Predicting depressive symptom severity through individuals’ nearby Bluetooth device count data collected by mobile phones: preliminary longitudinal study
Open accessPublished version of a preprint
Abstract
Background: Research in mental health has found associations between depression and individuals’ behaviors and statuses, such as social connections and interactions, working status, mobility, and social isolation and loneliness. These behaviors and statuses can be approximated by the nearby Bluetooth device count (NBDC) detected by Bluetooth sensors in mobile phones. Objective: This study aimed to explore the value of the NBDC data in predicting depressive symptom severity as measured via the 8-item Patient Health Questionnaire (PHQ-8). Methods: The data used in this paper included 2886 biweekly PHQ-8 records collected from 316 participants recruited from three study sites in the Netherlands, Spain, and the United Kingdom as part of the EU Remote Assessment of Disease and Relapse-Central Nervous System (RADAR-CNS) study. From the NBDC data 2 weeks prior to each PHQ-8 score, we extracted 49 Bluetooth features, including statistical features and nonlinear features for measuring the periodicity and regularity of individuals’ life rhythms. Linear mixed-effect models were used to explore associations between Bluetooth features and the PHQ-8 score. We then applied hierarchical Bayesian linear regression models to predict the PHQ-8 score from the extracted Bluetooth features. Results: A number of significant associations were found between Bluetooth features and depressive symptom severity. Generally speaking, along with depressive symptom worsening, one or more of the following changes were found in the preceding 2 weeks of the NBDC data: (1) the amount decreased, (2) the variance decreased, (3) the periodicity (especially the circadian rhythm) decreased, and (4) the NBDC sequence became more irregular. Compared with commonly used machine learning models, the proposed hierarchical Bayesian linear regression model achieved the best prediction metrics (R2=0.526) and a root mean squared error (RMSE) of 3.891. Bluetooth features can explain an extra 18.8% of the variance in the PHQ-8 score relative to the baseline model without Bluetooth features (R2=0.338, RMSE=4.547). Conclusions: Our statistical results indicate that the NBDC data have the potential to reflect changes in individuals’ behaviors and statuses concurrent with the changes in the depressive state. The prediction results demonstrate that the NBDC data have a significant value in predicting depressive symptom severity. These findings may have utility for the mental health monitoring practice in real-world settings.
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Written from the paper’s full text.
TL;DR
This preliminary longitudinal study used mobile phone nearby Bluetooth device count (NBDC) data from 316 participants in the RADAR-MDD study to predict depressive symptom severity measured by the PHQ-8. A hierarchical Bayesian linear regression using 49 Bluetooth features achieved the best prediction metrics (leave-all-out R²=0.526, RMSE=3.891), explaining an extra 18.8% of PHQ-8 variance over a baseline model without Bluetooth features.
Key findings
- From 2886 PHQ-8 intervals in 316 participants, 10 second-order statistical features were significantly negatively associated with PHQ-8 score; Min_Max had the strongest association (z=−4.431, P<.001). MSE_1, MSE_2, and MSE_3 were positively associated, while MSE_16 and MSE_22 were negatively associated. Five frequency-domain features were significant, with MF_sum strongest (z=−4.766, P<.001).
- Along with worsening depressive symptoms, the preceding 2 weeks of NBDC data showed decreased amount, decreased variance, decreased periodicity (especially circadian rhythm), and a more irregular sequence.
- The hierarchical Bayesian linear model with all Bluetooth features achieved the best leave-all-out performance (R²=0.526, RMSE=3.891) versus baseline (R²=0.338, RMSE=4.547), an extra 18.8% variance explained; nonlinear Bluetooth features added 4.5% variance. In leave-one-out validation, the same model had R²=0.387 and RMSE=4.426.
- Likelihood ratio tests showed Bluetooth features improved model fit: model C vs model A χ²=135.19, P<.001; model C vs model B χ²=104.15, P<.001.
Methods
- Data came from the EU RADAR-CNS/RADAR-MDD study across the Netherlands, Spain, and the United Kingdom. PHQ-8 was collected every 2 weeks; NBDC was scanned hourly. Analyses were restricted to records before February 2020, with valid days having at least 12 hours of NBDC data and PHQ-8 intervals having at least 10 valid days.
- From the 14-day NBDC sequence before each PHQ-8 score, 49 features were extracted: 16 second-order statistical features, 24 multiscale entropy features (scales 1–24), and 9 frequency-domain features. Linear mixed-effect models with random participant intercepts tested associations, adjusting for baseline age, gender, and years in education, with Benjamini-Hochberg correction.
- Prediction used hierarchical Bayesian linear regression, LASSO, and XGBoost, with demographics and last observed PHQ-8 score as baseline predictors. Evaluation used leave-all-out and leave-one-out time-series cross-validation with R² and RMSE; the prediction subset included 183 participants.
Limitations
- The paper states that hourly NBDC scanning may lose dynamic information compared with past studies suggesting 5-minute scanning; MAC addresses and device types were not recorded, so phones cannot be distinguished from other Bluetooth devices or strangers from acquaintances; frequency-domain interval boundaries were manually specified; and the linear Bayesian model may miss nonlinear relationships.
