The DOI matches its Crossref record; 9 of the 9 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Deconstructing Cross-Entropy for Probabilistic Binary Classifiers
Abstract
In this work, we analyze the cross-entropy function, widely used in classifiers both as a performance measure and as an optimization objective. We contextualize cross-entropy in the light of Bayesian decision theory, the formal probabilistic framework for making decisions, and we thoroughly analyze its motivation, meaning and interpretation from an information-theoretical point of view. In this sense, this article presents several contributions: First, we explicitly analyze the contribution to cross-entropy of (i) prior knowledge; and (ii) the value of the features in the form of a likelihood ratio. Second, we introduce a decomposition of cross-entropy into two components: discrimination and calibration. This decomposition enables the measurement of different performance aspects of a classifier in a more precise way; and justifies previously reported strategies to obtain reliable probabilities by means of the calibration of the output of a discriminating classifier. Third, we give different information-theoretical interpretations of cross-entropy, which can be useful in different application scenarios, and which are related to the concept of reference probabilities. Fourth, we present an analysis tool, the Empirical Cross-Entropy (ECE) plot, a compact representation of cross-entropy and its aforementioned decomposition. We show the power of ECE plots, as compared to other classical performance representations, in two diverse experimental examples: a speaker verification system, and a forensic case where some glass findings are present.
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“ECE is exposed in [35] as a method which measures both discrimination and calibration, and shows its potential.”
From Calibration of score based likelihood ratio estimation in automated forensic facial image comparison (2022) · cites this paper as [35]
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“However, it is not enough: probabilities must also present a good calibration [18,20].”
BackgroundMethodThe Comparison and Evaluation of Forecasters
DeGroot, M. H., & Fienberg, S. E. (1983) · The Statistician · doi:10.2307/2987588 · Cited by 604 · cited 9×
“However, it is not enough: probabilities must also present a good calibration [18,20].”
BackgroundMethodInfluentialA Comparison of MCC and CEN Error Measures in Multi-Class Prediction
Jurman, G., Riccadonna, S., & Furlanello, C. (2012) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0041882 · Cited by 406
Reliability of Subjective Probability Forecasts of Precipitation and Temperature
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Verification of forecasts expressed in terms of probability
BRIER, G. W. (1950) · Monthly Weather Review · doi:10.1175/1520-0493(1950)078%3c0001:vofeit%3e2.0.co;2 · cited 1×
“In [18,27], the accuracy of such a forecaster is assessed by means of strictly proper scoring rules.”
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Cited by
Sorted by citations
Calibration of score based likelihood ratio estimation in automated forensic facial image comparison
Rodriguez, A. M., Geradts, Z., & Worring, M. (2022) · Forensic Science International · doi:10.1016/j.forsciint.2022.111239 · Cited by 19
Dutta, K., Lenka, R., Gupta, P., Goel, A., & Naga Ramesh, J. V. (2024) · EAI Endorsed Transactions on Pervasive Health and Technology · doi:10.4108/eetpht.10.5581 · Cited by 1
Metadata
- Authors
- Ramos, D., Franco-Pedroso, J., Lozano-Diez, A., & Gonzalez-Rodriguez, J.
- Affiliations
- AuDIaS-Audio, Data Intelligence and Speech, Escuela Politecnica Superior, Universidad Autonoma de Madrid, Calle Francisco Tomas y Valiente 11, 28049 Madrid, Spain
- Venue
- Entropy
- Publisher
- MDPI AG
- Published
- 2018-03-20
- Volume
- 20
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 208
- ISSN
- 1099-4300
- PMC
- PMC7512723
- Cited by
- 99
- References
- 9
- Language
- en
- Funders
- Spanish Ministry of Economy and Competitiveness (TEC2015-68172-C2-1-P)
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