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Causal Analysis of Policy Effects on Fertility
Open accessAbstract
This chapter reviews the literature on the causal effects of policies on fertility. It focuses on evidence from experiments and quasi-experiments in low fertility contexts, including studies from Europe, Northern America, Oceania and Asia. Making no a priori restrictions on policy type, the review encompasses evaluations of parental leave, childcare, health insurance, and financial incentives such as child transfers. Childcare expansions increase completed fertility. Financial incentives had positive effects on fertility across contexts, both in the short and long run. Expansions of parental leave rights in Central Europe, and introduction of parental leave in the U.S., also had positive effects. Distributional effects of these policies are very different, with parental leave compensation benefiting high-earning couples, while expansions of child care programs have potential to reduce social inequalities.
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“There is also limited evidence regarding the impact of childcare policies on fertility in East Asia (Hart et al. 2023).”
From Family Policies in Low Fertility Countries: Evidence and Reflections (2025) · cites this paper as Hart et al. 2023
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Cited by
Sorted by citations
Family Policies in Low Fertility Countries: Evidence and Reflections
Gauthier, A. H., & Gietel‐Basten, S. (2025) · Population and Development Review · doi:10.1111/padr.12691 · Cited by 45
Metadata
- Authors
- Hart, R., Bergsvik, J., Fauske, A., & Kim, W.
- Affiliations
- Norwegian Institute of Public Health (NO)
- Statistics Norway (NO)
- University of Oslo (NO)
- Southern Methodist University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Hart, Rannveig
- Venue
- Springer eBooks
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2023
- Pages
- 1-25
- OpenAlex
- W4393106839
- Cited by
- 13
- References
- 4
- Citations by year
- 2026: 7 · 2025: 4 · 2024: 2
- FWCI
- 56.45
- Type
- book chapter
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- doi.org
- Locations
- Springer eBooks (publishedVersion)
- SSRN Electronic Journal (acceptedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Econstor (Econstor) (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Demography › Family Dynamics and Relationships
- Social Sciences › Gender Studies › Gender, Labor, and Family Dynamics
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Social Policies and Family
- Keywords
- fertility policy, low fertility, parental leave, childcare policy, health insurance, distributional effects, assisted reproduction, social inequality
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