- The text makes evident that the sample was 74.1% female, had a median baseline age of 51.0 years, and was recruited from a cohort with a history of recurrent major depressive disorder, so generalizability to other populations is not established. The paper also notes that leave-one-out validation used only the first two PHQ-8 intervals per participant for training, which may have caused underfitting at the participant level.
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Claims the paper makes
0 of 56 cited sources checked · 0 supported · 0 flagged
- Findingown data
A number of significant associations were found between Bluetooth features and depressive symptom severity.
“A number of significant associations were found between Bluetooth features and depressive symptom severity.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
MSE at scales 16 and 22 were significantly negatively associated with depressive symptom severity.
“while MSE at scale 16 and scale 22 (MSE_16 and MSE_22) were significantly and negatively associated with depressive symptom severity.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
HF_se was significantly positively associated with depression.
“The spectral entropy of HF (HF_se) was significantly and positively associated with depression.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Bluetooth features can explain an extra 18.8% of the variance in the PHQ-8 score relative to the baseline model without Bluetooth features (R2=0.338, RMSE=4.547).
“Bluetooth features can explain an extra 18.8% of the variance in the PHQ-8 score relative to the baseline model without Bluetooth features (R2=0.338, RMSE=4.547).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
89.62% of days have 50% (12 hours) or more of the NBDC data.
“In our data set, 89.62% of days have 50% (12 hours) or more of the NBDC data.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
- Findingreasoning
Spectrum power had relatively strong correlations with second-order statistical features.
“The spectrum power was related to both the amount and frequency components of the NBDC sequence, so it had relatively strong correlations with second-order statistical features (Figure 6).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
MF_sum had the strongest association with depression among FD features (z=−4.766, P<.001).
“Among them, the MF_sum had the strongest association (z=−4.766, P<.001) with depression”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Five frequency-domain features were significantly associated with PHQ-8 score.
“There were five FD features significantly associated with the PHQ-8 score.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The data used in this paper included 2886 biweekly PHQ-8 records collected from 316 participants recruited from three study sites in the Netherlands, Spain, and the United Kingdom as part of the EU RADAR-CNS study.
“The data used in this paper included 2886 biweekly PHQ-8 records collected from 316 participants recruited from three study sites in the Netherlands, Spain, and the United Kingdom as part of the EU Remote Assessment of Disease and Relapse-Central Nervous System (RADAR-CNS) study.”
- Also stated in: § Data Summary · plain
“According to our date inclusion criteria, from June 2018 to February 2020, 2886 PHQ-8 intervals from 316 participants collected from three study sites were selected for our analysis.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § Data Summary · plain
- Findingown data
Four daily variance features (Max_Std, Min_Std, Mean_Std, Std_Std) of NBDC were significantly negatively associated with depression.
“In addition, four features related to daily variance (Max_Std, Min_Std, Mean_Std, and Std_Std) of the NBDC were all significantly and negatively associated with depression.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
MF_pct was significantly negatively associated with depressive symptom severity.
“Likewise, the percentage of middle-frequency power (MF_pct) was significantly and negatively associated with depressive symptom severity.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Selecting PHQ-8 intervals with at least 10 valid days retained 81.78% of PHQ-8 intervals.
“Then, we empirically selected PHQ-8 intervals with at least 10 valid days as valid PHQ-8 intervals to retain the majority (81.78%) of PHQ-8 intervals.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Ten second-order statistical Bluetooth features were significantly associated with the PHQ-8 score.
“There were 10 second-order statistical features significantly associated with the PHQ-8 score.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The baseline model's R2 score was 0.338 in LAO time-series cross-validation.
“The R2 score of the baseline model was 0.338 in LAO time-series cross-validation”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Model C's goodness of fit was significantly better than model B's.
“The goodness of fit of model C was significantly better than that of model B”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Min_Max had the strongest association with PHQ-8 score among second-order statistical features (z=−4.431, P<.001).
“Notably, Min_Max (the minimum value of daily maximum NBDC in the past 14 days) had the strongest association (z=−4.431, P<.001)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
All significant associations between second-order statistical Bluetooth features and PHQ-8 score were negative.
“All these significant associations were negative, that is, the larger the value of these features, the lower the PHQ-8 score.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Bluetooth features explained an additional 18.8% of data variance relative to the baseline model.
“the improvement in the R2 score was 0.188, which means the Bluetooth features explained an additional 18.8% of data variance.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Nonlinear Bluetooth features explained an additional 4.5% of data variance in the hierarchical Bayesian model.
“The nonlinear Bluetooth features explained an additional 4.5% of data variance in the hierarchical Bayesian model.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The baseline model's R2 score was negative in LOO time-series cross-validation.
“In LOO time-series cross-validation, the R2 score of the baseline model was negative”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Except for three FD features related to spectrum power, correlations between other nonlinear Bluetooth features and second-order statistical features were not obvious.
