTIRMALARIN VOSVİEWER İLE BİBLİYOMETRİK ANALİZİ
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“To analyse the distribution of scientific output in HRI research in more depth, the Gini coefficient [12] was selected as it remains the gold standard for quantifying concentration inequalities in sciento-metric studies [19].”
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“…phenomenon, aggressive authoritarian political measures with fascist tendencies in major Western countries threaten, among many other things, the very fabric of the global scienti fi c infrastructure due to their hegemonial status (Chomsky, 2003; Grimm and Hornidge, 2025; Larivière et al., 2015).”
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“Larivière et al. (2015) present this data from the early 1990s to 2014.”
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Huang, A. (2026) · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2601.09618
“RELX, the parent company of Elsevier, saw its market value increase from approximately £ 20 billion in 2010 to £ 50 billion in 2020, with the academic publishing division (main assets being high IF journals) contributing significantly to this growth (Aspesi and Brand, 2019).”
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“Additional effects—Open Science literacy (H4), international collaboration (H6), and disciplinary heterogeneity (H7)—are consistent with norm transfer and field cultures (Fraser et al., 2021; Larivière et al., 2015).”
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Santos-d’Amorim, K., dos Santos, R. N. M., Lascurain, M. L., García-Zorita, C., & Sanz-Casado, E. (2025) · Revista Española de Documentación Científica · doi:10.3989/redc.2025.4.1740
“Given that the scientific information industry has turned into a highly profitable market (Larivière et al. , 2015; Shu & Larivière, 2024), a trend toward consolidating optimal systems is expected.”
Akbulut, M. (2025) · Scientometrics · doi:10.1007/s11192-025-05496-8
“A small number of major publishers, primarily Elsevier, Springer Nature, and Wiley, control a significant portion of the market and the most prestigious journals (Larivière et al., 2015; Saha et al., 2021).”
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“Combined with widespread dissemination, this allowed for a systematic recording and preservation of scientific knowledge, ultimately laying the foundation for the modern scientific publishing system through a more structured and regular distribution of research advancements [1], [2].”
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Márquez, Y. E. V., Flores, G. I. C., Hernández, M. A. T., Leija, R. O. C., Mejía, J., Mario, & Gutiérrez, C. O. (2025) · Mexican International Conference on Computer Science · doi:10.1109/enc68268.2025.11311884
The Evolution of Gender Monitoring and its Challenges: the Case of Research and Innovation in Europe
Otero-Hermida, P., & Furió-Vico, C. (2025) · Social Indicators Research · doi:10.1007/s11205-025-03698-4 · Cited by 1
“…that captures how over-lapping inequalities affect participation-related to the national authorities to identify the micro-mechanisms that operate in the social, economic and scientific contexts, avoiding programmes that not address these diversity (Sugimoto et al., 2015; Larivière et al., 2015).”
Renzoni, A. D. (2025) · Ex Novo Journal of Archaeology · doi:10.32028/exnovo-vol-9-pp.55-98
Doctoral Studies Observed Through the Lens of Systems, Complexity, and Cybernetics
Cederbladh, J. (2025) · Information Security Solutions Europe · doi:10.1109/isse65546.2025.11370086
“The larger academic system has generally been critical of the development of scientific publishing and the increasing emphasis on metrics like the h-index or a journals impact factor [6], [11].”
Habiba, U., & Islam, M. E. (2025) · Journal of Librarianship and Information Science · doi:10.1177/09610006251369141
“The maxim “publish or perish” emphasizes how publication metrics determine tenure and financing in academia (Larivière et al., 2015).”
Bello, S., Ajuwon, G., Azubuike, F. C., & Hameed, S. G. (2025) · Journal of Hospital Librarianship · doi:10.1080/15323269.2025.2569307
“Anonymity is believed to guarantee fairness and prevent reviewers’ discrimination among the authors (12).”
Assessing the Impact of Diamond Open Access on Research Engagement
Subaveerapandiyan, A., Ahmad, N., Shimray, S. R., & Kalbande, D. (2025) · Serials Review · doi:10.1080/00987913.2025.2581432 · Cited by 1
“…publishing companies to present a significantly larger number of journals to prospective clients, such as university and institutional libraries, without incurring additional costs, outpacing smaller scientific publishers and eventually leading to their acquisition (Larivi � ere et al., 2015).”
Ducarouge, R., Roullet, C., Vilatte, G., Descamps, S., Boisgard, S., & Erivan, R. (2025) · Orthopaedics & Traumatology: Surgery & Research · doi:10.1016/j.otsr.2025.104456
Peppas, G., Papachristopoulos, L., & Tsakonas, G. (2025) · Publications · doi:10.3390/publications13040046 · Cited by 1
Gil, C. A. T., Toro, C., & Tobon, M. V. R. (2025) · Journal of Scientometric Research · doi:10.5530/jscires.20251071
“[34,44] Similarly Larivière, [45] note that the quartile classification has received criticism for potentially creating unjust hierarchies among journals and restricting the diversity of published research.”
McLean, J. E., Abdel-Fattah, R., Bojovic, M., McGregor, A., Shaibu, S. A., Spies‐Butcher, B., & Symons, J. (2025) · Digital Geography and Society · doi:10.1016/j.diggeo.2025.100142 · Cited by 1
Giffoni, F., Colnot, L., & Sirtori, E. (2025) · Scientometrics · doi:10.1007/s11192-025-05348-5 · Cited by 3
“On top of that, the increasing number of online journals and open-access initiatives reduces opportunities to collect information on the observed prices while not leading to a big shift in the market structure (Larivière et al., 2015a, 2015b).”
