Cited by 5Archaeological Research and ProtectionClassical Antiquity StudiesAncient Mediterranean Archaeology and History

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 45 of the 47 references it cites were found in a registry or an index, and 1 are not checked yet; none of the 61 sources its claims cite is checked for support yet.

Budget Travel in the Mediterranean: A Methodology for Reconstructing Ancient Journeys through Least Cost Networks

Open access
Carroll, Fiona, Carroll, Edward·2022·Journal of Computer Applications in Archaeology

Abstract

Least cost paths have been used extensively in the archaeological study of ancient routeways. In this paper the principal interest is less in tracing detailed paths than in modelling long-distance travel through an extensive network over land and water. We present a novel, computationally-efficient method for avoiding the direction-dependent, positive biases in least cost paths encountered in standard algorithms. A methodology for generating networks of such paths is introduced based on a trade-off between building and travel costs, minimizing the total cost. We use the Peutinger Table, an illustrated itinerarium of the Roman empire, to calibrate the parameter controlling network complexity. The problem of how to weight land versus sea travel costs in the network is tackled by comparing itineraries of Delphic theoroi of the third century BCE with solutions of the asymmetric travelling salesman problem, a classic graph theory puzzle.

Checked 2026-11-10 · 1 reference not checked yet

Overview

AI snapshot

Written from the paper’s full text.

TL;DR

The paper presents a computationally efficient least-cost-path and network methodology for reconstructing ancient Mediterranean travel, calibrated with the Peutinger Table and Delphic theorodokoi itineraries. It derives a network complexity parameter λ = 7 and suggests a sea speed of about 2.0–2.5 knots for combined land–sea routing.

Key findings

  • The rotate-and-oversample LCP method largely removes direction-dependent biases: with n = 6, all points in a 13 × 13 square are reachable by straight-line paths, compared with 62% for Herzog’s 48-neighbour method; over 10,000 km of Peloponnese LCPs, paths were on average 3.5% shorter than standard queen’s move, with less than 10% extra computational time.
  • Calibrating network complexity against 117 Peutinger Table route distances from Sicily to Cyprus gave the best fit with the modified Tobler hiking function, the LOS method, and λ = 7: 33 distances within 5% of TP values, versus 29 for GPO.
  • The λ = 7 Peloponnese network has β = 3.00, compared with Bekker-Nielsen’s β = 1.31; Pikoulas’s evidence for eight roads to Geronthrai compares well with the seven roads generated at λ = 7.
  • TSP solutions for Delphic theoroi itineraries suggest a sea speed around 2.0–2.5 knots; at λ = 7, threshold speeds were 2.5 knots for Cyprus and 2.2 knots for Crete, with Crete thresholds of 1.9, 2.2, and 2.3 knots for λ = 4, 7, and 10 respectively.

Methods

  • The authors combine Python for data handling and Fortran for parallelized LCP computation, using Dijkstra’s algorithm on SRTM elevation data masked with ancient coastlines and lakes from the Barrington Atlas; cost functions include Tobler, modified Tobler, Naismith/Langmuir, and Minetti, with anisotropic edge costs.
  • Network construction uses a minimum total cost principle with λ = t/b (travel-to-build cost ratio), implemented through local outward search (LOS) and global pairwise optimization (GPO), with a master network limited to a 36-hour maximum temporal radius.
  • λ is calibrated against 117 Peutinger Table distances using Pleiades nodes filtered to 280 CE; land–sea weighting is calibrated by solving asymmetric travelling salesman problems for Delphic theorodokoi itineraries in Cyprus and Crete using a branch-and-bound Fortran routine.

Limitations

  • Paper-stated limitations include poor Peutinger Table data quality, with around 25% of the sample shorter than geodesic distances; errors may come from transcription, original surveying, or site misidentification, and comparisons are against the LCP network rather than known truth.
  • The paper states that λ = 7 was derived for 280 CE and its applicability to earlier periods is open to question; the network method does not re-use existing road sections by defining junctions as in Steiner tree approaches, and LOS requires λ ≥ 1.
  • Paper-stated simplifications include no prevailing winds or currents, no rivers as travel conduits or barriers, no harbour suitability, no land-type costs, and a constant adjustable sea speed; the text also notes that sea speeds are best treated as virtual speeds representing multiple costs.

Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.5334/jcaa.88

Cites

45 of 47 references verified1 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Nothing to recompute.

Verification

Claims the paper makes

0 of 61 cited sources checked · 0 supported · 0 flagged

  • Findingnone given

    The undersampling method reduces processing time by around the square of the undersampling factor.

    “This expedient reduces processing time by around the square of the undersampling factor, adding further to the time savings achieved by parallel processing.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Findingreasoning

    The rotate and oversample technique largely eliminates artificial, direction-dependent cost penalties at little extra computational cost.

    “Therefore a method has been derived of largely eliminating such artificial, directiondependent cost penalties at little extra computational cost.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Findingreasoning

    In the flatter, eastern half of Cyprus, the roads spread out across the plain in an unrealistic sprawl.

    “However, in the flatter, eastern half of the island the roads spread out across the plain in an unrealistic sprawl.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Findingown data

    The best fit between TP and LCPnet values was produced with the modified Tobler hiking function in a network of λ = 7 generated by the LOS method.

    “The best fit between TP and LCPnet values was produced with the modified Tobler hiking function in a network of λ = 7 generated by the LOS method.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Findingnone given

    There are significant differences between ancient and modern coastlines in places such as Akarnania, Aitolia, Caria, and Cyprus, where Akrotiri and Larnaca salt lakes were anciently connected to the sea.

    “Quite significant differences with the modern coastline are seen in places, e.g.parts of Akarnania, Aitolia and Caria.The modern salt lakes of Akrotiri and Larnaca in Cyprus were anciently connected to the sea, Akrotiri formerly being an offshore island seen to the south of the mainland in Figure 10.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. 62
  • It may state two separate claims as one. 64
  • The quote only partly states this claim. 1
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.

    Findingown data

    The undersample, rotate and oversample method allows the network of the Peloponnese containing over 10,000 km of LCPs to be created in 41 seconds on eight processing threads of a 2013 MacBook Pro.

