The DOI matches its Crossref record; 43 of the 43 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Nonhomotheticity and Bilateral Trade: Evidence and a Quantitative Explanation
Abstract
The standard gravity model predicts that trade flows increase in proportion to importer and exporter total income, regardless of how income is divided into income per capita and population. Bilateral trade data, however, show that trade grows strongly with income per capita and is largely unresponsive to population. I develop a general equilibrium Ricardian model of trade that allows the elasticity of trade with respect to income per capita and with respect to population to diverge. Goods are of various types, which differ in their income elasticity of demand and in the extent to which there is heterogeneity in their production technologies. I estimate the model using bilateral trade data of 162 countries and compare it to a special case that delivers the gravity equation. The general model improves the restricted model's predictions regarding variations in trade due to size and income. I experiment with counterfactuals. A positive technology shock in China makes poor and rich countries better off and middle-income countries worse off.
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Citations
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Cited by
Estimates of the Trade and Welfare Effects of NAFTA
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Trade Theory with Numbers: Quantifying the Consequences of Globalization
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What Goods Do Countries Trade? A Quantitative Exploration of Ricardo's Ideas
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Estimating the effects of non‐discriminatory trade policies within structural gravity models
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Nonparametric Counterfactual Predictions in Neoclassical Models of International Trade
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Estimating the effects of trade agreements: Lessons from 60 years of methods and data
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From theory to policy with gravitas: A solution to the mystery of the excess trade balances
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Metadata
- Venue
- Econometrica
- Publisher
- The Econometric Society
- Published
- 2011
- Volume
- 79
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 1069-1101
- ISSN
- 0012-9682 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W1530682943
- Cited by
- 349
- References
- 43
- FWCI
- 80.87
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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