“except for three FD features related to the spectrum power that had relatively strong correlations with second-order statistical features, the correlations between other nonlinear Bluetooth features and second-order statistical features were not obvious.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingreasoning
The hierarchical Bayesian linear regression model's performance in LAO cross-validation was better than in LOO cross-validation.
“The performance of the hierarchical Bayesian linear regression model evaluated by the LAO cross-validation was better than the LOO cross-validation performance.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
Mobile phone technology provides an unobtrusive, continuous, and cost-efficient means to capture individuals' daily behaviors and statuses using embedded sensors such as accelerometers, GPS sensors, and Bluetooth sensors.
“Mobile phone technology provides an unobtrusive, continuous, and cost-efficient means to capture individuals’ daily behaviors and statuses using a number of embedded sensors, such as accelerometers, GPS sensors, and Bluetooth sensors [6].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [6] source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
The embedded Bluetooth sensor can record individuals' local proximity information, such as the nearby Bluetooth device count (NBDC) that includes the Bluetooth signal of other phone users.
“The embedded Bluetooth sensor can be used to record individuals’ local proximity information, such as the nearby Bluetooth device count (NBDC) that includes the Bluetooth signal of other phone users [7].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [7] source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
Depression is significantly associated with individuals' behaviors and statuses, such as social connections and interactions, working status, mobility, and social isolation and loneliness.
“Existing studies have demonstrated that depression is significantly associated with individuals’ behaviors and statuses, such as social connections and interactions, working status, mobility, and social isolation and loneliness [1-4].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 4 sources checked - Premisecitation
Continuously recorded NBDC data represents a mixed signal that has been used to estimate individuals' behaviors and statuses, including face-to-face social interactions, working status, mobility, and isolation and loneliness.
“The continuously recorded NBDC data represents a mixed signal that has been used to estimate individuals’ behaviors and statuses, including face-to-face social interactions [8-10], working status [11], mobility [12], and isolation and loneliness [13,14].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 5 sources checked - Interpretationreasoning
The NBDC data have the potential to reflect changes in people's behaviors and statuses during the depressive state.
“Therefore, the NBDC data have the potential to reflect changes in people’s behaviors and statuses during the depressive state.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
Nonlinear Bluetooth features (MSE and FD features) provided additional information to the statistical model.
“indicating that nonlinear Bluetooth features (MSE and FD features) provided additional information to the statistical model.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
More than 30% variance could be explained by the last observed PHQ-8 score and baseline demographics.
“which showed that more than 30% variance could be explained by the last observed PHQ-8 score and baseline demographics.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationown data
Bluetooth features could improve the statistical model significantly.
“indicating that Bluetooth features could improve the statistical model significantly.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
Depressive mood has a strong autocorrelation.
“As depressive mood has a strong autocorrelation [48], we considered a baseline hierarchical Bayesian linear regression model with the last observed PHQ-8 score and demographics as predictors.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [48] source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisenone given
Bluetooth features used in previous studies [15-18] have been limited to basic statistical features (eg, sum, mean, and standard deviation), which are unable to characterize some nonlinear aspects (such as complexity, regularity, and periodicity) of the Bluetooth data.
“Besides, Bluetooth features used in these studies [15-18] have been limited to basic statistical features (eg, sum, mean, and standard deviation), which are unable to characterize some nonlinear aspects (such as complexity, regularity, and periodicity) of the Bluetooth data.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 4 sources checked - Interpretationown data
Participants with a lower PHQ-8 score tended to have more daily social activities in the past 2 weeks.
“which indicated that participants with a lower PHQ-8 score tended to have more daily social activities (such as social interactions and traveling) in the past 2 weeks.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The amount of NBDC reflects daily social activities (social interactions and traveling).
- Premisecitation
People's behaviors follow a quasiperiodic routine, such as sleeping at night, working on weekdays, and gathering with friends on weekends.
“People’s behaviors follow a quasiperiodic routine, such as sleeping at night, working on weekdays, and gathering with friends on weekends [19,37].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked - Interpretationown data
The circadian rhythm of the NBDC sequence is important to reflect the severity of depression.
“which indicated that the circadian rhythm of the NBDC sequence is important to reflect the severity of depression.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The periodicity and irregularity of NBDC reflect circadian rhythm and life rhythms.
- Interpretationreasoning
Participants with irregular short-term (<1 day) rhythms were likely to have more severe depressive symptoms.
“This indicated that participants with irregular short-term (<1 day) rhythms were likely to have more severe depressive symptoms.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Participants with more irregular and chaotic NBDC sequences were likely to have more severe depressive symptoms.
“these associations indicated that participants with more irregular and chaotic NBDC sequences were likely to have more severe depressive symptoms”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
The NBDC data have the potential to reflect changes in individuals' behaviors and statuses concurrent with the changes in the depressive state.
“Our statistical results indicate that the NBDC data have the potential to reflect changes in individuals’ behaviors and statuses concurrent with the changes in the depressive state.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Participants with periodic and regular NBDC sequences may have lower PHQ-8 scores.