    “As an example, it allows the network of the Peloponnese (Figure 9) containing over 10,000 km of LCPs, to be created in 41 seconds on the eight processing threads of a 2013 MacBook Pro.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingown data

    The λ = 7 LOS network maximized the number of distances for which LCPnet was within 5% of TP (33) and generated the median normalized difference closest to zero.

    “This both maximized the number of distances for which LCPnet was within 5% of TP (33) and generated the median normalized difference closest to zero, whereas the best fit obtained using the GPO method had 29 instances of LCPnet within 5% of TP.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingreasoning

    Both Bekker-Nielsen's and Sanders and Whitbread's β values are significantly lower than the β = 3.00 for our λ = 7 network for the Peloponnese.

    “Both are significantly lower than the β = 3.00 for our λ = 7 network for the Peloponnese.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    The frequency plots of normalized difference between LCPnet and TP for λ = 4, 7 and 10 show a narrow peak superimposed on an approximately Gaussian distribution.

    “In all the frequency plots in Figure 6, but especially so for λ = 7, a narrow peak is in evidence, superimposed on an approximately Gaussian distribution”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingcitation

    With n = 6, all points within a 13 × 13 square are reachable from the centre by straight-line paths with no deviation from a straight-line path, compared to 62% of points with the 48 neighbour method with up to 8% deviation.

    “With n = 6, all points within a 13 × 13 square are reachable from the centre by straight-line paths with no deviation from a straight-line path, compared to 62% of points with the 48 neighbour method with up to 8% deviation (Herzog 2013).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Herzog 2013

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingreasoning

    The end result is a path constrained to follow the general route of the originally derived LCP, but allowing directional changes of about 45/n degrees, giving shorter paths and largely eliminating distance biases depending on the direction of destination relative to start.

    “The end result is a path which is constrained to follow the general route of the originallyderived LCP, but in which directional changes of about 45/n degrees (e.g.7.5 degrees with n = 6) are allowed, giving shorter paths and, more importantly, largely eliminating distance biases depending on the direction of destination relative to start.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingown data

    The Troödos mountains in the interior of the western half of Cyprus force LCPs into valleys, with the result that even with large λ, routeways remain well defined and separate.

    “The Troödos mountains in the interior of the western half of Cyprus force LCPs into valleys, with the result that even with large λ, routeways remain well defined and separate.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingreasoning

    The rotate and oversample technique results in a modest increase in computational time (generally less than 10% relative to standard queen's move), whereas the 48 neighbour method would approximately quadruple the processing time for deriving the cost surface relative to queen's move.

    “Because the sub-grids on which the second Dijkstra step is made are very small compared to the main DEM, it only results in a modest increase in computational time (generally less than 10% relative to standard queen's move), whereas the 48 neighbour method would approximately quadruple the processing time for deriving the cost surface relative to queen's move.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingcitation

    Pikoulas documented eight roads leading to Geronthrai, which compares well with the seven roads to Geronthrai generated by setting λ = 7.

    “He documented, for instance, eight roads leading to Geronthrai, one of the poleis of Lakonike, which compares well with the seven roads to Geronthrai from surrounding nodes generated by setting λ = 7.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Pikoulas (2012)

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingown data

    Bekker-Nielsen's value of β = 1.31 for the Peloponnese can be replicated by using λ = 0.65, the resulting network having only three roads into Geronthrai.

    “Bekker-Nielsen's value of β = 1.31 for the Peloponnese can be replicated by using λ = 0.65, the resulting network having only three roads into Geronthrai (Figure 8)”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Bekker-Nielsen (2004: 225)

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingnone given

    The rotation step solves the standard queen's move distance bias for travel on flat surfaces, leading to straight paths and isochrones in concentric circles rather than polygons.

    “The rotation step solves the standard queen's move distance bias for travel on flat surfaces, leading to straight paths and isochrones in concentric circles rather than polygons.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingcitation

    λ = 0.1 produces elements of Herzog's (2013) 'main routeway with later subsidiary pathway' model, with some settlements lying at the end of spurs leading off a main route.

    “λ = 0.1 produces elements of Herzog's (2013) 'main routeway with later subsidiary pathway' model, with some settlements lying at the end of spurs leading off a main route.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Herzog 2013

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingown data

    The composite distribution has one larger population (N = 78.2, σ = 0.37) and one smaller population (N = 34.1, σ = 0.04).

    “one larger (N = 78.2) and noisier (σ = 0.37), the other smaller (N = 34.1)and less noisy (σ = 0.04)”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingown data

    Two of the values not accounted for in the Gaussian populations lie outside the plotted range, with errors up to a factor of 5.

    “Two of the values not accounted for in the Gaussian populations lie outside of the plotted range shown, with errors up to a factor of 5.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingown data

    The increase in average road section length from the 9% modification came partly by lengthening routes through switchbacks and partly by going around areas of high ground.

    “partly by lengthening the routes through switchbacks and partly by going around areas of high ground.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingown data

    In a comparison of over 10,000 km of LCPs in the Peloponnese, the rotate and oversample technique generated paths which were on average 3.5% shorter than those produced by the standard queen's move, with no bias in computed distance associated with average path direction.

    “In a comparison of over 10,000 km of LCPs in the Peloponnese, the technique generated paths which were on average 3.5% shorter than those produced by the standard queen's move.More importantly, there is no bias in the computed distance associated with average path direction.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingreasoning

    Increasing to 18 locations would have taken over three years using the same program, whilst the Crete example with its 29 locations would have required a period many times in excess of the age of the universe.

    “Increasing this to 18 locations would have taken over three years using the same program, whilst the Crete example (Figure 11) with its 29 locations would have required a period many times in excess of the age of the universe.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingown data

    In the Cyprus TSP, gradually reducing sea speed leads to a TSP solution which matches the given order of the actual itinerary; this first happens at 2.5 knots, close to midway between Whitewright's sailing ship speeds for favourable and unfavourable conditions.

    “Gradually reducing sea speed leads to a TSP solution (bottom panel) which matches the given order of the actual itinerary; this first happens at 2.5 knots, close to midway between Whitewright's sailing ship speeds for favourable and unfavourable conditions.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Whitewright

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingnone given

    Reducing the sea speed to 1.2 knots flips the TSP solution to a different configuration which in part reverts to the clockwise solution seen at speeds above 2.2 knots.

