The DOI matches its Crossref record; 40 of the 40 references it cites were found in a registry or an index; 12 of the 38 sources its claims cite were checked for support.
Mobility Report Cards: The Role of Colleges in Intergenerational Mobility
Open accessAbstract
Working paper documenting large differences in low-income access and upward mobility across U.S. colleges.
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Claims the paper makes
12 of 38 cited sources checked · 7 supported · 0 flagged · accuracy not yet measured
The cited sources support only part of this claim — read each source’s verdict below.
In the paper
“In particular, many of the highest mobility rate colleges -such as the California State colleges and a number of community colleges -are not highly selective institutions in terms of student observables such as SAT scores or based on students' revealed preferences (Avery et al. 2013).”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > I Introduction
What the sources say
- Partly supportedcites Avery et al. 2013 sourceExperimental — accuracy not yet measured
Section I (p. 4) supports the use of students’ revealed preferences to rank colleges. But the paper says its ranking covers only about a hundred undergraduate programs, and the cited passages do not establish that California State colleges or community colleges have low selectivity by SAT scores or revealed preferences. It also does not address which colleges have the highest mobility rates. (LLM, conf=0.78)
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passes- Partly supported
Every source the paper cites for this claim was checked and supports it.
In the paper
“Since students from the lowest-income families pay very little tuition to attend elite private colleges, this result suggests that tuition costs are not the primary explanation for the under-representation of low-and middle-income students at elite private colleges, consistent with work examining the determinants of students' application decisions (Hoxby and Avery 2013).”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > III Access: Parental Income Distributions
What the sources say
- Supportedcites Hoxby and Avery 2013 source
The Introduction reports that most very high-achieving, low-income students do not apply to selective colleges even though financial aid would often make attendance cheaper than at the less selective institutions they attend. The High-Achieving Students section also describes very low costs at elite private colleges. The broader conclusion about low- and middle-income under-representation is framed in the citing sentence as the citing authors’ own inference, not as a finding directly attributed to Hoxby and Avery. (LLM, conf=0.90)
Load-bearingStrength:hedged· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passes- Supported
The cited sources support only part of this claim — read each source’s verdict below.
In the paper
“the median level of income segregation (at the 25th percentile) across Census tracts within the 100 largest commuting zones in America is H = 0.084, with an interquartile range of 0.067 to 0.099 (Chetty et al. 2014, Online Data Table 8).”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > III Access: Parental Income Distributions
What the sources say
- Partly supportedcites Chetty et al. 2014 sourceExperimental — accuracy not yet measured
Section VI.B defines income segregation using a two-group Theil index H(p) across census tracts within commuting zones, including a measure at the 25th percentile. The passages in our copy do not give the claimed median of 0.084, interquartile range of 0.067–0.099, or summary for the 100 largest commuting zones; those figures cannot be verified from this copy. (LLM, conf=0.78)
Load-bearingStrength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passes- Partly supported
The sources with a verdict support this claim; the rest weren’t checked yet, have no full text we could read, or their verdicts aren’t rated yet.
In the paper
“Measuring children's incomes when they are too young can potentially yield misleading estimates of lifetime income because children with high lifetime incomes have steeper earnings profiles (e.g., Haider and Solon 2006; Solon 1999).”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > IV.A Lifecycle Profiles of Earnings Ranks by College
What the sources say
- Supportedcites Haider and Solon 2006 source
The Life-cycle variation section explains that workers with higher lifetime earnings can have steeper earnings trajectories, so earnings measured early in their careers may understate—or even reverse—their lifetime earnings advantage. The Summary and Discussion adds that measuring sons’ earnings at earlier ages has substantially affected estimates in intergenerational mobility studies. (LLM, conf=0.93)
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites Solon 1999 source
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passes- Supported
Every source the paper cites for this claim was checked and supports it.
In the paper
“there is considerable variance within the for-profit sector in terms of success rates and access, consistent with the findings of Deming et al. (2012).”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > V.D Correlates of Mobility Rates
What the sources say
- Supportedcites Deming et al. (2012) source
The concluding section says that evaluating for-profits requires looking beyond mean outcomes to the distribution of labor-market effects and default rates. The Default Rates section reports differences between national chains and online institutions, while the discussion of independent schools, chains, and online institutions describes markedly different enrollment growth and geographic reach. Together, these passages support variation within the sector in outcomes and access; page numbers were not available in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes? Load-bearing: unclear✓ Based: passes- Supported
Every source the paper cites for this claim was checked and supports it.
In the paper
“Very few children are unclaimed on tax returns (Chetty et al. 2014) because claiming children yields substantial refundable tax credits.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > Online Appendices A. Sample Construction and Income Definitions
What the sources say
- Supportedcites Chetty et al. 2014 source
In III.A (Sample Definitions; page unavailable), the paper says it could identify parents for approximately 95% of children in the 1980–1991 birth cohorts and explains that almost all parents filed at some point to obtain refunds and the Earned Income Tax Credit. III.B (Variable Definitions and Summary Statistics; page unavailable) also describes the EITC as creating strong filing incentives for people with children. This supports the paraphrase, though the reported coverage is for those birth cohorts. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passes- Supported
The cited sources support only part of this claim — read each source’s verdict below.
In the paper
“the fraction of students from the bottom quintile of families increased at Harvard starting in 2006, from an average of 3.1% from 2000-2005 to 4.8% from 2006-2011.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > ONLINE APPENDIX FIGURE IV Children's Success Rates by Age of Income Measurement
What the sources say
- Partly supportedcites Avery et al. 2006 sourceExperimental — accuracy not yet measured
Section III reports that the share of Harvard students from families earning under $40,000 rose from 6.6% in the Class of 2008 to 7.9% in the Class of 2009. That supports the direction of an increase among lower-income students, but the paper does not report a bottom-quintile measure or the claimed 3.1% and 4.8% averages for 2000–2005 and 2006–2011. (LLM, conf=0.88)
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passes- Partly supported
The cited sources support only part of this claim — read each source’s verdict below.
In the paper
“The second factor that drives a wedge between trends in Pell shares and our percentile-based measures of access is the well-known fact that real incomes have fallen for low-income households in recent years (e.g., Piketty et al. 2016).”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > F. Changes in Low-Income Access: Pell Shares vs. Percentile-Based Measures
What the sources say
- Partly supportedcites Piketty et al. 2016 sourceExperimental — accuracy not yet measured
Section 4.3 reports that average pre-tax income fell since 1980 for working-age adults in the bottom 50%. But it says income for the bottom 50% overall stagnated, while post-tax income rose for low-income seniors. The unqualified claim that real incomes fell for low-income households therefore overstates the finding. Page numbers are unavailable in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.88)
Load-bearingStrength:boosted· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passes- Partly supported
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“These aggregate trends mask substantial heterogeneity across colleges within selectivity tiers.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > I Introduction
Load-bearingStrength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes? Based: unclearA result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Even at the Ivy-Plus colleges, which enacted substantial tuition reductions and other outreach policies during this period, the fraction of students from lower quintiles of the parent income distribution does not increase significantly.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > I Introduction
Load-bearingStrength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passes
- It may state two separate claims as one. 108
- Probably not a substantial claim. 48
- The quote only partly states this claim. 3
Every source the paper cites for this claim was checked and supports it.
In the paper
“The fraction of children linked to parents drops sharply prior to the 1980 birth cohort because our data begins in 1996 and many children begin to the leave the household starting at age 17 (Chetty et al. 2014).Hence, we limit our analysis sample to children born in or after 1980.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > II.A Sample Definition
What the sources say
- Supportedcites Chetty et al. 2014 source
Split into 2 atoms — 2 confirmed, 0 partially supported, 0 disputed, 0 misattributed, 0 unverifiable. Expand the claim to see per-atom verdicts.
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
- Supported
The cited sources support only part of this claim — read each source’s verdict below.
In the paper
“The mismatch hypothesis predicts that students from low-income families or minority groups are made worse off (i.e., earn less) by attending a more selective college even though such colleges may produce better outcomes for high-income students (see e.g., Sander 2004 vs. Rothstein and Yoon 2008).”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > IV.C Bounds on Mismatch
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites Sander 2004
- Partly supportedcites Rothstein and Yoon 2008 sourceExperimental — accuracy not yet measured
Part II, 'Defining Mismatch' (page not supplied), describes the hypothesis as predicting that students receiving admissions preferences can fare worse at a highly selective law school than at a less selective one, including in their job prospects. It does not frame that prediction as lower earnings for low-income or minority college students generally, or state that selective colleges produce better outcomes for high-income students. (LLM, conf=0.85)
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim.
Every source the paper cites for this claim was checked and supports it.
In the paper
“This relationship is almost perfectly linear, consistent with the findings of Chetty et al. (2014).”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > IV.B Children's Earnings Distributions by College
What the sources say
- Supportedcites Chetty et al. (2014) source
The Introduction states that the relationship between mean child ranks and parent ranks is almost perfectly linear. The discussion of Figure II Panel A likewise describes the conditional expectation of child rank given parent rank as almost perfectly linear in the national analysis. (LLM, conf=0.95)
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedCausal:correlational· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes? Load-bearing: unclear✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
- Supported
Every source the paper cites for this claim was checked and supports it.
In the paper
“Given that 7.5% of children born to parents in the bottom quintile in the 1980-82 birth cohorts reach the top quintile on average in the U.S.(Chetty et al. 2014) and that Asians make up 6.5% of children born in these cohorts, it follows that Asian students have success rates that are at most 23.5 pp higher than non-Asians.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > ONLINE APPENDIX FIGURE IV Children's Success Rates by Age of Income Measurement
What the sources say
- Supportedcites Chetty et al. 2014 source
Split into 2 atoms — 2 confirmed, 0 partially supported, 0 disputed, 0 misattributed, 0 unverifiable. Expand the claim to see per-atom verdicts.
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedCausal:correlational· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes? Load-bearing: unclear✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
- The authors state this as an assumption: The distribution of income for Asians relative to other individuals is stable across cohorts.
- The authors state this as an assumption: The intergenerational persistence of income is weakly positive.