“while those with periodic and regular NBDC sequences may have lower PHQ-8 scores.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
Nonlinear characteristics can reflect individuals' life rhythms, such as circadian and social rhythms, which are affected by depressive symptoms.
“These nonlinear characteristics can reflect individuals’ life rhythms, such as circadian and social rhythms, which are affected by depressive symptoms [19].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [19] source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
The COVID-19 pandemic and related lockdown policies greatly impacted the behaviors (particularly mobility, social interactions, and working environment [working from home]) of European people.
“However, according to our previous research, the COVID-19 pandemic and related lockdown policies greatly impacted the behaviors (particularly mobility, social interactions, and working environment [working from home]) of European people [25].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [25] source
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationown data
The NBDC data have a significant value in predicting depressive symptom severity.
“The prediction results demonstrate that the NBDC data have a significant value in predicting depressive symptom severity.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
The prediction results gradually became more accurate and individualized when each participant had more data available in the training set.
“which indicated that the prediction results gradually became more accurate and individualized when each participant had more data available in the training set.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
The hierarchical Bayesian model can be considered a suitable prediction modelling method for longitudinal data.
“Therefore, the hierarchical Bayesian model can be considered a suitable prediction modelling method for longitudinal data.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
The hierarchical Bayesian model could predict depression for participants with few observations (only two PHQ intervals in the training set), overcoming the cold start problem.
“The LOO time-series cross-validation results illustrated that the hierarchical Bayesian model could predict depression for participants with few observations (only two PHQ intervals in the training set) that overcomes the cold start problem.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
The NBDC data have the potential to reflect changes in individuals' behaviors and statuses during a depressive state.
“Our statistical results indicated that the NBDC data have the potential to reflect changes in individuals’ behaviors and statuses during a depressive state.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: NBDC data are related to individuals' movement and location information.
- Interpretationown data
The nonlinear Bluetooth features proposed in this paper provide additional information to statistical and prediction models.
“The nonlinear Bluetooth features proposed in this paper provide additional information to statistical and prediction models.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
MSE and FD features captured dimensions of information additional to second-order statistical features.
“This indicated that the MSE and FD features captured dimensions of information to second-order statistical features.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Changes in the NBDC data can be explained by depression symptoms.
“These changes in the NBDC data can be explained by depression symptoms.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: NBDC data are related to individuals' movement and location information.
- Interpretationown data
The baseline model did not explain any variance in the LOO time-series cross-validation.
“which indicated that the baseline model did not explain any variance in the LOO time-series cross-validation.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationown data
The NBDC data have significant value in predicting depressive symptom severity.
“The prediction results demonstrated that the NBDC data have significant value in predicting depressive symptom severity.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
- May combine two claims. 20
- Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 35
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataLF_sum, MF_sum, and HF_sum were all significantly negatively associated with PHQ-8 score.
“Therefore, the spectrum power of three frequency intervals (LF_sum, MF_sum, and HF_sum) were all significantly and negatively associated with the PHQ-8 score.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataModel B and model C fitted the data significantly better than model A.
“Model B (with second-order statistical Bluetooth features) and model C (with all Bluetooth features) fitted data significantly better than model A (without Bluetooth features)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataMSE at scales 1, 2, and 3 were significantly positively associated with PHQ-8 score.
“MSE at scale 1, scale 2, and scale 3 (MSE_1, MSE_2, and MSE_3) were significantly and positively associated with the PHQ-8 score”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataAlong with depressive symptom worsening, one or more of the following changes were found in the preceding 2 weeks of the NBDC data: the amount decreased, the variance decreased, the periodicity (especially the circadian rhythm) decreased, and the NBDC sequence became more irregular.
“Generally speaking, along with depressive symptom worsening, one or more of the following changes were found in the preceding 2 weeks of the NBDC data: (1) the amount decreased, (2) the variance decreased, (3) the periodicity (especially the circadian rhythm) decreased, and (4) the NBDC sequence became more irregular.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataCompared with commonly used machine learning models, the proposed hierarchical Bayesian linear regression model achieved the best prediction metrics (R2=0.526) and a root mean squared error (RMSE) of 3.891.
“Compared with commonly used machine learning models, the proposed hierarchical Bayesian linear regression model achieved the best prediction metrics (R2=0.526) and a root mean squared error (RMSE) of 3.891.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataOur study was performed on a larger (N=316) multicenter data set with a longer follow-up (median 4 months) than previous Bluetooth-related studies.
“Compared with previous Bluetooth-related studies [15-18], our study was performed on a larger (N=316) multicenter data set with a longer follow-up (median 4 months).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 4 sources checkedMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe hierarchical Bayesian linear regression model with all Bluetooth features achieved the best result (R2=0.526, RMSE=3.891), beating LASSO and XGBoost.
“The hierarchical Bayesian linear regression model with all Bluetooth features achieved the best result (R2=0.526, RMSE=3.891), beating the LASSO and XGBoost regression models.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe hierarchical Bayesian linear model with all Bluetooth features had the best performance in LOO (R2=0.387, RMSE=4.426), close to XGBoost (R2=0.346, RMSE=4.523).