    “Reducing the sea speed to 1.2 knots flips the TSP solution to a different configuration which in part reverts to the clockwise solution seen at speeds above 2.2 knots.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingown data

    In the Crete TSP with 3.9 knot sea speed, the destinations are taken clockwise around the island with liberal use of boat trips between coastal settlements, and the group of six in the southwest is visited last rather than amongst the first, as in the actual itinerary.

    “This produces an itinerary in which the destinations are taken clockwise around the island with liberal use of boat trips between coastal settlements and the group of six in the southwest visited last rather than amongst the first, as in the actual itinerary.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingown data

    Mount Pachnes (2453 m) lies between the Araden/Anopolis area and Kydonia, forcing an indirect route which goes through Aptera, resulting in a double visit here.

    “Mount Pachnes (2453 m) lies between the Araden/Anopolis area (numbers 8 and 9 in top map) and Kydonia (10), forcing an indirect route which goes through Aptera (11), resulting in a double visit here.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds.

    Findingnone given

    The order in which the start-point settlements is taken makes no difference to the final network.

    “The order in which the start-point settlements is taken makes no difference to the final network.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingown data

    The simpler Cyprus itinerary showed no sensitivity over the range of λ = 4 to 10, whilst the Crete itinerary showed an increase in threshold sea speed as the land network became more complex.

    “The simpler Cyprus itinerary showed no sensitivity over this range, whilst that for Crete showed an increase in threshold sea speed as the land network became more complex.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingcitation

    The middle map shows a travelling salesman solution for the fastest route starting at Salamis and finishing at Arsinoe using a standard ship speed of 3.9 knots, close to Whitewright's (2011) 'favourable conditions' velocity made good for a ship.

    “The middle map shows a travelling salesman solution for the fastest route starting at Salamis and finishing at Arsinoe using a standard ship speed of 3.9 knots, close toWhitewright's (2011) 'favourable conditions' velocity made good for a ship”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Whitewright's (2011)

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingown data

    When the sea speed is reduced to 1.6 knots, around Whitewright's unfavourable conditions speed, an itinerary with no sea legs is produced, though the order in which the destinations are taken does not alter.

    “When the sea speed is reduced to 1.6 knots, around Whitewright's unfavourable conditions speed, an itinerary with no sea legs is produced (not shown) though the order in which the destinations are taken does not alter.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Whitewright

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds.

    Findingnone given

    All roads in the simpler network are also in the more complex network.

    “All roads in the simpler network are also in the more complex network.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.

    Findingnone given

    The most computationally expensive part of the process, that of running Dijkstra's algorithm, is reduced by running it only on a subset of the cost matrix.

    “The most computationally expensive part of the process, that of running Dijkstra's algorithm, is reduced by running it only on a subset of the cost matrix.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.

    Findingown data

    Solving the TSP by comparing all possible routes for the nine locations in Cyprus took about 0.006 seconds.

    “we were able to solve the TSP by comparing all possible routes for the nine locations in Cyprus (Figure 10) in about 0.006 seconds.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingown data

    For networks of complexity λ=4,7,10, threshold sea speeds at which TSP routes become similar to Delphic theoroi routes are 2.5 knots for Cyprus and 1.9, 2.2, 2.3 knots for Crete.

    “λ = 4 λ = 7 λ = 10 Cyprus 2.5 2.5 2.5 Crete 1.9 2.2 2.3 Table 1 Threshold sea speeds (knots) at which TSP routes become similar to Delphic theoroi routes for networks of different complexity (λ).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds.

    Findingreasoning

    A small random perturbation of between plus and minus 1% added to distances between grid points changes journey times by much less than 1%.

    “A small random perturbation of between plus and minus 1% is added to the distances between grid points resulting in trajectories which are not quite straight.Largely cancelling in aggregate, these perturbations change journey times by much less than 1%.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingown data

    The TSP solution based on a more complex network of λ = 10 allows a more direct route between nodes 9 and 10 bypassing 11, though the overall order in which named destinations are visited is not changed.

    “The TSP solution based on a more complex network of λ = 10 (not shown) allows a more direct route between nodes 9 and 10 bypassing 11, though the overall order in which named destinations are visited is not changed.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Premisenone given

    For each of the cost functions (Tobler, modified Tobler, Naismith/Langmuir, Minetti), edge values depend only on distance and slope and are anisotropic.

    “For each of these functions the edge values between points depend only on the distance and slope and are anisotropic, in other words they differ according to the slope in the direction of travel rather than simply depending on absolute slope.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites Tobler 1993

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites Márquez-Pérez, Vallejo-Villalta & Álvarez-Francoso (2017) source
    • cites Langmuir (1984)

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.

    Premisecitation

    Bekker-Nielsen quotes β = 1.31 to 1.35 for reconstructed Roman road networks in Gaul, northern Italy and Greece, and 'more than two' for the area around Carthage.

    “He also quotes (p.225) β = 1.31 to 1.35 for reconstructed Roman road networks in Gaul, northern Italy and Greece, and 'more than two' for the area around Carthage.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Bekker-Nielsen (2004: 225)

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds.

    Interpretationreasoning

    The cost in loss of agricultural land is likely to exert a strong constraint against proliferation of roads in flat areas.

    “Quite apart from considerations of travel and build costs, the cost in loss of agricultural land is likely to exert a strong constraint against such proliferation.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Taken with Rathmann's contention (2016) that the TP has Hellenistic origins, these observations support the use of the derived value of λ = 7 for the earlier period, so long as the network is reconstructed with contemporary nodes.

    “Taken with Rathmann's contention (2016) that the TP has Hellenistic origins these observations support the use of the derived value of λ = 7 for this earlier period, so long as the network is reconstructed with contemporary nodes.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Rathmann (2016)

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisecitation

    Pikoulas (2007: 85) makes a similar point in relation to the road network of the Peloponnese and the rest of southern Greece, where there are no known exclusively Roman road constructions.

    “Pikoulas (2007: 85) makes a similar point in relation to the road network of the Peloponnese and the rest of southern Greece, where there are no known exclusively Roman road constructions.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Pikoulas (2007: 85)

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.

    Study design and conductnone given

    No account is taken in this implementation of the costs of negotiating different land types or of crossing rivers.