Ugoala, E. (2025) · Trends in Scholarly Publishing · doi:10.21124/tsp.2025.29.37
Sosyal Bilimler Alanında Çalışan Akademisyenlerin Dijitalleşmeye Bakışı
Zıddıoğlu, Y., & Yüksel, H. (2025) · Gaziantep University journal of social sciences · doi:10.21547/jss.1631250
Patterns of piracy: Sci-Hub and Sweden 2011–2018
Kjellström, Z. (2025) · Internet Histories · doi:10.1080/24701475.2025.2482459
“STEM and medical fields dominated downloads (Figure 10), with Elsevier being a prominent publisher in these areas (Larivière et al., 2015).”
Event Notifications and Event Logs: Transparent Sharing of Artifact Life Cycle Data
Hochstenbach, P., Verborgh, R., & de Sompel, H. V. (2025) · International Journal of Digital Curation · doi:10.2218/ijdc.v19i1.920
Investing in open: Canadian challenges in bibliodiversity
McLean, J., & Gibson, I. (2025) · First Workshop on Insights from Negative Results in NLP · doi:10.1629/uksg.686
“This has been accomplished mostly through consortial purchasing of big deals from the largest publishers that have consumed a progressively greater portion of our acquisitions’ budgets 11 – often at the expense of titles from smaller, more specialized presses.”
Knowledge production and intellectual property
Basilio, S. G. (2025) · tripleC: Communication, Capitalism & Critique. Open Access Journal for a Global Sustainable Information Society · doi:10.31269/triplec.v23i1.1520
“These entities leverage their oligopolistic control to maximise profits, often operating with profit margins exceeding 40% (Larivière, Haustein and Mongeon 2015).”
InfluentialThe case for compensating peer reviewers: A response to Moher and Vieira Armond
Madsen, D., & Sohail, S. (2025) · Accountability in Research · doi:10.1080/08989621.2025.2460497
Assessing the Development in Open Access Publishing in Archaeology: A Case Study From Norway
Solheim, S., Roalkvam, I., Ødegaard, M., Loftsgarden, K., Damlien, H., Nielsen, S. V., Sand-Eriksen, A., Spangen, M., & Ystgaard, I. (2025) · Open Archaeology · doi:10.1515/opar-2025-0044
“This development is also in line with the general trend across the humanistic disciplines outside Norway (Larivière et al., 2015).”
InfluentialSasvári, P., & Lendvai, G. (2024) · Corvinus Journal of Sociology and Social Policy · doi:10.14267/cjssp.2024.2.2
Willis, B., DiGregorio, N., Greiving, J. E., Dutton, C., & Payne, P. B. (2024) · Marriage & Family Review · doi:10.1080/01494929.2024.2326996
“Larivière et al. (2015) high-light the importance of timely and relevant materials as it relates to technology and medicine, but we assert that these qualities are equally as vital in social and behavioral sciences.”
InfluentialKarikh, R. D. (2024) · Sociologiceskie issledovaniâ · doi:10.31857/s0132162524100082
Aufderheide, P., Ziskina, J., & Anastácio, K. (2024) · Social Science Research Network · doi:10.2139/ssrn.4501476
“Libraries have to make hard decisions, because academic publishers have consolidated, raised prices, and benefited from the resulting high profit margins (Larivière et al., 2015).”
Yaacoub, H. K., Yacoub, L., & Hanna, A. (2024) · Schmalenbach Journal of Business Research · doi:10.1007/s41471-024-00196-0 · Cited by 1
“This rapid growth of the academic publishing industry has caused much controversy specifically regarding the astronomically high profits of the major publishers (Larivière et al. 2015).”
Formia, E., Lupo, E., & Mehmeti, L. (2024) · The Design Journal · doi:10.1080/14606925.2024.2419720
“Academic publishing reflects these inequalities through linguistic bias in the global journal system (Larivi � ere and Desrochers 2015) and a publishing oligopoly (Larivi � ere, Haustein and Mongeon 2015).”
Metadata
- Authors
- Larivière, V., Haustein, S., & Mongeon, P.
- Affiliations
- Université du Québec à Montréal (CA)
- Université de Montréal (CA)
- Corresponding author
- Larivière, Vincent
- Venue
- PLOS ONE
- Publisher
- Public Library of Science (PLoS)
- Published
- 2015-06-10
- Volume
- 10
- Issue
- 6
- Pages
- e0127502
- ISSN
- 1932-6203 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC4465327
- OpenAlex
- W1655306493
- Cited by
- 1,240
- References
- 66
- Citations by year
- 2026: 104 · 2025: 132 · 2024: 97 · 2023: 115 · 2022: 146 · 2021: 128 · 2020: 125 · 2019: 124 · 2018: 97 · 2017: 90 · 2016: 64 · 2015: 15
- FWCI
- 80.89
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- PLoS ONE (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Lincoln (University of Nebraska) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Papyrus : Institutional Repository (Université de Montréal) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Funders
- Canada Research Chairs
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Library and Information Sciences › scientometrics and bibliometrics research
- Social Sciences › Library and Information Sciences › Publishing and Scholarly Communication
- Social Sciences › Library and Information Sciences › Academic Publishing and Open Access
- Keywords
- scholarly publishing, scientific publishing industry, oligopoly, digital era, journal migration, publisher change, citation impact, humanities and social sciences, Web of Science, Reed Elsevier, Springer, Taylor & Francis
- MeSH terms
- Publishing, Journal Impact Factor
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