Pioglitazone Therapy in Patients With Stroke and Prediabetes: A Post Hoc Analysis of the IRIS Randomized Clinical Trial
Open accessAbstract
Importance: In the Insulin Resistance Intervention After Stroke (IRIS) randomized clinical trial, pioglitazone, an insulin-sensitizing agent, reduced the risk for recurrent stroke or myocardial infarction (MI) among patients with insulin resistance. However, insulin resistance is not commonly measured in clinical practice. Objective: To analyze the effects of pioglitazone in patients with good adherence as well as intention-to-treat effects of pioglitazone in patients with prediabetes in the IRIS trial. Design, Setting, and Participants: The IRIS trial was a randomized multicenter clinical trial in patients with prior stroke or transient ischemic attack as well as insulin resistance but not diabetes. Patients were enrolled from February 2005 to January 2013, and the median follow-up was 4.8 years. The post hoc analyses reported here were performed from June to September 2018. Per American Diabetes Association criteria, prediabetes was defined as having a hemoglobin A1c level of 5.7% to 6.4% or fasting plasma glucose level of 100 mg/dL to 125 mg/dL (to convert to mmol/L, multiply by 0.0555). Good adherence was defined as taking 80% or more of the protocol dose. Fasting glucose and hemoglobin A1c, used to define prediabetes, and adherence of 80% or higher, stipulated in the protocol as defining good adherence, were prespecified subgroups in the analysis plan. Interventions: Participants were randomized to 15 mg of pioglitazone, with dose titrated to target of 45 mg daily, or matching placebo. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was recurrent stroke or MI. Secondary outcomes included stroke, acute coronary syndrome, stroke/MI/hospitalization for heart failure, and progression to diabetes. Results: Among 3876 participants analyzed in the IRIS trial, 2885 were included in this analysis (1456 in the pioglitazone cohort and 1429 in the placebo cohort). The mean (SD) age of patients was 64 (11) years, and 974 (66.9%) and 908 (63.5%) of patients were men in the pioglitazone and placebo cohort, respectively. In the prediabetic population with good adherence (644 of 1456 individuals [44.2%] in the pioglitazone group and 810 of 1429 [56.7%] in the placebo group), the hazard ratios (95% CI) were 0.57 (0.39-0.84) for stroke/MI, 0.64 (0.42-0.99) for stroke, 0.47 (0.26-0.85) for acute coronary syndrome, 0.61 (0.42-0.88) for stroke/MI/hospitalization for heart failure, and 0.18 (0.10-0.33) for progression to diabetes. There was a nonsignificant reduction in overall mortality, cancer, and hospitalization, a slight increase in serious bone fractures, and an increase in weight gain and edema. Intention-to-treat results also showed significant reduction of events but to a lesser degree. Hazard ratios (95% CI) were 0.70 (0.56-0.88) for stroke/MI, 0.72 (0.56-0.92) for stroke, 0.72 (0.52-1.00) for acute coronary syndrome, 0.78 (0.63-0.96), for stroke/MI/hospitalization for heart failure, and 0.46 (0.35 to 0.61) for progression to diabetes. Conclusions and Relevance: Pioglitazone may be effective for secondary prevention in patients with stroke/transient ischemic attack and with prediabetes, particularly in those with good adherence. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT00091949.
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Another meta-analysis of 8 randomized controlled trials comprising 56,251 participants found that GLP-1 receptor agonists reduced nonfatal strokes (OR 0.84, 95% CI 0.76-0.94; P=.002) compared with placebo.
“Another meta-analysis evaluated the efficacy and safety of GLP-1 RAs for stroke prevention in 8 RCTs comprising 56,251 participants and found that compared with placebo, GLP-1 RAs reduced nonfatal strokes (OR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.76–0.94; P = .002) and all strokes (OR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.75–0.93; P = .001).661”
From American Association of Clinical Endocrinology Clinical Practice Guideline: Developing a Diabetes Mellitus Comprehensive Care Plan-2022 Update. (2022) · cites this paper as [661]
Split into 2 atoms — 0 confirmed, 0 partially supported, 1 disputed, 0 misattributed, 1 unverifiable. Expand the claim to see per-atom verdicts.
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Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredSide effects of TZDs can be mitigated by using lower doses and combining TZD therapy with other medications (SGLT2i and GLP-1 RA) that promote weight loss and sodium excretion.
“Side effects can be mitigated by using lower doses and combining TZD therapy with other medications (SGLT2i and GLP-1 RA) that promote weight loss and sodium excretion (199,206).”
