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Cited by 37Climate Change, Adaptation, MigrationPolitical Conflict and GovernanceMigration and Exile Studies

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An Analysis of Large-Scale Forced Migration in Africa

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Bayar, Murat, Aral, Mustafa M.·2019·International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health
DOI 10.3390/ijerph16214210PMC PMC6861999
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Abstract

In this paper, human security-related causes of large-scale forced migration (LSFM) in Africa are investigated for the period 2011–2017. As distinct from the conventional understanding of (national) security, human security involves economic, public health, environmental and other aspects of people’s wellbeing. Testing various hypotheses, we have found that civil and interstate conflicts, lack of democracy and poverty are the most important drivers of mass population displacements, whereas climate change has an indirect effect on the dependent variable. As a policy tool, foreign aid is also tested to see if it lowers the probability of LSFM. Our findings have implications for policy planning, since the conventional understanding of security falls short of addressing LSFM without taking various aspects of human security into account.

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Metadata

Authors
Bayar, M., & Aral, M. M.
Affiliations
  • Institute for Eastern and African Studies, Social Sciences University of Ankara, Ankara 06030, Turkey
  • Bartin University (TR)
Corresponding author
Bayar, Murat
ORCID
Venue
International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health
Publisher
MDPI AG
Published
2019-10-30
Volume
16
Issue
21
Pages
4210
ISSN
1660-4601 (ISSN-L)
DOI
10.3390/ijerph16214210
PMC
PMC6861999
OpenAlex
W2982680963
Cited by
37
References
3
Citations by year
2026: 1 · 2025: 7 · 2024: 6 · 2023: 7 · 2022: 7 · 2021: 6 · 2020: 3
FWCI
8.05
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Licence
Locations
  • International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
  • DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion)
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Climate Change, Adaptation, Migration
  • Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Political Conflict and Governance
  • Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Migration and Exile Studies
Keywords
human security, civil conflict, interstate conflict, poverty, climate change, foreign aid, Africa
MeSH terms
Armed Conflicts, Africa, Developing Countries, Economics, Emigration and Immigration, Humans, International Cooperation, Life Expectancy, Politics, Poverty, Public Health Administration, Logistic Models, Climate Change

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