“The hierarchical Bayesian linear model with all Bluetooth features had the best performance (R2=0.387, RMSE=4.426), but the result was close to that of the XGBoost regression model (R2=0.346, RMSE=4.523).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationMoturu et al found that individuals with lower sociability (estimated by the NBDC) tend to report lower mood more often.
“Moturu et al found that individuals with lower sociability (estimated by the NBDC) tend to report lower mood more often [16].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [16] source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
PremisecitationThe unemployment rate in depression is high because depressive mood and medical comorbidity can make people unable to work.
“As the depressive mood and medical comorbidity can make people unable to work, the unemployment rate in depression is high [2].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [2] source
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PremisecitationIndividuals reporting fewer social network connections or less social support tend to have higher depressive symptomatology.
“For example, individuals reporting fewer social network connections or less social support tend to have higher depressive symptomatology [1].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [1] source
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PremisecitationLoneliness is a specific risk factor for depression.
“Loneliness is a specific risk factor for depression, and a significant proportion of suicides have a history of social isolation [1,4].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checkedProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationA significant proportion of suicides have a history of social isolation.
“Loneliness is a specific risk factor for depression, and a significant proportion of suicides have a history of social isolation [1,4].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checkedMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationStudies on depression and behaviors/statuses relied on participant self-report, which is susceptible to recall bias and typically does not capture dynamic information.
“Although these findings have been replicated in different populations, these studies relied on participant self-report, which is susceptible to recall bias and typically does not capture dynamic information [5].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [5] source
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Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
PremisecitationBoonstra et al illustrated the feasibility of collecting nearby Bluetooth device information for the depression recognition task, but they did not provide further findings.
“Boonstra et al illustrated the feasibility of collecting nearby Bluetooth device information for the depression recognition task, but they did not provide further findings [5].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [5] source
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PremisecitationWang et al found a negative association (r=−0.362, P=.03) between the NBDC and self-reported depressive symptoms on the StudentLife data set, which contained mobile phone data from 48 students across a 10-week term at Dartmouth College.
“Wang et al found a negative association (r=−0.362, P=.03) between the NBDC and self-reported depressive symptoms on the StudentLife data set, which contained mobile phone data from 48 students across a 10-week term at Dartmouth College [15].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [15] source
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PremisecitationReduced mobility and physical activity are associated with depressive symptoms.
“Reduced mobility and physical activity are associated with depressive symptoms [3].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [3] source
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PremisecitationMSE analysis has been used to provide insights into the complexity and periodicity of signals over a range of timescales since the method was proposed by Costa et at [31].
“MSE analysis has been used to provide insights into the complexity and periodicity of signals over a range of timescales since the method was proposed by Costa et at [31].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [31] source
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PremisecitationCompared with other entropy techniques (eg, sample entropy and approximate entropy), the advantage of MSE analysis is that the assessments of complexity at shorter and longer timescales can be analyzed separately.
“Compared with other entropy techniques (eg, sample entropy and approximate entropy), the advantage of MSE analysis is that the assessments of complexity at shorter and longer timescales can be analyzed separately [36].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [36] source
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PremisecitationBogomolov et al established machine learning models to recognize happiness and stress with features of Bluetooth records, calls, and text messages, which obtained accuracy rates of 80.81% and 72.28%, respectively.
“Bogomolov et al established machine learning models to recognize happiness and stress with features of Bluetooth records, calls, and text messages, which obtained accuracy rates of 80.81% and 72.28%, respectively [17,18].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checkedProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).
InterpretationreasoningThe associations between the NBDC data and depression are yet to be fully explored.
“Therefore, the associations between the NBDC data and depression are yet to be fully explored.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningThe power in MF represents the circadian rhythm; the power in LF represents the long-term (>1 day) rhythm; the power in HF represents the short-term (<1 day) rhythm.
“The power in MF represents the circadian rhythm. Similarly, the power in LF represents the long-term (>1 day) rhythm, while the power in HF represents the short-term (<1 day) rhythm.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationStudies have shown that whether feeling comfortable in the presence of strangers is related to the intensity of social connections.
“Studies have shown that whether feeling comfortable in the presence of strangers is related to the intensity of social connections [26].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [26] source
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InterpretationreasoningThese findings may have utility for the mental health monitoring practice in real-world settings.
“These findings may have utility for the mental health monitoring practice in real-world settings.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
PremisecitationThe linear mixed-effect model contains both fixed and random effects, allowing for both within-participant and between-participants variations over repeated measurements.
“The linear mixed-effect model contains both fixed and random effects, allowing for both within-participant and between-participants variations over repeated measurements [39].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [39] Laird, NM, 1982, Biometrics source
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InterpretationreasoningThe NBDC data contain information about participants' social connections and interactions with family, friends, co-workers, and strangers, and can reflect participants' time at home, mobility, social isolation, and working status, as well as the number of other Bluetooth devices in the house and working environment.