- Supported
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Ivy-Plus colleges have the highest success rates, with almost 60% of students from the bottom quintile reaching the top quintile.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > I Introduction
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Of these students, less than 1% attend an Ivy-Plus college, 3% attend another elite college (based on Barron's classifications), 58% attend a non-elite four-year college, and 38% attend a two-year or less college.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > Table I reports summary statistics for children in the cross-sectional sample (see Online Appendix
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes? Load-bearing: unclear✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Another 12% attend college at some point by age 28; and 27% of children do not attend college at all before age 28.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > Table I reports summary statistics for children in the cross-sectional sample (see Online Appendix
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“median annual household income when the child was aged 15-19 is $60,000 (in 2015 dollars)”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > III Access: Parental Income Distributions
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Consistent with prior work, we find that the majority of this increase in college attendance occurred at two-year colleges and for-profit institutions.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > I Introduction
Load-bearingStrength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“15.4% of students at Harvard come from families in the top 1% of the income distributionabout the same number as from the bottom three quintiles combined.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > III Access: Parental Income Distributions
Load-bearingStrength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“We estimate that approximately 3% of children at Harvard in the 1980-82 birth cohorts come from the lowest income quintile of families, compared with more than 70% from the top quintile.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > III Access: Parental Income Distributions
Load-bearingStrength:hedged· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Certain community colleges, such as Glendale Community College in Los Angeles, also have very high mobility rates; however, a number of other community colleges have very low mobility rates because they have low success rates.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > I Introduction
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedCausal:direct· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes? Load-bearing: unclear✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“non-college-goers have very different outcomes and characteristics, with 32.3% coming from the bottom parent income quintile and only 4.1% of those children reaching the top quintile.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > Table I reports summary statistics for children in the cross-sectional sample (see Online Appendix
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Children who attend college come from richer families and earn more themselves.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > Table I reports summary statistics for children in the cross-sectional sample (see Online Appendix
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedCausal:correlational· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes? Load-bearing: unclear✓ Based: passesThe quote only partly states this claim.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Such imputations account for 6.3% of enrollment-weighted observations in the cross-sectional sample.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > II.D College-Level Statistics
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The imputation leads us to slightly overstate the aggregate college attendance rate in the cross-sectional sample”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > II.D College-Level Statistics
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedCausal:direct· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“10.6% of students who attend college in the 1980-82 cohorts come from families in the bottom quintile, while 30.9% come from the top quintile.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > Table I reports summary statistics for children in the cross-sectional sample (see Online Appendix
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes? Load-bearing: unclear✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“But certain less selective universities have comparable success rates while offering much higher levels of access to low-income families.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > I Introduction
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The 20th and 80th percentiles are $25,000 and $111,000, respectively, and the 99th percentile is $512,000”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > III Access: Parental Income Distributions
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes? Load-bearing: unclear✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“No college offers an upper-tail (top 1%) success rate comparable to elite private universities -at which 13% of students from the bottom quintile reach the top 1% -while also offering high levels of access to low-income students.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > I Introduction
Load-bearingStrength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Elite private (Ivy-Plus) colleges have an average mobility rate of 2.2%, slightly above the national median: these colleges have the best outcomes but, as discussed above, also have very few students from low-income families.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > I Introduction
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes? Load-bearing: unclear✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Because 16.4% of students at Stony Brook are from the bottom quintile compared with 3.8% at the Ivy-Plus colleges, Stony Brook has a bottom-to-topquintile mobility rate of 8.4%, substantially higher than the 2.2% rate at Ivy-Plus colleges.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > I Introduction
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Overall, the number of children from low-income families attending college rose rapidly over the 2000s, both in absolute numbers and as a share of total college enrollment.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > I Introduction
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Such double-counting turns out to be very small in practice”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > II.D College-Level Statistics
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“In short, although higher success rates are negatively correlated with access on average, there are several colleges that offer both high success rates and substantial low-income access.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > I Introduction
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Flagship public institutions have fairly low mobility rates on average (1.7%), as many of them have relatively low rates of access.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > I Introduction
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedCausal:correlational· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes? Load-bearing: unclear✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“There are 2,199 colleges in the cross-sectional sample, 1,802 for which we use data from the 1980-82 cohorts and an additional 397 for which we obtain data exclusively from the 1983-84 cohorts.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > II.D College-Level Statistics
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.
None of the sources cited for this claim have been checked yet.
In the paper
“In comparison, the mean instructional expenditure at Ivy-Plus colleges -which are often the focus of efforts to increase access to high-quality higher education -is around $54,000, making their educational models less scalable.6”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > I Introduction
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The 10th percentile of the distribution of access is 3.7%, while the 90th percentile is 21.0%.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > V.B Bottom-to-Top Quintile Mobility Rates
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes? Load-bearing: unclear✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Columbia and Stony Brook are at the 99th and 97th percentiles, respectively, of the (enrollment-weighted) distribution of success rates across colleges”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > V.A Case Study: Columbia vs. SUNY-Stony Brook
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes? Load-bearing: unclear✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The average slope is slightly higher for colleges in lower tiers -0.095 for other four-year colleges and 0.11 for two-year colleges -but is still only one-third as large as the national rank-rank slope.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > IV.B Children's Earnings Distributions by College
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Conditional on attending an elite college, this gap shrinks to 12 pp, less than one-third as large as the national gradient.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > IV.B Children's Earnings Distributions by College
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The stabilization of mean earnings ranks once children reach their early thirties holds not just across college tiers, but also across individual colleges.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > IV.A Lifecycle Profiles of Earnings Ranks by College
Load-bearingStrength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Nationally, the rank-rank slope rises to 0.357 (from 0.288); within elite colleges, the slope rises to 0.107 (from 0.065).”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > Sensitivity Analysis.
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedCausal:correlational· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes? Load-bearing: unclear✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Glendale Community College has a monotonically declining fraction of students across the income quintiles, with 32.4% students coming from the bottom quintile and only 13.6% from the top quintile.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > III Access: Parental Income Distributions
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes? Load-bearing: unclear✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“SUNY-Stony Brook, a second-tier public institution according to the Barron's rankings, has a much more even distribution of parental incomes, though there are still significantly more students from the top quintile (30.1%) than the bottom quintile (16.4%).”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > III Access: Parental Income Distributions
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedSingle caseTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes? Load-bearing: unclear✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Even at Berkeley, more than 50% of students come from the top quintile, as compared with only 8.8% from the bottom quintile.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > III Access: Parental Income Distributions
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes? Load-bearing: unclear✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Even for men, for whom the hours of work margin is likely much less important, the rank-rank slope is 0.09 within elite colleges, much lower than the national slope of 0.33.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > Sensitivity Analysis.
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“We continue to find a substantial decrease in the correlation between child and parent income within colleges when measuring earnings at the household level, but the degree of intergenerational persistence rises in all subgroups.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > Sensitivity Analysis.
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedCausal:direct· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes? Load-bearing: unclear✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“whereas they are at the 21st and 81st percentiles of the distribution of access.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > V.A Case Study: Columbia vs. SUNY-Stony Brook
Load-bearingStrength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“the least selective colleges both admit the largest numbers of low-income students and have the lowest earnings outcomes, as shown in Table II.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > V.B Bottom-to-Top Quintile Mobility Rates
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The 10th percentile of the (enrollment-weighted) distribution of success rates is 7.1%, while the 90th percentile is 32.8%.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > V.B Bottom-to-Top Quintile Mobility Rates
Load-bearingStrength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Figure IIIb shows that this result holds more generally across all colleges.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > IV.B Children's Earnings Distributions by College
Load-bearingStrength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesThe quote only partly states this claim.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“We find very similar results when using this broader income measure, as capital income is small for the vast majority of individuals.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > Sensitivity Analysis.
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes? Load-bearing: unclear✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“colleges with higher STEM shares have significantly higher success rates, but also have significantly lower access.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > V.D Correlates of Mobility Rates
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“mobility rates are weakly positively correlated with instructional expenditures (correlation = 0.08) and faculty salaries (correlation = 0.20)”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > V.D Correlates of Mobility Rates
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedCausal:correlational· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes? Load-bearing: unclear✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Unlike with bottom-to-top quintile mobility, we find very strong correlations between observable characteristics and upper-tail mobility.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > V.E Upper Tail Mobility Rates
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“the City of University New York system ranks sixth, with an average mobility across its 17 campuses of 7.2%.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > V.B Bottom-to-Top Quintile Mobility Rates
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes? Load-bearing: unclear✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Private colleges tend to have higher success rates and lower access; public colleges tend to have lower success rates but higher access.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > V.D Correlates of Mobility Rates
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“the Asian share is highly positively correlated with success rates but uncorrelated with access.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > V.D Correlates of Mobility Rates
Strength:boosted· not yet calibratedCausal:correlational· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes? Load-bearing: unclear✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“SUNY-Stony Brook ranks third at 8.4%”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > V.B Bottom-to-Top Quintile Mobility Rates
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes? Load-bearing: unclear✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Colleges that have the highest success rates tend to have very low levels of access and thus channel relatively few children from the bottom to the top.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > V.B Bottom-to-Top Quintile Mobility Rates
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“colleges around the 75th percentile of the distribution of success rates (21%).”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > V.B Bottom-to-Top Quintile Mobility Rates
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“several community colleges in North Carolina have top-quintile success rates below 4% and mobility rates below 0.5%.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > V.B Bottom-to-Top Quintile Mobility Rates
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes? Load-bearing: unclear✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Pepperdine University and the University of California at Riverside both have success rates of approximately 42%, but UC-Riverside has access of 14.7%, more than three times the rate of 4.3% at Pepperdine.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > V.C Sensitivity Analysis
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes? Load-bearing: unclear✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“California State-LA achieves this high mobility rate by combining a success rate of 29.9% -close to the 90th percentile across all colleges -with low-income access of 33% -above the 95th percentile across all colleges.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > V.B Bottom-to-Top Quintile Mobility Rates
Load-bearingStrength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“colleges with high Hispanic and Black shares tend to have high access, but do not differ in terms of their success rates.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > V.D Correlates of Mobility Rates
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes? Load-bearing: unclear✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Thus, less selective colleges with more low-income students account for a much larger share of the students who reach the top 1% even though their upper-tail success rate is much lower.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > V.E Upper Tail Mobility Rates
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Regressing college-level trends in access (estimated using college-specific OLS regressions of access on birth cohort) on tier fixed effects reveals that 4.3% of the variance in trends is between tiers, while 95.7% is within tiers.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > Heterogeneity within Tiers.
