Association Between Administration of Systemic Corticosteroids and Mortality Among Critically Ill Patients With COVID-19: A Meta-analysis
Open accessAbstract
Importance: Effective therapies for patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) are needed, and clinical trial data have demonstrated that low-dose dexamethasone reduced mortality in hospitalized patients with COVID-19 who required respiratory support. Objective: To estimate the association between administration of corticosteroids compared with usual care or placebo and 28-day all-cause mortality. Design, Setting, and Participants: Prospective meta-analysis that pooled data from 7 randomized clinical trials that evaluated the efficacy of corticosteroids in 1703 critically ill patients with COVID-19. The trials were conducted in 12 countries from February 26, 2020, to June 9, 2020, and the date of final follow-up was July 6, 2020. Pooled data were aggregated from the individual trials, overall, and in predefined subgroups. Risk of bias was assessed using the Cochrane Risk of Bias Assessment Tool. Inconsistency among trial results was assessed using the I2 statistic. The primary analysis was an inverse variance-weighted fixed-effect meta-analysis of overall mortality, with the association between the intervention and mortality quantified using odds ratios (ORs). Random-effects meta-analyses also were conducted (with the Paule-Mandel estimate of heterogeneity and the Hartung-Knapp adjustment) and an inverse variance-weighted fixed-effect analysis using risk ratios. Exposures: Patients had been randomized to receive systemic dexamethasone, hydrocortisone, or methylprednisolone (678 patients) or to receive usual care or placebo (1025 patients). Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome measure was all-cause mortality at 28 days after randomization. A secondary outcome was investigator-defined serious adverse events. Results: A total of 1703 patients (median age, 60 years [interquartile range, 52-68 years]; 488 [29%] women) were included in the analysis. Risk of bias was assessed as "low" for 6 of the 7 mortality results and as "some concerns" in 1 trial because of the randomization method. Five trials reported mortality at 28 days, 1 trial at 21 days, and 1 trial at 30 days. There were 222 deaths among the 678 patients randomized to corticosteroids and 425 deaths among the 1025 patients randomized to usual care or placebo (summary OR, 0.66 [95% CI, 0.53-0.82]; P < .001 based on a fixed-effect meta-analysis). There was little inconsistency between the trial results (I2 = 15.6%; P = .31 for heterogeneity) and the summary OR was 0.70 (95% CI, 0.48-1.01; P = .053) based on the random-effects meta-analysis. The fixed-effect summary OR for the association with mortality was 0.64 (95% CI, 0.50-0.82; P < .001) for dexamethasone compared with usual care or placebo (3 trials, 1282 patients, and 527 deaths), the OR was 0.69 (95% CI, 0.43-1.12; P = .13) for hydrocortisone (3 trials, 374 patients, and 94 deaths), and the OR was 0.91 (95% CI, 0.29-2.87; P = .87) for methylprednisolone (1 trial, 47 patients, and 26 deaths). Among the 6 trials that reported serious adverse events, 64 events occurred among 354 patients randomized to corticosteroids and 80 events occurred among 342 patients randomized to usual care or placebo. Conclusions and Relevance: In this prospective meta-analysis of clinical trials of critically ill patients with COVID-19, administration of systemic corticosteroids, compared with usual care or placebo, was associated with lower 28-day all-cause mortality.
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- Findingown data
Deaths numbered 222 among 678 corticosteroid-assigned patients and 425 among 1025 assigned to usual care or placebo.
“There were 222 deaths among 678 patients randomized to corticosteroids and 425 deaths among 1025 patients randomized to usual care or placebo.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Among patients symptomatic for more than 7 days before randomization, corticosteroids were associated with lower mortality (OR 0.64, 95% CI 0.49-0.83).
“the OR was 0.64 (95% CI, 0.49-0.83) among 1111 patients who were sympto- matic for more than 7 days prior to randomization”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In patients receiving vasoactive agents at randomization, corticosteroids were not associated with lower mortality (OR 1.05, 95% CI 0.65-1.69; absolute risk 48% vs 47%).
“For the association be- tween corticosteroids and mortality, the OR was 1.05 (95% CI, 0.65-1.69) among patients who were receiving vasoactive agents at randomization (an absolute risk of 48% for cortico- steroids vs 47% for usual care or placebo)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In patients not receiving vasoactive agents at randomization, corticosteroids were associated with lower mortality (OR 0.55, 95% CI 0.34-0.88; absolute risk 24% vs 37%).
“the OR was 0.55 (95% CI, 0.34-0.88) among patients who were not receiving vasoactive agents at randomization (an absolute risk of 24% for corticosteroids vs 37% for usual care or placebo).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Among patients receiving vasoactive medication, the odds ratio for corticosteroids versus usual care or placebo and death was 1.05 (95% CI 0.65-1.69).
“49.8 76/169 74/158 Yes (I 2 = 0%) 1.05 (0.65-1.69)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
- Findingcitation
Among RECOVERY patients receiving invasive mechanical ventilation at randomization, the odds ratio for death comparing corticosteroids with usual care or placebo was 0.59 (95% CI 0.44-0.78).
“which was consistent with the corresponding result based on patients in the RECOVERY trial who were receiving invasive mechanical ventilation at randomization (OR, 0.59 [95% CI, 0.44-0.78]).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Among patients aged 60 years or younger, the odds ratio for corticosteroids versus usual care or placebo and death was 0.67 (95% CI 0.48-0.94).
“Age, y 42.7 72/338 141/483 ≤60 (I 2 = 0%) 0.67 (0.48-0.94)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Among male patients, the odds ratio for corticosteroids versus usual care or placebo and death was 0.66 (95% CI 0.51-0.84).
“72.6 162/476 319/739 Male (I 2 = 14.7%) 0.66 (0.51-0.84)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
For methylprednisolone and 28-day death in the Metcovid trial, the fixed-effect odds ratio was 0.80 (95% CI 0.40-1.63; P=.54).
“For the association between methylprednisolone and 28-day mortality, the fixed-effect OR was 0.80 (95% CI, 0.40-1.63;P = .54).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Among six trials reporting serious adverse events, 64 events occurred in 354 corticosteroid patients and 80 in 342 usual care or placebo patients.