    “No account is taken in this implementation of the costs of negotiating different land types, e.g. the difficulties associated with marshy ground, or of crossing rivers.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Premisecitation

    Verbrugge (1976) found that all bar two of the major routes of Sicily were in place before the advent of the Romans, and that routes used by travellers and the imperial post show no signs of Roman engineering or realignment.

    “Verbrugge (1976), in his study of the road network of Sicily, found that all bar two of the major routes of the island were in place before the advent of the Romans, and that the routes used by travellers and the imperial post show no signs of Roman engineering or realignment.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Verbrugge (1976)

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Premisereasoning

    Anisotropy is reflected in the fact that COST(i, j) ≠ COST(j, i) unless the surface is perfectly flat, which is the case with travel over water.

    “Anisotropy is reflected in the fact that COST(i, j) ≠ COST(j, i) unless the surface is perfectly flat, which is the case with travel over water.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. It may state two separate claims as one.

    Premisenone given

    Whereas there is a clear optimization methodology for individual LCPs, the cost, or efficiency, metric for network optimization is less well defined.

    “Whereas there is a clear optimization methodology for individual LCPs, the cost, or efficiency, metric for network optimization is less well defined.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.

    Premisecitation

    Verhagen, Polla & Frommer (2014) point out that cost functions commonly used to derive LCPs are not necessarily applicable to a road designed for wheeled transport, particularly in respect of differences in coping with slopes.

    “Verhagen, Polla & Frommer (2014) point out that the cost functions commonly used to derive LCPs are not necessarily applicable to a road designed for wheeled transport, particularly in respect of the differences in coping with slopes”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Verhagen, Polla & Frommer (2014)

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    Taking all LCPs of 10 Roman miles or less minimized the risk of indirect routes through intermediate nodes and of copyist omission errors.

    “We took all LCPs of 10 Roman miles or less to minimize the risk of indirect routes through intermediate nodes and of copyist omission errors, and they matched their TP equivalents to less than half a percent.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper may give no reason why it holds.

    Premisenone given

    To model a multi-stage journey, a network of individual routes must be considered.

    “However, to model a multi-stage journey, a network of individual routes must be considered.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Interpretationnone given

    The comparisons in the calibration are not made against truth, which cannot be known, but against the LCP network, which has its own bias and noise.

    “Ultimately, consideration of the quality of the TP data should be made in light of the fact that the comparisons here are not made against truth, which cannot be known, but against the LCP network, which doubtless has its own bias and noise.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisecitation

    Humans tend to economize many aspects of their behaviour, seeking the easiest path requiring minimum cost.

    “Following the 'Principle of Least Effort' (Zipf 1949), Surface -Evans & White (2012) state that least cost analysis is predicated on the assumption that humans 'tend to economize many aspects of their behaviour'.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Zipf 1949

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites Surface-Evans & White (2012)

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper may give no reason why it holds.

    Premisenone given

    The complexity of the network is a strong determinant of how direct longer routes or itineraries are.

    “The complexity of the network is a strong determinant of how direct longer routes or itineraries are, so to recreate the degree of connectedness of settlements across a wide region in the ancient world, a suitable network must be created.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. It may state two separate claims as one.

    Premisecitation

    Standard LCP generation suffers from four issues: failure to consider anisotropic costs; the choice of appropriate hiking functions; the limitations of spreading algorithms to accumulate cost; and the absence of calibration and validation of results.

    “Bevan lists four such issues associated with the generation of least cost surfaces: failure to consider anisotropic costs (i.e.ones that vary according to direction of movement); the choice of appropriate hiking functions; the limitations of spreading algorithms to accumulate cost; and the absence of calibration and validation of results.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Bevan 2013

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.

    Interpretationreasoning

    This contrasts with the findings of Prignano et al. (2019) in relation to road networks of Iron Age Etruria, though the difference could be explained by the much larger area considered here.

    “This contrasts with the findings of Prignano et al. (2019) in relation to road networks of Iron Age Etruria, though the difference could be explained by the fact that here we are considering a much larger area.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Prignano et al. (2019) source

      Checked before — its earlier verdict is held back until a new check runs.

  • Probably not a substantial claim. It may be too vague to check against evidence. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.

    Premisecitation

    There are advantages to keeping models simple as they are easy to understand and test under controlled conditions.

    “However, as Bevan (2013) argues, there are advantages to keeping models simple as they are easy to understand and test under controlled conditions.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Bevan (2013)

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Interpretationown data

    The modelled distribution approximates the observed one well, indicating that 98.1% of the observed frequency within bins can be explained by the idealized distributions.

    “gives confidence that the modelled distribution approximates the observed one well, indicating that 98.1% of the observed frequency within bins can be explained by the idealized distributions.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.

    Premisecitation

    The modified Tobler function has a critical slope for cost-saving zig-zagging of 27%, as defined by Llobera & Sluckin's (2007) equation 20.

    “The modified Tobler function has a critical slope for cost-saving zig-zagging of 27%, as defined by Llobera & Sluckin's (2007) equation 20.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Llobera & Sluckin's (2007) source
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Interpretationown data

    The small sample size (5) means too much should not be read into the match, though it gives no evidence of systematic divergence between direct LCP distances and TP values.

    “Too much should not be read into this because of the small sample size (5), though it certainly gives no evidence of systematic divergence between direct LCP distances and TP values.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisecitation

    Verbrugge concludes that where the Romans found an adequate road network they made few attempts to improve or extend it.

    “He concludes that where they found an adequate road network they made few attempts to improve or extend it.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Verbrugge (1976)

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim.

    Interpretationnone given

    The minimum total cost methodology generalizes the concepts of competing costs into a system in which least cost to the builder and least cost to the user fall out as the extremes of one technique, and allows all gradations in between.

    “Here we introduce a methodology that addresses these notional costs, which we call minimum total cost.It generalizes the concepts of competing costs into a system in which least cost to the builder and least cost to the user fall out as the extremes of one technique, and allows all gradations in between.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
    • The authors state this as an assumption: Build costs are continuous, spread over an extended period of time, like travel costs.
    • The authors state this as an assumption: Build cost per unit length of road is proportional to the time or energetic cost of travelling that length.
    • The authors state this as an assumption: Traffic volume effects on travel and build costs cancel out in the ratio b/t.
  • Probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisecitation

    Bekker-Nielsen (2004: 200) states that the Romans did not generally include the extra distance resulting from switchbacks in their surveyed distances.

