The DOI matches its Crossref record; 60 of the 60 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Declining Power and the Preventive Motivation for War
Abstract
The preventive motivation for war arises from political leaders' perceptions that their states' military power and potential are declining relative to those of a rising adversary, and from their fear of the consequences of that decline. It is conceptualized as an intervening variable between changing power differentials and the outbreak of war, and is distinguished from preemption and other sources of better-now-than-later logic. The strength of the preventive motivation is hypothesized to be a function of a state's expectations regarding its rate of military decline, the margin of its inferiority in the future, the probability of a future war, and the probability of a victorious war now with acceptable costs. It is also affected by the risk orientation of decision makers; the influence of the military in the political process; and domestic political factors that undermine the political security of decision makers as well as the military power and potential of the state.
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Cites
Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk
Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1979) · Econometrica · doi:10.2307/1914185 · Cited by 48,524
Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk
Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1988) · Decision, Probability and Utility · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511609220.014 · Cited by 32,474
Theory of International Politics
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Perception and Misperception in International Politics
Jervis, R. (2017) · doi:10.1515/9781400885114 · Cited by 3,199
Cooperation under the security dilemma
Jervis, R. (1978) · World Politics · doi:10.2307/2009958 · Cited by 2,305
(2013) · International Organization · doi:10.1057/9781137356734.0006 · Cited by 2,016
Cited by
Rationalist explanations for war
Fearon, J. D. (1995) · International Organization · doi:10.1017/s0020818300033324 · Cited by 3,995
On the Threshold: Environmental Changes as Causes of Acute Conflict
Homer-Dixon, T. F. (1991) · International Security · doi:10.2307/2539061 · Cited by 1,050
Prospect Theory and International Relations: Theoretical Applications and Analytical Problems
Levy, J. S. (1992) · Political Psychology · doi:10.2307/3791682 · Cited by 373
Self-citationChina's Century? Why America's Edge Will Endure
Beckley, M. (2012) · International Security · doi:10.1162/isec_a_00066 · Cited by 357
Offense, Defense, and the Causes of War
Van Evera, S. (1998) · International Security · doi:10.1162/isec.22.4.5 · Cited by 332
Metadata
- Authors
- Levy, J. S.
- Venue
- World Politics
- Publisher
- Project MUSE
- Published
- 1987-10
- Volume
- 40
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 82-107
- ISSN
- 0043-8871 (ISSN-L)
- 1086-3338
- OpenAlex
- W2097184685
- Cited by
- 323
- References
- 60
- FWCI
- 41.05
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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