“Therefore, the NBDC data contain information about participants’ social connections and interactions with family, friends, co-workers, and strangers, and the data can also reflect participants’ time at home, mobility, social isolation, and working status, as well as the number of other Bluetooth devices in the house and working environment.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationThe likelihood ratio test is a statistical test of goodness of fit between two nested models.
“The likelihood ratio test is a statistical test of goodness of fit between two nested models [41].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [41] source
Not checked in the free run.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationTo test whether the model can predict variability of depression severity, the difference of one participant's PHQ-8 scores should be more than or equal to 5 (clinically meaningful change).
“To test whether the model can predict variability of depression severity, the difference of one participant’s PHQ-8 scores should be more than or equal to 5 (clinically meaningful change) [42].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [42] source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
PremisereasoningPrevious studies [15-18] have been performed on relatively small (approximately 100 participants) homogeneous (eg, university students) cohorts of participants over relatively short periods (8-10 weeks), which may limit their generalizability.
“Previous studies [15-18] have been performed on relatively small (approximately 100 participants) homogeneous (eg, university students) cohorts of participants over relatively short periods (8-10 weeks), which may limit their generalizability.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 4 sources checkedClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationIf the model with more parameters fits the data significantly better, it indicates that additional parameters provide more information and improve the model's fitness.
“If the model with more parameters fits the data significantly better, it indicates that additional parameters provide more information and improve the model’s fitness [41].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [41] source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).
Premisenone givenThe second-order statistical features can only reflect the amount and variance of the NBDC data.
“The second-order statistical features can only reflect the amount (max, min, and mean) and variance (standard deviation) of the NBDC data.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
Premisenone givenThe above three studies were all performed on the "Friends and Family" data set, including 8 weeks of mobile phone data from 117 participants living in a major US university's married graduate student residency.
“The above three studies were all performed on the “Friends and Family” data set, including 8 weeks of mobile phone data from 117 participants living in a major US university’s married graduate student residency.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checkedProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationFD analysis has been widely used in the signal processing field, especially for signals with periodic characteristics.
“FD analysis has been widely used in the signal processing field, especially for signals with periodic characteristics [32].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [32] Broughton, S, 2008, Discrete Fourier Analysis and Wavelets: Applications to Signal and Image Processing source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationSaeb et al [29] and Farhan et al [30] used 50% as each day's completeness threshold for passive data.
“Saeb et al [29] and Farhan et al [30] used 50% as each day’s completeness threshold for passive data.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checkedClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationSpectrum power around 1 cycle per day reflects the participant's circadian rhythm (approximately 24-hour rhythm).
“According to the spectrum’s definition, spectrum power around 1 cycle per day reflects the participant’s circadian rhythm (approximately 24-hour rhythm) [19].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [19] source
Not checked in the free run.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisereasoningAs we used the temporal data, "future data" should not predict "past data."
“As we used the temporal data, “future data” should not predict “past data.””
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
InterpretationreasoningOnly the data observed before test data can be included in the training set.
“Therefore, only the data observed before test data can be included in the training set.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationThe hierarchical Bayesian approach is an intermediate method compared to the completely pooled model and individualized model, capturing the whole population's characteristics while allowing individual differences.
“The hierarchical Bayesian approach is an intermediate method compared to the completely pooled model and individualized model, capturing the whole population’s characteristics while allowing individual differences [43].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [43] Gelman, A, 2013, Bayesian Data Analysis source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningReduced periodicity and increased irregularity of the NBDC sequence can reflect misalignment of circadian rhythm and more irregular life rhythms.
“This can be reflected in reduced periodicity and increased irregularity of the NBDC sequence.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: NBDC data are related to individuals' movement and location information.
- Rests on an assumption: The periodicity and irregularity of NBDC reflect circadian rhythm and life rhythms.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
InterpretationreasoningThe hierarchical Bayesian model is an appropriate prediction model for predicting depression with longitudinal data, as both participant-level and population-level characteristics are considered.
“The hierarchical Bayesian model is an appropriate prediction model for predicting depression with longitudinal data, as both participant-level and population-level characteristics are considered in the model.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationreasoningThe decreased mobility and engagement in activities may be possible reasons why participants with higher PHQ-8 scores have lower variance-related features (Max_Std, Min_Std, Mean_Std, and Std_Std).
“The decreased mobility and engagement in activities may be possible reasons why participants with higher PHQ-8 scores have lower variance-related features (Max_Std, Min_Std, Mean_Std, and Std_Std).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: NBDC data are related to individuals' movement and location information.
- Rests on an assumption: The variance of NBDC reflects mobility and engagement in activities.
May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningIt was impossible to distinguish between mobile phones and other Bluetooth devices, and between strangers' and acquaintances' devices.
“This made it impossible to distinguish between mobile phones and other Bluetooth devices (such as headphones, printers, and laptops), and between strangers’ and acquaintances’ devices.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductreasoningMAC addresses and types of Bluetooth devices were not recorded.