    “Bekker-Nielsen (2004: 200) states that the Romans did not generally include the extra distance resulting from switchbacks in their surveyed distances”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Bekker-Nielsen (2004: 200)

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Premisecitation

    Techniques such as triangulation or proximal point analysis produce results which seem heuristically to be a compromise between the extremes of least cost to the user and least cost to the builder, but fail to balance building and using costs formally.

    “Techniques such as triangulation or proximal point analysis produce results which seem heuristically to be a compromise between the extremes of least cost to the user and least cost to the builder (Herzog 2014b;Groenhuijzen & Verhagen 2017), but fail to balance building and using costs formally.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Herzog 2014b

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites Groenhuijzen & Verhagen 2017 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim.

    Interpretationnone given
    § Budget Travel in the Mediterranean: A Methodology for Reconstructing Ancient Journeys through Least Cost Networks

    A methodology for generating networks of such paths is introduced based on a tradeoff between building and travel costs, minimizing the total cost.

    “A methodology for generating networks of such paths is introduced based on a tradeoff between building and travel costs, minimizing the total cost.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. It may be too vague to check against evidence. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.

    Interpretationreasoning

    For our purposes the distinction between the two sources of error is not of great importance since our main interest is in generating realistic edge costs between nodes regardless of how that is achieved.

    “However, for our purposes the distinction between the two sources of error is not of great importance since our main interest is in generating realistic edge costs between nodes regardless of how that is achieved.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Interpretationcitation

    An upper limit of 36 hours on a single journey over water means routes are allowed across the Aegean Sea (aided by island hopping) but journeys across the Ionian Sea were restricted to the narrower part between Epirus and Italy, consistent with a practice of cabotage.

    “An upper limit was placed on the amount of time allowed for a single journey over water of 36 hours which means that whilst routes are allowed across the Aegean Sea (aided by island hopping), journeys across the Ionian Sea were restricted to the narrower part between Epirus and Italy, consistent with a practice of cabotage, or not straying too far from the coast”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Constantakopoulou 2007: 176

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites Rougé 1966: 173

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisecitation

    Verhagen, Polla & Frommer (2014) estimate that a mule-drawn cart with a load of 500 kg would be unable to get in motion on a slope of greater than 9%, based on an equation by Raepsaet (2002).

    “and estimate that a mule-drawn cart with a load of 500 kg would be unable to get in motion on a slope of greater than 9%, based on an equation by Raepsaet (2002).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Verhagen, Polla & Frommer (2014)

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites Raepsaet (2002)

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Premisecitation

    Since journeys are more commonly undertaken in summer, sea breeze effects are frequently likely to generate winds at odds with climatological open-sea values, giving a fairly reliable onshore wind component for much of the day regardless of large-scale prevailing wind.

    “Since these journeys are more commonly undertaken in summer, sea breeze effects are frequently likely to generate winds at odds with the climatological, open-sea values, giving a fairly reliable onshore wind component for much of the day regardless of the largescale prevailing wind.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Heikell (2018)

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites Hsu (1988)

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Premisecitation

    Tobler's hiking function is about 23% faster than the Modified Tobler function when walking on the flat, and using it would suggest sea speeds faster in proportion (about 2.5 to 3.0 knots).

    “Tobler's hiking function (Tobler 1993) is about 23% faster than the Modified Tobler function when walking on the flat, and using it would suggest sea speeds faster in proportion (about 2.5 to 3.0 knots).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Tobler 1993

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim. It may be too vague to check against evidence. The paper may give no reason why it holds. It may state two separate claims as one.

    Premisenone given

    In reality, a whole host of costs can simultaneously be attributed to travel including monetary expenditure, organizational effort, and, along with a direct energetic cost, the mental and physical stress of a journey.

    “In reality, a whole host of costs can simultaneously be attributed to travel including monetary expenditure, organizational effort, and, along with a direct energetic cost, the mental and physical stress of a journey.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Such treatments are necessarily approximate since there will be geographically and temporally varying costs, e.g. of piracy and shipwreck, which would require a higher order of complexity to represent.

    “Of course, such treatments are necessarily approximate since there will be geographically and temporally varying costs, e.g. of piracy and shipwreck, which would require a higher order of complexity to represent.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Premisecitation

    According to Heikell (2018), Mediterranean sea breezes set in during the morning and last till evening, blowing onshore and extending as much as 50 miles out to sea.

    “According to Heikell (2018), such winds in the Mediterranean set in during the morning and last till evening, blowing onshore and extending as much as 50 miles out to sea.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Heikell (2018)

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper may give no reason why it holds. It may state two separate claims as one.

    Interpretationnone given

    A source of data on node locations, such as Pleiades, is necessary along with a suitable DEM and some means of estimating an appropriate network complexity metric, λ.

    “A source of data on node locations, such as Pleiades, is necessary along with a suitable DEM and some means of estimating an appropriate network complexity metric, λ.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. It may be too vague to check against evidence. The paper may give no reason why it holds. It may state two separate claims as one.

    Interpretationreasoning

    The DTL itineraries are considered more useful than an account of a one-off journey since they result from the experience of regular journeys over multiple years during which there will have been ample opportunity for fine tuning.

    “However, the DTL itineraries are considered more useful than an account of a one-off journey since they result from the experience of regular journeys over multiple years during which there will have been ample opportunity for fine tuning.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds.

    Interpretationnone given

    For full accuracy, LCPs may be derived at full resolution using the rotate and oversample method.

    “For full accuracy, LCPs may be derived at full resolution using the rotate and oversample method (Figure 1).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    Capturing the sea-land breeze cycle in a quantitative way is very challenging because the effect tends to cancel out over any averaging period of 24 hours or more and numerical models used in generating climatologies are generally too coarse to represent such small-scale effects.

    “Capturing the cycle in a quantitative way, however, is very challenging because the effect tends to cancel out over any averaging period of 24 hours or more and the numerical models used in generating such climatologies are generally too coarse to represent such small-scale effects.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. It may be too vague to check against evidence. The paper may give no reason why it holds.

