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Comparative Democracy: The Economic Development Thesis
Abstract
In comparative politics, an established finding—that economic development fosters democratic performance—has recently come under challenge. We counter this challenge with a dynamic pooled time series analysis of a major, but neglected data set from 131 nations. The final generalized least squares-autoregressive moving averages estimates (N = 2,096) appear robust and indicate strong economic development effects, dependent in part on the nation's position in the world system. For the first time, rather hard evidence is offered on the causal relationship between economics and democracy. According to Granger tests, economic development “causes” democracy, but democracy does not “cause” economic development. Overall, the various tests would seem to advance sharply the modeling of democratic performance.
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Cites
Investigating causal relations by econometric models and cross-spectral methods
Granger, C. W. J. (1969) · Econometrica · doi:10.2307/1912791 · Cited by 22,989
Hsiao, C. (2014) · doi:10.1017/cbo9781139839327 · Cited by 7,869
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Acemoglu, D., & Robinson, J. A. (2005) · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511510809 · Cited by 4,810
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Breaking the Conflict Trap: Civil War and Development Policy: (504012013-001)
Collier, P., Elliot, V. L., Hegre, H., Hoeffler, A., Reynal-Querol, M., & Sambanis, N. (2003) · PsycEXTRA Dataset · doi:10.1037/e504012013-001 · Cited by 2,431
What Do We Know About Democratization After Twenty Years?
Geddes, B. (1999) · Annual Review of Political Science · doi:10.1146/annurev.polisci.2.1.115 · Cited by 2,025
Modernization: Theories and Facts
Przeworski, A., & Limongi, F. (1997) · World Politics · doi:10.1353/wp.1997.0004 · Cited by 1,983
State Repression and the Domestic Democratic Peace
Davenport, C. (2007) · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511510021 · Cited by 549
Economic Crisis and Political Regime Change: An Event History Analysis
Gasiorowski, M. J. (1995) · American Political Science Review · doi:10.2307/2082515 · Cited by 538
How Foreign Aid Can Foster Democratization in Authoritarian Regimes
Wright, J. (2009) · American Journal of Political Science · doi:10.1111/j.1540-5907.2009.00386.x · Cited by 372
Democratization and Research Methods
Coppedge, M. (2012) · doi:10.1017/cbo9781139016179 · Cited by 303
Rhodes-Purdy, M., & Madrid, R. L. (2020) · Democratization · doi:10.1080/13510347.2019.1696310 · Cited by 44
Uneven economic growth and the world economy's north–south stratification
Reuveny, R., & Thompson, W. R. (2008) · International Studies Quarterly · doi:10.1111/j.1468-2478.2008.00516.x · Cited by 17
Metadata
- Authors
- Burkhart, R. E., & Lewis-Beck, M. S.
- Venue
- American Political Science Review
- Publisher
- Cambridge University Press (CUP)
- Published
- 1994-12
- Volume
- 88
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 903-910
- ISSN
- 0003-0554 (ISSN-L)
- 1537-5943
- OpenAlex
- W2147574293
- Cited by
- 806
- References
- 2
- FWCI
- 86.54
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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