Association of daily step count and step intensity with mortality among US adults
Open accessAbstract
Importance: It is unclear whether the number of steps per day and the intensity of stepping are associated with lower mortality. Objective: Describe the dose-response relationship between step count and intensity and mortality. Design, Setting, and Participants: Representative sample of US adults aged at least 40 years in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey who wore an accelerometer for up to 7 days ( from 2003-2006). Mortality was ascertained through December 2015. Exposures: Accelerometer-measured number of steps per day and 3 step intensity measures (extended bout cadence, peak 30-minute cadence, and peak 1-minute cadence [steps/min]). Accelerometer data were based on measurements obtained during a 7-day period at baseline. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. Secondary outcomes were cardiovascular disease (CVD) and cancer mortality. Hazard ratios (HRs), mortality rates, and 95% CIs were estimated using cubic splines and quartile classifications adjusting for age; sex; race/ethnicity; education; diet; smoking status; body mass index; self-reported health; mobility limitations; and diagnoses of diabetes, stroke, heart disease, heart failure, cancer, chronic bronchitis, and emphysema. Results: A total of 4840 participants (mean age, 56.8 years; 2435 [54%] women; 1732 [36%] individuals with obesity) wore accelerometers for a mean of 5.7 days for a mean of 14.4 hours per day. The mean number of steps per day was 9124. There were 1165 deaths over a mean 10.1 years of follow-up, including 406 CVD and 283 cancer deaths. The unadjusted incidence density for all-cause mortality was 76.7 per 1000 person-years (419 deaths) for the 655 individuals who took less than 4000 steps per day; 21.4 per 1000 person-years (488 deaths) for the 1727 individuals who took 4000 to 7999 steps per day; 6.9 per 1000 person-years (176 deaths) for the 1539 individuals who took 8000 to 11 999 steps per day; and 4.8 per 1000 person-years (82 deaths) for the 919 individuals who took at least 12 000 steps per day. Compared with taking 4000 steps per day, taking 8000 steps per day was associated with significantly lower all-cause mortality (HR, 0.49 [95% CI, 0.44-0.55]), as was taking 12 000 steps per day (HR, 0.35 [95% CI, 0.28-0.45]). Unadjusted incidence density for all-cause mortality by peak 30 cadence was 32.9 per 1000 person-years (406 deaths) for the 1080 individuals who took 18.5 to 56.0 steps per minute; 12.6 per 1000 person-years (207 deaths) for the 1153 individuals who took 56.1 to 69.2 steps per minute; 6.8 per 1000 person-years (124 deaths) for the 1074 individuals who took 69.3 to 82.8 steps per minute; and 5.3 per 1000 person-years (108 deaths) for the 1037 individuals who took 82.9 to 149.5 steps per minute. Greater step intensity was not significantly associated with lower mortality after adjustment for total steps per day (eg, highest vs lowest quartile of peak 30 cadence: HR, 0.90 [95% CI, 0.65-1.27]; P value for trend = .34). Conclusions and Relevance: Based on a representative sample of US adults, a greater number of daily steps was significantly associated with lower all-cause mortality. There was no significant association between step intensity and mortality after adjusting for total steps per day.
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An increase of only 500 steps/day is associated with 2-9% decreased risk of cardiovascular morbidity and all-cause mortality rates.
“with an increase of only 500 steps/day associated with 2 -9% decreased risk of cardiovascular morbidity and all-cause mortality rates (105 -107).”
From Management of Hyperglycemia in Type 2 Diabetes, 2022. A Consensus Report by the American Diabetes Association (ADA) and the European Association for the Study of Diabetes (EASD) (2022) · cites this paper as [107]
The Step Counts and All-cause Mortality and Cardiovascular Disease and Cancer Mortality sections (page numbers unavailable) associate higher daily step counts with lower all-cause and CVD mortality. They compare 8,000 with 4,000 steps/day, however, and do not report a 2–9% reduction per 500 steps/day or assess cardiovascular morbidity. (LLM, conf=0.88)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredPrior studies consistently show that taking fewer steps per day is associated with higher risk of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular disease.
“Prior studies consistently show that taking fewer steps per day1–6 is associated with higher risk of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular disease.”