    Interpretationreasoning

    When ancient travellers made journeys, it seems likely that their choice of route and mode of travel would be made not just on the basis of time or effort, but on an amalgam of costs as outlined above.

    “When ancient travellers made journeys, it seems likely that their choice of route and mode of travel would be made not just on the basis of time or effort, but on an amalgam of costs as outlined above.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    There is no representation of rivers either as conduits for travel by boat or as barriers to land travel, mainly because of the extra layers of complexity in implementation that this would have entailed.

    “There is no representation of rivers either as conduits for travel by boat or as barriers to land travel, mainly because of the extra layers of complexity in implementation that this would have entailed.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.

    Interpretationreasoning

    The actual travelling time may have been different from that derived by using the virtual speed as an actual speed.

    “The actual travelling time may have been different from that derived by using the virtual speed as an actual speed.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim.

    Interpretationreasoning

    When using the Delphic theorodokoi lists to weight the relative speeds of land and sea travel, it is really a virtual speed which we are ascertaining since these routes are likely to have been established over many years with a view to minimizing all costs, not simply that of time.

    “When using the Delphic theorodokoi lists to weight the relative speeds of land and sea travel, it is really a virtual speed which we are ascertaining since these routes are likely to have been established over many years with a view to minimizing all costs, not simply that of time.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.

    Interpretationnone given

    The GPO method is efficient from the point of view of coding and replicates a network evolution whereby decisions about where to build the next road are made collectively at a network-wide level on the basis of which pair of settlements across the network will benefit most.

    “The GPO method is efficient from the point of view of coding and replicates a network evolution whereby decisions about where to build the next road are made collectively at a network-wide level on the basis of which pair of settlements across the network will benefit most.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Testing each link on all settlement linkages simultaneously would involve running Dijkstra's algorithm on the full network many times, so would be prohibitively expensive.

    “However, this would involve running Dijkstra's algorithm on the full network many times, so would be prohibitively expensive.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. It may state two separate claims as one.

    Interpretationcitation

    Given the evidence that the Modified Tobler function is more accurate, the lower range (2.0 to 2.5 knots) is preferred.

    “However, given the evidence that the Modified Tobler function is more accurate (Márquez-Pérez, Vallejo-Villalta & Álvarez-Francoso 2017; Seifried & Gardner 2019) the lower range is preferred.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Márquez-Pérez, Vallejo-Villalta & Álvarez-Francoso 2017 source
    • cites Seifried & Gardner 2019 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim. It may be too vague to check against evidence. The paper may give no reason why it holds. It may state two separate claims as one.

    Interpretationnone given

    Whilst these eventualities will not materialize on most journeys, even a low probability that they might can be treated as a continuous cost.

    “Whilst these eventualities will not materialize on most journeys, even a low probability that they might can be treated as a continuous cost.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.

    Interpretationnone given

    The LOS method differs from the GPO method in placing the decision-making for road building at the level of the individual settlement, with regard only to optimization of routes from each settlement separately.

    “The LOS method differs from the GPO method in placing the decision-making for road building at the level of the individual settlement, with regard only to optimization of routes from each settlement separately.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.

    Premisecitation

    Gal, Saaroni & Cvikel concede that their approach works principally for direct runs over open sea and that a separate method is required for modelling sea-breeze assisted coastal sailing.

    “However, they concede that this works principally for direct runs over open sea and that a separate method is required for modelling sea-breeze assisted coastal sailing.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Gal, Saaroni & Cvikel (2021) source

      Checked before — its earlier verdict is held back until a new check runs.

  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Premisereasoning

    At night and into the first part of the morning a weaker land breeze, blowing offshore, predominates, easing an early-morning exit from a harbour, with the transition to the onshore sea breeze often being highly predictable.

    “At night and into the first part of the morning a weaker land breeze, blowing offshore, predominates, easing an early-morning exit from a harbour, the transition to the onshore sea breeze often being highly predictable.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.

    Premisecitation

    Perlman (1995: 130) states that about a dozen names lost from the theorodokoi inscription's fourth column, between Oaxos and Hierapytna, are probably from northeast Crete.

    “It is stated by Perlman (1995: 130) that about a dozen names lost from the theorodokoi inscription's fourth column, between Oaxos and Hierapytna, are probably from northeast Crete.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Perlman (1995: 130)

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim. It may be too vague to check against evidence. The paper may give no reason why it holds. It may state two separate claims as one.

    Interpretationnone given

    The time costs represented by these speeds can also be taken as proxies for a number of other considerations such as monetary cost, physical effort, organizational difficulties and risks associated with the different modes of travel, and the speeds of land and sea travel would better be considered as virtual rather than actual speeds.

    “It should be borne in mind that the time costs represented by these speeds can also be taken as proxies for a number of other considerations such as monetary cost, physical effort, organizational difficulties and risks associated with the different modes of travel, and that the speeds of land and sea travel would better be considered as virtual rather than actual speeds”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds.

    Interpretationnone given

    λ could be derived through other means such as tuning to an estimated β value.

    “This could be done, as here, by using a dataset of internode road distances, though it could also be derived through other means such as tuning to an estimated β value.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Premisecitation

    A sea speed of 2.0 to 2.5 knots fits centrally in Whitewright's (2011) range of speeds for ships of the first century BCE and is consistent with de Soto (2019: 281) who estimates an average speed of 2.3 knots for coasting journeys.

    “In addition to fitting centrally in Whitewright's (2011) range of speeds for ships of the first century BCE, it is consistent with de Soto (2019: 281) who estimates an average speed of 2.3 knots for coasting journeys.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Whitewright (2011)

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites de Soto (2019: 281) source

      Checked before — its earlier verdict is held back until a new check runs.

  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds.

    Interpretationnone given

    It is possible to lift this constraint in a variant of the scheme.

    “It is possible to lift this constraint in a variant of the scheme.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Premisecitation

    Theorodokoi acted as hosts for religious delegates (theoroi) visiting from afar, and cities which sent out these delegates kept lists inscribed in stone for public display containing the names of the theorodokoi they would call upon, alongside the names of their cities.