“the MAC addresses and types of Bluetooth devices were not recorded for private issues.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductreasoningIt is difficult to explain the specific reasons for changes in the NBDC.
“The disadvantage is that it is difficult to explain the specific reasons for changes in the NBDC, that is, we cannot know whether the changes in the NBDC are caused by social interactions, working status, traveling, or isolation.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningThe increased time at home, inability to work or study, and diminished social interactions are reflected in the reduced amount of the NBDC sequence.
“The increased time at home, inability to work or study, and diminished social interactions are reflected in the reduced amount of the NBDC sequence.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: NBDC data are related to individuals' movement and location information.
- Rests on an assumption: The amount of NBDC reflects daily social activities (social interactions and traveling).
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenThe frequency interval boundaries for FD features were manually specified by experience.
“the division of the frequency intervals of the spectrum of the NBDC sequence in this paper was manually specified by our experience.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationreasoningThe LOO cross-validation's lower performance may be because only the first two PHQ-8 intervals of one participant were used for training, causing underfitting at participant level.
“One potential reason is that only the first two PHQ-8 intervals of one participant were used for training in the LOO cross-validation, which may have caused the model to underfit the patterns at the participant level.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).
InterpretationreasoningThese findings may support the mental health monitoring practice in real-world settings.
“These findings may support the mental health monitoring practice in real-world settings.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductreasoningLower data resolution (hourly NBDC) may cause the loss of some dynamic information.
“Although hourly NBDC data can also reflect individuals’ behaviors and statuses, our lower data resolution may cause the loss of some dynamic information.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
The paper relies on this without support.
The NBDC data collected before February 2020 are unaffected by the COVID-19 pandemic.
“To exclude the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, we performed a preliminary analysis with the data before February 2020.”
The paper relies on this without support.
NBDC data are related to individuals' movement and location information.
“As the NBDC data are related to individuals’ movement and location information, we will combine the NBDC data with GPS and acceleration data for future analysis to understand the context of the Bluetooth data.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The amount of NBDC reflects daily social activities (social interactions and traveling).
“which indicated that participants with a lower PHQ-8 score tended to have more daily social activities (such as social interactions and traveling) in the past 2 weeks.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The variance of NBDC reflects mobility and engagement in activities.
“The decreased mobility and engagement in activities may be possible reasons why participants with higher PHQ-8 scores have lower variance-related features (Max_Std, Min_Std, Mean_Std, and Std_Std).”
The paper relies on this without support.
The periodicity and irregularity of NBDC reflect circadian rhythm and life rhythms.
“This can be reflected in reduced periodicity and increased irregularity of the NBDC sequence.”
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Zhang et al. suggested that depression may lead to misalignment of the circadian rhythm and make life rhythms such as sleep rhythms and social rhythms more irregular.
“Depression also may lead to misalignment of the circadian rhythm and make people’s life rhythms (such as sleep rhythms and social rhythms) more irregular”
From A narrative review of digital biomarkers in the management of major depressive disorder and treatment-resistant forms (2023) · cites this paper as [34]
Zhang et al. found that increased time at home, inability to work or study, and diminished social interactions are reflected in reduced amount of the NBDC sequence.
“Increased time at home, inability to work or study, and diminished social interactions are reflected in the reduced amount of the NBDC sequence.”
From A narrative review of digital biomarkers in the management of major depressive disorder and treatment-resistant forms (2023) · cites this paper as [34]
Bluetooth device count (NBDC) data was correlated with depressive symptoms.
“The study of Zhang et al. (34), found that Bluetooth device count (NBDC) data was correlated with depressive symptoms.”
From A narrative review of digital biomarkers in the management of major depressive disorder and treatment-resistant forms (2023) · cites this paper as [34]
Using NBDC for monitoring individuals with MDD in real-life contexts is feasible.
“This research highlighted the feasibility of using NBDC for monitoring individuals with MDD in real-life contexts.”
From A narrative review of digital biomarkers in the management of major depressive disorder and treatment-resistant forms (2023) · cites this paper as [34]
Changes in NBDC data were linked to fluctuations in depressive manifestations and behaviors, including reduced social engagement, impaired work or study performance, and disrupted circadian rhythms.
“Changes in NBDC data were linked to fluctuations in depressive manifestations and behaviors, including reduced social engagement, impaired work, or study performance, and disrupted circadian rhythms.”
From A narrative review of digital biomarkers in the management of major depressive disorder and treatment-resistant forms (2023) · cites this paper as [34]
Lower PHQ-8 scores were associated with increased social activities.
“Lower PHQ-8 scores were associated with increased social activities.”
From A narrative review of digital biomarkers in the management of major depressive disorder and treatment-resistant forms (2023) · cites this paper as [34]
Statistics recomputed
Every reported test result, recomputed from its test statistic and degrees of freedom. A result shows as not adding up only once an independent check has confirmed it.