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Although there are significant differences in trends in access across tiers, most of the variance in trends is across colleges within tiers.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > Heterogeneity within Tiers.
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“In total, these two flags account for 2.4% of (enrollment-weighted) college-year observations and 21.9% of college-year observations when not weighing by enrollment.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > Removing College-Years with Incomplete 1098-T Data.
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes? Load-bearing: unclear✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“We use this procedure to impute data for 597 (27%), 519 (24%), and 408 (19%) colleges in cohorts 1980-1982, respectively, accounting for 570,000 additional students (9.1% of college attendees and 5.0% of all children).”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > Removing College-Years with Incomplete 1098-T Data.
Load-bearingStrength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“while colleges with higher total enrollment generally have higher average earnings.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > C. Estimation Algorithm for College-Level Statistics
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedCausal:correlational· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The share of our students on a Pell grant in the average calendar year is very highly correlated with, and similar in levels to, approximations to annual Pell student shares based on publicly available data.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > Data Sources.
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“leaving us with a 11.3 million person sample underlying our age-20 analysis.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > Removing College-Years with Incomplete 1098-T Data.
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedn = 20Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The resulting merged dataset contains many correct matches between OPEIDs and EIN-ZIP pairs and some incorrect matches.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > Data Sources.
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“they have mean annual instructional expenditures of about $8,000 per student, far lower than mean instructional expenditure of $54,000 per student at elite private colleges.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > VII Conclusion
Load-bearingStrength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The crosswalk comprises 5,327 Super OPEIDs: 5,208 unaltered OPEIDs (values ranging from 1002 to 42346) and 119 newly created clusters of OPEIDs (positive values below 1002).”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > Data Sources.
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The distribution of counts exhibits very clear mass points and almost always stable across years: nearly all the counts of each OPEID appear in a single OPEID-EIN-ZIP cell, and almost all the counts of each EIN-ZIP appear in a single OPEID-EIN-ZIP cell.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > Data Sources.
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“These colleges have very good outcomes while admitting large numbers of low-income students.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > VII Conclusion
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“For the remaining 105 colleges that are missing data for either the 1983 or 1984 cohorts, we do not impute any values.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > Removing College-Years with Incomplete 1098-T Data.
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“including non-college goers in this sample yields a sample size of 10.8 million children.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > Removing College-Years with Incomplete 1098-T Data.
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“This dataset contains 207.6 million observations.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > Removing College-Years with Incomplete 1098-T Data.
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“2.7% of NSLDS Pell records and 1.1% of 1098-T records from 1999-2013 are assigned Super OPEID -1.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > Data Sources.
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes? Load-bearing: unclear✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Both parents' incomes and students' earnings outcomes vary significantly across colleges, leading to substantial variation in rates of upward mobility across colleges.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > VII Conclusion
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“For instance, colleges with higher faculty salaries have higher earnings, perhaps because they offer higher quality instruction.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > C. Estimation Algorithm for College-Level Statistics
Strength:hedged· not yet calibratedCausal:correlational· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“leaving us with a 10.8 million person sample underlying our first-attended analysis.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > Removing College-Years with Incomplete 1098-T Data.
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“1% of colleges have errors exceeding $1,846, and 5% have errors exceeding $965 in magnitude.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > C. Estimation Algorithm for College-Level Statistics
Load-bearingStrength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“this correlation rises sharply between ages 25 and 30, when it reaches 0.98 and stabilizes.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > ONLINE APPENDIX FIGURE IV Children's Success Rates by Age of Income Measurement
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
In the paper
“The 80th percentile is $58,000, and the 99th percentile is $197,000 (Online Appendix Figure IIb).”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > ONLINE APPENDIX FIGURE IV Children's Success Rates by Age of Income Measurement
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites Online Appendix Figure IIb
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
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- Not matched
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Percent of Students who start in Bottom 40% and end up in Top 40% 0.85”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > ONLINE APPENDIX TABLE IV Sensitivity of Key Statistics to Alternative Definitions
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A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Percent of Students who moved up Two or More Income Quintiles 0.82”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > ONLINE APPENDIX TABLE IV Sensitivity of Key Statistics to Alternative Definitions
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedCausal:correlational· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The rate of 1098-T assignment to Super OPEID -1 is 11.2% in 1999 and is between 0.04% and 2.2% from 2000-2013.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > ONLINE APPENDIX FIGURE IV Children's Success Rates by Age of Income Measurement
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A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Mobility Rate Adjusted for Non-College Success Rate 0.98”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > ONLINE APPENDIX TABLE IV Sensitivity of Key Statistics to Alternative Definitions
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedCausal:correlational· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The largest changes were an increase from $3,300 in 2000 to $4,000 in 2002 and from $4,310 in 2007 to $5,500 in 2010.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > ONLINE APPENDIX FIGURE IV Children's Success Rates by Age of Income Measurement
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A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The non-negative income restriction excludes 0.95% of children.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > ONLINE APPENDIX FIGURE IV Children's Success Rates by Age of Income Measurement
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A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Percent of Students who start in Bottom 20% and end up in Top 40% 0.87”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > ONLINE APPENDIX TABLE IV Sensitivity of Key Statistics to Alternative Definitions
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A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The enrollment-weighted mean income in this group is $36,316.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > ONLINE APPENDIX TABLE VII Standard Deviation of Low-Income Access Across Colleges Conditional on Alternative Definitions of Success Rates
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In the paper
“a much larger number of students come from the top one percent at Columbia (13.7%) than Stony Brook (0.4%).”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > ONLINE APPENDIX FIGURE IV Children's Success Rates by Age of Income Measurement
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A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“approximately 60% of students at Columbia and 50% of students at Stony Brook reach the top quintile across the parental income distribution.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > ONLINE APPENDIX FIGURE IV Children's Success Rates by Age of Income Measurement
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A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Below the 98th percentile of parental income, the mean household income and household earnings' ranks of children are virtually identical, showing that the difference relative to individual earnings is entirely due to spousal income except in the upper tail.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > ONLINE APPENDIX FIGURE IV Children's Success Rates by Age of Income Measurement
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A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“in the years when the 1098-T first began to be collected(1999)(2000)(2001)(2002), a number of small universities do not have any records at all in the database.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > ONLINE APPENDIX FIGURE IV Children's Success Rates by Age of Income Measurement
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Of course, this result does not imply that the increases in financial aid had no effect on access; absent these changes, the fraction of low-income students might have fallen, especially given that real incomes of low-income families fell due to widening inequality during the 2000s.5”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > I Introduction
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A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“These changes in low-income access were not strongly associated with significant changes in students' earnings outcomes, implying that these colleges have significantly lower mobility rates for more recent cohorts.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > I Introduction
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In the paper
“In addition, IPEDS data show that 98.0% of full-time undergraduate students are degree seekers, suggesting that the number of summer school or extension school students in our sample is likely to be very small.16”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > Definition of College Attendance.
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A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“In this sense, the institutional model of higher education associated with the production of “superstars” is distinct from and much more homogeneous than the variety of institutional models associated with upward mobility defined more broadly.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > I Introduction
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What the paper did — it cites no source for this, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“1.8% of student-year observations are assigned to this category because of this issue.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > II.B Measuring College Attendance
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A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“This suggests that these colleges could potentially be “engines of upward mobility” by producing large returns for students from low-income families.7”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > I Introduction
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In the paper
“In total, 9.3% of students in the longitudinal sample attend colleges with incomplete or insufficient data to release college-level statistics.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > II.D College-Level Statistics
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In the paper
“The small gap in earnings outcomes between students from high-vs.low-income families within each college shows that most colleges successfully “level the playing field” across students with different socioeconomic backgrounds, either because they select children of relatively uniform ability or because they provide greater value-added for children from low-income families (Dale and Krueger 2002).”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > I Introduction
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites Dale and Krueger 2002
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
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- Not matched
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In the paper
“We then show that our results are robust to a range of alternative specifications, such as measuring children's incomes at the household instead of individual level, using alternative definitions of college attendance, and adjusting for differences in local costs of living.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > I Introduction
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In the paper
“We average parents' family income over the five years when the child is aged 15-19 to smooth transitory fluctuations (Solon 1992) and obtain a measure of resources available at the time when most college attendance decisions are made.19”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > II.C Measuring Incomes
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites Solon 1992
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
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- Not matched
What the paper did — it cites no source for this, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“We exclude colleges that have fewer than 100 students on average across the 1980-1991 birth cohorts (in years where we have data for that college), all college-cohort observations with fewer than 50 students, and college-cohort observations that have incomplete data for two or more of the four years when students are aged 19-22.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > II.D College-Level Statistics
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A claim is checked only against the cited paper’s full text, never its abstract, and none is available for its sources.
In the paper
“These findings are consistent with prior research using survey data showing that the association between children's and parents' incomes or occupational status is much weaker among college graduates (Hout 1988; Torche 2011).”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > IV.B Children's Earnings Distributions by College
What the sources say
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedCausal:correlational· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
In the paper
“the admissions rate was 40% at Stony Brook vs. 7% at Columbia (U.S.Department of Education 2015).”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > V.A Case Study: Columbia vs. SUNY-Stony Brook
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites U.S.Department of Education 2015
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Load-bearingStrength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
- Not matched
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In the paper
“Of course, individuals' earnings levels continue to rise sharply during their thirties and forties, but this rank-preserving fanning out of the income distribution does not affect the rank-based analysis that follows.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > IV.A Lifecycle Profiles of Earnings Ranks by College
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In the paper
“In 2013, the average SAT score of enrolled students was 1250 at Stony Brook vs. 1480 at Columbia (IPEDS 2013)”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > V.A Case Study: Columbia vs. SUNY-Stony Brook
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites IPEDS 2013
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Load-bearingStrength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
- Not matched
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“a college A that has greater low-income access but the same success rates as another college B must have either (1) a more effective technology for selecting high-achieving, low-income students or (2) higher value-added for low-income students than college B.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > V.A Case Study: Columbia vs. SUNY-Stony Brook
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A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“institutions that must be particularly effective at either educating low-income students or selecting low-income students who have high ability levels.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > V.A Case Study: Columbia vs. SUNY-Stony Brook
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“colleges (especially elite ones) largely level the playing field between students from low and high-income families in terms of their individual earnings outcomes, but do not level the playing field in terms of rates of marriage to the same degree.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > Sensitivity Analysis.