“Among the 6 trials that reported serious adverse events, 64 events occurred among 354 patients randomized to corticosteroids and 80 events occurred among 342 patients randomized to usual care or placebo.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Among critically ill COVID-19 patients, systemic corticosteroid treatment was linked to reduced 28-day all-cause death relative to usual care or placebo (fixed-effect summary OR 0.66, 95% CI 0.53-0.82, P < .001).
“There were 222 deaths among the 678 patients randomized to corticosteroids and 425 deaths among the 1025 patients randomized to usual care or placebo (summary OR, 0.66 [95% CI, 0.53-0.82];P < .001based on a fixed-effect meta-analysis).”
- Also stated in: § Association Between Corticosteroids and 28-Day All-Cause Mortality · plain
“Based on a fixed-effect metaanalysis, the summary OR was 0.66 (95% CI, 0.53-0.82;P < .001)for all-cause mortality comparing corticosteroids with usual care or placebo (Figure 2).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § Association Between Corticosteroids and 28-Day All-Cause Mortality · plain
- Findingown data
Across four trials enrolling both invasively and non-invasively ventilated patients, the mortality benefit of corticosteroids was smaller in those receiving invasive mechanical ventilation (ratio of odds ratios 4.34, 95% CI 1.46-12.91; P=.008).
“the association between corticosteroids and lower mortality was less marked in patients receiving invasive mechanical ventilation (ratio of ORs, 4.34 [95% CI, 1.46-12.91];P = .008based on within-trial estimates combined”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Among patients receiving invasive mechanical ventilation at randomization, the fixed-effect odds ratio for corticosteroids versus usual care or placebo and death was 0.69 (95% CI 0.55-0.86).
“The overall fixed-effect OR was 0.69 (95% CI, 0.55-0.86)among patients who were receiving invasive mechanical ventilation at randomization”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The ratio of ORs for mortality between men and women was 1.07 (95% CI 0.58-1.98, P=.84).
“(ratio of ORs, 1.07 [95% CI, 0.58-1.98], P = .84; eFigure 4 in the Supplement)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The ratio of ORs for mortality between the vasoactive and non-vasoactive subgroups was 1.90 (95% CI 0.97-3.73, P=.06).
“The ratio of ORs was 1.90 (95% CI, 0.97-3.73, P = .06; eFigure 2 in the Supplement).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Among patients symptomatic for more than 7 days, the odds ratio for corticosteroids versus usual care or placebo and death was 0.64 (95% CI 0.49-0.83).
“77.6 139/418 293/693 >7 (I 2 = 0%) 0.64 (0.49-0.83)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
For methylprednisolone versus usual care or placebo, the odds ratio for death was 0.91 (95% CI 0.29-2.87; P=.87) from 1 trial, 47 patients, and 26 deaths.
“the OR was 0.91 (95% CI, 0.29-2.87;P = .87)for methylprednisolone (1 trial, 47 patients, and 26 deaths).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Trial results showed little inconsistency for mortality (I2=15.6%; P=.31 for heterogeneity).
“There was little inconsistency between the trial results (I 2 = 15.6%;P = .31for heterogeneity)”
- Also stated in: § Association Between Corticosteroids and 28-Day All-Cause Mortality · plain
“There was little inconsistency between the trial results (I 2 = 15.6%;P = .31for heterogeneity), and the summary OR was 0.70”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § Association Between Corticosteroids and 28-Day All-Cause Mortality · plain
- Findingown data
Among patients not receiving vasoactive medication, the odds ratio for corticosteroids versus usual care or placebo and death was 0.55 (95% CI 0.34-0.88).
“Taking vasoactive medication 50.2 51/184 68/184 No (I 2 = 0%) 0.55 (0.34-0.88)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
For hydrocortisone versus usual care or placebo, the pooled fixed-effect odds ratio for death was 0.69 (95% CI 0.43-1.12; P=.13) across 3 trials, 374 patients, and 94 deaths.
“the OR was 0.69 (95% CI, 0.43-1.12;P = .13)for hydrocortisone (3 trials, 374 patients, and 94 deaths)”
- Also stated in: § Association Between Corticosteroids and 28-Day All-Cause Mortality · plain
“the OR was 0.69 (95% CI, 0.43-1.12;P = .13)for trials of hydrocortisone (3 trials, 374 patients, and 94 deaths”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Also stated in: § Association Between Corticosteroids and 28-Day All-Cause Mortality · plain
- Findingown data
The ratio of ORs for mortality between longer and shorter symptom duration was 1.07 (95% CI 0.40-2.81, P=.90).
“(ratio of ORs, 1.07 [95% CI, 0.40-2.81], P = .90; eFigure 5 in the Supplement)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Among patients aged 60 years or younger, corticosteroids were associated with lower mortality (OR 0.67, 95% CI 0.48-0.94).
“the OR was 0.67 (95% CI, 0.48-0.94)among 821 patients aged 60 years or younger”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
After excluding RECOVERY trial patients, the odds ratio for death comparing corticosteroids with usual care or placebo was 0.77 (95% CI 0.56-1.07).
“In the analysis that excluded patients recruited to the RECOVERY trial, the OR was 0.77 (95% CI, 0.56-1.07)for allcause mortality comparing corticosteroids with usual care or placebo”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The overall fixed-effect risk ratio for death comparing corticosteroids with usual care or placebo was 0.80 (95% CI 0.70-0.91).
“The overall inverse variance-weighted fixed-effect risk ratio was 0.80 (95% CI, 0.70-0.91)for all-cause mortality comparing corticosteroids with usual care or placebo.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Among patients older than 60 years, corticosteroids were associated with lower mortality (OR 0.69, 95% CI 0.51-0.93).
“the OR was 0.69 (95% CI, 0.51-0.93)among 880 patients older than 60 years”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Among women, corticosteroids were associated with lower mortality (OR 0.66, 95% CI 0.43-0.99).
“the OR was 0.66 (95% CI, 0.43-0.99) among 488 women”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Among patients symptomatic for 7 days or less, the odds ratio for corticosteroids versus usual care or placebo and death was 0.63 (95% CI 0.39-1.04).
