Cited by 15Decision-Making and Behavioral EconomicsNeural and Behavioral Psychology StudiesPsychological Well-being and Life Satisfaction

Incidental Emotions and Hedonic Forecasting: The Role of (Un)certainty

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Polyportis, Athanasios, Kokkinaki, Flora, Horváth, Csilla, Christopoulos, Georgios·2020·Frontiers in Psychology

Abstract

The impact of incidental emotions on decision making is well established. Incidental emotions can be differentiated on several appraisal dimensions, including certainty-uncertainty. The present research investigates the effect of certainty-uncertainty of incidental emotions on hedonic forecasting. The results of four experimental studies indicate that uncertainty-associated incidental emotions, such as fear and hope, compared with certainty emotions, such as anger and happiness, amplify predicted utility. This amplification effect is confirmed for opposite utility types; uncertainty-associated emotions, when compared with their certainty counterparts, lead to an overprediction of positive utilities and to an underprediction of negative utilities. This effect is mediated by the prediction task uncertainty, providing evidence for a carryover process of the incidental emotion. The effect of task uncertainty on predicted utility is, in turn, partly mediated by attention to the task, suggesting that an affective adaptation process lies behind the amplification of forecasts. Taken together, these findings extend the impact of certainty-uncertainty to the context of hedonic forecasting and further corroborate the impact of incidental emotions in judgment and decision making.

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Research works printed but not linked: 2

  1. Kahneman D. Snell J. (1990). “ Predicting utility,” in Insights in Decision Making: A Tribute to Hillel J. Einhorn, ed. Hogarth R. M. (Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press), 295– 310.
  2. Keltner D. Lerner J. S. (2010). “ Emotion,” in Handbook of Social Psychology, eds Gilbert D. T. Fiske S. T. Lindzey G. (Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons Inc), 317– 352.

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Authors
Polyportis, A., Kokkinaki, F., Horváth, C., & Christopoulos, G.
Affiliations
  • Athens University of Economics and Business (GR)
  • Radboud University Nijmegen (NL)
Corresponding author
Polyportis, Athanasios
Venue
Frontiers in Psychology
Published
2020-10-09
Volume
11
Pages
536376-536376
ISSN
1664-1078 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W3092321710
Cited by
15
References
78
Citations by year
2026: 1 · 2025: 4 · 2024: 5 · 2023: 4 · 2021: 1
FWCI
0.92
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Frontiers in Psychology (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • Radboud Repository (Radboud University) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
  • DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
  • DR-NTU (Nanyang Technological University) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
  • Radboud Repository (Radboud University) (submittedVersion)
  • Research Repository (Delft University of Technology) (submittedVersion)
  • Data Archiving and Networked Services (DANS) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
Funders
  • European Commission (MIS-5000432)
  • State Scholarships Foundation (MIS5000432, ΟΠΣ 5000432)
  • European Social Fund (MIS -5000432)
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › General Decision Sciences › Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
  • Life Sciences › Neuroscience › Cognitive Neuroscience › Neural and Behavioral Psychology Studies
  • Social Sciences › Psychology › Social Psychology › Psychological Well-being and Life Satisfaction
Keywords
incidental emotions, fear, hope, anger, happiness, task uncertainty, attention, affective adaptation, judgment and decision making

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