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A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“non-Asian students at colleges with larger Asian shares must also have higher success rates, either because they are also more positively selected or because such colleges have higher value-added.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > V.D Correlates of Mobility Rates
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A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“If, in contrast, all colleges had mobility rates comparable to those at the 90th percentile, the U.S. would have perfect relative mobility, where children's outcomes were unrelated to their parents' incomes and 4% of children would make the transition from the bottom to top quintile.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > V.B Bottom-to-Top Quintile Mobility Rates
Strength:hedged· not yet calibratedCausal:direct· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes? Load-bearing: unclear✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
What the paper did — it cites no source for this, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The SD of mobility rates within CZs is 0.97%, only 25% smaller than the SD of 1.30% nationally.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > V.C Sensitivity Analysis
Load-bearingStrength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“doing so would require emulating the approach of high-mobility-rate colleges either in selecting more high-ability low-income students or in providing greater value-added to low-income students with lower abilities.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > V.B Bottom-to-Top Quintile Mobility Rates
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✗ Checkable: fails✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. It may be too vague to check against evidence. It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“This educational model is quite different from the types of models that provide pathways to the top-quintile (upper middle class), which are both more heterogeneous and include mid-tier public institutions that have much lower levels of expenditure and selectivity.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > V.E Upper Tail Mobility Rates
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The share is so small because Ivy-Plus colleges are very small, especially in terms of the number of low-income students they enroll.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > V.E Upper Tail Mobility Rates
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
What the paper did — it cites no source for this, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Because children's earnings ranks stabilize only at age 30 at elite colleges (Figure IIa), we can only estimate success rates for the 1980-84 cohorts, whose earnings we observe at or after age 30 in 2014.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > VI.B Trends in Success and Mobility Rates
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A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Because we measure college attendance between the ages of 19 and 22, this statistic is based on an aggregate of 29 × 4 = 116 college-years of data (and several thousand students).”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > C. Estimation Algorithm for College-Level Statistics
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
What the paper did — it cites no source for this, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“We recode negative self-employment income as zero because negative self-employment income is generally due to business losses and is thus generally correlated with having a high level of latent income or wealth.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > Data Sources.
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim.
- Rests on an assumption: Negative self-employment income is generally due to business losses and is correlated with high latent income or wealth.
What the paper did — it cites no source for this, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Following established disclosure standards such as the standard of aggregating over 10 or more tax units when disclosing statistics, we report estimates for each college that are based on tabulations that aggregate across several colleges.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > C. Estimation Algorithm for College-Level Statistics
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.
What the paper did — it cites no source for this, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“we cluster OPEIDs as follows in order to produce our final Super OPEID crosswalk, which maps every OPEID to a single Super OPEID and maps every EIN-ZIP pair to at most one Super OPEID.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > Data Sources.
Load-bearingStrength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. It may state two separate claims as one.
- Rests on an assumption: Most students at UC-Berkeley do not also attend Stanford.
What the paper did — it cites no source for this, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“We identify children's parents at age 17 because our goal is to measure the economic resources of the child's family around the time he or she attends college.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > Online Appendices A. Sample Construction and Income Definitions
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A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“This is nearly two-thirds of the 4.7 percentage point observed increase in Pell shares at these colleges (from 12.1% to 16.8%) during our sample period, implying that a large fraction of the observed increase is a mechanical consequence of changes in federal policy.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > F. Changes in Low-Income Access: Pell Shares vs. Percentile-Based Measures
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
- Rests on an assumption: In the sample period, Pell eligibility required an Expected Family Contribution below 95% of the Maximum Pell Grant, so increases in the Maximum Pell Grant expanded both award size and the eligible set.
What the paper did — it cites no source for this, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“When the 1098-T-only count is less than 10% of the full count, we conclude that there are too few 1098-T forms for the data to be complete and flag the college-year.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > Removing College-Years with Incomplete 1098-T Data.
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim.
What the paper did — it cites no source for this, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“In the final step, OPEID-EIN-ZIP triads were confirmed to correspond to the same college via manual comparison of NSLDS college names and 1098-T college names, and the small number of discrepancies were addressed using manual adjustments to the crosswalk.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > Data Sources.
Load-bearingStrength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
What the paper did — it cites no source for this, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“We use wage income as reported on Form 1040 (instead of what is reported on W-2 forms) for filers because wage income on Form 1040 includes wages earned abroad, which can be significant particularly for children at the top of the income distribution.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > Online Appendices A. Sample Construction and Income Definitions
Load-bearingStrength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim.
- Rests on an assumption: Children who move abroad but are US citizens must file standard tax returns and report worldwide income, including foreign earnings, but those earnings do not appear on W-2s.
In the paper
“First, the College Scorecard already contains considerable information about the earnings of students at each college, as the earnings of students receiving federal aid are highly predictive of the earnings of the student body more broadly.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > C. Estimation Algorithm for College-Level Statistics
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites Looney 2017
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
- Rests on an assumption: The College Scorecard's student population consists of enrollees receiving federal financial aid, as recorded in NSLDS.
- Rests on an assumption: The College Scorecard reports exact statistics on student earnings by college.
- Not matched
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The college-specific estimates in Appendix Table IX provide fairly accurate estimates without disclosing exact college-specific data for two reasons.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > C. Estimation Algorithm for College-Level Statistics
Load-bearingStrength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
In the paper
“This aggregation over ten (or more) colleges is a direct application of established disclosure standards, used for instance in the production of county-to-county migration data by the Internal Revenue Service.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > C. Estimation Algorithm for College-Level Statistics
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites Internal Revenue Service
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Not matched
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The reason that the first-attended definition yields slightly fewer records than the others is that we do not double-count students assigned to Super OPEID -1 (insufficient or incomplete data) in the final imputation step under this definition.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > Removing College-Years with Incomplete 1098-T Data.
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedCausal:direct· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
What the paper did — it cites no source for this, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“We estimate these models by pooling data from several colleges, so that -just like the raw averages -the models provide estimates based on aggregate tabulations without directly revealing any individual data from a given college.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > C. Estimation Algorithm for College-Level Statistics
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes? Load-bearing: unclear✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Hence, the estimates we construct are informative about broad differences in outcomes between collegesand thus will be useful both for education researchers and prospective students -without disclosing data about any single college.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > C. Estimation Algorithm for College-Level Statistics
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
What the paper did — it cites no source for this, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“We discard college-year records that are flagged as incomplete before assigning students to their”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > Removing College-Years with Incomplete 1098-T Data.
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim.
What the paper did — it cites no source for this, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“As a result, a college is retained in our cohort-level data only if we have valid data for at least 3 years (out of the 4 years).”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > Removing College-Years with Incomplete 1098-T Data.
Load-bearingStrength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“In sum, the colleges that offered many low-income children pathways to upward mobility (in an accounting sense) are becoming less accessible to them, potentially reducing the scope for higher education to foster intergenerational mobility.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > VI.B Trends in Success and Mobility Rates
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
- The authors state this as an assumption: Each college's success rate is fixed at levels observed in the 1980-82 cohorts for predicting mobility changes.
What the paper did — it cites no source for this, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Because we limit the sample to children who can be linked to parents in the U.S. (based on dependent claiming on tax returns), our sample excludes college students from foreign countries.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > ONLINE APPENDIX FIGURE IV Children's Success Rates by Age of Income Measurement
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedCausal:direct· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“More broadly, beyond the Ivy-Plus colleges, changes in Pell shares mirror the trends in access that we document using data on parental incomes once we account for national trends in Pell eligibility and real incomes.Thus, there is no inconsistency between previously documented trends in Pell shares and our results.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > F. Changes in Low-Income Access: Pell Shares vs. Percentile-Based Measures
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
None of the sources cited for this claim could be matched to a paper in Crossref, so there is nothing to check it against.
In the paper
“Aggregate college enrollment counts in our data are well aligned with aggregate enrollments from the Current Population Survey (Online Appendix Table I) and college-level counts are well aligned with counts from the Department of Education's Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS), as we show below.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > ONLINE APPENDIX FIGURE IV Children's Success Rates by Age of Income Measurement
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites Online Appendix Table I
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Not matchedcites IPEDS
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Strength:boosted· not yet calibratedCausal:correlational· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes? Load-bearing: unclear✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
- Not matched
What the paper did — it cites no source for this, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Omitting the year in which children turn 18 is not consequential because very few children attend college only in the calendar year in which they turn 18; for instance, only 1.6% of the children in the 1982 birth cohort attended college in the year they turn 18 but not between the ages of 19-22.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > ONLINE APPENDIX FIGURE IV Children's Success Rates by Age of Income Measurement
Load-bearingStrength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“but these ecological correlations are not driven by individual-level differences across racial and ethnic groups, implying that their underlying drivers also remain to be explained.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > ONLINE APPENDIX FIGURE IV Children's Success Rates by Age of Income Measurement
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes? Load-bearing: unclear✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The Pell data thus imply that there was no significant change in the parental income distribution of students at Ivy-Plus colleges between 2000-2011, consistent with our conclusions in Figure Xa.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > F. Changes in Low-Income Access: Pell Shares vs. Percentile-Based Measures
Load-bearingStrength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
What the paper did — it cites no source for this, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Rates of missing data are below 7% for all variables except for endowments per capita, which is missing for 49% of the (enrollment-weighted) observations.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > F. Changes in Low-Income Access: Pell Shares vs. Percentile-Based Measures
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.
In the paper
“The IPEDS counts are 3% larger than our counts on average, which likely reflects international students not included in our sample.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > ONLINE APPENDIX FIGURE IV Children's Success Rates by Age of Income Measurement
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites IPEDS
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Strength:hedged· not yet calibratedCausal:conditional· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.