From Management of Hyperglycemia in Type 2 Diabetes, 2022. A Consensus Report by the American Diabetes Association (ADA) and the European Association for the Study of Diabetes (EASD) (2022) · cites this paper as [199]
The Discussion (page unavailable in our copy) says a lower pioglitazone dose may reduce weight gain and fluid retention. It also suggests amiloride for fluid retention, but does not support the specified combination with SGLT2 inhibitors or GLP-1 receptor agonists. (LLM, conf=0.89)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredTZDs are associated with possible side effects of fluid retention and congestive heart failure, weight gain, and bone fracture.
“However, these bene fi ts must be balanced against possible side effects of fl uid retention and congestive HF (196,197,202), weight gain (196 -198,202,203), and bone fracture (204,205).”
In the IRIS study, in adults without diabetes but with insulin resistance and recent history of stroke or transient ischemic attack, there was a lower risk of stroke or myocardial infarction with pioglitazone versus placebo.
“In the Insulin Resistance Intervention After Stroke (IRIS) study in adults without diabetes but with insulin resistance (HOMA of insulin resistance > 3.0) and recent history of stroke or transient ischemic attack, there was a lower risk of stroke or myocardial infarction with pioglitazone versus placebo (198,199).”
The same meta-analysis found that GLP-1 receptor agonists reduced all strokes (OR 0.84, 95% CI 0.75-0.93; P=.001) compared with placebo.
“Another meta-analysis evaluated the efficacy and safety of GLP-1 RAs for stroke prevention in 8 RCTs comprising 56,251 participants and found that compared with placebo, GLP-1 RAs reduced nonfatal strokes (OR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.76–0.94; P = .002) and all strokes (OR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.75–0.93; P = .001).661”
From American Association of Clinical Endocrinology Clinical Practice Guideline: Developing a Diabetes Mellitus Comprehensive Care Plan-2022 Update. (2022) · cites this paper as [661]
The Results and Table 2 report stroke outcomes for pioglitazone versus placebo in patients with prediabetes, not a meta-analysis of GLP-1 receptor agonists. Searches for GLP-1 agonists, the eight-trial meta-analysis, and the stated odds ratio found no passage addressing the attributed result in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.76)
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(2019) · JAMA Neurology · doi:10.1001/jamaneurol.2019.0475
- Authors
- Spence, J. D., Viscoli, C. M., Inzucchi, S. E., Dearborn-Tomazos, J., Ford, G. A., Gorman, M., Furie, K. L., Lovejoy, A. M., Young, L. H., Kernan, W. N., & for the IRIS Investigators
- Affiliations
- Western University (CA)
- Yale University (US)
- Department of Neurology, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut
- University of Oxford (GB)
- Maine Medical Center (US)
- Brown University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Spence, J. David
- ORCID
- Venue
- JAMA Neurology
- Publisher
- American Medical Association (AMA)
- Published
- 2019-05-01
- Volume
- 76
- Issue
- 5
- Pages
- 526
- ISSN
- 2168-6149 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC6515584
- OpenAlex
- W2912548489
- Cited by
- 109
- References
- 37
- Citations by year
- 2026: 6 · 2025: 8 · 2024: 12 · 2023: 19 · 2022: 14 · 2021: 21 · 2020: 18 · 2019: 11
- FWCI
- 12.98
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- JAMA Neurology (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Scholarship@Western (Western University) (submittedVersion)
- NOVA (University of Newcastle Australia) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- National Institutes of Health (UL1TR001863)
- National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke (U01NS044876)
- National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Diabetes Treatment and Management
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Diabetes, Cardiovascular Risks, and Lipoproteins
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Acute Ischemic Stroke Management
- Keywords
- pioglitazone, prediabetes, insulin resistance, stroke, stroke recurrence, myocardial infarction, acute coronary syndrome, heart failure hospitalization, progression to diabetes, medication adherence, insulin sensitizers, IRIS trial, transient ischemic attack, HbA1c, fasting blood glucose, intention-to-treat effect, post hoc analysis, subgroup analysis
- MeSH terms
- Pioglitazone, Aged, Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2, Female, Heart Failure, Glycated Hemoglobin, Hospitalization, Humans, Hypoglycemic Agents, Insulin Resistance, Male, Middle Aged, Myocardial Infarction, Prediabetic State, Recurrence, Proportional Hazards Models, Disease Progression, Stroke, Acute Coronary Syndrome, Medication Adherence, Secondary Prevention
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