- Consistentz = -4.431reported p < .001 · recomputed p < .001
“(z=−4.431, p < .001”
- Consistentz = -4.766reported p < .001 · recomputed p < .001
“(z=−4.766, p < .001”
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.
A reported adjusted P value is below its unadjusted P value
MinorA z score of 1.985 has a two-sided unadjusted P value of about .047. The table reports .04 as its Benjamini-Hochberg-adjusted P value, but that adjustment cannot make the P value smaller than the unadjusted value.
“| | MSE_3 | 0.401 | 0.202 | 1.985 | .04 |”
“cP values were adjusted by the Benjamini-Hochberg method for correction of multiple comparisons.”
The citation lists haven’t been fetched yet
References 58 · Cited by 68
Research works printed but not linked: 1
- Pedregosa, F, 2011, The Journal of Machine Learning Research, 12, 2825
- Authors
- Zhang, Y., Folarin, A. A., Sun, S., Cummins, N., Ranjan, Y., Rashid, Z., Conde, P., Stewart, C., Laiou, P., Matcham, F., Oetzmann, C., Lamers, F., Siddi, S., Simblett, S., Rintala, A., Mohr, D. C., Myin-Germeys, I., Wykes, T., Haro, J. M., Penninx, B. W. J. H., Narayan, V. A., Annas, P., Hotopf, M., Dobson, R. J. B., & RADAR-CNS Consortium
- Affiliations
- King's College London (GB)
- University College London Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust (GB)
- Amsterdam Neuroscience (NL)
- Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Salud Mental (ES)
- LAB University of Applied Sciences (FI)
- Northwestern University (US)
- Lundbeck (Denmark) (DK)
- Corresponding author
- Dobson, Richard J B
- ORCID
- Zhang, Yuezhou
- Folarin, Amos A
- Sun, Shaoxiong
- Cummins, Nicholas
- Ranjan, Yatharth
- Rashid, Zulqarnain
- Conde, Pauline
- Stewart, Callum
- Laiou, Petroula
- Matcham, Faith
- Oetzmann, Carolin
- Lamers, Femke
- Siddi, Sara
- Simblett, Sara
- Rintala, Aki
- Mohr, David C
- Myin-Germeys, Inez
- Wykes, Til
- Haro, Josep Maria
- Penninx, Brenda W J H
- Narayan, Vaibhav A
- Annas, Peter
- Hotopf, Matthew
- Dobson, Richard J B
- Venue
- JMIR mHealth and uHealth
- Publisher
- JMIR Publications Inc.
- Published
- 2021-07-30
- Volume
- 9
- Issue
- 7
- Pages
- e29840
- ISSN
- 2291-5222 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC8367113
- OpenAlex
- W3172601496
- Cited by
- 68
- References
- 58
- Citations by year
- 2026: 11 · 2025: 15 · 2024: 17 · 2023: 10 · 2022: 12 · 2021: 3
- FWCI
- 10.14
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- cc-by
- Locations
- JMIR mhealth and uhealth (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Amsterdam UMC (VU Amsterdam) - Institutional Repository (publishedVersion, other-oa)
- arXiv (Cornell University) (submittedVersion)
- Lirias (KU Leuven) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion)
- UCL Discovery (University College London) (submittedVersion)
- Figshare (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Research Portal (King's College London) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Data Archiving and Networked Services (DANS) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- arXiv (Cornell University)
- Funders
- South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust
- Wellcome Trust
- King's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust
- Scottish Government
- European Federation of Pharmaceutical Industries and Associations (116074)
- UK Research and Innovation
- Alzheimer's Society
- National Institute for Health and Care Research (NF-SI-0514-10028, NIHR-INF-0684)
- British Heart Foundation
- Department of Health and Social Care
- King's College London
- University College London
- European Commission (115902, 116074, HORIZON2020)
- European Society of Cardiology
- Public Health Agency
- ZonMw (73305095003)
- Innovative Medicines Initiative (116074, 115902)
- Institut Català de la Salut
- GIESKES-STRIJBIS FONDS
- Chief Scientist Office, Scottish Government Health and Social Care Directorate
- NIHR Maudsley Biomedical Research Centre
- Medical Research Council (MC_PC_17214)
- Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council
- Economic and Social Research Council
- Health and Social Care Research and Development Division
- National Institute for Health Research Applied Research Collaboration South London
- National Institute of Mental Health (R01MH111610, P50MH119029)
- Health Data Research UK
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Experimental and Cognitive Psychology › Mental Health Research Topics
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Applied Psychology › Digital Mental Health Interventions
- Social Sciences › Transportation › Human Mobility and Location-Based Analysis
- Keywords
- depression severity, smartphone sensors, PHQ-8, depression prediction, circadian rhythm, mental health monitoring
- MeSH terms
- Bayes Theorem, Depression, Humans, Longitudinal Studies, Social Isolation, Cell Phone
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Claims read by deepseek-v4.1-flash under definition version 3 (extract-v3) on 2026-10-10.
Classified by jev-1.13-20260917 (gold-guideline-v0.2) on 2026-10-10.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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