- Not matched
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Our percentile-based statistics show a smaller increase in low-income access at Ivy-Plus colleges than is suggested by the increase in the fraction of students receiving federal Pell grants -a widely-used proxy for low-income access -because the Pell eligibility threshold rose in the 2000s and the real incomes of low-income families fell.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > ONLINE APPENDIX FIGURE IV Children's Success Rates by Age of Income Measurement
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“At the vast majority of colleges, earnings ranks stabilize by age 25, implying that one can reliably analyze earnings outcomes for the 1980-89 cohorts with our publicly available data for most colleges.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > ONLINE APPENDIX FIGURE IV Children's Success Rates by Age of Income Measurement
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
None of the sources cited for this claim have been checked yet.
In the paper
“Tebbs and Turner (2005) andTurner (2014) point out further issues with the use of publicly reported Pell shares as a measure of economic diversity, including misalignment of the numerator and denominator of the Pell share and potential exclusion of students who just miss the Pell cutoff.”
§ NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MOBILITY REPORT CARDS: THE ROLE OF COLLEGES IN INTERGENERATIONAL MOBILITY > ONLINE APPENDIX FIGURE IV Children's Success Rates by Age of Income Measurement
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites Tebbs and Turner (2005) source
- Not matchedcites Turner (2014)
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Load-bearingStrength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
The paper relies on this without support.
Much of the observed difference in outcomes across colleges is due to endogenous selection of students into colleges rather than treatment effects.
“Much of the difference in outcomes we observe across colleges is presumably due to endogenous selection of students into colleges rather than treatment effects.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
More selective colleges produce better outcomes for high-income students.
“(if more selective colleges produce better outcomes for high-income students)”
The authors state this as an assumption.
Among students admitted to a given college, children from low-income families do not have higher ability levels than children from high-income families.
“first, that children from low-income families do not have higher ability levels than those from high-income families among students admitted to a given college”
The authors state this as an assumption.
Children's incomes are weakly increasing in parents' incomes, holding all else equal.
“second, that children's incomes are weakly increasing in parents incomes, holding all else equal.”
The paper relies on this without support.
SAT scores and admissions rates are valid measures of academic qualifications.
“In practice, Stony Brook admits students with weaker academic qualifications than Columbia, at least based on observables.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Congress raised the Pell Grant income eligibility threshold significantly between 2000 and 2011.
“Congress raised the income eligibility threshold for Pell Grants significantly between 2000 and 2011”
The paper relies on this without support.
Real incomes fell sharply during the 2000s at the bottom of the distribution.
“incomes fell sharply during the 2000s at the bottom of the distribution”
The authors state this as an assumption.
Each college's success rate is fixed at levels observed in the 1980-82 cohorts for predicting mobility changes.
“we assume that each college's success rate is fixed at the levels observed in our cross-sectional sample (the 1980-82 cohorts)”
The paper relies on this without support.
Almost all students who receive a federally subsidized loan (and most Pell recipients) for attending a given college in academic year t to t+1 will also have a 1098-T from that college in calendar year t or t+1 or both.
“almost all students who receive a federally subsidized loan (and most students who receive a Pell grant) for attending a given college x in academic year t to t+1 will also have a 1098-T from college x in calendar year t or t+1 or both.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Almost all students with American parents who pay no tuition are from low-income families, are Pell-eligible, and must acquire a Pell grant to receive a tuition waiver.
“Almost all such students with American parents are from low-income families, are eligible for a Pell grant from the federal government, and are required by their colleges to acquire a Pell grant in order to receive their tuition waiver.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Children who move abroad but are US citizens must file standard tax returns and report worldwide income, including foreign earnings, but those earnings do not appear on W-2s.
“children who move abroad (but are U.S. citizens) are required to file standard tax returns and report their worldwide income, including any foreign earnings, but those earnings do not show up on W-2s.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Negative self-employment income is generally due to business losses and is correlated with high latent income or wealth.
“negative self-employment income is generally due to business losses and is thus generally correlated with having a high level of latent income or wealth.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Negative family income is generally due to business losses and denotes high potential earnings ability, so ranking such parents at the bottom is misleading.
“Negative income is generally due to business losses and denotes high potential earnings ability so that ranking such parents at the very bottom is actually misleading.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Most colleges file a 1098-T for every student, regardless of whether tuition has been waived.
“Most colleges file a 1098-T for every student, regardless of whether the student's tuition has been waived.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Some colleges do not file a 1098-T for students who pay no tuition.
“some colleges do not file a 1098-T for students who pay no tuition.”
The paper relies on this without support.
NSLDS contains information on every Pell grant awarded, including the college receiving the Pell payment.
“The NSLDS contains information on every Pell grant awarded, including the college receiving the Pell payment”
The paper relies on this without support.
Pell grant payments are remitted directly from the federal government to the college the student attended.
“Pell grant payments are remitted directly from the federal government to the college the student attended”
The paper relies on this without support.
Most students at UC-Berkeley do not also attend Stanford.
“In order to correctly map Berkeley's OPEID and EIN-ZIP pair, we rely on the fact that most Berkeley students do not also attend Stanford.”
The paper relies on this without support.
When a college filed 1098-T forms for a Pell student whose enrollment began in calendar year t, it likely also filed a 1098-T for that student in year t.
“If the college had submitted 1098-Ts on behalf of a given Pell student whose enrollment period began in calendar year t, the college would likely have submitted a 1098-T for the student in calendar year t (had it been required to do so).”
The paper relies on this without support.
When a Pell student's enrollment spanned fall and spring, the college likely filed 1098-T forms in both calendar year t and t+1.
“If the college had submitted 1098-Ts on behalf of a given Pell student, and if that student's enrollment period straddled a fall and spring term, the college would likely have submitted a 1098-T in calendar year t + 1 as well as in calendar year t.”
The paper relies on this without support.
A single-semester Pell grant usually equals only half of the student's annual maximum Pell amount, even when tuition is high.
“Pell grants for a single semester typically have an amount equal to only half of the student's annual Pell maximum grant amount, even if tuition is very expensive.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Colleges with many Pell students file 1098-T forms for all students regardless of tuition billing status.
“consistent with these colleges issuing 1098-T forms for all students regardless of their tuition billing status”
The paper relies on this without support.
Real enrollment changes tend to be very smooth from year to year.
“which tend to be very smooth across years.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The College Scorecard's student population consists of enrollees receiving federal financial aid, as recorded in NSLDS.
“The Scorecard's student population is the subset of enrollees who receive federal financial aid, as recorded in the Education Department's National Student Loan Data System (NSLDS) data.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The College Scorecard reports exact statistics on student earnings by college.
“The College Scorecard reports exact statistics on student earnings by college.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
The distribution of ability among low-income students is weakly decreasing relative to high-income students; the likelihood ratio of low- to high-income ability densities falls weakly with ability.
“Given existing evidence that students from higherincome families have higher test scores and college preparation by the end of high school, we assume that the proportion of students from low-income families is weakly decreasing in ability a, or equivalently that the likelihood ratio, g P (a) g R (a) , falls weakly with a (i.e., satisfies the monotone likelihood ratio property).”
The authors state this as an assumption.
Each college admits students at a single ability level.
“For simplicity, we assume that each college, c, admits students at a single ability level a c ; we discuss the implications of relaxing this assumption below.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
Children's earnings increase weakly with family income, all else equal, for all ability levels and colleges.
“We assume that, all else equal, children's earnings increase weakly with their family's income: y acP ≤ y acR for all a and c.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
Colleges provide some affirmative action for low-income students, so rich students at a given college have weakly higher ability than poor students at the same college.
“In this case, as long as rich students at a given college c have (weakly) higher ability than poor students at the same college -i.e., colleges provide some affirmative action for students from low-income backgrounds -then the result above holds.Formally, if we assume a cP ≤ a cR for all c, then”
The authors state this as an assumption.
The share of students attending Ivy-Plus colleges within each parental income ventile remains fixed at the level observed for the 1980 cohort.
“We assume that the share of students who attend Ivy-Plus colleges within each parental income ventile remains fixed at the level observed for the 1980 cohort, thereby isolating the impacts of national trends in income inequality (holding fixed colleges' selection of students from that distribution).”
The paper relies on this without support.
In the sample period, Pell eligibility required an Expected Family Contribution below 95% of the Maximum Pell Grant, so increases in the Maximum Pell Grant expanded both award size and the eligible set.
“In our sample period, students are eligible for a Pell Grant if their EFC is less than 95% of the Maximum Pell Grant.66 As a result, increases in the Maximum Pell Grant increase both the size of Pell award for any given eligible student and also the set of students who are eligible.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Congress changed both the Maximum Pell Grant and the Expected Family Contribution formula over time, with Maximum Pell Grant changes being most consequential.
“Congress has changed both the Maximum Pell Grant and the EFC formula over time, although the changes to the Maximum Pell Grant have been most consequential.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
Every Asian student reaches the top income quintile and every non-Asian student does not.
“assuming that every Asian student reaches the top quintile whereas every non-Asian student does not”
The authors state this as an assumption.
The distribution of income for Asians relative to other individuals is stable across cohorts.
“Assuming that the distribution of income for Asians (relative to other individuals) is stable across cohorts”
The authors state this as an assumption.
The intergenerational persistence of income is weakly positive.
“and that the intergenerational persistence of income is weakly positive”
The authors state this as an assumption.
The share of Asian students at each college does not vary across income quintiles.
“we make the conservative assumption that the share of Asian students at each college does not vary across income quintiles”
The paper relies on this without support.
Students who pay no tuition and receive no federal aid are rare.
“The data would not include students who pay no tuition and receive no federal aid, but such cases are rare.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
The national Pell-eligibility rate within each AGI bin is assumed to match the rate within the same bin at Ivy-Plus colleges.
“This approach assumes that the observed fraction of students within each AGI bin that are Pell-eligible nationally is similar to the fraction within each bin at Ivy-Plus colleges.”
“supporting our simplifying assumption that the fraction of students who are Pell-eligible within each income bin at Ivy-Plus colleges is very similar to that nationally.”
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
The source backs part of the claim, not all of it — or backs it for a different population, condition or comparison.
In the citing paper
“For example, Chetty et al. (2017) find that in the United States, children whose parents are in the top 1 percent of the income distribution are 77 times more likely to attend an Ivy League college than those whose parents are in the bottom income quintile.”