“Symptomatic, d 22.4 51/130 99/211 ≤7 (I 2 = 69.1%)0.63 (0.39-1.04)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The ratio of odds ratios comparing high-dose with low-dose corticosteroid trials for death was 1.38 (95% CI 0.69-2.79; P=.29).
“The ratio of ORs was 1.38 (95% CI, 0.69-2.79;P = .29).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Among female patients, the odds ratio for corticosteroids versus usual care or placebo and death was 0.66 (95% CI 0.43-0.99).
“Sex 27.4 60/202 106/286 Female (I 2 = 0%) 0.66 (0.43-0.99)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The ratio of ORs for mortality between older and younger age groups was 1.02 (95% CI 0.63-1.65, P=.94).
“(ratio of ORs, 1.02 [95% CI, 0.63-1.65],P = .94;eFigure 3 in the Supple- ment)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In an additional meta-analysis including Metcovid trial patients receiving invasive mechanical ventilation, the fixed-effect odds ratio for corticosteroids and 28-day death was 0.66 (95% CI 0.54-0.82; P<.001).
“In an additional meta-analysis that in- cluded patients (71 in the steroid group and 70 in the no ste- roid group) from the Metcovid trial who were receiving inva- sive mechanical ventilation at randomization (based on an intention-to-treat analysis), the fixed-effect OR was 0.66 (95% CI, 0.54-0.82; P < .001) for the association between cortico- steroids and 28-day mortality”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In low-dose corticosteroid trials, the fixed-effect odds ratio for death was 0.61 (95% CI 0.48-0.78; P<.001).
“In trials that administered low doses of corticosteroids, the overall fixed-effect OR was 0.61 (95% CI, 0.48-0.78;P < .001)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Among patients not receiving invasive mechanical ventilation at randomization, the fixed-effect odds ratio for corticosteroids versus usual care or placebo and death was 0.41 (95% CI 0.19-0.88).
“and the OR was 0.41 (95% CI, 0.19-0.88)among patients who were not receiving invasive mechanical ventilation at randomization”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In high-dose corticosteroid trials, the fixed-effect odds ratio for death was 0.83 (95% CI 0.53-1.29; P=.46).
“In trials that administered high doses of corticosteroids, the fixed-effect OR was 0.83 (95% CI, 0.53-1.29;P = .46)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
For dexamethasone versus usual care or placebo, the fixed-effect pooled odds ratio for death was 0.64 (95% CI 0.50-0.82; P<.001) across 3 trials, 1282 patients, and 527 deaths.
“the fixed-effect summary OR was 0.64 (95% CI, 0.50-0.82;P < .001)for trials of dexamethasone (3 trials, 1282 patients, and 527 deaths”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Among patients older than 60 years, the odds ratio for corticosteroids versus usual care or placebo and death was 0.69 (95% CI 0.51-0.93).
“57.3 150/339 284/541 >60 (I 2 = 49.7%)0.69 (0.51-0.93)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Among men, corticosteroids were associated with lower mortality (OR 0.66, 95% CI 0.51-0.84).
“the OR was 0.66 (95% CI, 0.51-0.84) among 1215 men”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Among patients symptomatic for 7 days or less before randomization, corticosteroids were not associated with lower mortality (OR 0.63, 95% CI 0.39-1.04).
“the OR was 0.63 (95% CI, 0.39-1.04) among 341 patients who were symptomatic for 7 days or less prior to randomization”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The random-effects pooled odds ratio for death comparing corticosteroid treatment with usual care or placebo was 0.70 (95% CI 0.48-1.01; P=.053).
“the summary OR was 0.70 (95% CI, 0.48-1.01;P = .053)based on the random-effects meta-analysis.”
- Also stated in: § Association Between Corticosteroids and 28-Day All-Cause Mortality · plain
“and the summary OR was 0.70 (95% CI, 0.48-1.01;P = .053)based on a random-effects meta-analysis.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § Association Between Corticosteroids and 28-Day All-Cause Mortality · plain
- Findingnone given
The ORs for the association between corticosteroids and mortality were similar for dexamethasone and hydrocortisone.
“The ORs for the association between corticosteroids and mortality were similar for dexamethasone and hydrocortisone.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
There was no suggestion of increased risk of serious adverse events.
“There was no suggestion of an increased risk of serious of adverse events.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Among 6 trials reporting serious adverse events, 64 events occurred among 354 patients randomized to corticosteroids and 80 among 342 randomized to usual care or placebo.
“Among the 6 trials that reported serious adverse events, 64 events occurred among 354 patients randomized to corticosteroids and 80 events occurred among 342 patients randomized to usual care or placebo.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The Steroids-SARI trial was the only included trial that evaluated methylprednisolone.
“It was the only trial that assessed the effect of methylprednisolone.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In this prospective meta-analysis of 7 randomized trials including 1703 critically ill COVID-19 patients from 5 continents, corticosteroids were associated with lower all-cause mortality at 28 days after randomization.
“In this prospective meta-analysis of 7 randomized clinical trials that included 1703 critically ill patients with COVID-19 recruited from countries on 5 continents, administration of corticosteroids was associated with lower all-cause mortality at 28 days after randomization.”
- Also stated in: § Discussion · plain
“The findings from this prospective meta-analysis provide evidence that treatment with corticosteroids is associated with reduced mortality for critically ill patients with COVID-19.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § Discussion · plain
- Findingown data
There was no evidence suggesting that a higher dose of corticosteroids was associated with greater benefit than a lower dose.
“but there was no evidence suggesting that a higher dose of corticosteroids was associated with greater benefit than a lower dose of corticosteroids.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingnone given
The comparison of low-dose versus high-dose corticosteroids and mortality was imprecisely estimated.
“The comparison of the association between low-dose corticosteroids and mortality and the association between high-dose corticosteroids and mortality was imprecisely estimated.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingnone given
The included trials only recruited adults.
“the trials only recruited adults”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Serious adverse events were generally less likely in patients randomized to corticosteroids than to usual care or placebo.