From Association of step counts over time with the risk of chronic disease in the All of Us Research Program (2022) · cites this paper as [1]
The Discussion reports that greater daily step counts were associated with lower all-cause and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality in US adults aged 40 or older. The Cardiovascular Disease and Cancer Mortality section likewise reports lower CVD mortality at 8000 versus 4000 steps per day. The paper measures deaths from CVD, not the risk of developing cardiovascular disease, so it does not support that part of the claim as written. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredPrior studies have focused on a relatively targeted set of outcomes limited to mortality, diabetes and cardiovascular disease.
“Second, prior studies have focused on a relatively targeted set of outcomes limited to mortality, diabetes and cardiovascular disease.”
From Association of step counts over time with the risk of chronic disease in the All of Us Research Program (2022) · cites this paper as [1]
The Discussion describes prior step-count studies focused on mortality, and the paper examines cardiovascular-disease mortality. But the paper does not identify diabetes as an outcome of those prior studies; its Statistical Analysis lists diabetes as a covariate. It therefore supports the mortality focus, not the full list of outcomes or the claim that prior studies were limited to them. (LLM, conf=0.82)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredPhysical activity is a key determinant of healthy aging, mitigating physiological decline, reducing the risk of chronic diseases, and preserving functional independence.
“Physical activity is a key determinant of healthy aging, mitigating physiological decline, reducing the risk of chronic diseases, and preserving functional independence [84,85].”
From The Power of Environment: A Comprehensive Review of the Exposome's Role in Healthy Aging, Longevity, and Preventive Medicine-Lessons from Blue Zones and Cilento (2025) · cites this paper as [84]
The Discussion reports that more daily steps were associated with lower all-cause, cardiovascular disease, and cancer mortality among US adults aged 40 or older. It does not establish that physical activity mitigates physiological decline, prevents chronic disease, or preserves functional independence; the Discussion also says the observational study cannot support causal inferences. No page number is available in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredPrior studies report no information about activity levels between the baseline period and when outcomes are assessed at follow-up, often many years later.
“Moreover, no information is reported about activity levels between the baseline period and when outcomes are assessed at follow-up, often many years later.”
From Association of step counts over time with the risk of chronic disease in the All of Us Research Program (2022) · cites this paper as [1]
Prior studies assessed physical activity either by self-reported questionnaires or by having participants wear a research-grade device for a brief monitoring period, most often 7 days.
“First, prior studies assessed physical activity either by self-reported questionnaires or by having participants wear a research-grade device for a brief monitoring period (most often 7 days)1–4.”
From Association of step counts over time with the risk of chronic disease in the All of Us Research Program (2022) · cites this paper as [1]
The National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey study found a 51% lower mortality at 8,000 steps per day compared with 4,000 steps per day.
“The National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey study, which quantified steps over a 7-day monitoring period and assessed mortality over an average of 10.1 years, found a 51% lower mortality at 8,000 steps per day compared with 4,000 steps per day1.”
From Association of step counts over time with the risk of chronic disease in the All of Us Research Program (2022) · cites this paper as [1]
Beneficial effects can be observed with minimum step counts ranging from 4,000 to 12,000 steps per day.
“beneficial effects can be observed with minimum step counts ranging from 4,000 to 12,000 steps per day [[62], [63], [64], [65]]”
From Global consensus on optimal exercise recommendations for enhancing healthy longevity in older adults (ICFSR) (2025) · cites this paper as [64]
Beneficial effects of daily step counts can be observed with minimum step counts ranging from 4,000 to 12,000 steps per day.
“Epidemiological studies examining the relationship between daily step counts and health outcomes have produced varied evidence, indicating that beneficial effects can be observed with minimum step counts ranging from 4,000 to 12,000 steps per day [[62], [63], [64], [65]].”
From Global consensus on optimal exercise recommendations for enhancing healthy longevity in older adults (ICFSR) (2025) · cites this paper as [64]
An additional 500 steps per day may decrease cardiovascular and all-cause mortality by 2% to 9%.
“Even an additional 500 steps a day may decrease cardiovascular and all-cause mortality by 2-9%.”
From The Impact of Physical Activity in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes (2025) · cites this paper as [65]
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Assessment of Physical Activity in Adults Using Wrist Accelerometers
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Effectiveness of physical activity monitors in adults: systematic review and meta-analysis
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BackgroundMethodInfluentialMechanoepigenetic regulation of extracellular matrix homeostasis via Yap and Taz
Jones, D. L., Hallstrom, G., Jiang, X., Locke, R. C., Evans, M., Bonnevie, E., Srikumar, A., Leahy, T. P., Nijsure, M. P., Boerckel, J., et al. (2022) · bioRxiv · doi:10.1073/pnas.2211947120 · Cited by 75 · see citing works
“For example, tendons, a dense collagenous connective tissue whose function is to transmit tensile forces from muscle to bone, are subject to thousands of loading cycles each day as a consequence of muscle contraction during activities of daily living (2).”