From Educational Inequality* (2022) · cites this paper as Chetty et al. (2017)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.
The segregation benchmark is called both a median and a 25th percentile
MinorThe median is the 50th percentile, not the 25th percentile. The text assigns both labels to the same reported benchmark.
“the median level of income segregation (at the 25th percentile) across Census tracts within the 100 largest commuting zones in America is H = 0.084”
“with an interquartile range of 0.067 to 0.099”
Table III notes reverse the household-income outcomes in columns 5 and 7
MinorThe discussion says column 5 uses household earnings and column 7 uses household income including capital income. The table notes instead assign adjusted gross income to column 5 and household wage plus self-employment earnings to column 7.
“Column 5 uses children's ranks based on their household adjusted gross income instead of their individual earnings as the dependent variable.Column 6 uses an indicator for whether the child is married as the dependent variable.Column 7 uses children's ranks based on their household wage earnings plus self-employment income as the dependent variable.”
“Column 5 of Table III replicates Column 1 using household earnings (own plus spousal earnings) instead of individual earnings ranks for children.”
Two definitions are given for college assignment in the 1978-cohort figure
MinorThe methods discussion assigns each child to the college attended most frequently across 1999 and 2000. The figure notes instead say assignment uses the college attended at age 22, in 2000; these rules can assign different colleges.
“We assign each child a college based on the college he or she attends most frequently in 1999 and 2000, following the same approach as we use in our baseline college definition described in Section II.B.”
“individuals assigned to the college they attended at age 22 (in 2000).”
Citations
Cites
Where is the land of Opportunity? The Geography of Intergenerational Mobility in the United States *
Chetty, R., Hendren, N., Kline, P., & Saez, E. (2014) · The Quarterly Journal of Economics · doi:10.1093/qje/qju022 · Cited by 2,922
Self-citationIntergenerational Income Mobility in the United States
Solon, G. (2016) · American Economic Review · Cited by 1,595
(1999) · Choice Reviews Online · doi:10.5860/choice.36-5213 · Cited by 1,266
Distributional National Accounts: Methods and Estimates for the United States*
Piketty, T., Saez, E., & Zucman, G. (2018) · The Quarterly Journal of Economics · doi:10.1093/qje/qjx043 · Cited by 1,141
Self-citationIntergenerational Mobility in the Labor Market
Solon, G. (1999) · Handbook of Labor Economics · doi:10.1016/s1573-4463(99)03010-2 · Cited by 1,109
2. Measures of Multigroup Segregation
Reardon, S. F., & Firebaugh, G. (2002) · Sociological Methodology · doi:10.1111/1467-9531.00110 · Cited by 912
Life-Cycle Variation in the Association between Current and Lifetime Earnings
Haider, S., & Solon, G. (2006) · American Economic Review · doi:10.1257/aer.96.4.1308 · Cited by 744
How robust is the evidence on the effects of college quality? Evidence from matching
Black, D. A., & Smith, J. A. (2004) · Journal of Econometrics · doi:10.1016/j.jeconom.2003.10.006 · Cited by 673
More Universalism, Less Structural Mobility: The American Occupational Structure in the 1980s
Hout, M. (1988) · American Journal of Sociology · doi:10.1086/228904 · Cited by 643
The Effect of Attending the Flagship State University on Earnings: A Discontinuity-Based Approach
Hoekstra, M. (2009) · Review of Economics and Statistics · doi:10.1162/rest.91.4.717 · Cited by 618
Flagged first, then by citations
Research works printed but not linked: 1
- [10]10. Dale, S. and A. B. Krueger (2002). Estimating the payoff to attending a more selective college. Quarterly Journal of Economics 4, 1491-1527.
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Herrmann, S., & Nagel, C. (2022) · Research in Higher Education · doi:10.1007/s11162-022-09698-4 · Cited by 8
“Research from other countries suggests that the better labour market outcomes for private students are due to a higher socio-economic status, who can afford high quality education more easily and have access to elite alumni networks (Chetty et al., 2017; Brunello & Cappellari, 2008; Zając et al., 2018).”
Buckley, J. B. (2022) · The Journal of Higher Education · doi:10.1080/00221546.2022.2131963 · Cited by 8
“In fact, college is largely looked to as a pathway for such identity change (Chetty et al., 2017)—students look to cross assumed boundaries and reposition their identities within a new social class.”
O Brother, Where Start Thou? Sibling Spillovers in College Enrollment
Goodman, J., Hurwitz, M. D., Mulhern, C., & Smith, J. (2019) · National Bureau of Economic Research · doi:10.3386/w26502 · Cited by 8
Simpfenderfer, A. D. (2023) · Research in Higher Education · doi:10.1007/s11162-023-09753-8 · Cited by 8
“Data for this research study came from three data sources: the NCES Baccalaureate and Beyond Longitudinal Study (B&B: 08/12), The Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS, 2008), and Opportunity Insights (Chetty et al., 2017b) publicly available data.”
InfluentialA research-based ranking of public policy schools
Ash, E., & Urquiola, M. (2020) · Scientometrics · doi:10.1007/s11192-020-03625-z · Cited by 7
Wright, N. A. (2021) · Journal of Development Economics · doi:10.1016/j.jdeveco.2020.102617 · Cited by 7
Cheng, A. A., & Peterson, P. E. (2021) · Sociology of Education · doi:10.1177/0038040721990365 · Cited by 7
“Yet many low-income and minority students pursuing further education take considerably longer to complete their degree programs (Chetty et al. 2017; U.S. Department of Education 2019).”
Shermer, E. T. (2021) · Labor Studies in Working-Class History of the Americas · doi:10.1215/15476715-9361779 · Cited by 7
The case for egalitarian consciousness raising in higher education
Schouten, G. (2022) · Philosophical Studies · doi:10.1007/s11098-022-01808-3 · Cited by 7
“After all, students from privileged backgrounds remain disproportionally highly represented at the most elite institutions (Bowen et al., 2009; Chetty et al., 2017; Gutmann, 2015; Mullen, 2010); and the students in elite institutions who do hail from disadvantaged backgrounds are being groomed for…”
The open‐and‐shut case against inequality
Vandemoortele, J. (2019) · Development Policy Review · doi:10.1111/dpr.12484 · Cited by 7
The Structure of U.S. College Networks on Facebook
Overgoor, J., State, B., & Adamic, L. A. (2020) · Proceedings of the International AAAI Conference on Web and Social Media · doi:10.1609/icwsm.v14i1.7318 · Cited by 7
“For one, colleges are thought of as engines of social mobility (Chetty et al. 2017).”
Mabel, Z., Castleman, B., & Bettinger, E. (2017) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.3054765 · Cited by 7
Human Capital and Black-White Earnings Gaps, 1966-2017
Thompson, O. (2021) · National Bureau of Economic Research · doi:10.3386/w28586 · Cited by 7
Dougherty, K. J. (2024) · Teachers College Record: The Voice of Scholarship in Education · doi:10.1177/01614681241240287 · Cited by 6
“If one were to look instead at those who come from the lowest 20% in income but end up in the top 1%, the list of top 10 colleges is now dominated by such highly selective institutions as the University of California at Berkeley, Columbia, MIT, and Stanford (Chetty et al., 2017, Table IV).”
InfluentialConstruction and Initial Validation of the Higher Education Orientations Questionnaire
Willner, T., Lipshits‐Braziler, Y., & Gati, I. (2022) · Journal of Career Assessment · doi:10.1177/10690727221090621 · Cited by 6
“Email: yuliya.lipshits@mail.huji.ac.il one’s social mobility (Chetty et al., 2017).”
Unequal returns: Intragenerational asset accumulation differs by net worth in early adulthood
Elliott, W., Rauscher, E. A., & Nam, I. (2018) · Children and Youth Services Review · doi:10.1016/j.childyouth.2018.01.006 · Cited by 6
“While educational (Brown, Buchholz, Davis, & Gonzalez, 2016; Chetty et al., 2017) and employment (Hanushek & Woessman, 2017) policies have been given a lot of attention in economic mobility research, policies that facilitate wealth accumulation among low-income families have been given much less…”
InfluentialHow College Makes Liberals (or Conservatives)
Rauf, T. (2021) · Socius Sociological Research for a Dynamic World · doi:10.1177/2378023120982435 · Cited by 7
“Elite college attendance contributes to higher income (Chetty et al. 2017), and selective higher education institutions in particular play a formative role in the development of political elites (Feeney, Hogan, and O’Rourke 2017).”
About job market outcomes: Assessing the performance of Colombian higher education institutions
Saavedra‐Caballero, F., & Bellegem, S. V. (2021) · Higher Education Quarterly · doi:10.1111/hequ.12340 · Cited by 6
Firoozi, D. (2022) · Economics of Education Review · doi:10.1016/j.econedurev.2021.102221 · Cited by 6
Understanding trends and drivers of urban poverty in American cities
Andreoli, F., Mertens, A., Mussini, M., & Prete, V. (2022) · Empirical Economics · doi:10.1007/s00181-021-02174-5 · Cited by 6
“9 For a detailed description of the variables used to construct our indicators, see Chetty et al. (2017) and Tables 6 and 10 at https://opportunityinsights.org/data/.”
Spencer, G., & Stich, A. E. (2023) · Research in Higher Education · doi:10.1007/s11162-023-09730-1 · Cited by 8
“Given such privileges, studies have shown significant economic returns for students attending elite private institutions (Brewer et al., 1999), particularly for students from low-SES backgrounds (Chetty et al., 2017; Dale & Krueger, 2002).”