“However, serious adverse events were generally less likely in patients randomized to corticosteroids than to usual care or placebo.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
For high-dose corticosteroids, the absolute mortality risk was 36%, compared with an assumed 40% risk with usual care or placebo.
“the corresponding absolute risk was 36% for high-dose corticosteroids vs an assumed risk of 40% for usual care or placebo.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: For illustrative absolute risk estimates, the mortality risk without corticosteroids was assumed to be 40%.
- Interpretationreasoning
The absolute mortality risk with corticosteroids was 32%, compared with an assumed 40% risk with usual care or placebo.
“This corresponds to an absolute mortality risk of 32% with corticosteroids compared with an assumed mortality risk of 40% with usual care or placebo.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: For illustrative absolute risk estimates, the mortality risk without corticosteroids was assumed to be 40%.
- Interpretationreasoning
Among invasively ventilated patients, the absolute mortality risk was 30% with corticosteroids versus 38% with usual care or placebo.
“corresponding to an absolute risk of 30% for corticosteroids vs 38% for usual care or placebo”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: For subgroup absolute risk estimates, the mortality risk without corticosteroids was assumed to equal the observed risk among patients in that subgroup randomized to usual care or placebo.
- Study design and conductown data
Risk of bias was assessed as low in 2 of 6 available trial results for serious adverse events.
“Risk of bias was assessed as “low” in 2 of the 6 available trial results for serious adverse events (eTable 1 in the Supplement).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
For low-dose corticosteroids, the absolute mortality risk was 29%, compared with an assumed 40% risk with usual care or placebo.
“the corresponding absolute risk was 29% for low-dose corticosteroids vs an assumed risk of 40% for usual care or placebo.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: For illustrative absolute risk estimates, the mortality risk without corticosteroids was assumed to be 40%.
- Study design and conductnone given
The RECOVERY trial did not record serious adverse events.
“The RECOVERY trial did not record serious adverse events.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationown data
Among non-invasively ventilated patients, the absolute mortality risk was 23% with corticosteroids versus 42% with usual care or placebo.
“corresponding to an absolute risk of 23% for corticosteroids vs 42% for usual care or placebo”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: For subgroup absolute risk estimates, the mortality risk without corticosteroids was assumed to equal the observed risk among patients in that subgroup randomized to usual care or placebo.
- Study design and conductown data
In the two low-risk trials, study personnel were blinded to intervention group.
“In these trials, the study personnel were blinded to the intervention group.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Study design and conductreasoning
GRADE certainty that corticosteroids reduce all-cause death in critically ill COVID-19 patients was moderate, limited by imprecision, small heterogeneity, and small reporting-bias risk.
“The GRADE assessment of the certainty of the evidence that corticosteroids reduce all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with COVID-19 was moderate due to minor concerns across (1) imprecision, (2) a small amount of heterogeneity, and (3) a small risk of reporting bias due to some trials not responding to the requests for data.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
For dexamethasone, the absolute mortality risk was 30%, compared with an assumed 40% risk with usual care or placebo.
“corresponding absolute risk of 30% for dexamethasone vs an assumed risk of 40% for usual care or placebo”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: For illustrative absolute risk estimates, the mortality risk without corticosteroids was assumed to be 40%.
- Study design and conductnone given
Any bias from control-group dexamethasone use in RECOVERY would have been toward the null.
“Furthermore, any such bias would be toward the null.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
Among RECOVERY patients needing oxygen without invasive mechanical ventilation, the odds ratio for corticosteroids versus usual care or placebo and death was 0.86 (95% CI 0.73-1.00).
“For comparison, the OR was 0.86 (95% CI, 0.73-1.00)among 3883 patients in the RECOVERY trial who required oxygen with or without noninvasive ventilation but were not receiving invasive mechanical ventilation at randomization.7”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [7]
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationown data
For hydrocortisone, the absolute mortality risk was 32%, compared with an assumed 40% risk with usual care or placebo.
“corresponding absolute risk of 32% for hydrocortisone vs an assumed risk of 40% for usual care or placebo”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: For illustrative absolute risk estimates, the mortality risk without corticosteroids was assumed to be 40%.
- Study design and conductnone given
In the RECOVERY trial, about 16% of control patients received dexamethasone.
“In the RECOVERY trial (NCT04381936), approximately 16% of patients in the control group received dexamethasone.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Study design and conductown data
Network meta-analysis comparing high-dose with low-dose corticosteroids was not feasible because too few REMAP-CAP patients received high-dose corticosteroids.
“However, too few patients in this trial were randomized to high-dose corticosteroids for such an analysis to be feasible.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
The observed associations support a causal relationship between administration of corticosteroids, compared with usual care or placebo, and reduced mortality.
“Therefore, observed associations support a causal relationship between the administration of corticosteroids, compared with usual care or placebo, and reduced mortality.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
The findings contrast with outcomes reported for administration of corticosteroids among patients with influenza, for whom mortality and hospital-acquired infections may be increased by administration of corticosteroids.
“The findings contrast with outcomes reported for the administration of corticosteroids among patients with influenza, for whom mortality and hospital-acquired infections may be increased by the administration of corticosteroids.26”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [26]
Not checked in the free run.
- Study design and conductown data
Serious adverse event definitions and reporting varied among the trials.
“the definitions and reporting of serious adverse events were not consistent across the trials”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Study design and conductown data
The Steroids-SARI trial was judged to have some concerns regarding risk of bias.
“The trial for which the risk of bias was assessed as “some concerns” (Steroids-SARI; NCT04244591) was relatively small (47 patients and 26 deaths) and contributed only 3.5% of the weight in the primary meta-analysis.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationown data
The results were consistent with the subgroup analysis suggesting that the association between corticosteroids and lower mortality was stronger in patients not receiving vasoactive medication at randomization than in those receiving it.
“These results were consistent with the subgroup analysis suggesting that the association between corticosteroids and lower mortality was stronger in patients who were not receiving vasoactive medication at randomization than in those who were receiving vasoactive medication at randomization.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
The RECOVERY trial found that the absolute risk of death was reduced by 12.1% among those assigned low-dose dexamethasone who were receiving invasive mechanical ventilation at randomization.