    “Theorodokoi acted as hosts for religious delegates (theoroi) visiting from afar, and cities which sent out these delegates kept lists inscribed in stone for public display containing the names of the theorodokoi they would call upon, alongside the names of their cities.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Perlman 1995

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites Plassart 1921 source

      Checked before — its earlier verdict is held back until a new check runs.

  • Probably not a substantial claim. It may state two separate claims as one.

    Premisecitation

    Such lists were usually organized geographically and within them some itineraries can be inferred.

    “Such lists were usually organized geographically and within them some itineraries can be inferred (Perlman 2000;Rutherford 2013).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Perlman 2000

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites Rutherford 2013

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim. It may state two separate claims as one.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    No account of prevailing winds or currents was taken, mainly for simplicity, but also on the basis that the majority of edges represent journeys close to land.

    “No account of prevailing winds or currents was taken, as is done e.g. in the ORBIS tool (https://history.stanford. edu/publications/orbis-stanford-geospatial-network-model- roman-world), mainly for the sake of simplicity, but also on the basis that the majority of edges represent journeys close to land.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: The majority of edges represent journeys close to land.
  • Probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisereasoning

    The TSP is an asymmetric travelling salesman problem because costs between nodes vary with direction.

    “Specifically, this is an asymmetric travelling salesman problem because costs between nodes vary with direction.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.

    Interpretationnone given

    For maximum convenience at the expense of significant loss of accuracy, geodesic (straight-line) distances could have been used.

    “For maximum convenience at the expense of significant loss of accuracy, geodesic (straight-line) distances could have been used.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds.

    Interpretationnone given

    Kaudos is inserted as an end point since it seems that the itinerary then continued with Cyrene in Libya.

    “Kaudos is inserted as an end point since it seems that the itinerary then continued with Cyrene in Libya.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Premisecitation

    The different costs on the denominator have different units, though could all be converted to the same units given a suitable conversion factor in the same way that in modern-day economics a life is assigned a monetary cost when making decisions on spending on transport safety measures.

    “Clearly, the different costs on the denominator have different units, though could all be converted to the same units given a suitable conversion factor in the same way that in modern-day economics a life is assigned a monetary cost when making decisions on spending on transport safety measures (Hauer 1994).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Hauer 1994 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim. It may be too vague to check against evidence.

    Interpretationreasoning

    We can do so approximately and with minimal complexity by introducing the concept of virtual speed.

    “However, we can do so approximately and with minimal complexity by introducing the concept of virtual speed.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds. It may state two separate claims as one.

    Premisenone given

    Time measured in elapsed days needs to be calculated separately since this depends on the spacing of nodes in the network, with routes which go through nodes conveniently separated by a day's walk over land making more efficient use of travel time.

    “Another consideration is that time measured in elapsed days needs to be calculated separately since this depends on the spacing of nodes in the network, with routes which go through nodes conveniently separated by a day's walk over land making more efficient use of travel time.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds.

    Premisenone given

    When calculating the cost surfaces for the purposes of establishing LCPs, the most easily quantified costs are time or energetic output.

    “When calculating the cost surfaces for the purposes of establishing LCPs, the most easily quantified costs are time or energetic output.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. It may be too vague to check against evidence. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.

    Interpretationreasoning

    The technique could be made more comprehensively global if the establishment of each link were tested on the basis of the benefit it conferred not just on the pair of settlements it links but on all settlement linkages simultaneously.

    “The technique could be made more comprehensively global if the establishment of each link were tested on the basis of the benefit it conferred not just on the pair of settlements it links but on all settlement linkages simultaneously.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. It may be too vague to check against evidence. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds.

    Interpretationnone given

    It may be appropriate to include in the hiking model the effects of other terrain costs where terrain height is not considered to be the main determinant in the choice of routes.

    “it may be appropriate to include in the hiking model the effects of other terrain costs where terrain height is not considered to be the main determinant in the choice of routes.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.

    Premisecitation

    The GPO method has similarities to the EE (equitable efficiency) model of Prignano et al. (2019), though they choose the next path on the basis of that which has the lowest FGCOST/COST and do not weigh the benefit and building cost of each path.

    “The GPO method has some similarities to the EE (equitable efficiency) model of Prignano et al. (2019), though they choose the next path on the basis of that which has the lowest FGCOST/COST and do not weigh the benefit and building cost of each path.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Prignano et al. (2019) source

      Checked before — its earlier verdict is held back until a new check runs.

  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper may give no reason why it holds.

    Premisenone given

    A second class of cost is the risk of mishap, such as falling prey to pirates or brigands, or of shipwreck.

    “A second class of cost is the risk of mishap, such as falling prey to pirates or brigands, or of shipwreck.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. It may be too vague to check against evidence. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.

    Interpretationnone given

    The same principles outlined in this paper could be applied to other geographic areas, such as the wider Roman empire, as well as to later or earlier periods.

    “The same principles outlined in this paper could be applied to other geographic areas, such as the wider Roman empire, as well as to later or earlier periods.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds.

    Interpretationnone given

    Use of ancient lakes and coastlines to modify the DEM is not necessarily a prerequisite of successful application of the technique.

    “Use of ancient lakes and coastlines to modify the DEM is not necessarily a prerequisite of successful application of the technique”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.

    Interpretationnone given

    Applying a uniform value is equivalent to the approximation entailed in using a set sea speed without regard for the geographical and seasonal variation in winds and currents.

    “Applying a uniform value is equivalent to the approximation entailed in using a set sea speed without regard for the geographical and seasonal variation in winds and currents.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. It may state two separate claims as one.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    Two itineraries from the DTL are used to calibrate the sea speed, one for Cyprus and the other Crete, island itineraries being specifically chosen as they are more likely to allow both land and sea route options.

    “Two itineraries from the DTL are used here to calibrate the sea speed, one for Cyprus and the other Crete, island itineraries being specifically chosen as they are more likely to allow both land and sea route options.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.

    Interpretationcitation

    Since the Athens-Delphi route was taken as a symbolic procession, the overland itinerary may well have been followed for considerations which go beyond those of travel cost, though at the same time could have evolved originally for such reasons.

    “Since this route was taken as a symbolic procession (Rutherford 2013: 183), the overland itinerary may well have been followed for considerations which go beyond those of travel cost, though at the same time could have evolved originally for such reasons.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Rutherford 2013: 183

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim. It may be too vague to check against evidence. It may state two separate claims as one.