The disparate impacts of college admissions policies on Asian American applicants
Grossman, J., Tomkins, S., Page, L. C., et al. (2024) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-024-55119-0 · Cited by 6
A Proposed Typology of Regional Public Universities
Orphan, C. M., Wetherbee, M., & Duncan, B. C. (2024) · Research in Higher Education · doi:10.1007/s11162-024-09782-x · Cited by 6
Zarifa, D., Sano, Y., & Milian, R. P. (2025) · Sociology of Education · doi:10.1177/00380407241311551 · Cited by 7
“11 In the existing literature, college ‘‘quality’’ or ‘‘top institutions’’ have been operationalized using measurements of school selectivity, such as average SAT scores, college entrance exam scores, admissions averages, or measurements of prestige via national or international rankings or reputations (e.g., Anelli 2…”
Trends and Perspectives on Finance Equity and the Promise of Community Colleges
Dowd, A. C., Rosinger, K. O., & Castro, M. F. (2020) · Higher education · doi:10.1007/978-3-030-11743-6_7-1 · Cited by 6
Towards an Emergent Theory of Fallism (and the Fall of the White-Liberal-University in South Africa)
Ahmed, A. K. (2020) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108655101.016 · Cited by 6
Socioeconomic Segregation, Campus Social Context, and Disparities in Bachelor's Degree Attainment
Gelbgiser, D. (2021) · Demography · doi:10.1215/00703370-9162131 · Cited by 10
Communication matters: A long-term follow-up study of child savings account program participation
Blumenthal, A., & Shanks, T. (2019) · Children and Youth Services Review · doi:10.1016/j.childyouth.2019.02.016 · Cited by 6
“However, Chetty et al. (2017) also found that the earnings parity between low-income and high-income students post-bachelor's degree is conditional on the college that students attend, many of which are not accessed by low-income students.”
The UC Cliometric History Project and Formatted Optical Character RecognitionPreprint
Bleemer, Z. (2018) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.3240266 · Cited by 4
Erby, W. J., & Blustein, D. L. (2025) · Journal of Career Assessment · doi:10.1177/10690727251325861 · Cited by 5
“Previous research on low-income graduates of elite universities shows that 60% of students from the lowest economic quartile earn post graduate salaries that elevate them to the top quartile, with many reaching the top 1% of earners (Chetty et al., 2017).”
Online Social Network Effects in Labor Markets: Evidence from Facebook’s Entry to College Campuses
Armona, L. (2023) · The Review of Economics and Statistics · doi:10.1162/rest_a_01354 · Cited by 9
Family background and intergenerational mobility in a transition economy: Evidence from China
Yan, W., & Gao, S. (2024) · Journal of Asian Economics · doi:10.1016/j.asieco.2024.101720 · Cited by 5
Skill-biased technological change and intergenerational education mobility
Aziz, I. (2024) · Economics of Education Review · doi:10.1016/j.econedurev.2024.102596 · Cited by 5
The Crisis in Public Higher Education: A New Perspective
Cebula, R. J., & Koch, J. V. (2021) · American Journal of Economics and Sociology · doi:10.1111/ajes.12373 · Cited by 5
Hermann, C. (2021) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780197576755.003.0002 · Cited by 8
King, M. D. (2021) · Demography · doi:10.1215/00703370-9461389 · Cited by 5
“More recently, schol ars have found that col lege also reduces and some times elim i na tes the asso ci a tions between par ents’ and chil dren’s social class, indi vid ual earn ings, and total fam ily income (Chetty et al. 2017; Torche 2011).”
Higher Education in the United States:Laissez‐Faire, Differentiation, and Research
Urquiola, M. (2023) · Asian Economic Policy Review · doi:10.1111/aepr.12419 · Cited by 6
Being resilient to close the gap: Is it enough?
Vicente, I., Monsálvez, J. M. P., & Guillén, Á. S. (2023) · International Journal of Educational Research · doi:10.1016/j.ijer.2023.102200 · Cited by 5
Taylor, B. J., Rosinger, K. O., & Ford, K. S. (2024) · Sociology of Education · doi:10.1177/00380407241230007 · Cited by 5
Alcock, A., & Belluigi, D. Z. (2018) · Education as Change · doi:10.25159/1947-9417/3602 · Cited by 5
“…of US HEIs acknowledged that intergenerational income mobility impacts access to the top tier institutions, the rates of upward mobility are higher in institutions that enable access to opportunities for students who in the majority come from lower socio-economic backgrounds (Chetty et al. 2017).”
Khachikian, O. (2019) · Ethnic and Racial Studies · doi:10.1080/01419870.2019.1635256 · Cited by 5
“EOP research finds that the local community college in Glendale, CA ranks seventh – of 2,463 colleges nationwide – in successfully moving students from the first quintile of the income distribution to the top fifth.”
InfluentialDryden‐Peterson, S. (2020) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108655101 · Cited by 6
Friedline, T. L. (2020) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780190944131.003.0008 · Cited by 5
Baker, R. B., Solanki, S. M., & Kang, C. (2022) · The Journal of Higher Education · doi:10.1080/00221546.2022.2131970 · Cited by 5
“Studies that only examine sorting across sectors (vertical segregation) and not sorting within sectors (horizontal segregation) likely understate overall segregation (Chetty et al., 2017).”
Who benefits from tuition-free, top-quality universities? Evidence from Brazil
Duryea, S., Ribas, R. P., Sampaio, B. R., Sampaio, G. R., & Trevisan, G. (2023) · Economics of Education Review · doi:10.1016/j.econedurev.2023.102423 · Cited by 7
Stratified Lives: Family, Illegality, and the Rise of a New Educational Elite
Schmalzbauer, L., & ANDRÉS, A. (2019) · Harvard Educational Review · doi:10.17763/1943-5045-89.4.635 · Cited by 5
Design and baseline description of a cohort of bikeshare users in the city of Philadelphia
Auchincloss, A. H., Michael, Y. L., Fuller, D., Li, S., Niamatullah, S., Fillmore, C. E., Setubal, C., & Bettigole, C. (2020) · Journal of Transport & Health · doi:10.1016/j.jth.2020.100836 · Cited by 5
Anderson, D. M., & Zaber, M. A. (2021) · RAND Corporation eBooks · doi:10.7249/rra101-1 · Cited by 5
“Higher education is a driver of social mobility, but access to college degrees is uneven and impeded by academic, social, and financial barriers (Chetty et al., 2017; Cohn, 2020; National Center for Education Statistics, 2019).”
Britton, J., van der Erve, L., & Shephard, N. (2019) · doi:10.1920/wp.ifs.2019.0419 · Cited by 5
“The econometrics of model building for the path of earnings Y(TA+1):T,g,i|FTA,g,i is the focus of, for example, Kaplan and Violante (2010), Guvenen et al. (2015) and Arellano et al.”
Caste, class, race, and inequality: insights for economic policy
Darity, W. A. J., & Ruiz, I. (2024) · Oxford Review of Economic Policy · doi:10.1093/oxrep/grae038 · Cited by 6
US Universities in the Age of Trump: Is There a Way to Prevent Their Long-Term Decline?
Brint, S. (2025) · Society · doi:10.1007/s12115-025-01124-6 · Cited by 4
“The economist Raj Chetty and his colleagues have shown that some universities are able to raise as many as 10% of their students from the bottom to the top quintile of earn-ings—and many, many more than that, of course, from the bottom two to the top two quintiles (Chetty et al. 2017).”
Pyle, C., & Andalibi, N. (2025) · Proceedings of the ACM on Human-Computer Interaction · doi:10.1145/3757550 · Cited by 4
“College admissions procedures shape access to higher education, which is integral to one’s upward mobility [46], social capital [31], and social support [55].”
Perceived and Ideal Inequality in University Endowments in the United States
Day, M. V., & Norton, M. I. (2022) · Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin · doi:10.1177/01461672221083766 · Cited by 6
Arnold, K., Deutschlander, D., & Lewis, J. (2022) · Mentoring & Tutoring: Partnership in Learning · doi:10.1080/13611267.2022.2091193 · Cited by 2
Henshaw, B., Mishra, B. K., Sayers, W., et al. (2025) · Analytics · doi:10.3390/analytics4010010 · Cited by 4
“Additionally, Chetty et al. [19] underscore the influence of systemic factors, such as geographic segregation and differential access to networks, on income mobility and wage outcomes.”
Schueler, B. E., & Larned, K. E. (2023) · Educational Evaluation and Policy Analysis · doi:10.3102/01623737231200234 · Cited by 5
Wang, M., Zhang, K., & Wang, J. (2025) · Journal of Youth and Adolescence · doi:10.1007/s10964-025-02246-0 · Cited by 4
“…has shown that well-educated parents spend more time with their children and on school activities such as homework than less-educated parents (Doepke & Zilibotti, 2019), invariably prioritize academic achievement, and are more likely to send their children to university (Chetty et al., 2017).”
Martin, C. C. (2020) · Journal of College Student Psychotherapy · doi:10.1080/87568225.2020.1753611 · Cited by 4
More Than Just Hard Work: Educational Policies to Facilitate Economic Mobility
Williams, W. R., & Reppond, H. A. (2020) · Policy Insights from the Behavioral and Brain Sciences · doi:10.1177/2372732220943912 · Cited by 4
“National Bureau of Economic Research, which tracked the anonymized tax returns and college attendance records of 30 million students born between 1980 and 1991, found that low-income students who attend elite universities, specifically, have an even greater chance of advancing to the top 20% of the socioeconomic ladde…”
InfluentialKlasik, D., & Cortes, K. E. (2022) · Economics of Education Review · doi:10.1016/j.econedurev.2021.102199 · Cited by 4
The Impact of No-Loan Policies on Student Economic Diversity at Public Colleges and Universities
Zhu, Q., Choi, J., & Meng, Y. (2021) · Research in Higher Education · doi:10.1007/s11162-020-09621-9 · Cited by 7
Latinx Community College Students on Academic Probation: Struggles and Success
McPherson, M. P., & Marrero, F. A. (2021) · NACADA Journal · doi:10.12930/nacada-20-15 · Cited by 12
“Participants were aware of the social and economic mobility opportunities linked to a college degree (Chetty et al., 2017).”
Meaney, M. J., & Fikes, T. (2022) · ACM Conference on Learning @ Scale (L@S) · doi:10.1145/3491140.3528306 · Cited by 4
“Data from a variety of different sources were merged to build the final data set, including edX enrolment data, host university registrar data, survey data, host university gradebook data, edX activity log data, and American Community Survey data from Opportunity Insights [1].”