“This analysis was expedited because of the release of results from the RECOVERY trial, which found that the absolute risk of death was reduced by 12.1% among those assigned to low-dose dexamethasone who were receiving invasive mechanical ventilation at randomization.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites RECOVERY trial
Not checked in the free run.
- Study design and conductown data
In the current study, potential corticosteroid-induced complications could not be analyzed reliably because of limitations of the available data (serious adverse events were reported by only 6 of 7 trials, and their definitions and methods of assessment varied among trials).
“In the current study, potential corticosteroid-induced complications could not be analyzed reliably because of limitations of the available data (serious adverse events were reported by only 6 of the 7 trials, and their definitions and methods of assessment varied among trials).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Study design and conductcitation
The prospective design of this meta-analysis means that selective reporting and publication bias are unlikely.
“First, the prospective nature of this meta-analysis implies that there is little risk of selective reporting or of publication bias, 6”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [6]
Not checked in the free run.
- Study design and conductnone given
It was not possible to classify the RECOVERY patients who required oxygen without invasive mechanical ventilation according to whether they were critically ill at randomization.
“It was not possible to classify this latter group according to whether they were critically ill at the time of randomization.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Study design and conductown data
The comparison of benefit in patients not receiving invasive mechanical ventilation at randomization was based on only 4 trials and 144 patients not receiving invasive mechanical ventilation, of whom 42 died.
“Although the benefit associated with corticosteroids appeared greater in critically ill patients who were not receiving invasive mechanical ventilation at randomization, this comparison was based on only 4 trials and 144 patients who were not receiving invasive mechanical ventilation at randomization, of whom 42 died.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Study design and conductown data
All included trials except one were judged to have low risk of bias for the effect of assignment to the intervention.
“Second, all but 1 of the included trials was assessed as “low risk” of bias for the effect of assignment to the intervention.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
- Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 27
- May combine two claims. 16
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataConcurrent antiviral or azithromycin treatment varied substantially across trials.
“The extent of concurrent treatment with antiviral agents or azithromycin varied substantially among the trials (Table 2).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe analysis included 1703 randomized patients (678 corticosteroids, 1025 usual care or placebo), median age 60 years, and 488 women (29%).
“A total of 1703 patients were randomized (678 to corticosteroids and 1025 to usual care or placebo) in the 7 trials, the median age was 60 years (interquartile range, 52-68 years), and 488 patients (29%) were women (Table 2).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Findingown dataMortality was reported at 28 days in five trials, at 21 days in one, and at 30 days in one.
“Five trials reported mortality at 28 days, 1 trial at 21 days, and 1 trial at 30 days.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
FindingreasoningThe larger usual care or placebo group resulted from RECOVERY's 1:2 randomization, which contributed 1007 patients (59.1%) to this analysis.
“The larger number of patients randomized to usual care or placebo was due to randomization in the RECOVERY trial (contributed 1007 [59.1%] patients to this analysis) in which patients were assigned to corticosteroid or usual care in a ratio of 1:2.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataIn every trial, most patients were male.
“In all trials, the majority of patients were male.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataThe proportion of patients with polymerase-chain-reaction-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection ranged from 78.7% to 100% across trials.
“the proportions of patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection confirmed by polymerase chain reaction ranged from 78.7% to 100% across trials.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataAmong 695 patients from six trials with available data, 327 (47.0%) were receiving vasoactive agents for blood pressure support at randomization.
“Among 695 patients from 6 trials for whom data were avail- able, 327 (47.0%) were receiving vasoactive agents for blood pressure support at randomization.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe ORs for the association between corticosteroids and mortality appeared similar for older and younger individuals, men and women, and longer and shorter durations of symptoms before randomization.
“The ORs for the association between corticosteroids and mortality appeared similar for older and younger individuals, men and women, and for longer and shorter durations of symptoms before randomization.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataThe Steroids-SARI trial accounted for 3.5% of the weight in the primary meta-analysis.
“The trial for which the risk of bias was assessed as “some concerns” (Steroids-SARI; NCT04244591) was relatively small (47 patients and 26 deaths) and contributed only 3.5% of the weight in the primary meta-analysis.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingnone givenThe included trials were mainly conducted in high-income settings.
“the trials were mainly conducted in high-income settings”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe Steroids-SARI trial was relatively small, with 47 patients and 26 deaths.
“The trial for which the risk of bias was assessed as “some concerns” (Steroids-SARI; NCT04244591) was relatively small (47 patients and 26 deaths) and contributed only 3.5% of the weight in the primary meta-analysis.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataSerious adverse events varied across trials, but there was no suggestion that risk was higher with corticosteroids except in the two smallest trials, where total serious adverse events were 1 and 3.
“Adverse events varied across trials but there was no suggestion that the risk of serious adverse events was higher in patients assigned to corticosteroids except for the 2 smallest trials, in which the total number of serious adverse events was 1 and 3.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingnone givenInclusion of data from the Metcovid trial did not materially change the results other than reducing inconsistency among trials.
“Inclusion of data from the Metcovid trial did not materially change the results other than reducing the inconsistency among the trials.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenAll trials contributed data according to age group and sex.
“All trials contributed data according to age group and sex.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductreasoningAll trials had institutional review board approval and obtained informed consent consistent with local requirements.
“All trials secured institutional review board approval, but approval was not required for the secondary data analysis reported here.Informed consent for participation in each trial was obtained and was consistent with local institutional review board requirements.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductreasoningComparisons between trial-characteristic subgroups used random-effects meta-regression and were interpreted as exploratory due to few trials and possible confounding.
“Comparisons between subgroups defined by trial characteristics were made using randomeffects meta-regression and interpreted as exploratory because of the small number of trials and the potential for confounding by other characteristics.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductreasoningAll subgroup analyses except the symptomatic-duration subgroup were prespecified before outcome data were available.
“The fifth subgroup was specified post hoc based on results from the RECOVERY trial.All other subgroup analyses were prespecified before any outcome data became available.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductown dataA meta-analysis of serious adverse events was not performed because their definitions differed across trials.
