Uncertainty and Quality in Science for Policy
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If indicators are not chosen carefully a priori according to a conceptual and quality framework, a 'garbage in-garbage out' outcome may be produced, with a composite indicator reflecting 'insincere' dimensions.
“Otherwise, a 'garbage in-garbage out' outcome may be produced (Funtowicz and Ravetz 1990), which in this case is that of a composite indicator reflecting 'insincere' dimensions in relation to those desired (Munda 2005a).”
From On the Methodological Framework of Composite Indices: A Review of the Issues of Weighting, Aggregation, and Robustness (2019) · cites this paper as Funtowicz and Ravetz 1990
Tools of post-normal-science inspiration for knowledge and modelling quality assessment could be adapted to the analysis of algorithms, such as the NUSAP notation system and sensitivity auditing.
“Tools of post-normal-science inspiration for knowledge and modelling quality assessment could be adapted to the analysis of algorithms, such as the NUSAP (Numeral Unit Spread Assessment Pedigree) notation system for the management and communication of uncertainty (Funtowicz and Ravetz, 1990;Van Der Sluijs, 2005) and sensitivity auditing (Saltelli and Funtowicz, 2014), respectively.”
From Ethical principles in machine learning and artificial intelligence: cases from the field and possible ways forward (2020) · cites this paper as Funtowicz and Ravetz, 1990
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Recent developments in life cycle assessment
Finnveden, G., Hauschild, M. Z., Ekvall, T., Guinée, J., Heijungs, R., Hellweg, S., Koehler, A., Pennington, D., & Suh, S. (2009) · Journal of Environmental Management · doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2009.06.018 · Cited by 3,444 · see citing works
“Clinical versus Actuarial Judgment.”
Dawes, R. M., Faust, D., & Meehl, P. E. (1989) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.2648573 · Cited by 2,298 · see citing works
An overview of sustainability assessment methodologies
Singh, R. K., Murty, H. R., Gupta, S. K., & Dikshit, A. K. (2009) · Ecological Indicators · doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2008.05.011 · Cited by 2,069 · see citing works
Ecopath with Ecosim: Methods, capabilities and limitations
Christensen, V., & Walters, C. J. (2004) · Ecological Modelling · doi:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2003.09.003 · Cited by 1,914 · see citing works
Risk assessment and risk management: Review of recent advances on their foundation
Aven, T. (2016) · European Journal of Operational Research · doi:10.1016/j.ejor.2015.12.023 · Cited by 1,713 · see citing works
“Similar and related criteria are used in the so-called NUSAP system (NUSAP: Numeral, Unit, Spread, Assessment, and Pedigree) ( Funtowicz & Ravetz, 1990, 1993; Kloprogge, van der Sluijs, & Pe-tersen, 2005, 2011; Laes, Meskens, & van der Sluijs, 2011; van der Sluijs et al., 2005a, 2005b ), originally…”
MethodGreco, S., Ishizaka, A., Tasiou, M., & Torrisi, G. (2019) · Social Indicators Research · doi:10.1007/s11205-017-1832-9 · Cited by 1,325 · see citing works
“Otherwise, a ‘garbage in–garbage out’ outcome may be produced (Funtowicz and Ravetz 1990), which in this case is that of a composite indicator reflecting ‘insincere’ dimensions in relation to those desired (Munda 2005a).”
BackgroundSupport theory: a nonextensional representation of subjective probability
Tversky, A., & Koehler, D. J. (1994) · Psychological Review · doi:10.1037/0033-295x.101.4.547 · Cited by 1,167 · see citing works
Dunning, D., Meyerowitz, J. A., & Holzberg, A. D. (1989) · Journal of Personality and Social Psychology · doi:10.1037/0022-3514.57.6.1082 · Cited by 758 · see citing works
Communicating uncertainty about facts, numbers and science
van der Bles, A. M., van der Linden, S., Freeman, A. L. J., Mitchell, J., Galvao, A. B., Zaval, L., & Spiegelhalter, D. J. (2019) · Royal Society Open Science · doi:10.1098/rsos.181870 · Cited by 456 · see citing works
Van Der Sluijs, J. P., Craye, M., Funtowicz, S., Kloprogge, P., Ravetz, J., & Risbey, J. (2005) · Risk Analysis · doi:10.1111/j.1539-6924.2005.00604.x · Cited by 426 · see citing works
Self-citation“Measuring Sustainability”: A Multi-Criterion Framework
Munda, G. (2005) · Environment, Development and Sustainability · doi:10.1007/s10668-003-4713-0 · Cited by 358 · see citing works
Ecological Economics: An Introduction
Common, M., & Stagl, S. (2005) · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511805547 · Cited by 338 · see citing works
A review of the effects of uncertainty in public science communication
Gustafson, A., & Rice, R. E. (2020) · Public Understanding of Science · doi:10.1177/0963662520942122 · Cited by 291 · see citing works
What is wrong with evidence based policy, and how can it be improved?