The business models employed by U.S. colleges & universities
Cardenas, A., & Cheslock, J. J. (2022) · New Directions for Higher Education · doi:10.1002/he.20448 · Cited by 4
Income-Based Gaps in College-Going Activities: High School Classes of 1992 and 2004
Mbekeani, P. P. (2022) · Sociology of Education · doi:10.1177/00380407221138051 · Cited by 4
“They may invest more because they perceive increased competition for scarce spots at selective colleges (Ramey and Ramey 2010), which confer the largest average labor market returns (Chetty et al. 2017; Long 2008).”
Pathways to Mobility: Family and Education in the Lives of Latinx Youth
Schmalzbauer, L., & Rodríguez, M. S. (2022) · Qualitative Sociology · doi:10.1007/s11133-022-09523-5 · Cited by 5
Johnson, E. C., Villafañe-Delgado, M., Symonette, D., et al. (2023) · IEEE Integrated STEM Education Conference (ISEC) · doi:10.1109/isec57711.2023.10402255 · Cited by 4
“Low-income students experience opportunity and achievement gaps, which can result in a lack of access to technological resources or even failure to complete a bachelor’s degrees [10].”
College Is Not the Great Equalizer in Japan
Fujihara, S., & Ishida, H. (2024) · Socius Sociological Research for a Dynamic World · doi:10.1177/23780231231225558 · Cited by 5
“In addition, there have been various developments in this research topic, such as comparisons based on the selectivity of universities (Chetty et al. 2017; Klein 2021), comparisons between college graduates and those who attended graduate schools (Torche 2011; Witteveen and Attewell 2020), and…”
Managers Can Support Employees in Working-Class Contexts by Promoting Growth Mindsets
Han, I., Belmi, P. R. V., Thomas-Hunt, M. C., & Summers, C. (2024) · Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin · doi:10.1177/01461672241235625 · Cited by 4
“And college graduates’ lifetime earnings far outstrip that of non-graduates (Chetty et al., 2017).”
Kim, J. J. (2024) · Social Problems · doi:10.1093/socpro/spae056 · Cited by 6
Chen, L.-H. (2018) · Applied Economics Letters · doi:10.1080/13504851.2018.1488046 · Cited by 4
“Grobman (1988) and Elliot (1994) have addressed the contributions of these universities to national and individual development.”
InfluentialBoland, W. C., Gasman, M., Nguyen, T., et al. (2018) · American Educational Research Journal · doi:10.3102/0002831218787463 · Cited by 4
Bennett, C., Evans, B. J., & Marsicano, C. R. (2020) · Research in Higher Education · doi:10.1007/s11162-020-09615-7 · Cited by 8
Divergent Writer Development in College
Eubanks, D., & Vanovac, S. (2020) · The Journal of Writing Analytics · doi:10.37514/jwa-j.2020.4.1.03 · Cited by 5
“Likewise, we still have much to learn from the vast salary data set from Chetty et al. (2017).”
InfluentialFood insecurity among public administration graduate students
Mallinson, D. J. (2020) · Teaching Public Administration · doi:10.1177/0144739420935964 · Cited by 4
“Higher education is supposed to be an avenue for economic mobility (Chetty et al., 2017), but food insecurity threatens the ability of students to succeed academically and complete their degrees.”
Chopra, V., & Dryden‐Peterson, S. (2020) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108655101.005 · Cited by 5
The Intergenerational Effects of Parental Incarceration
Grönqvist, H., Niknami, S., Palme, M. O., & Priks, M. (2024) · doi:10.15626/ns.wp.2024.12 · Cited by 4
Online Social Network Effects in Labor Markets: Evidence From Facebook's Entry into College CampusesPreprint
Armona, L. (2019) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.3381938 · Cited by 4
“The MRC also provides me with measures of unemployment (coded as the fraction of students who earned $0 in 2014) and a rich set of controls for parent income since its primary focus was studying intergenerational mobility rates among students across colleges.”
InfluentialTaylor, R. C., Liang, X., Laubichler, M. D., West, G. B., Kempes, C. P., & Dumas, M. (2019) · arXiv (Cornell University) · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1910.05470 · Cited by 10
“For our analysis of mid-career earnings we rely on the data provided by the Mobility Reports Card project, part of the broader Equality of Opportunity project [51].”
InfluentialMeasuring Human Capital in Europe and Central Asia
Torre, I., Demirgüç‐Kunt, A., & Torre, I. (2020) · World Bank, Washington, DC eBooks · doi:10.1596/1813-9450-9458 · Cited by 4
Cortes, K. E., & Klasik, D. (2020) · National Bureau of Economic Research · doi:10.3386/w28280 · Cited by 4
“Indeed, Chetty et al. (2017) note that public colleges and universities are the vehicle of social mobility in the United States.”
Elite Colleges and Upward Mobility to Top Jobs and Top Incomes
Zimmerman, S. (2016) · National Bureau of Economic Research · doi:10.3386/w22900 · Cited by 4
“However, as Chetty et al. (2014) point out, IGE estimates are sensitive to methodological choices.”
InfluentialHowell, J., Hurwitz, M. D., & Smith, J. (2019) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.3463241 · Cited by 4
An Evaluation of the Educational Impact of College Campus Visits: A Randomized ExperimentPreprint
Swanson, E., Kopotic, K., Zamarro, G., Mills, J. N., Greene, J. P., & Ritter, G. W. (2019) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.3329946 · Cited by 4
Human Capital and Black-White Earnings Gaps, 1996–2017
Thompson, O. (2021) · Upjohn Research (W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research) · doi:10.17848/wp21-343 · Cited by 4
Human Capital and Black-White Earnings Gaps, 1996–2017Preprint
Thompson, O. (2021) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.3798709 · Cited by 4
A new direction in mental health: purposeful life engagement
Ryff, C. D. (2022) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-0-323-91497-0.00096-5 · Cited by 5
Jaramillo‐Echeverri, J., & Álvarez, A. (2023) · doi:10.32468/chee.58 · Cited by 4
Horwitz, I. M. (2022) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780197534144.005.0001 · Cited by 5
Barr, A., & Castleman, B. (2025) · American Economic Review · doi:10.1257/aer.20240669 · Cited by 5
Aké-Uitz, D. S. (2022) · El Trimestre Económico · doi:10.20430/ete.v89i355.1426 · Cited by 3
“En un trabajo reciente para los Estados Unidos, Chetty et al. (2017) muestran que, por un lado, existe una variación en el acceso a las universidades en función del ingreso de los padres: los niños cuyos padres están en la proporción de 1% superior de la distribución del ingreso tienen una probabilidad 77 veces mayor…”
Cecchi-Dimeglio, P. (2023) · The MIT Press eBooks · doi:10.7551/mitpress/12521.001.0001 · Cited by 3
Jones, S. M., Wantchekon, K. A., & Umaña‐Taylor, A. J. (2024) · Identity · doi:10.1080/15283488.2024.2382988 · Cited by 4
“Economic access differentials across college types (Chetty et al., 2017) – by which young adults from families with higher incomes are more likely to attend private, elite colleges – makes it possible that the characteristics of students who gain access to such private colleges differ from those at…”
Lee, S., & Song, M. (2018) · Korean Journal of Youth Studies · doi:10.21509/kjys.2018.11.25.11.231 · Cited by 3
‘Now I Constantly Challenge Society by Bringing My Existence Forward’
Villegas, P. E., & Aberman, T. (2020) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108655101.015 · Cited by 3
Bower‐Bir, J. S. (2020) · Economia Politica · doi:10.1007/s40888-020-00201-9 · Cited by 3
The Development of Institutional Research and Its Implications for University Governance in Taiwan
Fu, Y. C., Quetzal, A. S., & Teo, E. J. (2020) · Higher education in Asia · doi:10.1007/978-981-15-4554-2_13 · Cited by 3
Elite universities: Their monstrous promises and promising monsters
Kenway, J., & Howard, A. (2021) · Curriculum Inquiry · doi:10.1080/03626784.2021.1994837 · Cited by 3
“…out that the ideological function of diversity efforts creates the impression of more diversity than actually exists, which “allows racism and inequalities to be overlooked” (p. 14) and masks the realities that elite universities continue to mainly serve wealthy elites (e.g., Chetty et al., 2017).”
Ke, M., & Li, S. (2022) · Social Indicators Research · doi:10.1007/s11205-022-03017-1 · Cited by 4
Burrage, A., Ciemiecki, J., Couch, S., & Ganguli, I. (2022) · Technology & Innovation · doi:10.21300/22.3.2022.8 · Cited by 3
“This line of research would contribute to the studies showing the important role universities can play as engines of social mobility (14,15) and would inform policy efforts to locate and bring added support to URM students so that they are more likely to continue on the pathway to invention.”
Metadata
- Authors
- Chetty, R., Friedman, J., Saez, E., Turner, N., & Yagan, D.
- Affiliations
- United States Department of the Treasury (US)
- Venue
- National Bureau of Economic Research
- Publisher
- National Bureau of Economic Research
- Published
- 2017-07
- OpenAlex
- W2739137144
- Semantic Scholar
- 21364face3aa74b5a8391d3830caf4b503cc7214
- Cited by
- 632
- References
- 37
- Citations by year
- 2026: 35 · 2025: 47 · 2024: 63 · 2023: 56 · 2022: 93 · 2021: 106 · 2020: 101 · 2019: 53 · 2018: 50 · 2017: 22
- Type
- report
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- doi.org
- Locations
- National Bureau of Economic Research (publishedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- National Bureau of Economic Research (submittedVersion)
- VTechWorks (Virginia Tech) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- Funders
- Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation
- Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
- Alfred P. Sloan Foundation
- Sage Foundation
- U.S. Department of the Treasury
- Laura and John Arnold Foundation
- Washington Center for Equitable Growth
- University of California, Davis
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Intergenerational and Educational Inequality Studies
- Social Sciences › Education › Higher Education Research Studies
- Social Sciences › Education › School Choice and Performance
- Keywords
- intergenerational income mobility, college attendance, college selectivity, low-income students, parental income, earnings outcomes, public universities, upward mobility
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
A language model drew the claims from the paper on 2026-09-28, under version 3 of the claim definition (model deepseek-v4.1-flash, prompt extract-v3).
A second model labelled each claim on 2026-09-28 (model jev-1.13-20260917, definition revision gold-guideline-v0.2).
Cited sources are checked with a language model’s help (gpt-6-sol).
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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