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“Furthermore, in terms of the prevention of diabetic complications such as cardiovascular disease, PA cannot be overemphasized [40-42].”
Association of Daily Step Patterns With Mortality in US Adults
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Digital Health Applications in Oncology: An Opportunity to Seize
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Worldwide physical activity trends since COVID-19 onset
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“to be an important predictor of mortality independent of step intensity [6].”
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“It is unclear that step intensity is associated with mortality after adjusting for total steps per day [131]. mediates cellular energy homeostasis [76].”
BackgroundBarriers in translating preclinical rodent exercise metabolism findings to human health
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“[28] Saint-Maurice PF, Troiano RP, Bassett DR Jr, Graubard BI, Carlson SA,”
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“Confounding variables Covariates were selected based on the literature and the biological plausibility for confounding the main associations of interest.(9,11,19) Participants self-reported their age and sex.”
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“So far, only a few population-based studies have utilized the 24-hr approach to analyze PA, SB, and sleep/TIB (Cabanas-Husu Sánchez et al., 2020; Doherty et al., 2017; Koolhaas et al., 2017; Niemelä et al., 2019; Ramires et al., 2017; Schram et al., 2014; Wennman et al., 2019).”
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“CVDc,†† 113 (21) 56 (10) 39 (7) 41 (8) 249 (11)”
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Transdermal Drug Delivery Systems and Their Use in Obesity Treatment
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“[7] concluded that the total number of steps per day can be more important for promoting health than step intensity.”
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“Recent data suggests that the optimal number of steps per day varies by age, race/ethnicity, and sex, while stepping rate (or cadence) may not have a strong association with mortality beyond the total number of steps [109,110].”
BackgroundFanaroff, A. C., Patel, M. S., Chokshi, N. P., Coratti, S., Farraday, D., Norton, L. A., Rareshide, C. A. L., Zhu, J., Klaiman, T. A., Szymczak, J. E., et al. (2024) · Circulation · doi:10.1161/circulationaha.124.069531 · Cited by 54 · see citing works
Time- vs Step-Based Physical Activity Metrics for Health
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Exploration of Confounding Due to Poor Health in an Accelerometer–Mortality Study
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“This result increases confidence that the MVPA–mortality associations observed in this report and others (2,6,8,23,25) are not likely to be solely due to confounding by health status.”
BackgroundSelf-citationThe immune-modulatory effects of exercise should be favorably harnessed against COVID-19
Codella, R., Chirico, A., Lucidi, F., Ferrulli, A., Torre, A. L., & Luzi, L. (2020) · Journal of Endocrinological Investigation · doi:10.1007/s40618-020-01403-5 · Cited by 47 · see citing works
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Physical activity and exercise health benefits: cancer prevention, interception, and survival
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“118 In a large meta-analysis of 226 889 patients, a 1000-step increment was associated with a 15% reduced risk of all-cause mortality (HR = 0.85: 95% CI, 0.81-0.91; P < .001).”
InfluentialZhang, Y.-W., Cao, M.-M., Li, Y.-J., Dai, G., Lu, P., Zhang, M., Bai, L.-Y., Chen, X.-X., Shi, L., Zhang, C., et al. (2022) · The Journal of Nutrition, Health & Aging · doi:10.1007/s12603-022-1748-1 · Cited by 38 · see citing works
“Moreover, the blood and urine samples are collected by trained staffs for further laboratory tests (19).”
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“Original Article J Epidemiol 2021;31(5):350-355”
Epidemiology and Cardiovascular Benefits of Physical Activity and Exercise
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Anti-Obesity Drug Delivery Systems: Recent Progress and Challenges
Ashour, M. M., Mabrouk, M., Aboelnasr, M. A., Beherei, H. H., Tohamy, K. M., & Das, D. B. (2023) · Pharmaceutics · doi:10.3390/pharmaceutics15112635 · Cited by 39 · see citing works
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“Nevertheless, despite this, whole data collection process of NHANES is dependable and trusted, and has been verified by several previous researches.(45,46) Third, due to the different living habits and environments of individuals in different countries and ethnic groups, this study only includes the samples from the N…”
MethodGolbus, J. R., GOSCH, K. L., Birmingham, M. C., Butler, J., Lingvay, I., Lanfear, D. E., Abbate, A., Kosiborod, M., Damaraju, C. V., Januzzi, J. L., et al. (2023) · JACC Heart Failure · doi:10.1016/j.jchf.2023.05.033 · Cited by 37 · see citing works
“Can Do, Do Do” Quadrants and 6-Year All-Cause Mortality in Patients With COPD
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“27 28 – 30 Unfortunately, despite robust scienti fi c evidence that bene fi cial lifestyle choices can prolong the lifespan and health span, relatively few adults are engaged in health-promoting behaviors.”