“Because the definitions of serious adverse events varied among the trials, a meta-analysis of this outcome was not conducted.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataRisk-of-bias assessments were performed independently by four investigators, with disagreements resolved by discussion.
“Risk of bias assessments were done independently by 4 of the investigators (A.G., J.P.T.H., M.H.M., and J.S.), with disagreements resolved through discussion.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductnone givenThe primary analysis was prespecified as an inverse variance-weighted fixed-effect meta-analysis of odds ratios for overall mortality.
“The primary analysis was an inverse variance-weighted fixed-effect meta-analysis of odds ratios (ORs) for overall mortality”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataMissing outcome data were minimal, and follow-up for mortality and serious adverse events was complete in four of seven trials.
“There were minimal missing outcome data.Follow-up was complete for both mortality and serious adverse events for 4 of the 7 trials.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductnone givenThe Steroids-SARI trial recorded adverse events but did not categorize them as serious or nonserious.
“The Steroids-SARI trial (NCT04244591) recorded adverse events but did not categorize them as serious or nonserious adverse events.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductreasoningData were pooled through June 9, 2020, because management after that date was likely influenced by the RECOVERY results released on June 16, 2020.
“Data were pooled from patients recruited to the participating trials through June 9, 2020, because patient management after that date was likely to be affected by the release of results of the RECOVERY trial on June 16, 2020.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Patient management after June 9, 2020 was likely affected by the release of the RECOVERY trial results.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductown dataThe meta-analysis protocol was registered on PROSPERO (CRD42020197242) on July 6, 2020.
“The protocol was registered and made publicly avail-able on the PROSPERO database (CRD42020197242) on July 6, 2020”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductcitationThe control-group dexamethasone use in RECOVERY was considered usual practice and not a source of bias in the assignment effect.
“This was regarded as reflecting usual practice, 22 and was not considered to introduce a risk of bias in the effect of assignment to the intervention.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [22] source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenThe optimal dose and duration of treatment could not be assessed in this analysis.
“The optimal dose and duration of treatment could not be assessed in this analysis”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenThe protocol and analysis plan, including specification of subgroup analyses, was registered and made publicly available on PROSPERO prior to data analysis or receipt of outcome data.
“The protocol and analysis plan, including specification of subgroup analyses, was registered and made publicly available on the PROSPERO database prior to data analysis or receipt of outcome data.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenThere were only limited missing outcome data.
“Third, there were only limited missing outcome data”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductreasoningData from the Metcovid trial were not included in the primary meta-analysis because the trial was registered after the searches of the trial registries were conducted.
“Data from the Metcovid trial were not included in the primary meta-analysis because this trial was registered after the searches of the trial registries were conducted.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenFollow-up ended at hospital discharge in many of the trials.
“in many trials, follow-up was censored when participants were discharged from the hospital.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductreasoningThe other four trials had unblinded outcome assessment and were assessed as having some concerns for risk of bias because classification of serious adverse events could differ between groups.
“The other 4 trials had unblinded outcome assessment, and the risk of bias was assessed as “some concerns” based on subjectivity implying that classification of serious adverse events could differ between intervention groups.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenAll subgroup analyses other than the comparison of longer versus shorter duration of symptoms at randomization were prespecified.
“All subgroup analyses other than that comparing longer with shorter duration of symptoms at randomization were prespecified.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductnone givenAs is standard in meta-analyses, patients were compared only with other patients randomized in the same trial.
“As is standard in meta-analyses, patients were compared only with other patients randomized in the same trial.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataThis prospective meta-analysis was based on a relatively large number of critically ill COVID-19 patients from geographically diverse sites randomized to corticosteroids or usual care or placebo.
“This prospective meta-analysis was based on a relatively large number of critically ill patients with COVID-19 from geographically diverse sites who were randomized to receive corticosteroids or to receive usual care or placebo.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenThe number of randomized patients in eligible trials who did not take part is probably less than the total number of patients analyzed here.
“Nonetheless, the number of patients randomized in eligible trials who did not participate is likely to be smaller than the number of patients included in this meta-analysis.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationcitationThe substantial risk of death in these patients (682/2604 [26.1%] in the control group) is consistent with mortality in critically ill patients with COVID-19.
“Nonetheless, the substantial risk of death in these patients (682/2604 [26.1%] in the control group) is consistent with mortality in critically ill patients with COVID-19.24,25”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checkedProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductcitationThe protocol has been published along with a structured abstract.
“The protocol also has been published along with a structured abstract.8”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [8]
Not checked in the free run.
The authors state this as an assumption.
For illustrative absolute risk estimates, the mortality risk without corticosteroids was assumed to be 40%.
“we assumed a mortality risk without corticosteroids of 40% (approximately, the risk among all patients allocated to usual care or placebo)”
The authors state this as an assumption.
For subgroup absolute risk estimates, the mortality risk without corticosteroids was assumed to equal the observed risk among patients in that subgroup randomized to usual care or placebo.
“we assumed a mortality risk equal to the observed risk across patients in that subgroup who were randomized to usual care or placebo”
The paper relies on this without support.
Patient management after June 9, 2020 was likely affected by the release of the RECOVERY trial results.
“because patient management after that date was likely to be affected by the release of results of the RECOVERY trial on June 16, 2020”
The paper relies on this without support.
The effect of corticosteroids on 28-day mortality after discharge does not differ from the effect before discharge.
“We are aware of no reason that the effect of corticosteroids on postdischarge 28-day mortality would differ from that on predischarge mortality”
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
The trials of sarilumab were generally done earlier in the pandemic than those of tocilizumab and before corticosteroids became the standard of care.
“However, the trials of sarilumab were generally done earlier in the pandemic than those of tocilizumab and before corticosteroids became the standard of care.7”
From Association Between Administration of IL-6 Antagonists and Mortality Among Patients Hospitalized for COVID-19: A Meta-analysis (2021) · cites this paper as [7]
These tools differed in the reporting bias assessed, the assessment target, and the criteria for judging a study or meta-analysis at risk.
“The tools varied by the type of reporting bias (publication bias or selective nonreporting bias) assessed; the target of assessment (e.g. an individual study or a meta-analysis of studies); and the criteria used to designate a study or meta-analysis as at risk of bias.”