Saltelli, A., & Giampietro, M. (2017) · Futures · doi:10.1016/j.futures.2016.11.012 · Cited by 264 · see citing works
Lo Piano, S. (2020) · Humanities and Social Sciences Communications · doi:10.1057/s41599-020-0501-9 · Cited by 229 · see citing works
“Tools of post-normal-science inspiration for knowledge and modelling quality assessment could be adapted to the analysis of algorithms, such as the NUSAP (Numeral Unit Spread Assessment Pedigree) notation system for the management and communication of uncertainty (Funtowicz and Ravetz, 1990; Van Der Sluijs, 2005) and…”
MethodThe Politics of Uncertainty: Challenges of Transformation
Scoones, I., & Stirling, A. (2020) · doi:10.4324/9781003023845 · Cited by 158 · see citing works
The appraisal of sustainability: Some problems and possible responses
Stirling, A. (1999) · Local Environment · doi:10.1080/13549839908725588 · Cited by 101 · see citing works
Deliberate futures: precaution and progress in social choice of sustainable technology
Stirling, A. (2007) · Sustainable Development · doi:10.1002/sd.347 · Cited by 73 · see citing works
Tisserant, A., Morales, M., Cavalett, O., O'Toole, A., Weldon, S., Rasse, D. P., & Cherubini, F. (2022) · Resources, Conservation and Recycling · doi:10.1016/j.resconrec.2021.106030 · Cited by 73 · see citing works
Pereira, Â. G., Rinaudo, J.-D., Jeffrey, P., Blasques, J., Quintana, S. C., Courtois, N., Funtowicz, S., & Petit, V. (2003) · Journal of Environmental Assessment Policy and Management · doi:10.1142/s1464333203001383 · Cited by 66 · see citing works
Self-citationA review of public opinion on liquid biofuels in the EU: Current knowledge and future challenges
Løkke, S., Aramendia, E., & Malskær, J. (2021) · Biomass and Bioenergy · doi:10.1016/j.biombioe.2021.106094 · Cited by 42 · see citing works
Keune, H., Dendoncker, N., Popa, F., Sander, J., Kampelmann, S., Boeraeve, F., Dufrêne, M., Bauler, T., Casaer, J., Cerulus, T., et al. (2015) · Ecosystem Services · doi:10.1016/j.ecoser.2015.06.001 · Cited by 20 · see citing works
- Authors
- Funtowicz, S. O., & Ravetz, J. R.
- Affiliations
- Joint Research Centre (IT)
- ORCID
- Funtowicz, Silvio O.
- Venue
- Springer eBooks
- Publisher
- Springer Netherlands
- Published
- 1990
- OpenAlex
- W1533967694
- Cited by
- 1,575
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2026: 22 · 2025: 27 · 2024: 43 · 2023: 59 · 2022: 54 · 2021: 51 · 2020: 53 · 2019: 56 · 2018: 66 · 2017: 80 · 2016: 58 · 2015: 56 · 2014: 64 · 2013: 51 · 2012: 72
- FWCI
- 3.62
- Type
- book
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- infoscience.epfl.ch
- Licence
- www.springer.com/tdm (tdm)
- Locations
- Springer eBooks (publishedVersion)
- Infoscience (Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne) (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty › Scientific Measurement and Uncertainty Evaluation
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Information Systems and Management › Research, Science, and Academia
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › International Science and Diplomacy
- Keywords
- uncertainty, scientific quality, science for policy, fine-structure constant, error bars, recommended values, measurement uncertainty
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