The DOI matches its Crossref record; 21 of the 21 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Sentiments
Open accessAbstract
This paper develops a new theory of fluctuations—one that helps accommodate the notions of “animal spirits” and “market sentiment” in unique-equilibrium, rational-expectations, macroeconomic models. To this goal, we limit the communication that is embedded in a neoclassical economy by allowing trading to be random and decentralized. We then show that the business cycle may be driven by a certain type of extrinsic shocks which we call sentiments. These shocks formalize shifts in expectations of economic activity without shifts in the underlying preferences and technologies; they are akin to sunspots, but operate in unique-equilibrium models. We further show how communication may help propagate these shocks in a way that resembles the spread of fads and rumors and that gives rise to boom-and-bust phenomena. We finally illustrate the quantitative potential of our insights within a variant of the RBC model.
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Citations
Cites
Expectations and the neutrality of money
Lucas, R. E. (1972) · Journal of Economic Theory · doi:10.1016/0022-0531(72)90142-1 · Cited by 4,740
Income and Wealth Heterogeneity in the Macroeconomy
Krusell, P., & Smith, Jr. (1998) · Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1086/250034 · Cited by 2,255
Social Value of Public Information
Morris, S., & Shin, H. S. (2002) · American Economic Review · doi:10.1257/000282802762024610 · Cited by 1,967
Aggregate Demand Management in Search Equilibrium
Diamond, P. A. (1982) · Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1086/261099 · Cited by 1,932
Coordinating Coordination Failures in Keynesian Models
Cooper, R., & John, A. (1988) · The Quarterly Journal of Economics · doi:10.2307/1885539 · Cited by 1,663
Animal spirits: how human psychology drives the economy, and why it matters for global capitalism
(2009) · Choice Reviews Online · doi:10.5860/choice.46-6301 · Cited by 1,447
Indeterminacy and Increasing Returns
Benhabib, J., & Farmer, R. E. A. (1994) · Journal of Economic Theory · doi:10.1006/jeth.1994.1031 · Cited by 1,081
Can News about the Future Drive the Business Cycle?
Jaimovich, N., & Rebelo, S. (2009) · American Economic Review · doi:10.1257/aer.99.4.1097 · Cited by 943
Stock Prices, News, and Economic Fluctuations
Beaudry, P., & Portier, F. (2006) · American Economic Review · doi:10.1257/aer.96.4.1293 · Cited by 845
Azariadis, C. (1981) · Journal of Economic Theory · doi:10.1016/0022-0531(81)90038-7 · Cited by 805
Cited by
Financialization of commodity markets
Cheng, I.-H., & Xiong, W. (2014) · Annual Review of Financial Economics · doi:10.1146/annurev-financial-110613-034432 · Cited by 810
Information Design: A Unified Perspective
Bergemann, D., & Morris, S. (2019) · Journal of Economic Literature · doi:10.1257/jel.20181489 · Cited by 527
Shapiro, A. H., Sudhof, M., & Wilson, D. J. (2022) · Journal of Econometrics · doi:10.1016/j.jeconom.2020.07.053 · Cited by 423
Gennaioli, N., Ma, Y., & Shleifer, A. (2016) · NBER Macroeconomics Annual · doi:10.1086/685965 · Cited by 332
Boom‐bust dynamics in biological invasions: towards an improved application of the concept
Strayer, D. L., D'Antonio, C. M., Essl, F., Fowler, M. S., Geist, J., Hilt, S., Jarić, I., Jöhnk, K., Jones, C. G., Lambin, X., et al. (2017) · Ecology Letters · doi:10.1111/ele.12822 · Cited by 219
Metadata
- Venue
- Econometrica
- Publisher
- The Econometric Society
- Published
- 2013
- Volume
- 81
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 739-779
- ISSN
- 0012-9682 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W4240123593
- Cited by
- 389
- References
- 21
- FWCI
- 44.22
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.