From Investigating and dealing with publication bias and other reporting biases in meta-analyses of health research: a review (2021) · cites this paper as [42]
Various tools exist for assessing selective nonreporting of results.
“Various tools have been developed to assess selective nonreporting of results 42 .”
From Investigating and dealing with publication bias and other reporting biases in meta-analyses of health research: a review (2021) · cites this paper as [42]
All such tools stress obtaining the protocol, registration record, or statistical analysis plan to compare planned outcomes and analyses with those reported.
“All emphasize the importance of retrieving the study's protocol, registration record, or statistical analysis plan so that the planned outcomes and analyses can be compared with those that were reported 42 .”
From Investigating and dealing with publication bias and other reporting biases in meta-analyses of health research: a review (2021) · cites this paper as [42]
Some reporting-bias risk tools direct users to consider qualitative signals suggesting that additional results may be missing from unidentified studies.
“Some tools for assessing risk of reporting biases guide users to consider various qualitative signals that suggest additional results may be missing from studies that have not been identified 42 .”
From Investigating and dealing with publication bias and other reporting biases in meta-analyses of health research: a review (2021) · cites this paper as [42]
A systematic search identified 15 tools, published by February 2017, that were scales or checklists for qualitative judgement of reporting-bias risk.
“A systematic search for scales and checklists designed to help authors make a qualitative judgement about the risk of reporting biases identified 15 tools published up to February 2017 42 .”
From Investigating and dealing with publication bias and other reporting biases in meta-analyses of health research: a review (2021) · cites this paper as [42]
A meta-analysis of seven randomized trials showed that 28-day all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with Covid-19 was lower among those treated with glucocorticoids than among those who received usual care or placebo.
“A meta-analysis of seven randomized trials showed that 28-day all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with Covid-19 was lower among those who were treated with glucocorticoids than among those who received usual care or placebo.100”
From Cytokine storm (2020) · cites this paper as [100]
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
Nonventilated control-group risk uses the wrong percentage
MinorThe figure gives 28 deaths among 74 nonventilated control patients, an observed risk of 37.8%, not 42%. The stated 38% and 42% control risks appear to have been exchanged between the ventilation subgroups.
Reported 42 · recomputed 37.837838
“among patients who were not receiving invasive mechanical ventilation at randomization (corresponding to an absolute risk of 23% for corticosteroids vs 42% for usual care or placebo).”
Ventilated patient count is 100 too low
MinorThe subgroup figure lists 608 corticosteroid patients and 951 control patients receiving invasive mechanical ventilation, totaling 1559 rather than 1459.
Reported 1459 · recomputed 1559
“Among critically ill patients, many more were receiving invasive mechanical ventilation at randomization (1459 patients and 604 deaths) than were not (144 patients and 42 deaths).”
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“…data from the RECOVERY trial, the WHO REACT (Rapid Evidence Appraisal for COVID-19 Therapies) working group has reported that critically ill patients with COVID-19 are less likely to die when administered corticosteroids than people who do not receive this treatment (Horby et al., 2020; The, 2020).”
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“In addition, a prospective meta-analysis of seven randomized trials showed that 28-day all-cause mortality was lower among patients who received corticosteroids compared with those who received usual care or placebo [128].”
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“A meta-analysis confirmed the effectiveness of GCs in the treatment of critical-ill COVID-19 patients, but the optimal time point and drug dose remains debatable [128,129].”
MethodImpact of the influenza vaccine on COVID-19 infection rates and severity
Conlon, A., Ashur, C., Washer, L., Eagle, K. A., & Bowman, M. A. H. (2021) · American Journal of Infection Control · doi:10.1016/j.ajic.2021.02.012 · Cited by 170 · see citing works
Comparing machine learning algorithms for predicting ICU admission and mortality in COVID-19
Subudhi, S., Verma, A., Patel, A. B., Hardin, C., Khandekar, M. J., Lee, H., McEvoy, D. S., Stylianopoulos, T., Munn, L. L., Dutta, S., et al. (2021) · npj Digital Medicine · doi:10.1038/s41746-021-00456-x · Cited by 168 · see citing works
The Task Force for the management of COVID-19 of the European Society of Cardiology, Baigent, C., Windecker, S., Andreini, D., Arbelo, E., Barbato, E., Bartorelli, A. L., Baumbach, A., Behr, E. R., Berti, S. L., et al. (2021) · European Heart Journal · doi:10.1093/eurheartj/ehab697 · Cited by 173 · see citing works
Franchini, M., Liumbruno, G. M., & Pezzo, M. P. (2021) · European Journal Of Haematology · doi:10.1111/ejh.13665 · Cited by 166 · see citing works
Caricchio, R., Abbate, A., Гордеев, И. Г., Meng, J., Hsue, P. Y., Neogi, T., Arduino, R. C., Fomina, D. S., Bogdanov, R., Stepanenko, T., et al. (2021) · JAMA · doi:10.1001/jama.2021.9508 · Cited by 164 · see citing works
Verweij, P. E., Brüggemann, R. J. M., Azoulay, É., Bassetti, M., Blot, S. I., Buil, J. B., Calandra, T., Chiller, T. M., Clancy, C. J., Cornely, O. A., et al. (2021) · Intensive Care Medicine · doi:10.1007/s00134-021-06449-4 · Cited by 162 · see citing works
Lévy, Y., Wiedemann, A., Hejblum, B. P., Durand, M., Lefebvre, C., Surénaud, M., Lacabaratz, C., Perreau, M., Foucat, E., Déchenaud, M., et al. (2021) · iScience · doi:10.1016/j.isci.2021.102711 · Cited by 161 · see citing works
Self-citationCOVID-19 therapeutics: Challenges and directions for the future
Robinson, P. C., Liew, D. F. L., Tanner, H. L., Grainger, J. R., Dwek, R. A., Reisler, R. B., Steinman, L., Feldmann, M., Ho, L., Hussell, T., et al. (2022) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.2119893119 · Cited by 156 · see citing works
Dellière, S., Dudoignon, E., Fodil, S., Voicu, S., Collet, M., Oillic, P.-A., Salmona, M., Dépret, F., Ghelfenstein-Ferreira, T., Plaud, B., et al. (2020) · Clinical Microbiology and Infection · doi:10.1016/j.cmi.2020.12.005 · Cited by 158 · see citing works
Therapeutic advances in COVID-19
Murakami, N., Hayden, R., Hills, T. E., Al-Samkari, H. T., Casey, J. D., Sorbo, L. D., Lawler, P. R., Sise, M. E., & Leaf, D. E. (2022) · Nature Reviews Nephrology · doi:10.1038/s41581-022-00642-4 · Cited by 161 · see citing works
- Authors
- The WHO Rapid Evidence Appraisal for COVID-19 Therapies (REACT) Working Group, Sterne, J. A. C., Murthy, S., Diaz, J. V., Slutsky, A. S., Villar, J., Angus, D. C., Annane, D., Azevedo, L. C. P., Berwanger, O., Cavalcanti, A. B., Dequin, P.-F., Du, B., Emberson, J., Fisher, D., Giraudeau, B., Gordon, A. C., Granholm, A., Green, C., Haynes, R., Heming, N., Higgins, J. P. T., Horby, P., Jüni, P., Landray, M. J., Le Gouge, A., Leclerc, M., Lim, W. S., Machado, F. R., McArthur, C., Meziani, F., Møller, M. H., Perner, A., Petersen, M. W., Savovic, J., Tomazini, B., Veiga, V. C., Webb, S., & Marshall, J. C.