    Interpretationnone given

    It is not easy to represent these costs without introducing complexity, much less to quantify them accurately.

    “It is not easy to represent these costs without introducing complexity, much less to quantify them accurately.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
105 of 105
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    Build costs are continuous, spread over an extended period of time, like travel costs.

    “Whilst construction might be thought to involve a one-off, capital cost, we assume that this is spread over an extended period of time, so that like travel costs, build costs are deemed to be continuous.”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    Build cost per unit length of road is proportional to the time or energetic cost of travelling that length.

    “However, it seems logical that, like travel, road building is more challenging on difficult terrain, so for our purposes build cost per unit length of road has been treated as being proportional to time or energetic cost of travelling that length.”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    Traffic volume effects on travel and build costs cancel out in the ratio b/t.

    “However, in the absence of population data and to keep things as simple as possible, we reason that not only cost of travel, but also of road building is likely to be in some degree proportional to traffic levels, so that this factor would tend to cancel out in b/t.”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    There would likely be stations or small settlements of which we have no record.

    “However, where settlements are sparsely distributed it left holes in some networks, and it was reasoned that there would likely be stations or small settlements of which we have no record.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Poor quality data can be compensated by quantity.

    “it is a fundamental tenet of statistics that poor quality of data can be compensated by quantity”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    The network depicted in the TP represents a small portion of the total road network.

    “Note that we do not use the network itself depicted in the TP, which is assumed to represent a small portion of the total road network, rather simply the given distances.”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    Boats are unconstrained in the directions they take, other than not being allowed to go over land points.

    “on the assumption that boats are unconstrained in the directions they take, other than not being allowed to go over land points.”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    Any settlement within two kilometres of the sea or a lake can access travel by boat.

    “Any settlement within two kilometres of the sea or a lake is deemed to be able to access travel by boat”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    Boats could load or unload passengers and cargo alike whilst lying at anchor.

    “it being assumed that boats could load or unload passengers and cargo alike whilst lying at anchor (Votruba 2017).”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The majority of edges represent journeys close to land.

    “but also on the basis that the majority of edges represent journeys close to land.”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    Non-time costs can be taken as more or less proportional to time spent travelling.

    “Since the non-time costs can be taken as more or less proportional to time spent travelling, we could rewrite the expression as”
11 of 11

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • Least Cost Path model results are difficult to completely match ancient migration paths, whereas Circuit Theory model corridors can delineate the possible range of ancient migration paths and are more conducive to targeted archaeological surveys.

    “此外,LCP 模型结果很难做到与 古人迁徙路径完全吻合,而 CT 模型形成的线路廊道则可以圈定古人迁徙路径可 能存在的范围,更有利于对研究区域进行倾向性考古调查 [91] [92] 。”

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.

  • Conflicting lower bound for the LOS method

    Minor

    The main text says the LOS method permits λ = 1, while Appendix 1 says it only permits λ > 1. The two bounds disagree at λ = 1.

1 of 1

Citations

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

Research works printed but not linked: 23

  1. 2004, The roads of ancient Cyprus
  2. 2013, The Digital Classicist 2013, 3
  3. 2007, The dance of the islands: insularity, networks, the Athenian empire, and the Aegean world
  4. 2018, The Adlard Coles Book of Mediterranean Cruising
  5. 2013, Computational Approaches to Archaeological Spaces, 179
  6. 1988, Coastal meteorology
  7. 1963, Structure of transportation networks: relationships between network geometry and regional characteristics
  8. 1984, Mountaincraft and leadership: a handbook for mountaineers and hillwalking leaders in the British Isles
  9. 1995, Theorodokountes en tais polesin, 113
  10. 2007, Travel, geography and culture in ancient Greece, Egypt and the Near East
  11. 2012, Το οδικό δίκτυο της Λακωνικής (The Road-network of Lakonikē)
  12. 2002, Attelages et techniques de transport dans le monde gréco-romain
  13. 2016, Brill’s Companion to Ancient Geography, 335
  14. 2013, Euploia. La Lycie et la Carie antiques. Actes du colloque de Bordeaux, 63
  15. 2013, State-Pilgrims and Sacred Observers in Ancient Greece: A Study of Theoria and Theoroi
  16. 2001, Travel and geography in the Roman Empire, 32
  17. 2012, Least Cost Analyses of Social Landscapes: Archaeological Case Studies, 1
  18. 2000, Barrington Atlas of the Greek and Roman World
  19. 1993, Three presentations on geographical analysis and modeling. Non–Isotropic Modeling, Speculations on the Geometry of Geography, Global Geographical Analysis (93–1)
  20. 1976, Sicilia (Itinera Romana, 2)
  21. 2014, Computational approaches to movement in archaeology: Theory, Practice and Interpretation of Factors and Effects of Long Term Landscape Formation and Transformation, 73
  22. 2000, Geography: An integrated approach
  23. 1949, Human behavior and the principle of least effort: an introduction to human ecology

Metadata

Authors
Carroll, F., & Carroll, E.
Affiliations
University of Exeter (GB)
Corresponding author
Carroll, Fiona
Venue
Journal of Computer Applications in Archaeology
Published
2022
Volume
5
Issue
1
Pages
35-56
ISSN
2514-8362 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W4225596709
Cited by
5
References
34
Citations by year
2026: 3 · 2025: 1 · 2023: 1
FWCI
0.90
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Licence
cc-by
Locations
  • Journal of Computer Applications in Archaeology (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
  • Figshare (submittedVersion, cc-by)
  • Open Research Exeter (University of Exeter) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Archeology › Archaeological Research and Protection
  • Social Sciences › Arts and Humanities › Classics › Classical Antiquity Studies
  • Social Sciences › Arts and Humanities › Archeology (arts and humanities) › Ancient Mediterranean Archaeology and History
Keywords
least-cost path, long-distance travel, Mediterranean trade, Peutinger Table, asymmetric traveling salesman problem, network inference, Roman itineraries

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

A language model drew the claims from the paper on 2026-11-10, under version 3 of the claim definition (model deepseek-v4.1-flash, prompt extract-v3).

A second model labelled each claim on 2026-11-10 (model jev-1.13-20260917, definition revision gold-guideline-v0.2).

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

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