BackgroundSmith, J. A. B., Savikj, M., Sethi, P., Platt, S., Gabriel, B., Hawley, J., Dunstan, D., Krook, A., Zierath, J., & Näslund, E. (2021) · American Journal of Physiology. Endocrinology and Metabolism · doi:10.1152/ajpendo.00599.2020 · Cited by 25 · see citing works
“METHODS Sixteen sedentary individuals (10 women/6 men; median [IQR] age 50 [44-53] 29 years, BMI 32 [32-35.”
BackgroundCuthbertson, C. C., Moore, C. C., Sotres‐Alvarez, D., HEISS, G. M., Isasi, C. R., Mossavar‐Rahmani, Y., Carlson, J., Gallo, L. C., Llabre, M. M., Garcia‐Bedoya, O., et al. (2022) · International Journal of Behavioral Nutrition and Physical Activity · doi:10.1186/s12966-022-01284-2 · Cited by 35 · see citing works
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“The NHANES is a cross-sectional survey that utilizes a complex, multistage, stratified, clustered probability design [33].”
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Felker, G. M., Sharma, A., Mentz, R. J., She, L., Green, C. L., Granger, B. B., Heitner, J. F., Cooper, L. B., Teuteberg, J. J., Grodin, J. L., et al. (2022) · Journal of Cardiac Failure · doi:10.1016/j.cardfail.2022.07.048 · Cited by 32 · see citing works
Work as a Social Determinant of Health: A Necessary Foundation for Occupational Health and Safety
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Development and large-scale validation of the Watch Walk wrist-worn digital gait biomarkers
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Amount, Type, and Timing of Domain-Specific Moderate to Vigorous Physical Activity Among US Adults
Saint‐Maurice, P. F., Berrigan, D. A., Whitfield, G. P., Watson, K. B., Patel, S., Loftfield, E., Sampson, J. N., Fulton, J. E., & Matthews, C. E. (2021) · Journal of Physical Activity and Health · doi:10.1123/jpah.2021-0174 · Cited by 33 · see citing works
“37 Consistent with previous studies, we found that household chores or gardening are common moderate to vigorous activities among US adults.”
BackgroundSelf-citation
- Authors
- Saint-Maurice, P. F., Troiano, R. P., Bassett, D. R., Graubard, B. I., Carlson, S. A., Shiroma, E. J., Fulton, J. E., & Matthews, C. E.
- Affiliations
- Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, Maryland
- National Cancer Institute (US)
- University of Tennessee at Knoxville (US)
- Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics (US)
- Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (US)
- National Institutes of Health (US)
- ORCID
- Venue
- JAMA
- Publisher
- American Medical Association (AMA)
- Published
- 2020-03-24
- Volume
- 323
- Issue
- 12
- Pages
- 1151
- ISSN
- 0002-9955 (ISSN-L)
- 0098-7484
- PMC
- PMC7093766
- OpenAlex
- W3012745165
- Cited by
- 660
- References
- 27
- Citations by year
- 2026: 58 · 2025: 102 · 2024: 122 · 2023: 104 · 2022: 124 · 2021: 92 · 2020: 57
- FWCI
- 56.70
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- JAMA (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Physiology › Physical Activity and Health
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Obesity, Physical Activity, Diet
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Complementary and alternative medicine › Cardiovascular and exercise physiology
- Keywords
- daily step count, physical activity, all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, cancer mortality, dose-response relationship, accelerometer-measured activity, cadence, older adults, obesity, sedentary behavior, physical activity guidelines, mortality risk reduction, NHANES
- MeSH terms
- Adult, Aged, Cardiovascular Diseases, Female, Gait, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Neoplasms, Nutrition Surveys, United States, Incidence, Proportional Hazards Models, Walking, Accelerometry
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