- Affiliations
- University of Bristol (GB)
- University of British Columbia (CA)
- St. Michael's Hospital (CA)
- University of Pittsburgh (US)
- Universidade de São Paulo (BR)
- Hospital Sírio-Libanês, São Paulo, Brazil
- Hospital Israelita Albert Einstein (BR)
- Université de Tours (FR)
- Médecine Intensive-Réanimation, INSERM CIC1415, CHRU de Tours, Tours, France
- Peking Union Medical College Hospital (CN)
- University of Oxford (GB)
- Inserm (FR)
- University of Copenhagen (DK)
- Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (FR)
- CIC INSERM 1415-CHRU de Tours, Tours, France
- Nottingham University Hospitals NHS Trust (GB)
- Anesthesiology, Pain, and Intensive Care Department, Federal University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil
- Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, England
- St John of God Subiaco Hospital (AU)
- Corresponding author
- Sterne, Jonathan A. C.
- ORCID
- Sterne, Jonathan A. C.
- Murthy, Srinivas
- Diaz, Janet V.
- Slutsky, Arthur S.
- Villar, Jesús
- Angus, Derek C.
- Annane, Djillali
- Berwanger, Otavio
- Cavalcanti, Alexandre B.
- Du, Bin
- Emberson, Jonathan
- Fisher, David
- Giraudeau, Bruno
- Gordon, Anthony C.
- Granholm, Anders
- Green, Cameron
- Haynes, Richard
- Heming, Nicholas
- Higgins, Julian P. T.
- Horby, Peter
- Jüni, Peter
- Landray, Martin J.
- Lim, Wei Shen
- McArthur, Colin
- Meziani, Ferhat
- Møller, Morten Hylander
- Perner, Anders
- Tomazini, Bruno
- Veiga, Viviane C.
- Venue
- JAMA
- Publisher
- American Medical Association (AMA)
- Published
- 2020-10-06
- Volume
- 324
- Issue
- 13
- Pages
- 1330
- ISSN
- 0002-9955 (ISSN-L)
- 0098-7484
- PMC
- PMC7489434
- OpenAlex
- W3082355253
- Semantic Scholar
- c40537695ad1c573a608449e4ff9bb6bc94c3dab
- Cited by
- 2,257
- References
- 30
- Citations by year
- 2026: 39 · 2025: 92 · 2024: 175 · 2023: 302 · 2022: 538 · 2021: 906 · 2020: 204
- FWCI
- 63.88
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- JAMA (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Bristol Research (University of Bristol) (acceptedVersion, other-oa)
- Research at the University of Copenhagen (University of Copenhagen) (submittedVersion)
- HAL (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- Amgen
- Pfizer
- AstraZeneca
- World Health Organization
- Nottingham University Hospitals NHS Trust
- University Hospitals Bristol NHS Foundation Trust
- UK Research and Innovation
- Medicines Company
- National Institute for Health and Care Research (11/46/14, NF-SI-0616-10111, COVID-19, NF-SI-0617-10145, RP-2015-06-018)
- University of Oxford
- University of Nottingham
- Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale
- Monash University
- University of Toronto
- Novo Nordisk
- Rigshospitalet
- Universidade de São Paulo
- Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust
- Novo Nordisk Fonden (NNF20SA0062998)
- Universidade do Estado do Amazonas
- Minderoo Foundation
- Abbott Vascular
- Canadian Institutes of Health Research
- Medical Research Council (MC_UU_12023/22, MC_UU_12023/21, MC_UU_00017/3, MC_PC_20062)
- National Health and Medical Research Council
- Health Research Council of New Zealand
- NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre
- Health Data Research UK
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Infectious Diseases › COVID-19 Clinical Research Studies
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pulmonary and Respiratory Medicine › Respiratory Support and Mechanisms
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Adrenal Hormones and Disorders
- Keywords
- COVID-19 pandemic, systemic corticosteroids, dexamethasone, cortisol, methylprednisolone, 28-day mortality, critically ill patients, serious adverse events, corticosteroid therapy, risk of bias, subgroup analysis, risk of bias assessment
- MeSH terms
- Betacoronavirus, COVID-19, SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19 Drug Treatment, Adrenal Cortex Hormones, Cause of Death, Dexamethasone, Glucocorticoids, Humans, Hydrocortisone, Methylprednisolone, Pneumonia, Viral, Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic, Critical Illness, Coronavirus Infections, Pandemics
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Claims read by deepseek-v4.1-flash under definition version 3 (extract-v3) on 2026-10-04.
Classified by jev-1.13-20260917 (gold-guideline-v0.2) on 2026-10-04.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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