The Politics of Uncertainty: Challenges of Transformation

Scoones, Ian; Stirling, Andy

doi:10.4324/9781003023845

Cited by 158Risk Perception and ManagementDisaster Management and ResilienceSustainability and Climate Change Governance

The Politics of Uncertainty: Challenges of Transformation

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Scoones, Ian, Stirling, Andy·2020·Routledge eBooks

DOI 10.4324/9781003023845

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Abstract

Amid the proliferating uncertainties of globalised modernity, development institutions have deployed insurance to transfer risk across more geographic and hazard domains. This chapter first explores why insurance and other risk transfer tools are increasingly popular responses in development practice. It then argues that this embrace can paradoxically proliferate uncertainties when insurance contracts fail to pay out, illustrated with reference to drought insurance in Malawi and pandemic insurance in the Democratic Republic of Congo. The chapter closes by envisioning how insurance might be refashioned from a ‘technology of hubris’ to a ‘technology of humility’, suggesting some principles for more relational deployments of insurance that could begin to recuperate its promise as a technique of mutual solidarity and sustainable risk-sharing.

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Complexity and uncertainty are extremely common features of contemporary cities.
“AI systems should be competent enough to deal with complexity and uncertainty, which are extremely common features of contemporary cities [185].”
From The sustainability of artificial intelligence: an urbanistic viewpoint from the lens of smart and sustainable cities (2020) · cites this paper as [185]

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The sustainability of artificial intelligence: an urbanistic viewpoint from the lens of smart and sustainable cities
Yigitcanlar, T., & Cugurullo, F. (2020) · Sustainability · doi:10.3390/su12208548 · Cited by 337 · see citing works
Urban artificial intelligence: from automation to autonomy in the smart city
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Self-citation
The promises and premises of mission-oriented innovation policy—A reflection and ways forward
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Biting the bullet: Addressing the democratic legitimacy of transition management
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Providing social assistance and humanitarian relief: The case for embracing uncertainty
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Self-citation
Bring digital twins back to Earth
Saltelli, A., Gigerenzer, G., Hulme, M., Katsikopoulos, K. V., Melsen, L. A., Peters, G. P., Pielke, R. A., Robertson, S., Stirling, A., Tavoni, M., et al. (2024) · Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews Climate Change · doi:10.1002/wcc.915 · Cited by 35 · see citing works
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Unpacking the politics of Nature-based Solutions governance: Making space for transformative change
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Common Challenges for All? A Critical Engagement with the Emerging Vision for Post‐pandemic Development Studies
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Building back better from COVID-19: Knowledge, emergence and social contracts
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Self-citation
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Global Food Governance
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Uncertainty in the drylands: Rethinking in/formal insurance from pastoral East Africa
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Self-citation
Extended urbanisation and the politics of uncertainty: The contested pathways of highway corridors in India
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The Challenge of Quantification: An Interdisciplinary Reading
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Monitoring and evaluation for thinking and working politically
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Futuremaking in a disaster zone: Everyday climate change adaptation amongst Quechua women in the Peruvian Cordillera Blanca
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Variability is not uncertainty; mobility is not flexibility: Clarifying concepts in pastoralism studies with evidence from Tajikistan
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Prototyping with Uncertainties: Data, Algorithms, and Research through Design
Giaccardi, E., Murray-Rust, D., Redström, J., & Caramiaux, B. (2024) · ACM Transactions on Computer-Human Interaction · doi:10.1145/3702322 · Cited by 17 · see citing works
Responsible scaling for transformative impact: Lessons from the science and practice of responsible scaling for agri-food system transformation
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Global Food Governance
McKeon, N. (2021) · Development · doi:10.1057/s41301-021-00326-9 · Cited by 16 · see citing works
Reforming Australia's approach to hazards and disaster risk: national leadership, systems thinking, and inclusive conversations about vulnerability
Buchtmann, M., Wise, R. M., O’Connell, D., Crosweller, M., & Edwards, J. (2022) · Disaster Prevention and Management An International Journal · doi:10.1108/dpm-08-2022-0168 · Cited by 16 · see citing works
A framework for guiding safe and sustainable‐by‐design innovation
Blanco, C. F., Behrens, P., Vijver, M. G., Peijnenburg, W. J. G. M., Quik, J. T. K., & Cucurachi, S. (2024) · Journal of Industrial Ecology · doi:10.1111/jiec.13609 · Cited by 16 · see citing works
Practices of Care in Times of COVID-19
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Authors: Scoones, I., & Stirling, A.
ORCID: Scoones, Ian
Stirling, Andy
Venue: Routledge eBooks
Publisher: Routledge
Published: 2020-07-14
DOI: 10.4324/9781003023845
OpenAlex: W3027948593
Cited by: 158
References: 328
Citations by year: 2026: 23 · 2025: 32 · 2024: 24 · 2023: 26 · 2022: 21 · 2021: 27 · 2020: 5
FWCI: 22.76
Type: book
Language: en
Open access: hybrid
doi.org
Licence: cc-by-nc-nd
creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0 (vor)
Locations: Routledge eBooks (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
BiblioBoard Library Catalog (Open Research Library) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
Econstor (Econstor) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
Figshare (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
OpenDocs (Institute of Development Studies) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
Funders: European Commission (2020 ‘, HORIZON2020)
Norges Forskningsråd
International Science Council
Economic and Social Research Council (ES/R008884/1, ES/I021620/1)
Topics: Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Risk Perception and Management
Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Disaster Management and Resilience
Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Sustainability and Climate Change Governance
Keywords: uncertainty, politics of uncertainty, banking and finance, insurance, technology regulation, critical infrastructure, climate change, infectious disease response, natural disasters, migration, crime and security, religion and spirituality, precarity, marginalization, sustainability, development, democratic struggle, risk management, disaster risk reduction

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The Politics of Uncertainty: Challenges of Transformation

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